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Performance through Specialisation
‘Putting clients first in a world thatgenerally doesn’t…’
Amsterdam, 27 januari 2011
Lars Dijkstra, Chief Investment Officer
1
Management is about efficiency Leadership is about effectiveness
Leadership is…
Climb up the ladder as quickly as possible
See if the ladder is leaning againstthe right wall
2
Asset management: is the ladder leaning against the right wall?
n Expertise
n Discipline
n Reliable
n Honest
n Trust
Foundations of a profession
n Jungle investment fundsn 80% of managers lags behind in
2008
n Failing risk managementn Terror peer groups/benchmarks
n Hedge funds are not keepingpromises
n Investment funds locked up
n High (not transparant) feesn Complex credit productsn Madoff
Facts in 2009
3
Trust between clients and asset managers is underpressure
n Ownersn Originally: PM’sn Subsequently: Publicly listedn Now: Conglomerate
→ Consequence: Business managers in charge
n Portfolio managers need to perform in the short run (careerrisk)
n Sales sells in line with whatclients want ‘flavour of the month’
‘We have changed from a profession with aspects of a business, to a business with aspects of a profession’
J. Bogle, CEO Vanguard, 2005
4
Conclusion: The ladder is leaning against the wrong wall!
Asset management has evolved from a profession to a marketing driven industry in the past 30 years
5
What next…?
… Continue on the same path1
2
3
… To passive managers
… Back to a profession
6
Market share US asset managers
McKinsey: ‘trend to passive and privately ownedmanagers’
Source: McKinsey, “The Asset Management Industry in 2010”, published in 2006
‘Privately owned’managers
Publicly listedconglomerates
Passivemanagers
22%33%
43%
65%51% 35%
13% 16% 22%
2000 2005 2010
7
… To passive managers
But is it effective as well?§ Winners from the past§ Bankruptcy candidates§ Socially unethical§ Seems cheaper than it is
→ Good relative risk and return, but will it put food on yourtable?
2
Advantages§ Computer§ Scale§ Cheaper§ No underperformance
→ Competition on cost and efficiency
8
… Back to a profession
What type of asset manager will produce the best investment results?
I. Entrepreneurial, ‘privately owned’ managers
II. Managers with focus and specialisation
III. The smaller the scale, the better the results
3
9
‘Privately owned’ managers outperform
Source: John Bogle, Financial Analyst Journal, November/December 2005
Asset manager
1. Dodge & Cox2. First Eagle3. Calamos4. SouthEastern5. Royce6. American Funds7. Harris Associates
Asset manager
48. Merrill Lynch49. Aim50. Nations Funds51. American Express52. Black Rock53. Pioneer54. JP Morgan
I
10
Focus and specialisation both work
Source: John Bogle, Financial Analyst Journal, November/December 2005
II
Asset manager
1. Dodge & Cox2. First Eagle3. Calamos4. SouthEastern5. American Funds6. Royce7. Harris Associates
Number of funds
4583
2614
7
Asset manager
48. Merrill Lynch49. Aim50. Nations Funds51. American Express52. Black Rock53. Pioneer54. JP Morgan
Number of funds
58624260322438
11
-0,9%
0,5%
The smaller the scale, the better the results
Source: Cremers en Petajisto (Yale) “How active is your fund manager?”, 2006
Small
Large
Specialty shop betterthan supermarket
Average annual US mutual funds outperformance
III
12
New leadership required in asset management…
Business Strategy
InvestmentPhilosophy
People
n Employee ownership and long-term loyal clientsn Focus n Conservative innovative: transparant, simple and high
expected absolute returns
n Alignment with clients interests (best form of risk management)
n Investment culture founded on sound principlesn Long-term committed and engaged shareholdership
n Stick out neck for clients (take career risk)n CQ > IQ n Your ‘trusted advisor’
13
Conclusion: away from marketing, back to a profession!
n From Salesmanship to Stewardship: Money does not bring quality, but qualitybrings money!
n Do not sell investment products to yourclients which you would not buy yourself
n Your role as a client?¡ Select asset managers with new
leadership characteristics¡ Buy investment products that are out of
favour!