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MARKETING AS AN EVOLVING DISCIPLINE Emerging paradigms and managerial implications
Joelle BARTHEL Jean-Pierre BAEYENS
24.01.2015
International Marketing Trends Conference - Paris 2015
!
THE EVOLUTION OF THE MARKETING CONCEPTS
Keith!
Bartels!
Wilkie & Moore!
Vargo & Lusch!
Kotler!
Before! 1900! 1910! 1920! 1930! 1940! 1950! 1960! 1970! 1980! 1990! 2000! Today!Future!Authors!
Product Oriented! Sales Oriented!
Marketing Oriented!
Marketing Control!
Discovery! Conceptualisation!
Integration! Development ! Reappraisal !Reconceptualisation ! Differentiation ! Socialisation !
Pre - Marketing!
Founding the field!
Formalising the field!
A paradigm shift! A Fragmentation of Mainstream!
Marketing as a social and economic process!Marketing management!Formative marketing!(Neo)Classical
Economics!
Production! Product! Sales! Marketing! Societal! Holistic!
Review of literature Trend analysis Delphi study Results
Marketing to manage the environmental imperative ?!
Sustainability Marketing ?!Marketing 3.0 ?!
Various marketing periodization schemes have been established over the last decades in order to conceptualize the evolution of the discipline.
!
THE OBJECTIVES
Review of literature Trend analysis Delphi study Results
This paper aims to define how the upcoming years will shape the marketing discipline by - Analysing emerging macro environmental and consumer trends - See how these evolutions could impact the marketing discipline - Merge the key insights into four main streams to provide managerial
recommendations for marketers
!“Every discipline needs to be reexamined in its fundamentals, given the huge impact of 21st century globalization and technology on our global market, economy and society.(…)”
“(…) I hope that all marketers taste this rich souffle of new ideas and add their own contributions.” - Philip Kotler
!
A TWO-STEP METHODOLOGY
Review of literature Trend analysis Delphi study Results
CONSUMER & MACRO TREND ANALYSIS
(HOW ARE THE CONSUMERS AND THE
ENVIRONMENT CHANGING ? )
DELPHI ANALYSIS TO GATHER EXPERTS OPINION
(HOW DO THESE CHANGES IMPACT THE
MARKETING DISCIPLINE ? )
!
THE TREND PYRAMID
Review of literature Trend analysis Delphi study Results
THE EVOLUTION OF TRENDSPOTTING
1930 1980 Today
!
THE TREND PYRAMID
Review of literature Trend analysis Delphi study Results
SELF FOCUSED SUSTAINABLE CONSCIOUS EFFICIENCY SEEKING FRUGALITY WELLBEING & BALANCE INDEPENDENCE MORE POWER
SPIRITUAL
EMOTIONAL
SOCIAL
MACROENVIRONMENTAL
Marketing 3.0 -“From Products to Customers to the Human Spirit” !
!
THE TREND PYRAMID
Review of literature Trend analysis Delphi study Results
Self-focused Sustainable conscious
Efficiency seeking
Restraint budget
Wellbeing and balance
Highly independent
More powerful
THE NEW CONSUMER
!
THE DELPHI STUDY
Review of literature Delphi study Results Trend analysis
• 7 Experts!• Phone or face-to-face interviews!• Two rounds!!
• Collect the opinion of experts having already several years of experience and knowledge in the field. !
• Valid instrument for qualitative forecasting in the medium term.!
The Delphi method!
The process!
The first round !- BRAINSTORMING!!• What does the marketing of the future
look like? !• Opinions / comments on the trend
pyramid!• How these consumer trends will
influence the marketing discipline in the medium term?!
FIRST ROUND
!
THE DELPHI STUDY
Review of literature Delphi study Results Trend analysis
Concepts agreed upon:!!• A demassification of marketing ! A myriad of communities will lead to the emergence of micro niches serving different consumer tribes.!• A more customised marketing! Big Data makes it possible to be extremely consumer centric.!• Marketing for selfies! Considers the fact that consumers become increasingly individual and self-focused.!• Less loyal consumers! This is likely to be induced through a limited purchasing power, instant satisfaction as well as the ease to use a priory unknown product.!• A higher specialisation in diverse areas! The next generation of marketers will further need to diverge into different fields of specialization.!!Concepts which should be specified according to different regions or consumer groups.:!!• Sustainability marketing ! Likely to be only valued by a western elite as it widely remains a luxury problem!• The effect of spending restraint on marketing! Consumers buy less and companies limit their budgets. (emerging versus developed economies) !
SECOND ROUND
!
SO WHAT?
Sustainable conscious Efficiency seeking Restraint budget Wellbeing and
balance
Highly independent
A more customised marketing
Marketing for selfies
A higher specialisation in diverse areas
1. 2. 3. 4. Trends as an imperative
Conscious marketing
Personalized user experience
Humanizing the digital lifestyle
Review of literature Results Trend analysis Delphi study
!
RECOMMENDATIONS
Review of literature Results Trend analysis Delphi study
Trends tell us about changes in style, behaviour and taste !
From the fashion sector to other consumer sectors!
Ever-faster moving society!
INSPIRE, INVENT, INNOVATE!
“The future trend is that marketing teams are becoming empowered to see themselves as creators.” !
Shorter product life cycles!
Rita J. King!
SPOTTING, UNDERSTANDING AND PRE-EMPTING TRENDS AS AN IMPERATIVE
!
RECOMMENDATIONS
Review of literature Results Trend analysis Delphi study
Spending restraint, resource scarcity, convenience, utility !
CONSCIOUS CONSUMPTION!
CONSCIOUS MARKETING! MARKETING 3.0!
“The way we’re going to reach people is going to help them cut out a whole load of that bombardment from their lives and they’ll only see what they need to see.”!
Eric Pakurar!
“In the future, marketers will probably aspire even greater values, trying to touch consumers’ spirit” - Kotler!
“Utility replaces possession”!
PROMOTING CONSCIOUS CONSUMPTION: IT IS TIME FOR "CONSCIOUS MARKETING" TO ELIMINATE WASTE
!
RECOMMENDATIONS
Review of literature Results Trend analysis Delphi study
“If you don’t have a great customised, personalised user experience at the center of what you do looking forward, you’re going to lose out.”!
The rise of self centeredness and individualism!
The rise of tribes: communities united by common values aims or beliefs!
MARKETING FOR SELFIES!!
A DEMASSIFICATION OF MARKETING!
Andrew Markowitz!
PERSONALIZING AND CUSTOMIZING MARKETING VALUE PROPOSITIONS, ACCESS BY CUSTOMERS AND COMMUNICATION
!
RECOMMENDATIONS
Review of literature Results Trend analysis Delphi study
“Algorithms and experimentation will replace psychology and vision as the heart of marketing”
MICRO RELEVANCE AT A ONE-TO-ONE LEVEL!
Passive digital devices, integrated sensors, artificially enhanced intelligence and connected living places!
CURATION ENVIRONMENT : “Provide the right thing to the right person at the right time”!
BIG DATA!
J. Walker Smith!
HUMANIZING THE DIGITAL LIFESTYLE AND THE POWER OF DATA
!
CONCLUSION
Review of literature Results Trend analysis Delphi study
• Vast scope of the topic • Delphi Study: Limited expertise and
opinions originating from geographical diversity
• Further strategic or operational
insights could add useful value for deeper practical application
• Helicopter view on the topic in order to create the playing field for further studies
• Solid insights about leading
trends, challenges and opportunities
!