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1 Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO

Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

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Page 1: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

1

Q3 Report 2007Johan Molin, President & CEO

Page 2: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

2

Financial Highlights Q3Q3 - Solid improvement – Good continued growth in all areas – Raw material compensated & efficiency gains – Earnings improvements in all divisions

Sales 8,274 MSEK +7%+7% organic, +4% acquired growth, -3% currency

EBIT 1,404 MSEK +14%

Cash flow 1,306 MSEK +42%

EPS 2.36 SEK +17%

Page 3: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

3

Financial Highlights Jan-Sep

Sales 24,830 MSEK +8%

+7% organic, +5% acquired growth, -4% currency

EBIT 4,018 MSEK +15%

Cash Flow 3,068 MSEK +31%

EPS 6.72 SEK +15%

Page 4: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

4

2 +23

Portion of Group sales Jan-Sep 2007 %Year-to-date vs previous year %

38 +1247 +9

6 +30

6 +20

1 +24

Group Sales in Local Currencies Jan-Sep 2007

Page 5: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

5

Organic Growth %

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Quarter Rolling 12-months Target

2007: 8% (8%)

Page 6: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

6

Growth Highlights

Good general growth

New markets & regions 11% of total sales in Q4– Baodean & iRevo

Secure issuance growing– Fargo very strong growth

Asian sales companies– Successful launch of European and

American lock series

Page 7: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

7

Sales Growth - Currency Adjusted- Stable double digit development

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

2004 2005 2006 200722000

24000

26000

28000

30000

32000

34000

Acquired growth Organic growth Sales rolling 12-months in fixed currencies

MSEK%

Run rate 13%Organic 8%Acquired 5%

Page 8: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

8

Acquisitions Q3 – iRevo and Baodean

Fully approved and consolidated from 1 October

iRevo:– World largest supplier of electronic locks for

the residential market

– Sales of 400 MSEK in Korea and China

– Dilutive in Q4

Baodean:– China’s leading high security lock maker

Page 9: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

9

Operating Income* (EBIT) MSEK

800

850

900

950

1000

1050

1100

1150

1200

1250

1300

1350

1400

1450

2004 2005 2006 20073200

3700

4200

4700

5200

Quarter Rolling 12-monthsQuarter 12-months

*Rolling 12-months excludes 2006 restructuring costs of 1 474 MSEK

Run rate 5,292 MSEK (4,559) +16%

Page 10: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

10

Operating Margin* (EBIT)

13,0

13,5

14,0

14,5

15,0

15,5

16,0

16,5

17,0

17,5

2004 2005 2006 2007

EB

IT %

Quarter Rolling 12-months

*Excluding 2006 restructuring costs of 1 474 MSEK

Run rate 16.1% (14.9)

Page 11: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

11

Margin Highlights Q3

Volume growth 4%

Price increases have come through +3%

Raw material compensated

No dilution from acquisitions

Restructuring slightly ahead of plan

– Total reduction of 1035 employees

– Quarterly savings 60 MSEK (85 from project start less 25 LY)

– Run rate 57% of total savings

– Total annual savings 600 MSEK from 2009

Page 12: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

12

Division - EMEA

Good general growth in most markets

Somewhat slower in the UK, Spain and Germany

Good leverage from growth

Restructuring progressing well

Operating margin (EBIT) + Volume

+ Restructuring savings

= Material cost increase compensated

SALESshare of

Group total %

39

EBIT %

13

14

15

16

17

18

2004 2005 2006 2007

Page 13: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

13

Division - Americas

Good general growth in all sectors except residential

Residential affected by weakening demand

Activity level is healthy

Mexico stable growth

Operating margin (EBIT) + Volume= No dilution = Material cost increase compensated

SALESshare of

Group total %

31

EBIT %

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

2004 2005 2006 2007

Page 14: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

14

Division - Asia Pacific

Good growth in the Pacific

Asian sales outside China picking up

Strong development in China– Baodean consolidated from 1 October

iRevo will dilute from 1 October with 1.0-1.5%

Price increase in Q3 very effective

Operating margin (EBIT)+ Volume growth+ Implemented price increases= Raw material compensated

SALESshare of

Group total %

7

EBIT %

468

101214161820

2004 2005 2006 2007

Page 15: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

15

Division - Global Technologies Good general development

Record profit

New organisation HID/Fargo/ITG coming together– Sales synergies and market convergence

New factory in Malaysia running well– Ronneby factory closed

Operating margin (EBIT)+ Volume

+ Manufacturing and overhead savings

- Continued market investments

SALESshare of

Group total %

14

EBIT %

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

2004 2005 2006 2007

Page 16: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

16

Division - Entrance Systems

Service developing at a good pace

New door sales somewhat slower in the US and EMEA

Accelerated growth from low level in Asia, primarily in China

Decision to close Dieburg, Germany

Operating margin (EBIT) + Volume growth

+ Price increases

SALESshare of

Group total %

9

EBIT %

91011121314151617

2004 2005 2006 2007

Page 17: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

17

Q3 Report 2007Tomas Eliasson, CFO

Page 18: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

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Financial Highlights Q3 and Jan-Sep 2007

MSEK 2007 2006 Change 2007 2006 Change3nd Quarter Jan-Sep

Sales 8,274 7,736 +7% 24,830 23,078 +8%Whereof Organic growth +7% +7%Acquired growth +4% +5%FX-differences -248 -3% -943 -4%

Operating income (EBIT) 1,404 1,235* +14% 4,018 3,496* +15%EBIT-margin (%) 17.0 16.0* 16.2 15.2*

Operating cash flow 1,306 919 +42% 3,068 2,339 +31%

EPS (SEK) 2.36 2.02* +17% 6.72 5.85* +15%

*Excluding restructuring costs of 520 SEK M

Page 19: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

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Operating Cash Flow MSEK

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2004 2005 2006 2007

Qua

rter

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

12-m

ths

Quarter Rolling 12-months

Page 20: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

20

49

50

51

52

53

54

55

56

57

58

59

2004 2005 2006 2007

Day

s

DSO: 56 (55)

Working CapitalReceivables

Page 21: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

21

Working CapitalInventories

95

100

105

110

115

120

2004 2005 2006 2007

Day

s

MTPT: 106 (111)

Page 22: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

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Gearing % and Net Debt MSEK

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

2004 2005 2006 20070

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Net debt Gearing

Net debt Gearing

Debt/Equity 91Debt/Equity 91

Page 23: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

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Return On Capital Employed* %

12

14

16

18

20

22

2004 2005 2006 2007

Target 20%

*2006 excludes restructuring

ROCE YTD 18.4% (16.5)ROCE YTD 18.4% (16.5)

Page 24: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

24

Q3 Report 2007Johan Molin President & CEO

Page 25: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

25

Conclusion Q3

Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand, market investments and acquisitions

Emerging markets takes off

Price management and efficiency programs adds to profit

Restructuring ahead of plan, 57% concluded

Solid improvement of EBIT in all divisions

Page 26: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

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Outlook Going Forward

Organic sales growth is expected to continue at a good rate

The operating margin (EBIT) and operating cash flow are expected to develop well

Page 27: Q3 Report 2007 Johan Molin, President & CEO · 2 Financial Highlights Q3 ... Johan Molin President & CEO. 25 Conclusion Q3 Strong total growth, +11%, driven by good general demand,

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Q&A