26
H14: There are no taxes of transaction cost in perfect capital markets, so the total cash flows are not affected by how the firm finances them. Therefore, the law of one pirce implies that the choice of debt of equity financing will NOT affect the total value of the firm, its share price, or its cost of capital. Capital structure the relative proportions of debt, equity and other securities that a firm had outstanding. Rf= 5%, Rp = 10% Cost of capital = 15% (with perfect capital markets) Equity in a firm with no debt is called UNLEVERED EQUITY Equity in a firm with debt is called LEVERED EQUITY If the project’s cash flows are always enough to repay the debt, the debt is risk free. Payments to debt holders must be made before any payments are distributed to the equity holders. M&M the total value of the firm does not depend on its capital structure in perfect markets. Because CF of debt and equity sum up to CF of the project, meaning the firm is indifferent between the two choices of capital structure. PV = expected cash flow (to equity) / Cost of capital. ½*(875)+ ½*(375)/1.15 Leverage increases the risk of equity even when there is no risk that the firm will default. Thus, while debt may be cheaper when considered on its own, it raises the cost of capital for equity. Cost of capital unlevered = 15%. Cost of debt = 5% Cost of equity = 25% combined also cost of capital of 15%, so the same as the unlevered firm.

Samenvatting CF

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Dutch Summary of corporate finance

Citation preview

Page 1: Samenvatting CF

H14:

There are no taxes of transaction cost in perfect capital markets, so the total cash flows are not affected by how the firm finances them. Therefore, the law of one pirce implies that the choice of debt of equity financing will NOT affect the total value of the firm, its share price, or its cost of capital.

Capital structure the relative proportions of debt, equity and other securities that a firm had outstanding.

Rf= 5%, Rp = 10% Cost of capital = 15% (with perfect capital markets)

Equity in a firm with no debt is called UNLEVERED EQUITYEquity in a firm with debt is called LEVERED EQUITYIf the project’s cash flows are always enough to repay the debt, the debt is risk free.

Payments to debt holders must be made before any payments are distributed to the equity holders.

M&M the total value of the firm does not depend on its capital structure in perfect markets. Because CF of debt and equity sum up to CF of the project, meaning the firm is indifferent between the two choices of capital structure.

PV = expected cash flow (to equity) / Cost of capital. ½*(875)+ ½*(375)/1.15

Leverage increases the risk of equity even when there is no risk that the firm will default. Thus, while debt may be cheaper when considered on its own, it raises the cost of capital for equity.

Cost of capital unlevered = 15%. Cost of debt = 5% Cost of equity = 25% combined also cost of capital of 15%, so the same as the unlevered firm.

In capital markets leverage changes the allocation of cash flows between debt and equity, without altering the total cash flows of the firm.

MM set of conditions referred to as perfect capital markets:- Investors and firms van trade the same set of securities at c- ompetitive market prices equal to the PV of their future cash flows.- There are no taxes, transaction cost, or issuance cost associated with

security trading-- A firm’s financing decision do not change the CF generated by its

investment, nor they reveal new information about them.

Page 2: Samenvatting CF

MM prop 1 in a perfect capital market, the total value of a firm is equal to the market value of total CF generated by its assets and is not affected by its choice of capital structure. Value all securities equal the value of the assets of the firm.

When investors leverage in their own portfolio to adjust the leverage choice made by the firm HOMEMADE LEVERAGE (perfect substitute for the use of leverage if they can lend or borrow at the same rates as firm)

Investor can replicate the payoffs of unlevered equity by buying both the debt and equity of the firm. (Identical CF as the unlevered firm)

When a firm repurchases a significant percentage of its outstanding shares with debt, the transaction is called LEVERAGE RECAPITILIZATION. Number of shares outstanding decrease, value per share remains the same.

Market value balance sheets All assets and liabilities, such as reputation, brand name etc. All values are current market values rather than historical cost.

MM prop 1 E+D=U=A the total market value of the firm’s securities is equal to the market value of its assets, whether the firm is unlevered of levered.

EE+D

ℜ + DE+D

Rd=Ru=Rwacc=Ra(1) perfect capital market

ℜ=Ru+DE

(Ru−Rd ) (2) The effect of leverage on the return of the levered

equity. The levered equity return equals the unlevered equity return, plus an extra kick due to leverage

MM prop 2 The cost of capital of levered equity increases with the firm’s market value debt-equity ratio.

Firm’s wacc is independent of its capital structure and is equal to its equity cost of capital is it is unlevered, which matches the cost of its assets.

Page 3: Samenvatting CF

Enterprise value is calculated by discounting CF using the wacc. Although debt has a lower cost of capital than equity, leverage does not lower a firm’s wacc. As a result, the value of the firm’s free cash flow using the wacc does not change, and so the enterprise value of the firms does not depend on its financing choices.

Cost of debt lower shouldn’t firms take as much debt? But debt increases risk of equity. Therefore, equity holders demand a higher risk premium and a higher expected return. The increase in cost of equity offsets the benefit of a greater reliance on the cheaper debt capital, so that the overall cost of capital remains the same.

βu= EE+D

βe+ EE+D

βd

Unlevered beta measures market risk of the firm underlying assets, and thus can be used to assets the cost of capital for comparable investments.

When a firm changes its capital structure, the equity beta will change to reflect the effect of the capital structure on its risk.

βe=βu+ DE

(βu−βd )

Debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.10 means that debt is 0.1 and equity is 1

Enterprise value = - cash (negative debt). Net debt = Debt less its holdings of excess cash or short-term investments.

Market capitalization of 114.8$, debt of 10.3$, cash and short-term investments 33,6$ Net debt (D) = 23.3$ and EV (E+D) = 91.5$

Expected EPS increases with leverage. (not in line with MM prop 1). But while EPS increases, volatility of share also increase due the leverage effect

Page 4: Samenvatting CF

shareholders will demand a higher return. Effects cancel out and price per share is unchanged.

Dilution issuing new equity, so the CF generated by the firm must be divided among a larger number of shares. As long as shares are sold to investors at a fair price, there is no cost of dilution associated with issuing equity. While the number of shares increases when equity is issued, the firm’s assets also increase because of cash raised, and the per-share value of equity remains unchanged.

Conclusion: With perfect capital markets, financial transactions neither add nor destroy value (zero NPV), but instead represent a repackaging of risk (and therefor return). Implying that any financial transaction that appears to be to a good deal in terms of adding value either is too good to be true of is exploiting some type of market imperfection.

Any leverage increase cost of equity. Especially risk-free debt because it doesn’t share any riskH15:

With capital markets the law of one price implies that all financial transactions have an NPV of zero and neither create or destroy value.

Firms pay taxes on their profits after interest payments are reduced; interest expenses reduce the amount of corporate tax firms must pay. This creates an incentive to use debt.

The use of debt decreases net income (income available to equity holders) but increases the total amount to all investors by the interest paid on debt (interest paid to debt holders).

The gain to investors from tax deductibility of interest payments is referred as the interest tax shield. The interest ax shield is the additional amount that a firm would have paid in taxes id it did not have leverage.

Interest tax shield = Corporate Tax Rate * Interest Payments.

V L=V U+PV (interest tax shield )

PV (Interest tax shield )=τC* D (1) or V L−V U (2)

(1) if marginal tax rate is constant and no personal taxes

With tax-deductible interest, the effective after-tax borrowing rate is r (1−τ )

rwacc= EE+D

ℜ+ DE+D

rD (1−τ ) This wacc represents the effective cost of capital

to the firm, after including the benefits of the interest tax shield. It is therefore lower than the pretax WACC.

Page 5: Samenvatting CF

The after-tax WACC declines with leverage as the interest tax shield grows.

In case of a share repurchase by increasing leverage, share prices would rise immediately due to the value creation of the increase in leverage.

When securities are fairly priced, the original shareholders of a firm capture the full benefit of the interest tax shield from an increase in leverage.

Initial only E=300. Step1: announce 100 D 35 tax benefit E=335 (share price rise) Step 2: Official debt issuance and repurchase shares. Number of shares declines, price remains at price of Step 1. So share price rise at the moment of the announcement due to the present value of the (anticipated) interest tax shield. Thus, even leverage reduces total value of equity; shareholders capture the benefits of the interest tax shield upfront.

Individual taxes interest payments of debt are taxed as income. Equity investors must pay taxes on dividends and capital gains.

Equity holders receive less after taxes (with personal) than debt holders

Even after adjusting for personal taxes, the value of a firm with leverage exceeds the value of an unlevered firm, and there is a tax advantage to using debt financing.

1975-2008 US most firms have raised external capital by issuing debt. These funds have been used to retire equity and fund investment.

No corporate tax benefit arises from incurring interest payments that exceed EBIT. Investors will pay higher personal taxes with excess of leverage. Optimal level of leverage from a tax saving perspective is the level such that interest equals EBIT. Be careful with growing firms, then its better to have Rd * D < EBIT

Page 6: Samenvatting CF

The optimal proportion of debt in the firms capital structure (D/E+D) will be lower, the higher the firm’s growth rate.

Usually firms do not fully exploit the tax advantage of debt because of bankruptcy cost.

H16:

Firms such as airlines whose future cash flows are unstable and highly sensitive to shocks in the economy run the risk of bankruptcy if they use too much leverage. The cost of bankruptcy may at least partially offset the benefits of the interest tax shield

When a firm has trouble meeting its debt obligations the firm is in financial distress.

After a firm defaults, debt holders are given certain rights to the assets of the firm. In the extreme case, the debt holder takes legal ownership of the firm’s assets through a process called bankruptcy.

Whether a firm defaults depends on the relative value of the firm’s assets and liabilities, not on the cash flows. There are many firms experience years of negative cash flows yet remain solvent.

Economics distress causes a significant decline in the value of assets. In the case of success or failure. Investors have the same outcome if firm is levered or not. In both cases they are equally unhappy economics distress

With perfect capital markets, the risk of bankruptcy is not a disadvantage of debt. Bankruptcy simply shifts the ownership of the firm from equity holders to debt holders without changing the total value available to all investors.

In the case of bankruptcy the creditors usually get the chance to come up with a reorganization plan, else the firm is liquidated.

Lehman brothers is expected to entail bankruptcy fees of over 900$ million.

Firms that are in financial distress can avoid filling bankruptcy by first negotiating directly with creditors. If the reorganization succeed it is called a workout.

Indirect cost of financial distress- Loss of customers. Be unwilling to purchase products whose value

depends on future support or service from the firm- Loss of suppliers. Suppliers may be unwilling to provide a firm with

inventory if they fear they will not be paid. - Loss of employees. Difficult because cannot offer long-term job contracts.- Loss of receivables. Firms tend to have difficulty collecting money that is

owed to them.

Page 7: Samenvatting CF

- Fire sale of assets. In an effort to avoid bankruptcy companies in distress may attempt to sell assets quickly to raise cash. (For a lower price)

- Inefficient liquidation. Management can make negative NPV investments.

Bankruptcy is choice the firm’s investors and creditors make. The direct and indirect cost should not exceed the cost of renegotiating with the firms creditors.

When securities are fairly priced, the original shareholder of a firm pay the present value of the cost associated with bankruptcy and financial distress.

The trade-off theory weighs the benefits of debt that result from shielding cash flows from taxes against the cost of financial distress associated with leverage.

V L=V U+PV (∫ tax shield )−PV ( finandistresscosts )

3 keyfactors determine the PV of financial distress cost1) The probability of financial distress (50%)2) The magnitude of the costs if the firm is in distress (20$)3) The appropriate discount rate of the distress costs (5%)

1 Depends on the likelihood that a firm will be unable to meet its debt commitments and therefore default. Increases with the amount of liabilities. And volatility of cash flows and asset values2 Real estate firms are likely to have lower costs of financial distress, because a greater portion of their value derives from assets that can be sold relatively easily. Technology firms higher FD costs. Due to the potential for loss of customers, as well as the lack of tangible assets that van be easily liquidated.3 Depends on the firm market risk. The present value of distress costs will be higher for high beta firms.

Agency costs are costs that arise when there are conflicts of interest between stakeholders. Managers will generally make decisions that increase the value of the firm’s equity. When a firm uses leverage, a conflict of interest exists if investment decisions have different consequences for the value of equity and debt. Such a conflict is most likely to occur when the risk of financial distress is high.

For example: take actions that benefit shareholders but harm the firm’s creditors and lower the total value of the firm.

Excessive risk taking in order to better serve its shareholders. When a firm faces financial distress, shareholders can gain from decisions that increase the risk of the firm sufficiently, even if they have a negative NPV.

Asset substitution problem. The incentive of managers to replace low-risk assets with riskier ones. Can lead to overinvestment.

Page 8: Samenvatting CF

Anticipating this bad behavior, security holders will pay less for the firm initially. This cost is likely to be highest for firms that can easily increase the risk of their investments.

Debt overhang or underinvestment problems occur when shareholders prefer not to invest in a positive NPV project. Because the largest part of the return goes to the debt holders. The cost is highest for firms thar are likely to have profitable future growth opportunities requiring large investments.

Difference in debt overhang and excessive risk-taking is that with excessive risk-taking the NPV is negative. And with debt overhang the NPV is positive.

Cashing out. When a firm faces financial distress shareholders have incentive to sell equipment. Although this is negative for the firm value, the proceeds can be used as dividends for shareholders.

When is there a sufficient debt overhang problem?

NPVI

> βdDβeE

I = amount of investment

If D=0 or debt is risk free Beta = 0 then NPV > 0

Equity holders bear these agency cost. Although equity holders may benefit at debt holders’ expense from these negative NPV decisions. Debt holders recognize this possibility and pay less for the debt when it is first issued, reducing the amount the firm can distribute to shareholders.

Magnitude of agency costs likely depends on the maturity of debt. With long-term debt, equity holders have more opportunities to profit at the debt holders’ expense

Debt covenants covenants may limit the firm’s ability to pay large dividends or restrict the types of investments that the firm can take. Limit firm to pay large dividends. Are designed to prevent management exploiting debt holders.

Debt holders benefit because management do not exploit them, which is best for firm value. Shareholders benefit from this, because debt holders know that they will act in best interest of the firm, so pay more when debt is issued.

Management entrenchment facing little threat of being fired and replaced, managers are free to run the firm in their own best interest. As a result managers can make decisions, which benefit themselves, but harm shareholders. Leverage Is reducing this entrenchment.

Page 9: Samenvatting CF

Advantage of using leverage is the concentration of ownership. If manager is major shareholder, they will have strong incentives in doing what is best for the firm, and do not overspend on luxury (agency cost)

Empire building managers want to run larger firms, therefore the sometimes make negative NPV investments

When cash is tight, managers are motivated to run the firm as efficiently as possible. Leverage increases firm value, cause firm need to pay interest, thereby reducing excess cash flows.

Level debt to low- Lost of tax benefits- Excessive perks- Wasteful investments- Empire building-

Level debt to high- Excess interest payments- Financial distress cost- Excessive risk taking- Under-investment/ debt overhang

R&D intensive firms and future growth: Low current cash flows, so need little debt for tax shield, large human capital large cost of financial distress. Agency costs of debt are also high often needed to raise additional capital to fund new investments. So often maintain less than 10% leverage.

Low-growth, mature firms: Stable cash flows, few good investment opportunities. Tax shield. Many tangible assets, assets can be liquidated vast, so low financial distress. Often maintain greater than 20% leverage

Management entrenchment theory: capital structure is chosen by managers to avoid the discipline of debt and maintain their own entrenchment. Usually under optimal debt level and increase in response to a takeover threat or shareholders activism.

The use of leverage as a way to signal good information to investors is known as the signaling theory of debt.

Adverse selection lees to Lemon principle: When a seller has private information about the value of a good, buyers will discount the price they are willing to pay due to adverse selection.

When a firm want to sell you equity, may lead you to question how good the investment opportunity really is. Based on the lemon principle, you therefore reduce the price you are willing to pay.

Page 10: Samenvatting CF

Lemon principle implies that the stock price declines on the announcement of an equity issue; it signals to investors that its equity may be overpriced. As a result, investors are willing to pay less for the equity and the stock price declines.

Other view is that the stock price rises prior to the announcement, because management wait for issuing new equity after any positive news comes out.

Or firms tend to issue equity when information asymmetries are minimized, such as immediately after earnings announcements.

Pecking order of financing. Managers who perceive the firm’s equity is underpriced will have a preference to fund investment using retained earnings, or debt, rather than equity.

When agencies cost are significant, short-term debt may be the most attractive form of external financing.

16.9 BLZ 531

H 17:

Young rapidly growing firms reinvest 100% of their cash flows. But mature, profitable firms often find they generate more cash they need to fund all of their activities. It can hold cash reserves or pay the cash out to shareholders via dividends or share repurchase.

Declaration date is when board authorize dividend. The firm is then obligated to make the payment. Record date shareholders recorded by this day receive dividend. Payable date if dividend is paid.

Ex dividend date is the last day to buy shares to receive dividend (3 days).

Share repurchase when firms use cash to buy its own outstanding stock. They can be resold in the future if the company needs to raise money.

Open market repurchase Most common way. Firm buys back stock in the open market. May take a year and is not obligated to repurchase the full amount.

Tender offer Shorter period (20 days). Usually a 10% - 20% premium. Depends if shareholders tender enough shares, the firm may cancel the offer and no buyback occurs.

Dutch auction List different prices at which it is prepared to buy shares, shareholder in turn indicates how many shares they want to sell for each price. Then firm buys shares for lowest price.

Page 11: Samenvatting CF

Targeted repurchase Firm buys back shares directly from a major shareholder. Price is negotiated directly with the seller. When a major shareholder desires to sell a large number of shares, but the market is not sufficiently liquid to sustain such a large sale without severely affecting the price. Willing to sell shares back to firm for a discount.

With M&M does not matter if the firm goes for an share repurchase of dividend payout.

Just before the dividend date, the stock is said to trade cum-dividend because anyone who buys the stock will be entitled to the dividend.

Pcum=Current Dividend+PV (Future Dividend )=2+ 4.800.12

=2+40=42

After stock goes ex-dividend. 4.800.12

=40

In a perfect capital market, when a dividend is paid, the share price drops with the amount of the current dividend. (2)

In perfect capital markets, an open market share repurchase had no effect on the stock price, and the stock price is the same as the cum-dividend price if a dividend were paid instead.

In perfect capital markets, investors are indifferent between dividends or repurchase. By reinvesting dividends or selling shares, they can replicate either payout method on their own (homemade dividend).

Other possibility is to issue equity to finance a larger dividend. This option has also no effect on the share price.

A firm choice of dividend today affect the dividend it can afford to pay in the future in an offsetting fashion. Thus, while dividends do determine share prices, a firm’s choice of dividend policy does not.

With perfect capital markets, once after a firm has taken all positive NPV investments, it is indifferent between saving excess cash and paying it out. But with market imperfections, there is a trade-off: Retaining cash can reduce the costs of raising capital in the future, but it can also increase taxes and agency costs.

Corporate taxes make it costly for a firm to retain excess cash. And cash is negative leverage, so the tax advantage of leverage implies a tax disadvantage to holding cash. Some firms hold large cash balances to cover potential future cash shortfalls.

Dividend smoothing is the practice of maintaining relatively constant dividends,

Page 12: Samenvatting CF

Firms raise their dividends only when they perceive a long-term sustainable increase in the expected level of future earnings( it sends a positive signal to their investors), and cut them only as a last resort ( bad signal about future earnings). This is called Dividend signaling hypothesis.

Dividend payouts give the same signal as using debt. Only dividends cuts are bad for the reputation of the manager. Not harmful as not fulfilling debt payments.

In general, we must interpret dividends as a signal in the context of the type of new information managers are likely to have.

Share repurchases may be less of a signal than dividends about future earnings. Because firms do not have the obligation to fulfill the complete repurchase. Also, it may take several years to complete the repurchase.

It also depends if the shares are over- or undervalued in the opinion of the managers. If they act in the best way for shareholder value, they only will choose to repurchase if they think the shares are undervalued. In this way, share repurchase could be a signal.

Considering taxes as the only market imperfection, when the tax rate on dividends exceeds the tax rate on capital gains, the optimal dividend policy is for firms to pay no dividends, firms should use share repurchases for all payouts.

Corporate taxes make it costly for a firm to retain excess sash. Even after adjusting for investor taxes. Retaining excess cash brings a substantial tax disadvantage for a firm.

With a stock dividend, shareholders receive either additional shares of stock of the firm itself (stock split) or shares of a subsidiary (spin-off). The stock price generally falls proportionally with the size of the split.

H 23:

Angel investors Individual investors who buy equity in small private firms. Usually friends or relatives. Beside the funds, they can also bring in expertise.

Venture capital firms limited partner ship that specializes in raising money to invest in the private equity of young firms. Pension funds are limited partners and the general partners that run the firm are venture capitalist. They charge management fee of about 1.5%-2.5% and 20-30% of the acquired returns (carried interest).

Venture capitalist can provide substantial capital for your companies. In return they often demand a great deal of control. They use this control to protect their investments.

Page 13: Samenvatting CF

Private equity firm Organized like VC, but it invest in the equity of existing privately held firms rather than start-up companies. Often they purchase the outstanding equity of a publicly traded firm (leveraged buy out).

In most cases the private equity firms uses debt as well as equity to finance the purchase.

One difference between PE and VC is the magnitude of the investment. Average deal size of PE in 2009 was 2$ billion.

Institutional investors (pension funds) They are major investors in different kinds of assets, they are also active in private companies.

Corporate investors might invest for corporate strategic objectives in addition to the desire investment returns. (Strategic collaboration)

Equity investors in private companies plan to sell their stock eventually through one of the two main exit strategies: an acquisition or a public offering.

Preferred stock Has a preferential dividend and seniority in any liquidation and sometimes special voting rights. Gives the owner the right to convert it in normal stock in the future. Angel investors bought preferred b stocks. VC preffered c and Microsoft as corporate investor (strategic) d stock.

Initial public offering (IPO) selling stock to the public for the first time. Advantages of an IPO are greater liquidity and better access to capital.

Disadvantage is that the equity holders become more dispersed, this lack of ownership concentration undermines investors ability to monitor the company’s management, and investors may discount the price they are willing to pay to reflect the loss of control

Another disadvantage is the regulatory and financial reporting requirements.

Underwriter investment bank that manages the offering and designs its structure.

The shares that are sold in the IPO may either be new shares that raise capital (Primary offering) or existing shares that are sold as part of their exit strategy. (Secondary offering)

Best effort IPO for smaller IPO’s, the underwriter does not guarantees that it will sell all of the stock at the offer price. Tries to sell it for the best price. Either all the shares are sold or the deal is called of.

Firm commitment IPO The underwrite purchases the entire issue ( at a slightly lower price than the offer price) and then resells it at the offer price. The risk is for the underwriter. If shares are not sold, they have to take the loss.

Page 14: Samenvatting CF

Auction IPO Investors place bids over a set of periods. An auction IPO then sets the highest price such that the number of bids at or above that price equals the numbers of offered shares.

Especially the larger offerings are managed by a group of underwriters, the lead underwriter is responsible for managing the deal. Syndicate is the group of other underwriters to help and sell the issue.

Two techniques to value a company are DCF and predict present value of comparable. Often valued through comparable.

Once the initial price is established, the underwriters try to determine what the market thinks of the valuation. They begin by arranging a Road show. The underwriters travel around the world to promote the company and explain the rational for the offer price.

Than investors give their opinion about the offer price, and the underwriter then add up the total demand and adjust the price until is it unlikely that the issue will fail (book building).

Underwriters appear to use the information they acquire during the book-building stage to intentionally underprice the IPO, thereby reducing their exposure to losses.

Greenshoe provision Option to reduce risk for underwriter. Gives them the option to issue more stock (15%). Initially short shell the provision. If issue is success, exercise the option. Not a success buy shares in open market.

4 characteristics of IPO’s- On average, IPOs appear to be underpriced. The price at the end of trading

on the first day is often substantially higher than the IPO price.- The number of issues is highly cyclical: When times are good the market

is flooded with new issues- The cost of IPO’s are very high, and it is unclear why firms willingly incur

them. +-7% of the issue price next to the cost of underpricing. - The long-run performance of an IPO (3-5 years) is poor.

Underwriters underprice the IPO because of their exposure to risk. But next to the underwriters, investors also gain from the underpricing. Pre-IPO holders bear the cost, because they sell their shares for less than they could get in the aftermarket.

Winner’s curse: Even though the average IPO may be profitable, because you receive a higher allocation of the less successful IPO’s, your average return may be much lower.

Therefore the underwriter needs to underprice its issues on average in order for less informed investors to be willing to participate in IPO’s.

Page 15: Samenvatting CF

Seasoned equity offering (SEO) public offers of shares after an IPO.

Cash offer offer new shares to investors at large

Rights offer offer new shares to existing shareholders. (protect existing shareholders from underpricing)

Researchers found that the market greets the news of an SEO with a price decline.

H 28:

There are 2 primary mechanism by which ownership and control of a company can change: Either another corporation or group of individuals can acquire the target firm, or the target firm can merge with another firm.

Mergers are correlated with market expansion and bull markets. They called merger waves

Horizontal merger If the two companies are in the same industry

Vertical merger If the target industry buys or sells to the acquirer’s industry.

Conglomerate merger If the two companies operate in unrelated industries.

Two possible payments for target. Via stocks stock swap. Or via cash

Term sheet Summarize of the structure of the merger transaction. Who will run the new company, the size and composition of the new board, the location of the headquarters

Most acquires pay a acquisition premium, which is the percentage difference between the acquisition price and the premerger price of the target firm.

On average the target share price rise with 15% after the announcement, were the acquires share price rise with 1%.

The acquirer pays a premium for the target, because after the merger it could add value to the firm that an individual investor cannot add. (synergies).

Synergies fall in two categories. Cost reduction and revenue enhancement.

Cost reduction are more common because they generally translate into layoffs of overlapping employees and elimination of redundant resources.

Revenue enhancement is created if the merger creates possibilities to expand into new markets or gain more costumers.

Economies of scale savings from producing goods in high volume

Page 16: Samenvatting CF

Economies of scope savings from combining the marketing and distribution

Disadvantages are the costs associated with size. Large firm react slowly and in a costly way. CEO is not close to the firms operations.

Vertical integration Merger of two companies in the same industry. Enhance revenue if the company has direct control over its inputs. Principal benefit is coordination. Oil companies are often vertical integrated.

Expertise is a reason for a merger, to compete more efficiently.

Acquiring with a major rival enables a firms to substantially reduce competition within the industry and thereby increase profits.

Tax savings. It might appear that a conglomerate has a tax advantage over a single-product firm simply because the losses in one division can be offset by profits in another division.

Diversification Is frequently used as a reason for a conglomerate merger. Direct risk reduction, lower cost of debt, increased debt capacity and liquidity enhancement.

It is cheaper for investors to diversify than to have the corporation do it through a merger. (Negative effect of merger like agency cost and inefficiently capital allocation)

Larger more diversified firms have a lower probability of bankruptcy, therefore they can increase leverage further, enjoy greater tax benefits.

Liquidity provided by acquiring firm, to let shareholder cash out their investment and reinvest in the diversified portfolio of acquire.

A merger can influence the EPS, even when the merger itself creates no economic value.

So risk diversification and earnings growth are not good justifications for a takeover intended to increase shareholder wealth.

Conflict of interest Managers may prefer to run a larger company due to the additional payments and prestige bonus, even if it destroys firm value. Or a CEO could be Overconfidence.

Besides the multiple valuation. Firms make a projection of the expected cash flows that will result from the deal, and valuing those cash flows.

Exchange ratio the number of bidder shares received in exchange for each target share multiplied by the market price of the acquires stock.

Page 17: Samenvatting CF

After the tender offer is announced, there is no guarantee that the takeover will take place at this price. When the board thinks that the offer is to low, they will recommend their shareholders not to tender their shares. In the case they will, regulators might not approve the deal.

Risk arbitrageurs Take position based on their belief about the outcome of the deal. These positions are actually quit risky so they do not represent true arbitrage opportunities. Difference in tax for payout of merger. Cash would be immediate taxed, stock change not until shareholders sells the shares.

Both boards of firms have to approve the mergers. In a friendly takeover both boards support the merger. With a hostile takeover the board of directors fight the takeover attempt. To succeed, the acquirer must garner enough shares to take control and replace the board of directors. In this case, the acquirer is called a raider.

When premium is paid, management of target could refuse the merger when they think the shares of acquirer are overvalued. Or if they think the price is to low. Or in the case of replacement of the management, they want to protect their jobs.

In the case of a hostile takeover, the acquirer will usually use a proxy fight. The acquirer attempts to convince target shareholders to unseat the target board by using their proxy votes to support the acquirers’ candidates for election to the target board.

A Poison pill is a right that gives existing target shareholders the right to buy shares in the target at a deeply discounted price once certain conditions are met. This dilution can make the deal to expensive for the acquirer, so that they have to pass on the deal. Increases bargaining position of target firm

A way to go around the poison pill is to try replacing the whole board, which then can vote against the poison pill.

Staggered board Every board member serves a minimum of three years. So the acquiring company isn’t able to replace the whole board within the next shareholders meeting.

White knight if the hostile bid does not work out, the acquirer searches for a more friendlies company to make a more lucrative offer.

Golden parachute compensation package to the CEO if he arrange that the target company accept the offer and that the managers are let go.

Another defense against a takeover is a recapitalization to make the film less attractive as target. For example issue a lot of debt and pay this out as dividends.

Page 18: Samenvatting CF

The premium that the acquirer pays is approximately equal to the value it adds, which means the target shareholders ultimately capture the value added by the acquirer.

Shares t=0 $45. Could be $75. Firms offer $60 good deal? But after the deal share price rise to $75. So only way to let shareholders tender their shares is to offer $75 removes any profit (free rider problem)

In the case of a LBO. They will buy the shares with debt and put this debt on the balance sheet of the company. In this way it is better to tender you shares, than keep them until the value of the company rises. But you have to pay the shareholders the pre-merger price, because existing shareholders anticipate the share price will be lower once the deal is complete. . In this case all shareholders want to tender and you have to buy all shares

Toehold When an investor has captured 10% of the shares secretly, he has to make this public.