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Financially Viable MediaIn Emerging and Developing Markets
A report to the The World Association of Newspapers and News Publishers
(WAN-IFRA)
by Anne Nelson
The World Association of Newspapers and News Publishers (WAN-IFRA) is a non-profit, non-governmental organization that has worked as a partner with international aid agencies, foundations, and fellow NGOs to promote the development of quality news media around the world.
WAN-IFRA’s main objectives are to:
• Defend and promote press freedom and the economic independence of newspapers• Support the development of newspaper publishing around the world• Promote co-operation between its member organizations, worldwide
WAN-IFRA is made up of 76 national newspaper associations, 12 news agencies, 10 regional press organizations and individual newspaper executives in 100 countries.
The analysis presented deals with the economic aspects of media systems while considering their function within a democratic system of governance.
Several key findings emerged from the WAN-IFRA researchCensorship and violence against journalists still occur in many places, while other countries are operating with unprecedented freedom
Several key findings emerged from the WAN-IFRA researchMedia managers and editors in developing countries are unable to take full advantage of their new freedoms because they lack basic business management skills.
Several key findings emerged from the WAN-IFRA research
While digital media is sweeping the globe, it is also deteriorating the business model of newspapers in North America
Financially Sustainable
Not Free & Independent Free & Independent
Not Financially Sustainable
PROFIT DRIVEN
POLITICALLYALIGNED
GRANT/DONOR DEPENDENT
MARKETDRIVENFREEMEDIA
IDEALSDRIVEN
PROFIT DRIVEN
GRANT/DONORDEPENDENT
IDEALSDRIVEN
Financially Sustainable
Not Free & Independent Free & Independent
Not Financially Sustainable
Media Development Market ModelForces and Influences
MARKETDRIVENFREEMEDIA
Actual Market Position Desired Market Position
Source: Byrne, 2010
Sample Overview
Country categoryNumber of participants
Number of countries
GDP per capita
Africa 66 21 Above $20,000
North America 131 37 Between $2000 and $20,000
Latin America 30 8 Below $2000
Total 227 66
Sources: World Press Trends 2010, World Association of Newspapers and News Publishers
The international survey included:
• Sample of 227 survey-responses• From 66 countries • Period between July and December 2010.
The survey results have been grouped according to:
• Recognized economic development indicators• The level of country’s GDP per capita
Circulation of dailies (total average circulation in 000s)
Newspapers in developed markets are almost universally stagnating or are in decline.
Daily circulation highlighted trends:
• Overall growth in Africa, Asia, and Latin America • A long-term slowdown in the U.S. and European markets
20052006
20072008
2009
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
US & Europe
Africa, Asia & Latin America
US & Europe
Africa, Asia & Latin America
Circ
ulati
on o
f Dai
lies
Circulation of dailies (total average circulation in 000s)
Newspapers in developed markets are almost universally stagnating or are in decline.
2005
2009
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
400000
US & EuropeAfrica, Asia & Latin America
US & EuropeAfrica, Asia & Latin America
Daily circulation highlighted trends:
• Overall growth in Africa, Asia, and Latin America • A long-term slowdown in the U.S. and European markets
Circ
ulati
on o
f Dai
lies
ALTERNATE SLIDE
Circulation of dailies (total average circulation in 000s)
Continents 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 5 year change
Africa 9,202 10,003 10,572 11,396 11,944 29.80%
North America 67,015 65,890 64,470 62,021 59,895 -10.62%
Latin America 13,441 13,759 14,543 14,809 14,133 5.15%
Asia 300,771 315,870 333,374 336,645 340,128 13.09%
Australia & Oc. 3,495 3,464 3,439 3,351 3,300 -5.58%
Europe 94,730 95,322 93,640 92,440 87,228 -7.92%
Total 488,654 504,308 520,038 520,662 516,628 5.72%
Sources: World Press Trends 2010, World Association of Newspapers and News Publishers
Facts and Figures
Newspapers in developed markets are almost universally stagnating or are in decline.
Daily circulation highlighted trends:
• Overall growth in Africa, Asia, and Latin America • A long-term slowdown in the U.S. and European markets
ALTERNATE SLIDE
Circulation of dailies (total average circulation in 000s)
Continents 2005 2009 5 year change
Africa 9,202 11,944 29.80%
North America 67,015 59,895 -10.62%
Latin America 13,441 14,133 5.15%
Asia 300,771 340,128 13.09%
Australia & Oc. 3,495 3,300 -5.58%
Europe 94,730 87,228 -7.92%
Total 488,654 516,628 5.72%
Sources: World Press Trends 2010, World Association of Newspapers and News Publishers
Facts and Figures
Newspapers in developed markets are almost universally stagnating or are in decline.
Daily circulation highlighted trends:
• Overall growth in Africa, Asia, and Latin America • A long-term slowdown in the U.S. and European markets
ALTERNATE SLIDE
Business and Media Skills Needed but Least Supported:
57%
16%
13%
8%
5%
No, my company did not receive any such external financial or non-financial aid/support
Non-financial support such as training, strategic advice and similar financed by external sources.
Financial support for implementation of media development projects.
Government/state aid
Other
57%
16%
13%
8%
5%1%
1%Loans or credits provided by media development organizations
EGYPT
Data Type 2010 (Estimate)
Population 80.4 million
Literacy rate 71.40%
Per capita GDP US $6,200
Urban/rural population 43%/57%
Official language Arabic
Land line telephone connections 15%
Mobile phone registered connections 82.19 million
Internet penetration 20% (broadband: 1million)
Egypt Country Data
Sources: CIA World Factbook and Egyptian Ministry of Communications
Market growth: Annual compound growth rate of 7 percent over the period of 2009-2013:
Egypt’s Advertising Market Penetration
2009
2013
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Advertising Market Growth
Advertising Market Growth
$936 Million
$720 Million
• Newspapers : Over 55 percent of total advertising spend in 2009.• Magazines: For approximately 6 percent.
Advertising Market in the Print Media
NewspapersMagazines
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60% 55%
6%
Advertising in Print Media
Advertising in Print Media
Al Youm El Sabe’s (The Seventh Day): Egypt’s Leading Website
• 36 million page views• 3 million unique visitors per month
Three Critical Elements of the Egyptian Media
1. Legal restrictions and regulations that inhibit the launch of new newspaper or local broadcast outlets
2. Legal, economic, and professional obstacle courses that prevent journalists from practicing journalism.
3. The way in which new media address gaps through satellite television and social media.
Online Media and Today’s Political Culture
In February 2011, the New York Times (2011) estimated:
• Over 5 million Egyptians are on Facebook
• Highest number in the Middle East
Twitter gained popularity with the 2010 elections in part because:• Facebook was subjected to government
monitoring and interference.
GEORGIA
Data Type 2010 (Estimate)
Population 4.4 million
Literacy rate 100%
Per capita GDP US $4,400
Urban/rural population 53%/47%
Official language Georgian
Internet penetration 28.5%
Country Facts and Figures
Sources: World Bank Development Indicators and other World Bank statistics, UN Population Information Network, Budde Communications Inc.
Georgia has extended periods of political unrest and conflict. The news media often find themselves in the line of fire.
Sharing of Advertising Market in Georgia and the World
77.6
5.1
4.60.25.9
6.7
Share in % Georgia 2008
TVNewspapersMagazinesInternetOutdoorRadio
37
2512
10
78
Share in % Globally 2008
TVNewspapersMagazinesInternetOutdoorRadio
Share of Advertising by Medium in Georgia compared to the rest of the World
• 80% has gone to television marketers• Only 1% has gone to newspapers
Source: WAN-IFRA, 2009
Share of Advertising by Medium in Georgia and the World
MediumShare in %Georgia 2008
Share in %Globally 2008
TV 77.6 37
Newspapers 5.1 25
Magazines 4.6 12
Internet 0.2 10
Outdoor 5.9 7
Radio 6.7 8
Many Georgians believe that independent print media have no ability to compete in the advertising market with the television companies, closely aligned with the ruling party, regulatory authorities, and advertising tycoons.
Facts and Figures
ALTERNATE SLIDE
In 2010, the Georgian ruling party spent:
GEL10.13 million (approx. US $5.75 million) on:• TV ads
GEL493,800 (approx. US $280,000) only on: • Print media and ads• Billboards
Advertising Market:The Ruling Party is the “Best Political Customer”
Many Georgians believe that independent print media have no ability to compete in the advertising market with the television companies that are closely aligned with:
• The ruling party• Regulatory authorities• Advertising tycoons
• The Ministry of Economics only publishes about official tenders in the 24 Saati.• A way the State channels money toward loyal newspapers.
24 Saati [24 Hours] Newspaper: Seen as loyal to the Georgian Ruling Party
Daily Financial Newspaper (Print) www.24saati.ge (Online Newspaper)
The only newspaper audience research to date was funded by:
The Georgian television industry has also received structured assistance:
GUATEMALA
Data Type 2010 (Estimate)
Population 13.8 million
Literacy rate 74%
Per capita GDP US $5,200
Urban/rural population 40/60%
Official language Spanish
Internet penetration 15%
Country Facts and Figures
Sources: World Bank Development Indicators and other World Bank statistics, UN Population Information Network, Budde Communications Inc.
Guatemala is a lower-middle income developing country. The print journalism market is constrained by illiteracy.
Media in Transition
# of Issues: 18,000
One page of advertising: $400
# of Issues: 280,000
One page of advertising: $3,750
# of Issues: 27,000
One page of advertising: $1,200
# of Issues: 60,000
One page of advertising: $1,200
# of Issues: 146,605
One page of advertising: $3,750
Guatemalan Newspapers: Top Dailies
Guatemalan Newspapers circulation, rates (July 2010)
• Prensa Libre has a pool of 1,000 advertisers• Prensa Libre and Nuestro Diario publish approximately 430,000
newspapers daily
Source: Data facilitated by the Secretariat of Social Communication, Guatemalan Government. (August 2010) Prices offered to the government in US dollars.
Guatemalan Newspapers circulation, rates (July 2010)
Daily # issuesPrice per one page of advertising in printed edition, full color
National Gazette 7,600 US $1,000
La Hora 18,000 US $400
Siglo 21 27,000 US $1,200
El Periodico 30,229 US $2,750
Al Dia 60,000 US $1,200
Prensa Libre 146,605 US $3,750
Nuestro Diario 280,000 US $3,750
ALTERNATE SLIDE
Guatemala’s Economic and Intellectual Elite Read: El Periodico
• The paper was created with financial support of the Media Development Loan Fund.• 40% of the capital:
• Provided by 135 private individuals, who invested US $10,000 each.• 60% of the capital:
• Provided by the newspaper workers
Print Newspaper Online Newspaper
International Aid to Guatemalan Media
Swedish InternationalDevelopment Cooperation
Agency
United Nations Educational, Scientific and
Cultural Organization
Norwegian AgencyFor
Development Cooperation
United States AgencyFor
International Development
Human InstituteFor
Development Cooperation
Ford FoundationMedia Development
Loan FundDanish InternationalDevelopment Agency
Spanish CooperationAgency
United NationsChildren’s Fund
These organizations have contributed to the improvement of Guatemalan media prospects.
Soros Foundation
Hybrids: New Media Initiatives
In 2007-2008, La Hora launched “La Voz del Migrante”:
• A weekly tabloid printed in full color• Also published online
NoticiasDeMiGente.com: • Created by Knight International Journalism
Fellow, Maria Emilia Martin• Linked radio stations via a web platform• Expanded programming in rural communities
Carretera News:• Local print and online newspaper• Up to 16,000 printed issues distributed in
suburban areas
MOZAMBIQUE
Data Type 2010 (Estimate)
Population 22.06 million
Literacy rate 47.8%
Per capita GDP US $1,000
Urban/rural population 37%/63%
Official languagePortuguese 6.5% (official; spoken by 27% of population as a second language)
Internet penetration 615,000*
Country Facts and Figures
Sources: World Bank Development Indicators and other World Bank statistics, UN Population Information Network, Budde Communications Inc.
• One of the most impoverished countries in the world• Ranked 172 out of 182 countries on the UNDP Index
• Media market is in an early phase of development
• 45.5 percent of the families had a radio • 6.3 percent had a television set
45.50%
6.30%
Radio Owners
TV Owners
The government website Observatorio (2003) offers the following figures:
Radio and TV Penetration In Households
Mozambique’s print media must be regarded as the purview of an elite minority as a result of the country’s high rate of illiteracy.
Print Media: An Elite Medium
# of Publications: 15,000
Mozambican Newspapers: Top Weeklies
Newspapers Weekly Circulation
• Currently 10 to 15 newssheets• Email and fax-papers have 400 dedicated subscribers
# of Publications: 13,000 # of Publications: 5,000
# of Publications: 20,000# of Publications: 12,000
One of the main challenges facing the private media sector in Mozambique is the limited ability of the press to attract advertising revenues and remain economically viable.
Challenges in the Advertisement Market
The organization focuses on re-orienting toward the defense of the legal and labor rights of its members.
Member of the MISA Southern Africa network aimed at promoting and defending freedom of expression and speech.
The Southern African Media Development Fund (SAMDEF) has contributed to the development of the press to launch its daily O Pais.
Media Support
Donor Support
Organizations Supporting Mozambique Media Development
VIETNAM
Data Type 2010 (Estimate)
Population 88 million
Literacy rate 96.8%
Per capita GDP $1,156
Urban/rural population Urban: 26% Rural: 74%
Official language Vietnamese
Internet penetration 29%
Country Facts and Figures
Sources: World Bank Development Indicators and other World Bank statistics, UN Population Information Network, Budde Communications Inc.
• One of the most impoverished countries in the world• Ranked 172 out of 182 countries on the UNDP Index
• Media market is in an early phase of development
Vietnam’s newspaper sector is fully state-owned and exhibits a clearly defined “two tier” system.
1. Acts as a propaganda machine for the state, and in return, news papers receive heavy subsidies.
2. A smaller elite of newspapers are granted financial independence to reduce budgetary burden.
# of Issues: 400,000
Vietnam Newspapers: Top Dailies
Newspapers Daily Circulation
• Read most regularly by young urbanites:• with secondary education• who earn between US$299 and $699 per month
# of Issues: 400,000 # of Issues: 380,000
# of Issues: 180,000# of Issues: 250,000
Vietnam’s Newspaper Market
Sources: Publisher and interviewee estimates, Google Analytics
Print Daily Circulation
Tuoi Tre (Young People) 400,000
Cong An Thanh Pho Ho Chi Minh (HCMC Police) 400,000
An Ninh The Gioi (World Peace) 380,000
Thanh Nien (Youth) 250,000
Nhan Dan (The People) 180,000
Phu Nu Thanh Pho Ho Chi Minh (HCMC Women) 1,000
Saigon Gai Phon (Saigon Liberation) 80,000
Tien Phong (Vanguard) 70,000
Lao Dong (Labor) 60,000
Nguoi Lao Dong (Laborer) 60,000
ALTERNATE SLIDE
Vietnam Newspapers: Top Dailies
• Vietnam has 178 newspapers• 76 newspapers are national• 102 newspapers are local
Three Critical Elements of the Mozambican Media
Newspapers Television Magazines Radio Online Advertising$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700$601.0
$83.0$49.0
$2.0 $15.0
Vietnam's Advertising Sector (2009)
Vietnam's Advertising Sec-tor (2009)
• Estimated at US $736 million
Vietnam Media: Foreign Development Assistance• Vietnamese government fears that significant donor assistance will impact the state’s
ability to control its media.
For More Information:
The World Association of Newspapers and News Publishers (WAN-IFRA)
http://www.wan-ifra.org
Anne Nelson on media:PBS [email protected]: @anelsona