quinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010 - NPESquinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010. Since 2002, however, with agricultural, metal and oil commodities, valorization of the region is growing

quinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010

Brazil, Mexico and Beyond

Opportunities and Challenges

Moderator: Hamilton Terni CostaSpeakers: Mario César de Camargo Luis Reynoso Vilches

Chicago Oct. 4, 2010


LA overview

• Latin America is composed of South and Central America, Mexico and Caribbean

• 20 countries in LA and 13 in Caribbean

• 580 million inhabitants


America: one continent





America: one continent





Economy size by countryGDP share

32%

28%

15%

6%

5%4%

3%7%

Brazil

Argentina

Colombia

Chile

Mexico

Peru

Venezuela

Other

Source: ECLAC 2008


LA economics

The economic history of the region is noted for a sequence of ups and downs (roller coaster), instability and uncertainty.

only 40 year ago we could see a consecutive growth as seem recently

Latin America and Caribbean – GDP per capita

(in %)

source: ECLAC


Since 2002, however, with agricultural, metal and oil commodities, valorization of the region is growing consistently

income per capita is also growing consistently since 1990

LA economics

source: ECLAC


LA economics

• The poverty in the region is gradually shrinking.

(still has 190 million people in powerty)

• The main economies: Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Colombia, Chile and Peru are keeping a sustainable growth with different individual grades.

• Strengthening of the low to middle class

Brazil

Argentina

Chile

Peru

Colombia

Mexico

Venezuela



LA stabilisation

1. Economic policies (independent central banks, goverment expenditures control, inflation target rate, exchange rate floating)

• people and enteprises can plan better

2. Democracy

• weak but consistency


still unequal but getting better


labor productivity gradually going up


0% 13,3% 26,7%

30,8%

30,0%

27,2%

5,0%

3,4%

1,6%

1,2%

0,8%

27,3%

35,1%

22,6%

6,6%

4,3%

1,5%

1,7%

1,1%

Am. Norte

Asia

Europa Oc

Am. Latina

Leste Europeu

Australasia

Oriente Médio

África

2009 - US$ 700 B 2014 - US$ 725 B

World Wide Market for Print

from US$35 Bto

US$ 48 B

Source: Primir WWMP

emerging markets: higher growthquinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010

0 15,00 30,00 45,00 60,00

7,40

8,30

12,30

28,90

33,90

42,50

51,40

51,70

Australasia

. America

West Europe

Asia

Africa

Latin America

Est. Europe

Middle East

Growth forecast by region2009 - 2014

Source: Primir WWMP

LA compoud annual growth rate: 7.3%


Country 2010/20091st. semester 2009

Peru 9% 2%

Argentina 8,5% 1%

Brasil 8% (1.2%)

México 7% (4%)

Chile 5% 0

Colombia 3% 0

Estimates ANconsulting

Printing Industry Performance


Print markets

in US billion dollars

11,0

8,5

2,5

1,5

0,9

0,7

Brazil

Mexico

Argentina

Colombia

Chile

PeruEstimates

ANconsulting


Brazil and Mexico markets

Mario Cesar Martins de Camargo

• Abigraf’s president

• Principal at Gráfica Bandeirantes

Luis Reynoso Vilches

• Principal and Publisher at Bazar Gráfico magazine


Documents

quinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010 - NPESquinta-feira, 7 de outubro de 2010. Since 2002, however, with agricultural, metal and oil commodities, valorization of the region is growing