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1
Q4 Report 2008Johan Molin, President & CEO
2
Financial Highlights Q4 2008
Improved profit in a tough environment– Stable sales in local currencies
– Americas and Entrance systems holds up
– Construction in EMEA and Asia weakening
– Large efficiency gains supports profit
Sales 9,468 MSEK +9%
-4% organic, +4% acquired growth, +9% currency
EBIT* 1,469 MSEK +2%Currency effect +155 MSEK
EPS* 2,45 SEK +7%*Excluding restructuring and one off cost of 1,010 MSEK
3
ASSA ABLOY in 2008
Weakening demand in all parts of the world
Growth in new product segments– Electromechanical products, access control and automatic
doors
Continued investment in R&D and market presence
Industry consolidation continued– ASSA ABLOY made 18 acquisitions
4
Financial Highlights Jan-Dec 2008
Stable and consistent performance – Total growth 4% in local currencies
– Profit supported by improved gross margin & efficiency gains
Sales 34,918 MSEK +4%
+0% organic, +4% acquired growth, +0% currency
EBIT* 5,526 MSEK +1%
Currency effect +5 MSEK
EPS* 9.21 SEK +2%
* Excluding restructuring and one off cost of 1,257 MSEK
5
Group Sales in Local Currencies 2008
2 +13
37 +446 +0
8 +34
5 +0
2 +22
Portion of Group sales 2008 YTD, %Year-to-date vs previous year, %
6
-4,0
-3,0-2,0
-1,0
0,01,0
2,0
3,04,0
5,0
6,0
7,08,0
9,0
10,011,0
12,0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Gro
wth
%
18 000
20 000
22 000
24 000
26 000
28 000
30 000
32 000
34 000
36 000
Sa
les M
SE
K
Organic Growth Acquired Growth Sales in Fixed Currencies
Sales Growth 2008 - Currency Adjusted
2008 +4%Organic +0%Acquired +4%
7
Operating Income* (EBIT) MSEK
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
1 100
1 200
1 300
1 400
1 500
2005 2006 2007 20083 100
3 300
3 500
3 700
3 900
4 100
4 300
4 500
4 700
4 900
5 100
5 300
5 500
5 700
Quarter Rolling 12-months
Quarter 12-months
*Rolling 12-months excludes restructuring and one off costs 2006 of 1,474 MSEK and 2008 of 1,257 MSEK
All time high Run rate 5,526 MSEK (5,458), +1%
8
Operating Margin* (EBIT)
11,0
12,0
13,0
14,0
15,0
16,0
17,0
2005 2006 2007 2008
EB
IT %
Quarter Rolling 12-months
Run rate 2008 15.8% (16.3)
*Rolling 12-months excludes restructuring and one off costs 2006 of 1,474 MSEK and 2008 of 1,257 MSEK
9
Accelerating Manufacturing Footprint
Current footprint program a success
40 new projects with planned closure of 15 sites
Consolidation of support functions and administration
Conversion to assembly in high cost countries
Full cost, 1,180 MSEK taken
Payback 2-3 years, 1,800 people
10
Acquisitions 2008
Acquisitions on temporary hold
18 acquisitions carried through during 2008– Adds 1 900 MSEK annualized, +6%
Additions during fourth quarter – 4 smaller acquisitions
– Delisting of iRevo
SimonsVoss– Court appeal pending
11
Margin Highlights Q4 2008
Total growth 9%, with organic -4%
EBIT margin 15.5%* (16.5%)
Gross margin maintained
Manufacturing footprint, 24 sites closed Total reduction of 2,143 employeesQuarterly saving 40 MSEK (run rate 130 MSEK, 87% completed)
Contingency plans released
Raw material flat
* Excluding restructuring and one off cost of 1,010 MSEK
12
Division - EMEA
General drop of construction throughout EMEA
Severe downturn in UK, Spain and Italy
Positive development in Central Europe
Profit supported by footprint savings
Important reduction of employees
Operating margin (EBIT) - Volume -9%
+ Restructuring savings
- Dilution from acquisitions -0,5%
=Raw material slightly positive
SALESshare of
Group total %
39
EBIT %
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2005 2006 2007 2008
13
Division - Americas
Positive development on doors and hardware
South America and Canada in good growth
Residential continued down
Profit reaches all time high
Operating margin (EBIT) = Volume +1%
+ Strong efficiency improvement
= Raw materials
SALESshare of
Group total %
30
EBIT %
16
17
18
19
20
21
2005 2006 2007 2008
14
Division - Asia Pacific
Slowing construction in the whole region
Negative demand within residential in the Pacific
Production for Europe in sharp decline
iRevo and China doors in good growth
Operating margin (EBIT)- Volume -8%
+ Restructuring savings
= Raw material
SALESshare of
Group total %
9
EBIT %
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2005 2006 2007 2008
15
Division - Global Technologies
Slight decline in HID and FargoSecure Issuance, Crescendo, Edge and RFID
ITG continued negative
Sales drop in Hospitality due to large projects
Strong project pipeline in all parts but many delays
Strong profit in HID/Fargo and weak in Hospitality and ITG
Operating margin (EBIT)-= Volume HID/Fargo- Hospitality large projects- Weak development of ITG
SALESshare of
Group total %
13
EBIT %
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2005 2006 2007 2008
16
Division - Entrance Systems
Weak sales in retail worldwide
Health care and institutions compensates
Good development of service sales
Solid development of Emerging markets
Savings from China and Czech manufacturing
Operating margin (EBIT) = Volume +3%
+ China & Czech
= Raw material
SALESshare of
Group total %
9
EBIT %
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
2005 2006 2007 2008
17
Q4 Report 2008Tomas Eliasson, CFO
18
Financial Highlights Q4 2008
MSEK 2007 2008 Change 2007 2008 ChangeTwelve months 4th Quarter
Sales 33,550 34,918 +4% 8,721 9,468 +9%Whereof Organic growth +0% -4%Acquired growth +4% +4%FX-differences +16 +0% +810 +9%
Operating income (EBIT)* 5,458 5,526 +1% 1,440 1,469 +2%EBIT-margin (%)* 16.3 15.8 16.5 15.5
Operating cash flow 4,808 4,769 -1% 1,740 1,916 +10%
EPS (SEK)* 9.02 9.21 +2% 2.30 2.45 +7%
*Excluding restructuring and one off charges of 1,010 MSEK in Q4 and 1,257 for the full year
19
P&L – Components as % of SalesQ4 Year-on-Year
Direct material 33.0% 33.4%
Conversion costs 25.9% 25.4%
Gross Margin 41.1% 41.2%
S, G & A 24.6% 25.7%
EBIT 16.5% 15.5%
2007 2008*
* Excluding restructuring and one off cost of 1,010 MSEK
20
Cost Development
Conversion cost = all fixed and variable production costs excluding material
Conversion Cost Rolling 12 MonthsGroup Year-on-Year Changes in Cost
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
20
07
20
08
Adjusted for currency and acquisitions
Q4: -5% reductionQ4: -5% reduction
21
Operating Cash Flow, MSEK
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Qua
rter
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
5500
6000
6500
12-m
onth
s
Quarter Rolling 12-months
22
Gearing % and Net Debt MSEK
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Net debt Gearing
Net debt Gearing
Debt/Equity 74Debt/Equity 74
23
Maturity Profile Gross Debt
Gross debt
01 0002 0003 0004 0005 0006 0007 0008 000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016-
Covered by SEK 11 B back-up facilityif necessary
24
Earnings per Share and Proposed Dividend, SEK
0,00
1,00
2,00
3,00
4,00
5,00
6,00
7,00
8,00
9,00
10,00
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
EPS 2008 9.21 (9.02)EPS 2008 (incl oneoff) 6.55Proposed Dividend 3.60 (3.60)
EPS 2008 9.21 (9.02)EPS 2008 (incl oneoff) 6.55Proposed Dividend 3.60 (3.60)
25
Q4 Report 2008Johan Molin, President & CEO
26
Conclusion 2008
4% growth
All time high profit despite economic headwind*
Continued investments in R&D and market presence
18 acquisitions
Record strong operational cash flow
*Excluding restructuring and one off cost of 1257 MSEK
27
Short Term Actions 2009
Stay close to customers
Continue investments in new products
Cost reductions
Cash and margin focus
Be ready to react fast on market opportunities
28
ASSA ABLOY and the Economic Slowdown
Significant construction slowdown in all parts of the world
Raw material prices will reduce cost from Q1
Manufacturing footprint in full motion– Going forward 16 site closures and >2 000 people
Contingency plans released in Q4 in all divisions
29
Outlook
Long Term
Organic sales growth is expected to continue at a good rate
The operating margin (EBIT) and operating cash flow are expected to develop well
Outlook for 2009
Significant construction slowdown in all parts of the world
Negative organic growth is expected
30
Q&A