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8th Session of Group of Experts on Eurasian transport links UNECE Work Group on transport trends and economy
Geneva September 9, 2013
«Transsib: current situation and new business perspectives in Europe – Asian traffic»
Dynamic of transit container transportation volumes on TSR
(2)
1999-2012
«Transsib: current situation and new business perspectives in Europe – Asian traffic»
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
В межд. cообщ.
International
71 505 127 961 150 370 205 893 306 894 398 216 392 750 351 695 620 831 604 710 267 062 442 862 553 215 638 216
В.т.ч. Транзит
Incl. transit
34 623 55 351 67 297 70 568 117 136 155 381 124 960 39 880 38 043 29 028 18 058 32 407 45 608 102 094
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Volumes of international large-tonnage container transports on the TSR
The total volume of international container transportation on the Trans-Siberian mainline in 1H 2012 was 303 426TEUs
The total volume of international container transportation on the Trans-Siberian mainline in 1H 2013 was 343 145 TEUs, which is 13,1% more than in 1H 2012.
1H 2012 1H 2013
(3)
Export
130 976
Transit
55 753
Import
156 416
3,32% +27,02%
+4,17%
Export
126 767
Transit
53 519
Import
123 140
«Transsib: current situation and new business perspectives in Europe – Asian traffic»
2012 638,2 thsd TEU
2020 941.6 thsd TEU
TRANSSIB: Europe - Asia
Forecast of cargo transportation volumes via the TSR by 2020
(4)
«Transsib: current situation and new business perspectives in Europe – Asian traffic»
(5)
Potential of transit transportation from China via TSR
«Transsib: current situation and new business perspectives in Europe – Asian traffic»
Potential of transit transportation, Western China – Europe, thsd. TEU
3. Guizhou province
1. Chongqing district
6. Urumchi district
2. Xi'an district
4. Baotou district
5. Lanzhou district
Big city Big port Railway Lake
Provinces of dev-t. programme
Current volume
Optimization potential
Potential till 2015
Potential till 2020
Sea transit
Transsib
TRACECA
Chongqing-Duisburg
Transsib-Europe 12 900 km 32 days
Transit through countries of Customs Union (Chongqing-Duisburg) 10 300 km 20-21 days
Sea transit 20 000 km 45-50 days
Kazakhstan is planning to build 2 000 km of railways to join TRACECA
TRACECA (till Chongqing) 8 200 km 20 days
Central and north-western provinces of
China are developing at the fastest pace
This regions geographically gravitate
toward railway transit route
Volumes of container cargo transportation between Russia and Asia-Pacific (2011, 2012)
(6)
«Transsib: current situation and new business perspectives in Europe – Asian traffic»
297 765
36 801
71 244
346 238
42 301
103 252
0
50 000
100 000
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
Russia - China Russia - Japan Russia - Republic of Korea
(+14%)
(+13%)
(+31%)
2011 2012
Volumes of container cargo transportation between Russia and Asia-Pacific (1H 2012, 2013)
(7)
«Transsib: current situation and new business perspectives in Europe – Asian traffic»
179 544
21 007
76 297
193 968
30 298
95 842
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
180 000
200 000
1H 2012 1 H 2013
Russia - China Russia - Japan Russia - Republic of Korea
(+8%)
(+44%)
(+26%)
(8)
«Transsib: current situation and new business perspectives in Europe – Asian traffic»
4,4
2,4
9,5
8,1
3,2
2,0
4,6
6,0
2,6
1,2
3,83,3
World OECD countries China India
2010-2015
2015-2030
2030-2050
OECD forecast of world GDP growth rate (% per year)
(9)
TARGET PRIORITIES OF MODERN TRANSPORT PRODUCT
TARGET PRIORITIES OF MODERN TRANSPORT PRODUCT
Service regularity
Perfection of normative legal base
Introduction of new technology
New infrastructure opportunities
Stable and competitive tariff
(10) Source: RZD Logistics
Nakhodka
Brest
Yingkou
Leipzig Wroclaw
Galanta
Zabaikalsk
Shenyang
Chungking
Duisburg
YuXinOu
Transit time 12-17 days
Transport products on TSR: China-Europe
Regular service: Chongqing-Duisburg
(11) Source: TransContainer
Transport products on TSR: China-Europe
Service: Neutraubling (Germany) - Shenyang (China)
Distance – 11 000 km Transit time – 18 days
Shenyang (China)
Leipzig (Germany) Brest
Dobra
GROSSBEEREN (collecting a train)
MALASZEWICZE( CIM to SMGS conversion)
BREST (handling 1435 to 1520)
AKTOBE
ALMATY
URUMCHI
ALASHANKOU (1520 to 1435 handling) SMGS to nat.invoice convertion
CHENGDU
KHORGOS
MALASZEWICZE (handling 1435 to 1520) CIM to SMGS conversion
BREST
AKTOBE (collecting a train)
ALMATY
URUMCHI
DOSTYK
(handling 1435 to 1520)
KHORGOS
GROSSBEEREN
ALASHANKOU (nat.invoice to SMGS conversion)
CHENGDU
(12)
Source: InterRail Holding AG
Transport products on TSR: China-Europe
Regular service: Chengdu - Lodz - Grossbeeren
Wuhan 24.10.12
Dostyk 30.10.12
Krasnoe 06.11.12
Iletsk 1 03.11.12
Melnik 09.11.12
Astana 01.11.12
Aktobe 03.11.12
Dostyk 30.10.12
Krasnoe 06.11.12
Iletsk 1 03.11.12
Melnik/Pardubice 09.11.12
Brest 07.11.12
Astana 01.11.12
Aktobe 03.11.12
Involved territories: China (1435mm), Kazakhstan (1520mm), Russia (1520mm), Belarus (1520mm), Poland (1435mm), Czech Republic (1435mm)
Reloading stations: Alashankou/Dostyk, Brest/Malaszewicze
Distance: 10569 km
Transit time: 16 days
Average speed: 660 km/day
Cargo: Computer spare parts
Containers: 50x40”
(13)
Source: InterRail Holding AG
Transport products on TSR: China-Europe
Service: Wuhan - Pardubice
Slawkow Poland
Train dissolution point Bryansk (Russia)
Destination terminals
Rotterdam
Busto
Antwerp
Poznan Warszawa
Duisburg DIT
Schwarzheide
Perpignan
Singen
Ludwigshafen
Setúbal
Lisbon
Leixoes
Sevilla
Madrid
Krems Budapest
Wien
Pomezia
Marcianise
Bari
Fiorenzuola Bologna
Barcellona
Pitesti
Curtici La Coruna
Москва Россия
Роттердам (терминал RSC) – Москва (терминал Экодор) 10 дней
Rotterdam (terminalRSC) – Moscow (terminal Ecodor) 10 days
Славков Польша
Пункт расформирования поезда
Брянск (Россия)
Терминалы назначения
Moscow Russia
Роттердам
(14) Source: HUPAC Intermodal, Russkaya Troyka
Transport products on TSR: Europe-Russia
(15)
BALTIC TRANSIT
FIT
4 414 7029
10147
21933
15522 14776
20189
15604
12932
Transport products on TSR: Europe – Central Asia – Afghanistan
TSR: a global view
(16)
«Transsib: current situation and new business perspectives in Europe – Asian traffic»
