Upload
others
View
0
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Prepared for Port Macquarie Hastings Council
September 2015
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 2 | 61
QUALITY ASSURANCE
Report Contacts
Adrian Hack BTP(Hons), MLE, MPIA
Principal, HillPDA
Quality Control
This document is for discussion purposes only unless signed and
dated by a Principal of HillPDA.
Reviewed by:
Dated 2 October 2015
Report Details
Job Ref No: C15223
Version: Final
File Name: Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy
Review 2015
Date Printed: 2/10/2015
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 3 | 61
CONTENTS
Executive Summary ......................................................................................... 6
Introduction............................................................................................ 12 1
Study Background................................................................................... 12
Study Objectives ..................................................................................... 12
Study Methodology ................................................................................ 12
Planning & Policy Review ....................................................................... 14 2
Mid-North Coast Regional Strategy (2006-2031) ................................... 14
Port Macquarie-Hastings Industrial Land Strategy (2007) ..................... 15
Previous Industrial Land Studies ............................................................ 16
Other Studies .......................................................................................... 16
The Changing Nature of Industry ........................................................... 20 3
Analysis of Industrial Land Supply .......................................................... 27 4
Lake Road, Port Macquarie .................................................................... 27
Bellbowrie Street, Port Macquarie ......................................................... 28
Hastings River Drive, Port Macquarie ..................................................... 28
Birdon Marine, Port Macquarie ............................................................. 29
Port Macquarie Airport .......................................................................... 30
Wauchope CBD ....................................................................................... 32
Bago Road, Wauchope ........................................................................... 33
Herons Creek .......................................................................................... 35
Laurieton ................................................................................................ 36
Laurieton Working Waterfront............................................................... 37
Sancrox ................................................................................................ 37
Fernbank Creek Road ............................................................................. 39
Partridge Creek (Area 13 Thrumster) ..................................................... 40
Lindfield Park Road ................................................................................. 41
Kew ................................................................................................ 42
Proposed Development .......................................................................... 42
Industrial Zones ...................................................................................... 43
Summary of Supply ................................................................................ 46
Industrial Land Demand ......................................................................... 49 5
Population Projections ........................................................................... 49
Resident Workforce Projections ............................................................. 49
Resident Workforce by Industry ............................................................. 50
Industrial Land Demand ......................................................................... 51
Local Service Industrial Demand ............................................................ 53
Industrial Land Strategy ......................................................................... 55 6
Industrial Land Demand versus Supply .................................................. 55
Strategy Recommendations ................................................................... 55
Priority of Investigations ........................................................................ 58
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 4 | 61
TABLES
Table 1 - Supply of Industrial Land in Port Macquarie-Hastings LGA (2015) ................ 6
Table 2 - Industrial Land Demand to 2036 (2009) (hectares) ....................................... 8
Table 3 - Industrial Land Demand by Land Use to 2036 (hectares) .............................. 9
Table 4 - Additional Local Service Industrial Land Demand by Location to 2039
(hectares) ......................................................................................................... 9
Table 5 - Mid-North Coast Additional Industrial Land Demand to 2031 .................... 14
Table 6 –Supply of Industrial Land in Port Macquarie-Hastings LGA (2015) .............. 47
Table 7 - Port Macquarie-Hastings Investigation Areas (2009) .................................. 48
Table 8 - Population Forecast for Port Macquarie-Hastings to 2036 (2015) .............. 49
Table 9 - Resident Workforce Projections to 2036 (2015) ......................................... 50
Table 10 - Resident Workforce Projections by Industry to 2036 (2011) ..................... 51
Table 11 - Industrial Land Demand to 2036 (2011) (hectares) ................................... 52
Table 12 - Industrial Land Demand by Land Use to 2036 (hectares) .......................... 53
Table 13 - Additional Local Service Industrial Land Demand by Location to 2036
(hectares) ....................................................................................................... 54
Table 14 - Priority of Investigation and Supply of Future Industrial Land Areas to
2031* Subject to further investigation ........................................................ 59
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 5 | 61
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
ABS Australian Bureau of Statistics
ANZSIC Australian and New Zealand Standard Industrial
Classification
BTS Bureau of Transport Statistics
CBD Central Business District
DCP Development Control Plan
DoP (Former) NSW Department of Planning
DP&E NSW Department of Planning and Environment
EIA Economic Impact Assessment
ELDM Employment Lands Demand Model
FSR Floor Space Ratio
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GFA Gross Floor Area
GLA Gross Lettable Area
Ha Hectares
JTW Journey to Work
LEP Local Environmental Plan
LGA Local Government Area
MB Mesh Block
NLA Net Lettable Area
PCA Property Council of Australia
SEPP State Environmental Planning Policy
SA1 Statistical Area Level 1
SA2 Statistical Area Level 2
SA3 Statistical Area Level 3
SA4 Statistical Area Level 4
SD Statistical Division
SLA Statistical Local Area
Sqm Square metre
STA Secondary Trade Area
TDC Transport Data Centre
TZ Travel Zone
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 6 | 61
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The Port Macquarie-Hastings Industrial Land Strategy (2007 ILS)
provided a strategic planning framework for industrial precincts and
identified appropriate locations for future industry to support and
enhance the economic competitiveness of the Port Macquarie-
Hastings Region.
HillPDA reviewed the Strategy in 2010 and the findings were fed into
the Urban Growth Management Strategy (UGMS) prepared by
Council. The UGMS deals with resident and employment growth in
the Region as a response to the recommendations in the NSW
Government's Mid North Coast Regional Strategy (2006-2031).
Summary of Industrial Land Supply
Since the 2010 review there have been some further rezonings that
increased the supply of industrial zoned land including 54 hectares of
developable on the north side of Sancrox Road, 23 hectares in
Fernbank Creek Road area and 2.4 hectares in Area 15.
The current supply of land is shown in the table below.
Table 1 - Supply of Industrial Land in Port Macquarie-Hastings LGA (2015)
Precinct Total Zoned
Land (ha)
Total Developed
Land (ha)
Total Vacant
Land (ha)
Area 13 (Thrumster) 32.4 - 32.4
Lindfield Park Road 7.3 - 7.3
Lake Road 101.0 98.1 2.9
Bellbowrie 11.1 10.8 0.3
Hastings River Drive 18.8 17.9 0.9
Birdon Marine 6.4 2.7 3.7
Airport 24.3 5.6 18.7
Wauchope CBD 14.3 12.3 2.0
Bago Road 117.2 60.8 56.4
Herons Creek 80.7 6.0 74.7
Laurieton 4.4 3.8 0.6
Laurieton Working Waterfront 1.0 0.9 0.1
Sancrox 85.4 26.2 59.2
Fernbank Creek Road 23.3 - 23.3
Kew 3.0 - 3.0
Total 530.6 245.1 285.5
Source: AEC Group (2007) updated by Hill PDA and Council (2015)
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 7 | 61
Removing what is constrained (Herons Creek 74.7ha) there is around
211ha of vacant suitable industrial land available for the market. The
upgrade of access from Pacific Highway has improved Bago Road’s
competiveness (notwithstanding that other sites such as Sancrox is
superior from a marketing perspective).
There are also three sites in the planning stages of investigation and
possible future rezoning. These are the Airport which will add around
10 hectares of developable land, Area 14 (Lake Cathie), which will
add around 4 hectares of developable land and the John Oxley Drive
and Oxley Highway area that could potentially add a further 8
hectares. This would bring the total developable area to around
232ha.
Summary of Industrial Land Demand
The 2007 ILS projected demand of around 270ha to 2026, of which at
least 185ha was possibly suitable for development (excluding Herons
Creek). This equated to an additional 89ha to 118ha of industrial land
to 2026.
Hill PDA updated demand forecasting for industrial land across Port
Macquarie-Hastings LGA from population and job participation
forecasts. In 2011 the LGA had around 75,000 residents and this is
expected to increase to 103,000 by 2036.
The workforce participation rate in 2011 was 38%. Three forecasts of
floorspace demand was undertaken based on the same adopted
workforce participation targets from the ILS being 34% (low
participation), 39% (high participation) and 45% (full participation) to
reflect scenarios of growth and change.
The same ratios of workers per hectare by industry type as per the
2007 ILS were adopted.
The table below indicates Port Macquarie-Hastings LGA demands
287ha to 344ha of industrial land in 2036. This results in 78ha to 93ha
of additional industrial land demand to 2036.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 8 | 61
Table 2 - Industrial Land Demand to 2036 (2009) (hectares)
Low Participation (34%) 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Heavy Industry 39 41 44 47 50 53
Modern General Industry 35 37 40 43 45 48
Transport & Warehousing 40 42 45 48 52 55
Supporting Industry 38 40 44 47 50 53
Services (roads, utilities etc) 11 12 13 14 15 16
Open Space (buffers) 46 48 52 56 59 63
Total 209 221 238 255 271 287
High Participation (39%) 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Heavy Industry 43 45 49 52 56 59
Modern General Industry 39 41 44 47 50 53
Transport & Warehousing 44 46 50 53 57 60
Supporting Industry 42 45 48 51 55 58
Services (roads, utilities etc) 13 13 14 15 16 17
Open Space (buffers) 50 53 57 61 65 69
Total 231 244 262 281 299 317
Full Participation (45%) 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Heavy Industry 47 49 53 57 60 64
Modern General Industry 42 44 48 51 54 58
Transport & Warehousing 48 50 54 58 62 65
Supporting Industry 46 48 52 56 59 63
Services (roads, utilities etc) 14 14 16 17 18 19
Open Space (buffers) 55 58 62 67 71 75
Total 251 265 285 305 324 344
Source: AEC Group (2007) and Hill PDA 2015
The above results indicate Port Macquarie-Hastings LGA will need
287ha to 344ha of industrial land to 2036. This results in demand of
78ha to 93ha of additional industrial land.
Demand forecasts are summarised below.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 9 | 61
Table 3 - Industrial Land Demand by Land Use to 2036 (hectares)
Industrial Land Demand in 2036: Low Participation
High Participation
Full Participation
Heavy Industry 53 59 64
Modern General Industry 48 53 58
Transport, Warehousing and Storage 55 60 65
Supporting Industry 53 58 63
Services (roads, utilities etc) 16 17 19
Open Space (buffers) 63 69 75
Total 287 317 344
Additional Industrial Land Required to 2036:
Low Participation
High Participation
Full Participation
Heavy Industry 15 20 25
Modern General Industry 13 18 23
Transport, Warehousing and Storage 15 20 26
Supporting Industry 14 20 25
Services (roads, utilities etc) 4 6 7
Open Space (buffers) 17 23 29
Total 78 108 135
Source: Hill PDA 2015
To determine local and district industrial land supply, the 2007 ILS
assumed 50% of demand should be met by local business and
industry. Applying the same ratio, Hill PDA forecast 39ha to 67ha of
local service industrial land demand to 2036.
Table 4 - Additional Local Service Industrial Land Demand by Location to 2039 (hectares)
Precinct Low Participation
High Participation
Full Participation
Camden Haven 3.0 4.2 5.3
Flynns Beach - - -
Kings Creek - Sancrox - Lake Innes 5.9 8.1 10.1
Lake Cathie - Bonny Hills 5.7 7.9 9.9
Lighthouse Beach - Greenmeadows 1.7 2.3 2.9
Port Macquarie - Innes Pen 1.2 1.6 2.1
Rural North 2.7 3.7 4.7
Rural West - South 1.6 2.1 2.7
Shelly Beach - Bellevue Hill 0.9 1.2 1.5
Area 13 (Thrumster) 12.2 16.8 21.0
Town Beach - CBD 1.0 1.4 1.7
Wauchope 2.8 3.8 4.8
Westport 0.4 0.6 0.7
Total 39.0 53.8 67.4
Source: Hill PDA 2015
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 10 | 61
The table above indicates for example, Lake Cathie-Bonny Hills demands
an additional 6ha to 10ha of local service industrial land to 2036.
Demand versus Supply
There is 530ha of zoned industrial land in Port Macquarie-Hastings LGA,
of which around 244ha of land is developed and 285ha is zoned and
vacant. Excluding the constrained precinct of Herons Creek there
remains around 211ha of vacant suitable industrial land available to the
market.
The Port Macquarie-Hastings LGA will demand an additional 78ha to
135ha of industrial land to 2036 indicating there is sufficient current
supply to meet demand to 2036.
There is a further 22 hectares of land under investigation that could
be added to supply.
For the longer term, additional land may be required in order to
ensure that future industrial land, beyond 2036, is continued to be
made available. Such land needs to be sufficient to:
Facilitate market choice;
Maintain affordability;
Allow for expected loss of yield in some areas due to constraints;
and
Be located appropriately in relation to urban growth and market
preference.
To address long term industrial demand, an appropriate location for
investigation may be between the Sancrox Employment Precinct and
the Oxley Highway due to:
The proximity of both the Oxley and Pacific Highways;
Agglomeration opportunities with the Sancrox Employment
Precinct; and
The potential for this future land to further improve access to the
Sancrox Employment Precinct.
Priority of Investigations
The main areas for further investigation is Lake Cathie/Bonny Hills
and Kew-Camden Haven Corridor as there will be insufficient supply
of industrial zoned land to meet the demand for local industrial
employment and provision of services to 2036.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 11 | 61
A further priority concern is the airport site to accommodate
business technology, local services growth and airport related
industries.
A final priority concern is the John Oxley Drive and Oxley Highway
precinct which could accommodate a range of land uses including
light industries, hardware and home building industries, bulky goods
and businesses with links to the Hospital and Charles Sturt University
(CSU).
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 12 | 61
INTRODUCTION 1
Study Background
The Port Macquarie-Hastings Industrial Land Strategy (2007 ILS)
provided a strategic planning framework for industrial precincts and
identified appropriate locations for future industry to support and
enhance the economic competitiveness of the Port Macquarie-
Hastings Region.
HillPDA reviewed the Strategy in 2010 and the findings were fed into
the Urban Growth Management Strategy (UGMS) prepared by
Council. The UGMS deals with resident and employment growth in
the Region as a response to the recommendations in the NSW
Government's Mid North Coast Regional Strategy (2006-2031).
Since the 2010 review there has been some further rezonings to
increase the supply of industrial zoned land – most of which is in the
Sancrox Road and Fern Creek Road area.
This report provides an update of the Industrial Lands Strategy.
Study Objectives
Council seeks a clear understanding of long term industrial and
employment land requirements up to and beyond 2036. The key
objectives of the study are therefore to understand:
What is the latent demand for industrial land in the LGA?
What type of industrial land is driving demand?
Where should future industrial land be located?
What are the longer term needs for industrial and employment
land, up to and beyond the UGMS?
Study Methodology
The tasks undertaken in the preparation of this report included a
review of:
The 2007 ILS and 2010 review and other related information as
provided by Council.
The supply pipeline and the status, role and performance of
existing industrial areas.
The planning investigations for proposed Industrial Growth Areas.
Demand utilising 2011 ABS Census Data and revised population
forecasts.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 13 | 61
Forecast of jobs based on revised population projections.
Forecast of demand for industrial zoned land based on the
revised job forecasts.
The status of the earlier recommendations in light of changes to
supply and demand.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 14 | 61
PLANNING & POLICY REVIEW 2
This chapter summarises the main findings and strategies relating to
growth in the Port Macquarie Hastings LGA. This includes both
regional as well as local strategies. These strategies have been
closely integrated into the UGMS (2011), which was adopted by
Council on 14 December 2010.
Mid-North Coast Regional Strategy (2006-2031)
The Mid-North Coast Regional Strategy (2006-2031) applies to the
eight local government areas of Clarence Valley, Coffs Harbour,
Bellingen, Nambucca, Kempsey, Port Macquarie–Hastings, Greater
Taree and Great Lakes. The population of the Region is around
333,400 residents.
The Regional Strategy identifies a hierarchy of centres with Port
Macquarie being a major regional centre (as well as Taree, Grafton
and Coffs Harbour), Kempsey as a Major Town, Camden Haven,
Wauchope and Lake Cathie/Bonny Hills as Town Centres.
As a Major Regional Centre Port Macquarie has the majority of
growth and employment opportunities and is the major centre for
state and regional services. This centre is also expected to have: “a
concentration of medium to high density living, business employment
and professional services, higher order shopping, warehouses,
transport logistics and bulky goods operations”.
Employment growth to 2031 translates to a need for an additional
232ha of industrial land and about 210ha of commercial land (total
442ha) in the Mid North Coast.
Table 5 - Mid-North Coast Additional Industrial Land Demand to 2031
Subregion Land Demanded
Clarence 23ha
Coffs Coast 86ha
Hastings–Macleay Valley 84ha
Manning Valley–Great Lakes 39ha
Total 232ha
Source: Mid-North Coast Regional Strategy (2006-2031)
The main economic challenges of the Mid North Coast Region are to:
Assist in creating service jobs;
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 15 | 61
Augment industrial land supply within the Region, in particular in
Coffs Harbour, Port Macquarie and Taree to accommodate future
needs;
Recognise the value of existing agricultural industries and ensure
land use planning decisions do not hinder the growth and
diversification of agricultural production;
Generate enough new export industries to employ the 11,000
people who will be in the jobs market but will not be needed to
service the extra population within the Region; and
Build on the employment sectors that are currently successful.
The main issues for employment and industrial land in Port
Macquarie – Hastings LGA as raised in the Regional Strategy include:
Residential growth is expected to occur in a number of new release
areas such as Thrumster in Port Macquarie, and the areas between
Lake Cathie and Bonny Hills, and Camden Haven– Lakewood.
Higher density development is already occurring in the central
areas of Port Macquarie, although not all potential within the
town has been taken up. As the central business district of Port
Macquarie grows in importance, it will be necessary to ensure
that the right balance of commercial and residential
opportunities is maintained.
Due to the size and roles of Coffs Harbour and Port Macquarie
substantial industrial lands are forecast to be required to support
their future growth. However, it is becoming increasingly difficult
to find suitable new industrial land.
Port Macquarie-Hastings Industrial Land Strategy (2007)
The Port Macquarie-Hastings Industrial Land Strategy (2007 ILS)
undertaken by AEC developed a strategic planning framework for
industrial precincts and identified appropriate locations for future
industry to support and enhance the economic competitiveness of
the Port Macquarie Hastings Region.
The 2007 ILS identified 10 future industrial land investigation areas with
potential to accommodate future industrial development. In total, whilst
projected demand was around 270ha, around 350ha of industrial land
was outlined for further investigation. Of this, at least 185ha was
possibly suitable for development (not including Herons Creek).
The general strategy for the Port Macquarie- Hastings region
provided for:
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 16 | 61
The majority of future industrial land supply to be concentrated
at Sancrox Precinct, with transport and logistic uses to locate in a
dedicated area in the Precinct;
Additional light and general service industrial supply to cater for
employment opportunities in the new Growth Areas being Area
13 (Thrumster), 14 (Lake Cathie/Bonny Hills) and 15
(Kew/Lakewood);
Marine expansion at Birdon Marine;
Retention of a Business Technology Park at Port Macquarie
Airport and provision of additional investigation area for other
industrial uses to account for further need for industrial land
within the Port Macquarie urban area;
Further environmental investigations to be undertaken of
existing zoned land at Heron’s Creek to assess suitability for
heavy industry; and
Promotion of Bago Road Estate and Wauchope Industrial Areas
to meet future needs of the Wauchope area and provide
affordable land to the market over time.
Previous Industrial Land Studies
Council has undertaken various industrial lands strategies and
reviews prior to the 2007 ILS being:
Hastings Industrial Land Use Strategy Discussion Paper (1995);
Hastings Industrial Land Use Strategy Review (1998);
Wauchope Industrial Study (1999);
Hastings Industrial Land Strategy (Stage 1), GHD (2003); and
Economic Development Review (2004).
Other Studies
Rail Freight Study Stage 1 (2008)
In 2007 Council engaged consultants to investigate the feasibility of
developing a regional road and rail freight facility in the Port Macquarie-
Hastings LGA. The Rail Freight Study Stage 1 (2008)evolved out of
Council receiving an application (since refused) to rezone around 70ha of
rural land at Telegraph Point to permit a road and rail transport hub.
The key findings of the study were:
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 17 | 61
Freight associated with Port Macquarie-Hastings largely comprises
non-bulk freight, which is more suited to road freight than rail
freight. Rail freight remains suited to heavy freight densities such as
coal and grain, neither of which is produced in the region.
The only destination that is potentially viable by rail is the Sydney
Metropolitan Area and ports. Demand between the Mid North
Coast and Brisbane is too low, both now and in the future, to
justify rail service.
Based on the results of the modelling, at least 1m tonnes per
annum of rail freight would be required to support a financially
viable regional intermodal terminal. This level of demand enables
daily rail services which can compete on a service delivery basis
with road transport. This amount of rail freight is unlikely to be
generated without a major intervention, such as a major retail
chain realigning its supply chain practices towards regional
distribution centres.
Domestic freight moved by rail will have a 10% price disadvantage
over road. As nearly half of the rail price comprises handling and the
short road hauls at either end of the trip, a major shift in the relative
cost of the line haul components would be necessary to make rail
cheaper than road at the distances involved.
Rail freight operations will struggle to compete effectively on
price and service in the 300km to 600km markets such as Sydney
to Port Macquarie-Hastings, due to improvements in road vehicle
technology, road infrastructure investment, service flexibility,
journey frequency and speed. Additionally, the extra transit times
by rail will remain unattractive relative to road, which is both
quicker and more frequent than rail.
Based on these findings, the Rail Freight Study concluded that
developing a viable intermodal terminal in the Port Macquarie-
Hastings LGA is only remotely possible and not commercially
probable due to competition from road freight, combined with
service limitations and perceptions.
Draft Port Macquarie Airport Masterplan (2009)
Port Macquarie Airport is owned operated and managed by Port
Macquarie-Hastings Council. The Airport is operated as a commercial
business unit of Council, and is self-funded by revenue received from
Airport operations. The Port Macquarie-Hastings Airport Master Plan
2010 is the principle planning document for the Port Macquarie
Airport. The plan presents a 20-year vision for the Airport site,
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 18 | 61
setting out a framework and strategic direction to guide
development of the Airport considering airport operations, general
aviation activities and commercial property development
opportunities to underpin the region’s economic and tourism
potential.
At the end of 2013 Council completed a $21 million airside
infrastructure upgrade at the Airport. The upgrade represents the
1st stage of the implementation of the Airport Master Plan 2010 (and
Addendum), and involved the upgrade of the airside facilities
(runway, taxiway and RPT apron), including:
Strengthening, extending (by 110m to south) and widening the
existing main runway 03/21 to 1800 metres long x 45 metres
wide;
expansion of the existing regular public transport (RPT) apron
(located in front of the terminal building) to provide additional
parking positions for larger aircraft, including a new taxiway
connection to the main runway;
relocation of the helicopter landing and parking area, and general
aviation (GA) aircraft parking area; and
provision of associated infrastructure / facilities (e.g. runway,
taxiway and apron lighting, other visual aids, drainage, line
marking etc).
The PMHUGMS 2011 identifies part of the existing Airport east-west
grass runway and other land to the east of the Airport, including land
along Boundary Street, as a key site (known as the ‘Airport Precinct
Employment Lands’) for investigation for service industry and
business park industrial uses, with a notional supply timing of less
than 5 years. The Precinct would lend itself to the introduction of
higher technology, freight, logistics and aviation affiliated industries,
with the Precinct playing a regional role in ongoing economic
development of Port Macquarie LGA and the Mid North Coast.
Council has recently commenced work to prepare a planning
proposal to rezone the proposed employment lands. The aim is to
reinforce the Airport Precinct as a significant gateway to Port
Macquarie and to ensure that future development is compatible with
future airport operations, including height, lighting and other
potential impacts. Issues in the area relate to ecological constraints,
flooding and provision of service infrastructure (road network, sewer,
water supply). In addition, as the land is generally flat, stormwater
drainage patterns are poorly defined, relatively complex and involve
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 19 | 61
wetlands. The extent of land to be rezoned for employment
purposes will be determined as part of the detailed investigations
required to support rezoning of the land.
Total developed land area has been revised down from 9.6ha to
5.6ha as a result of Council’s purchase of Lot 121 DP1156615 (on the
northern alignment of Tuffins Lane, next to Newman College, 4.03ha
of which is zoned B7).
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 20 | 61
THE CHANGING NATURE OF INDUSTRY 3
This chapter highlights trends within industry which are global and
national but also have impacts down to the regional and even local
level. The purpose of highlighting these trends is to demonstrate the
impacts on demand for real estate and on the urban and regional
landscape.
Industrial Trends
The advance of modern technologies in particular has been changing
the methods of manufacturing production and the pattern of world
trading. The global economy today consists of more sophisticated
linkages between businesses which are designed to enable the
efficient sharing of information and the delivery of goods through a
global supply chain.
The globalisation and the free movement of people, goods and
services have increased the amount of competition and resulted in a
decline in the proportion of jobs within manufacturing industries.
The role of manufacturing in Australia has by necessity moved up the
value chain. Successive waves of restructuring and job shedding over
a number of decades has seen the sector move from being labour
intensive to capital and knowledge intensive. Manufacturing firms
are increasingly employing more professional and technical services
staff and utilising more office and research and development space in
facilities. Successful modern manufacturing enterprises are as much
involved in administrative and commercial activities as in physical
production. Those manufacturing sub-sectors that produce more
basic products and face strongest competition from overseas have
declined in relative importance.
Non-food manufacturing in Australia has declined considerably over
the past three decades. In 1975 it contributed 14.8% to GDP1. In
2012 its contribution represented only 5.8% of total GDP. In 1976
the Non-Food Manufacturing Sector in Australia employed 954,000
workers which comprised 17.7% of total employed persons. By 2011
this has declined to 709,000 and its proportion to total working
population has significantly decreased to 7.2%2.
As a result of these industrial trends, the development of industrial
land in NSW has generally occurred at a rate slower than
1 ABS 5206.0 Australian National Accounts 2 ABS Census 2011 and 1976 (excluding not stated or inadequately described)
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 21 | 61
employment growth. In manufacturing and wholesale trade, growth
has with only a few exceptions either declined or remained stagnant.
However demand for industrial lands for transport and storage
related industries has shown strong growth.
Industrial floorspace used primarily for transport and storage,
particularly those with low inventory turnover, are gravitating to
inexpensive land and low cost buildings.
Large-scale transport, storage and warehousing sector (or logistics)
have locational needs that are determined by efficient supply chains,
access to customers and suppliers, land availability and main road
access. This describes firms that have specific land and infrastructure
needs and potentially buffer distance requirements from residential
or other sensitive land uses.
Industrial locations next to city, major centres and waterfront areas
have been replaced over time by higher valued land uses, which
include residential and other employment uses. Low employment
generating transport and storage uses are increasingly unnecessary in
close proximity to major centres and reflect an increasingly
underutilisation of resources with low economic performance.
Office Space Trends
Economic changes to industry and technology has resulted in a
significant shift in the location of office-based activities towards
business park developments. In inner urban areas buildings have
evolved from being predominantly warehousing to office.
Business parks are now recognised as being highly successful urban
formats. Consistent across these parks are the following key
characteristics:
They are predominantly office parks with a component of
warehousing (closely aligned to the changing nature of industry
and manufacturing), and in some cases a component of research
and development and high-technology uses;
Apart from providing A-grade or similar grade commercial space,
often with cheaper rent than CBD locations, business parks
enable purpose designed buildings and plenty of on-site car
parking;
The provision of on-site amenities that attract large corporations,
such as recreation and open space facilities,
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 22 | 61
They hold a sense of prestige which is a further factor that
attracts large businesses. Tenants sign up with a business park in
part for its marketable image. There is a preference for a good
clean estate, located away from industrial areas;
Business parks enable large corporations to custom build their
headquarters, providing them with their own standalone identity,
which cannot be achieved in a centre of mixed tenants; and
They have flexible floor plates and cheaper ground rent, which
allows warehousing and office space to be integrated.
Clustering and Agglomeration
Agglomeration or clustering is the phenomenon whereby firms from
the same industry gather together in close proximity. It is particularly
evident in industries like health care but also banking, research and
development, the automotive industry, home building and
manufacturing. By clustering, businesses are able to benefit from
such things as:
A pool of expertise and skilled workers;
Ready access to component suppliers;
Information channels both formal (e.g. recognised industry
associations) and informal (e.g. social networking with
colleagues);
Increased innovation and service sophistication;
The ability to specialise and use other services to complement
business activity; and
A larger available customer and supplier market.
The consumer also benefits from the economic effect of
agglomeration through better access to choice and lower prices as a
result of price competition. The NSW State Government recognises
the economic importance of agglomeration and the need to cluster
businesses in “strategic centres”.
Modern high-tech clusters often gather around universities where
access to research and academic specialists is easier. Silicon Valley is
near Stanford University (United States of America) for example and
similar local high-tech clusters are gathered around Macquarie
University at North Ryde.
Agglomeration has seen the creation of new business park
developments and industrial zones along new transport corridors.
Many businesses have relocated to these complexes so they can ‘co-
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 23 | 61
locate’ their administration and warehouse needs. A mix of
industrial/commercial uses is seen as a legitimate need that would
not be practical or economical in an established commercial centre
with its higher land values and smaller land parcels.
Apart from universities other major catalysts are airports and
hospitals.
Agglomeration in hospital and health services is more evident than in
many other industries. A primary reason for this is that face-to-face
encounters are imperative for medical care and procedures. Health is
an industry where information flows cannot easily be performed
remotely due to the need for specialist consultants/surgeons and
complex/expensive equipment. Whilst there has been considerable
growth in remote information exchange, due largely to advances in
information technology, this has complemented rather than
substituted face-to-face encounters.
A key driver in urban development is aviation related activity. In
addition to rapid growth of passenger travel in recent decades, air
logistics has grown considerably and is seen as a major economic
development driver. Air logistics comprises air cargo, air express and
their supporting services. The types of businesses that locate near
airports comprise those with time-critical manufacturing and
distribution, entertainment, tourism, corporate offices and
businesses that require long-distance connectivity.
There are short to long term opportunities in Port Macquarie brought
about by several benefits in infrastructure including:
The airport and growth in aviation traffic;
The new Charles Sturt University campus;
The Hospital; and
The continue widening and upgrade of the Pacific Highway.
Suitable locations for new employment uses in Port Macquarie
include the airport, the Gordon Street / Grant Street mixed use zone
and the Hospital / CSU Precinct.
Employment Changes
Port Macquarie’s workforce grew 49% from 18,552 in 1996 to almost
27,700 in 2011 as shown in the figure below.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 24 | 61
Figure 1 Port Macquarie Employment by Job Type 1996 to 2011
Source: ABS Time Series Data 1996 to 2011
There was some growth in all job categories. The lowest growth area
was “Managers” at 14% which includes farmers. This is a reflection
of the decline of jobs in agriculture partly due to increased
automation. The highest growth jobs were in “Professionals” and
“Community and Personal Service Workers” at 90% and 104%
respectively.
Employment is also changing in the industry categories as shown in
the figures below.
19962001
200620110
5001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,0005,500
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 25 | 61
Figure 2 Port Macquarie Employment by Industry Type 1996 to 2011
Source: ABS Time Series Data 1996 to 2011
The highest growth industry in terms of job numbers was “Health and
Social Care” with 2,185 new jobs from 1996 to 2011 – almost
doubling the numbers. Its share of the workforce went from 12.3%
to 16.2%.
With 938 new jobs over the same period “Utilities” (power, gas,
water, etc) had the strongest percentage growth with a five fold
increase. Other strong growth areas include “Transport and
Warehousing”, “Hospitalities” and “Public administration and
Education” each with 66% growth.
1996200120062011
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1996 2001 2006 2011
Other
Health and Social Care
Public Admin & Education
Professional & Business
Transport & Warehousing
Accommodation & Food
Retail trade
Wholesale trade
Construction
Utilities
Manufacturing
Primary Production
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 26 | 61
Manufacturing achieved only 8% growth. Its share of the workforce
fell from 7.5% to 5.5% which reflects a national wide trend. Job
numbers in Primary production (agriculture and mining) actually fell
by 20% to 816 and jobs in “Wholesaling” also fell by 15% to 735.
Impacts on Industrial Lands
The decline in manufacturing has not negatively impacted the
demand for industrial land as space is increasingly required for the
storage and distribution of goods that are now manufactured
offshore. Jobs in transport and storage has held constant. In some
areas these jobs have declined, however these trends are the result
of increased automation which does not translate to a loss in
demand for industrial lands. It simply means that employment
density (workers/hectare) rate in some industrial areas has reduced.
A further important consideration is the need to accommodate land
uses which are sometimes deemed not compatible in business
and/or residential zones (and in other cases may not be viable due to
added land cost). These uses include entertainment facilities (such as
ten pin bowling and laser tag as well as sex services, places of public
worship and the like. Industrial zones provide a buffer for these land
uses away from more sensitive residential areas and even
commercial centres.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 27 | 61
ANALYSIS OF INDUSTRIAL LAND SUPPLY 4
This chapter provides a description of the supply of industrial and
employment zoned land (including land zoned IN1, IN2 and B5) by
precinct. The role of each precinct is described as well as the
principle land uses, advantages and disadvantages and opportunities
for further development.
Lake Road, Port Macquarie
The Lake Road precinct is around 3.5km south-west of Port
Macquarie CBD and is located to the north and south of Lake Road
between Fernhill Road and Barton Crescent. The Lake Road Precinct
is the major industrial area in the LGA playing a regional role in the
provision of industrial land. Light industrial is the predominant land
use, although there has been an increase in the provision of bulky
goods retailers in the Precinct.
Whilst the Lake Road Precinct has historically been the main
industrial precinct for the LGA and has served this purpose well, the
Precinct has evolved into a location for bulky goods clusters. Bulky
goods are mainly located on Lake Road and include retailers such as
Spotlight, The Good Guys, Everyday Living, Sleep City and Bunnings.
Other light industrial land users include the likes of electrical
contractors, Amber Tiles, building supplies, smash repairers, auto-
servicing and transport industries. Some recreational users also exist
in the Precinct including Jumbos Playland, Hastings Dance Centre,
Vicki’s Swim Centre, and Centre of Gravity Indoor Adventure Centre.
The major attributes of this Precinct as highlighted in the 2007 ILS were:
The precinct is largely built out with 90.4% of 80 hectares of land
already developed.
The majority of sites within the Precinct are small in the range of
1,000-2,000sqm.
Lake Road already carries significant traffic volumes at peak
hours being the key east/west link for traffic movements
between Ocean Drive and Oxley Highway.
Council is investigating options to cater for existing and future
traffic growth along Lake Road.
The Precinct is generally well buffered from surrounding residential
land uses and is easily accessed from Oxley Highway or via Hindman
Street and Fernhill Road.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 28 | 61
The 2006 Land Inventory indicated there was also 4ha of vacant land
in the Precinct. A survey by Council in June 2015 identified 11 vacant
sites totalling 2.9 hectares.
The few vacant sites and take up since the 2007 ILS indicates the
Precinct is performing well. The Precinct is in good proximity to the
existing urban area of Port Macquarie, has always been developed
and promoted as Port Macquarie’s main industrial area, has little
room for expansion due to encroaching residential development and
vegetation and restricts bulky goods development to land fronting
Lake Road.
Bellbowrie Street, Port Macquarie
The Bellbowrie Precinct is located around 2km north-west of Port
Macquarie CBD and is surrounded by Hastings River Drive, Bellbowrie
Street, Newport Island Road and Denham Street. The Precinct plays a
local service industrial role for the northern portion of the LGA, with
the provision of small scale light industrial land users.
The most predominant industrial land users in the Precinct are
automotive services and smash repairers, tyres and other automotive
parts and servicing. There are several bulky goods and DIY industries
including carpets, lighting, paints and Cascade Pool & Spa Centre.
There are only two small sites that are vacant (No.s 51 and 101B
Hastings River Drive) with a total site area of less than 3,000sqm.
Hastings River Drive, Port Macquarie
The Hastings River Drive Precinct is around 3km north-west of Port
Macquarie CBD and only 900m north-west from the Bellbowrie Street
Precinct. The Hastings River Drive Precinct is adjacent to the existing
Melaleuca Caravan Park and immediately south of Stuart Park. Low
density residential uses surround the Precinct to the north and south.
Like the Bellbowrie Street Precinct, the Hastings River Drive Precinct
plays a local service industrial role for the northern portion of the
LGA, however with a stronger focus towards bulky goods retailing.
The most prominent bulky goods retailers in the Precinct are part of
Port Home Zone which includes Forty Winks, Harvey Norman, Oz
Design Furniture, BCF Camping & Fishing and Fantastic Furniture.
The most predominant industrial land users in the Precinct are
automotive services and smash repairers McGuigan BMW, Watson’s
Caravans, Warren Plowrigh Toyota, John Patrick Prestige Cars,
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 29 | 61
Miedecke Ford, Beaurepairs, Hyundai, Port Macquarie Motor World,
Belbowrie Motors and Hastings Marine.
The following attributes of the Hastings River Drive Precinct were
highlighted in the 2007 ILS:
The 16.5ha Precinct is largely built out with 96% already
developed.
The Precinct has largely occurred as a ribbon commercial
development corridor.
The majority of lots are around 4,000sqm to 10,000sqm.
The Precinct is suitably located in terms of road access with good
access off Hastings River Drive.
In 2007 96% of the precinct was developed and few sites remained.
Today there are only five small sites that are vacant with a combined
area of less than 9,000sqm. Significant changes since 2007 include
the expansion of the caravan sales yard, a new 1,400sqm ALDI
Foodstore on part of the Caravan Park site and John Patrick Used
Cars.
Analysis of the Precinct indicates the land has relatively flat
topography (much better than Lake Road area), good direct access to
Hastings River Drive and the urban areas of Port Macquarie, but is
largely built out and has limited opportunities for expansion due to
surrounding residential development and open space.
Birdon Marine, Port Macquarie
The Birdon Group marine industrial development, operating on the
eastern side of the Dennis Bridge adjacent to the Pacific Highway,
includes boat building, slipway and commercial wharf activities. The
primary operations site comprises approximately 1.9 hectares and
was rezoned to Zone IN4 Working Waterfront under the Port
Macquarie-Hastings Local Environmental Plan (PMHLEP) 2011.
In July 2015, 3.6ha of land on the western side of the Dennis Bridge,
Glen Ewan Road was rezoned to IN4 Working Waterfront to build on
the existing marine based industry and slipway infrastructure in the
area. An existing internal road connection under the Dennis Bridge
provides direct access to the Hastings River via the slipway and wharf
facilities adjoining to the east.
The PMHUGMS 2011 also identified an investigation area at the
intersection of Hastings River Drive and the Pacific Highway,
immediately adjoining the existing Birdon development to the south
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 30 | 61
and east, for potential expansion of marine related industry in the
long-term. This land is not associated with the existing Birdon Marine
development group and the likelihood of development in this area is
significantly reduced given the recent rezoning of land to the west of
the Pacific Highway.
Current zoning is IN4 Working waterfront under Port Macquarie-
Hastings Local Environmental Plan 2011.
The main advantages with the precinct include the following:
Dedicated precinct for marine related industry;
Direct access to waterfront;
Proximity to key local transport and freight corridors via Pacific
and Oxley Highways;
Large single ownership parcel; and
Proximity to expanding labour markets in the Port Macquarie
Wauchope Urban Growth corridor.
The main disadvantages with the precinct include the following:
Full utilisation of the western precinct is subject to completion of
the upgrade of the Pacific Highway or upgrading of the Glen
Ewan Road /Pacific Highway intersection; and
Cost of establishment and development due to servicing
requirements, appropriate building form and design, and flood
management.
Port Macquarie Airport
The Port Macquarie Airport Business Park precinct comprises 25.5ha
of land around 5km north-west of Port Macquarie CBD along Hastings
River Drive. The precinct was converted to zone B7 Business Park
with the introduction of Port Macquarie-Hastings Port Macquarie-
Hastings Local Environmental Plan 2011 in February 2011 and
development in the area includes a new senior Technical Tertiary
College on land fronting Boundary Street in the north eastern sector
of the precinct. Other land uses in the area have remained relatively
unchanged over the last 10 years with occupiers mainly including
aircraft related industries (e.g. scenic flights, learn to fly, car hire,
general aviation hangers etc).
Developable land supply in the existing Business Park has been
revised down from 9.6ha to an estimated 5.6ha as a result of
Council’s purchase of Lot 121 DP1156615 (on the northern alignment
of Tuffins Land, next to Newman College, 4.03ha zoned B7) for
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 31 | 61
runaway extension and airport operations. Whilst the site formerly
had a tourist oriented recreational activity operating from the site it
is now currently Operational Land.
At the end of 2013 Council completed a $21 million airside
infrastructure upgrade at the Airport to underpin the region’s future
growth, economic development and tourism potential. The upgrade
marks a significant milestone for the Airport, with the upgraded
runway now providing the capability for up to 180-seat B737 / A320
aircraft for the first time in the Airport’s 60 year history. The project
was supported by $15 million in funding assistance from the
Australian Government.
The upgrade represents the 1st stage of the implementation of the
Airport Master Plan, and involved the upgrade of the airside facilities
(runway, taxiway and RPT apron), including:
Strengthening, extending (by 110m to south) and widening the
existing main runway 03/21 to 1800 metres long x 45 metres
wide;
Expansion of the existing regular public transport (RPT) apron
(located in front of the terminal building) to provide additional
parking positions for larger aircraft, including a new taxiway
connection to the main runway;
Relocation of the helicopter landing and parking area, and
general aviation (GA) aircraft parking area; and
Provision of associated infrastructure / facilities (eg runway,
taxiway and apron lighting, other visual aids, drainage, line
marking etc
The PMHUGMS 2011 identifies 41.5ha of additional land at the
Airport, including land east-west grass runway and other land to the
east of the Airport, along Boundary Street, as a key site (known as the
‘Airport Precinct Employment Lands’) for investigation for service
industry and business park industrial uses, with a notional supply
timing of less than 5 years. The proposed additional land would lend
itself to the introduction of higher technology, freight, logistics and
aviation affiliated industries, to underpin the Airport’s regional role in
ongoing economic development of Port Macquarie LGA and the Mid
North Coast.
Council has recently commenced work to prepare a planning
proposal in relation to rezoning these proposed employment
lands. The aim is to reinforce the Airport Precinct as a significant
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 32 | 61
gateway to Port Macquarie and to ensure that future development is
compatible with future airport operations, including height, lighting
and other potential impacts.
Issues in the area relate to ecological constraints, flooding and
provision of service infrastructure (road network, sewer, water
supply). In addition, as the land is generally flat, stormwater
drainage patterns are poorly defined, relatively complex and involve
wetlands. The extent of land to be rezoned for employment
purposes will be determined as part of the detailed investigations
required to support a rezoning.
The benefits of further industrial development at the Airport include:
Its proximity to Port Macquarie CBD and its broader urban area;
Its proximity to Hastings River Drive and the Airport operations
itself;
The availability of relatively flat, vacant, unconstrained land ready
for development; and
Available land is appropriate for a range of aviation related uses
including - couriers, freight, logistics, services relating to airport,
manufacturing, light aircraft manufacture, aircraft maintenance and
repairs, search and rescue, aerial surveillance, aircraft
instrument/electrical installation, charter operations, aircraft
restoration, flight training, petrol/fuelling, skydiving operations,
helicopter operations and emergency services.
Any surrounding development must not interfere with Airport
Operational requirements.
Wauchope CBD
Wauchope CBD is around 20km west of Port Macquarie CBD.
Wauchope has three industrial precincts playing a local service
industrial role for the township. These precincts are:
High Street/Oxley Highway 3.5ha;
Cameron Street 6.8ha;
Randall Street 3.4ha;
High Street/Beechwood Road 0.6ha.
2015 Observations include:
The most predominant industrial land users in the High Street/Oxley
Highway Precinct are agricultural, building and light industrial uses,
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 33 | 61
including Inland Ag, CBS Chainsaw & Brushcutter Specialists,
Thompson’s Farm Gear, Wauchope Rural Centre, Hastings Mower
Service, Mud ‘N’ Tar Motor Cycles and Customline Joinery, Hastings
Kitchen Company, various service industrial activities, service stations
and fuel depots. There is only one vacant lot in the industrial zoned
area being 1,956sqm lot on the corner of Oxley Highway and
Blackbutt Drive.
The Cameron Street precinct includes a range of users including
Aromatics, Beaurepairs, Marshall’s Auto Spares, Car wash facilities
and Five Start Fitness. However, various vacant buildings and
dwellings are also evident.
The main users of the Randall Street Precinct included Hastings
Valley Dairy, Rail Corp, self-storage units and Farm & Produce
Supplies.
There are few hardware and bulky goods retailers in industrial zones
in Wauchope, with the majority such as Mitre 10 and Thompsons
Building Centre being located in the Wauchope CBD.
The attributes of Wauchope industrial areas include:
There are no development constraints on remaining vacant land;
Almost half of the lots are sized between 1,000-2,000sqm with
limited lots greater than 4,000sqm;
Access from Oxley Highway; and
Strategically access from Pacific Highway to Wauchope is poor
and generally inefficient for heavy vehicle movements.
Bago Road, Wauchope
The Bago Road industrial area is around 3.6km south of Wauchope
CBD.
Current zoning is IN1 General Industrial under Port Macquarie-
Hastings Local Environmental Plan 2011.
The precinct plays a service industrial role for Wauchope and the
surrounding rural catchment.
At the time of Hill PDA’s inspections, the main users of Wauchope
Industrial Estate were light industry, building materials and
agricultural businesses. This included North Coast Fire Systems,
Holiday Coast Manufactured Homes, Aquasonic, A Class Auto
Refinishers, Herc Equipment, Wauchope Frames & Trusses, Redhead
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 34 | 61
Machinery Sales, Slade Refrigerator Transport, Heritage Wholesale
Blinds, and Wauchope Mower & Hire Centre.
From recent aerial photography it is estimated that there is around
59 hectares of vacant zoned land in the precinct – which is around
61% of the total precinct area.
Advantages with the precinct include the following:
Major dedicated site for local and regional businesses;
Large area offering range of serviced lot sizes;
Potential medium to longer term pipeline of supply relatively
close to Wauchope;
Separation from other sensitive land uses including residential -
reducing the potential for land use conflicts;
Competitive land values compared with other industrial areas
closer to PMQ;
Presence of other industrial users;
Mix of landholdings and owners offering opportunities for a
diverse range of business;
Access to local labour market; and
Opportunities for Greenfield industrial development allowing for
customised operations.
Disadvantages with the precinct include the following:
Distance from regional infrastructure corridors including Oxley
and Pacific Highways;
Distance from freight corridors and local distribution centres and
networks such as Wauchope CBD, PMQ Airport and PMQ CBD
Represents competitive disadvantage from other established
areas closer to local centres;
Lack of existing catalyst or anchor infrastructure affecting ability
to attract investors;
Lack of existing retail & business amenity in some areas to attract
/support further investment;
Incomplete or substandard road infrastructure affecting ability to
attract new business and investment; and
Strategically not well positioned.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 35 | 61
Herons Creek
The Herons Creek industrial area is around 28km south-west of Port
Macquarie CBD and 14.5km north-west of Laurieton.
Current zoning is IN3 heavy Industrial under Port Macquarie-Hastings
Local Environmental Plan 2011.
The precinct is a long standing heavy industry precinct initially
conceived to accommodate the regions. The main development in
the Herons Creek Precinct is Boral’s $24m Timber Processing Plant,
completed in 2006. It is understood concerns over the ecological
significance of much of the land has limited its expansion potential.
The main advantages with the precinct include the following:
The largest dedicated heavy industrial site in the LGA;
Proximity to Boral’s $24m Herons Creek Timber Processing Plant
completed in 2006;
Large undeveloped industrial area allowing for a range of lots
sizes and business opportunities;
Potential medium to longer term pipeline of supply;
Separation from other sensitive land uses reducing potential for
land use conflicts;
Proximity to major Regional transport corridor - Pacific Highway;
Opportunities for Greenfield industrial development allowing for
customised heavy industry operations; and
Significant supply of dedicated industrial land in single ownership
parcels facilitating major economic or social infrastructure
development overtime
The main disadvantages with the precinct include the following:
No land sales in the precinct since 2006;
Distance from major population densities and labour markets;
Poor standard of existing road infrastructure;
Lack of transport options due to northern railway crossing;
Lack of existing industrial development to attract investment;
Lack of infrastructure and services networks (water, sewer,
telecommunications) requirements;
Topographical constraints and environmental concerns limiting
feasibility and certainty of development for industrial purposes;
and
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 36 | 61
Cost of establishment and development due to topographical
constraints and infrastructure.
Laurieton
The Laurieton industrial area is around 40.4km south of Port
Macquarie CBD along Pacific Highway or 33km south along Ocean
Drive. The Laurieton precinct plays a local industrial service role for
the residents of the local area and the southern end of the LGA.
Current zoning is IN2 Light industrial under Port Macquarie-Hastings
Local Environmental Plan 2011.
At the time of Hill PDA’s inspections, the users of the Laurieton Bay
Industrial Park included a mix of auto repairs and building suppliers
including East Coast Screw Piers, Dollar Saver Building Products,
Camden Haven Panel Works, Goodison B & B Smash Repairs, and
Camden Haven Motor Cycles, Laurieton Mufflers & Mechanics,
Camden Haven Auto Electrician, Laurieton Joinery, Boral Concrete,
Curtain Haven & Blinds, Moore Hire & Scaffold, Bayside Upholstery,
and Alloy Gates & Fences.
The following attributes of the Laurieton industrial area were
highlighted in the 2007 ILS:
The Laurieton Precinct comprises 6 properties covering 3.91ha of
zoned land of which 85.2% is fully developed.
The remaining vacant land is unconstrained for future
development.
Half the lots are less than 1,000sqm.
The Laurieton industrial area is considered self contained and
serviced by an internal road layout linking with Ocean Drive.
There is limited scope for expansion.
The precinct is in a good location relative to the Laurieton town
centre, is relatively flat but has little room for further expansion.
Council’s Land Inventory (2006) indicated there was around 0.6ha of
vacant industrial land in the Precinct. From aerial photography our
estimate is 1.1 hectares (the area of land entirely surrounded by
Bayside Circuit) which represents 28% of the total precinct size.
The main advantages with the precinct include the following:
Self-contained dedicated industrial area;
Large single ownership parcels;
85% developed;
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 37 | 61
Vacant supply is fully serviced, unconstrained flat industrial land;
Proximity to local centre, population density, labour market and
transport and distribution networks;
Good amenity; and
Presence of existing businesses
The main disadvantages with the precinct include the following:
Limited scope for expansion; and
Lack of opportunities for investment in land due to ownership
(single owner/developer )
Laurieton Working Waterfront
The precinct is located on the edge of the Camden Haven River
approximately 450m south of the Laurieton CBD.
The precinct plays a servicing role supporting the local fishing
industry and includes the Laurieton Fish Co-Op and adjoining Marina
and berthing facilities.
The precinct is 1 hectare and currently zoned IN4 Working
Waterfront
The main advantages with the precinct include the following:
Self-contained dedicated working waterfront precinct;
Fully serviced;
Proximity to Laurieton CBD, Camden Haven Waterways and River
entrance;
Precinct has high amenity; and
Anchor business as catalyst to surrounding development.
The main disadvantage with the precinct is having very little scope for
expansion.
Sancrox
The Sancox industrial area is located 12km from Port Macquarie CBD.
The following attributes of the Sancrox industrial area were
highlighted in the 2007 ILS:
The Sancrox Precinct, which is only three land parcels, comprises
16.36ha of zoned land of which 58.5% was fully developed.
The Precinct remains the most recent precinct to be rezoned to
4(a) General Industrial to accommodate the existing Expressway
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 38 | 61
Spares premises and to facilitate the development of an
engineering workshop on adjoining land to the south.
The RTA, Council and landowners are negotiating an overpass
south of Sancrox Road to enable improved access to Precinct
to/from the upgraded and realigned Pacific Highway.
Council’s Land Inventory in 2006 indicated there was around 6.8ha
of vacant industrial land in the Precinct. Late 2014 aerial
photography showed that all the sites south of Sancrox Road were
fully developed.
Since the last review 54 hectares of developable land north of
Sancrox Road was rezoned to IN1 and IN2. Current zoning in Sancrox
is IN1 General Industrial (71.4ha) and IN2 Light Industrial (14ha)
under Port Macquarie-Hastings Local Environmental Plan 2011.
The precinct is a new industrial release area intended for a range of
new businesses and industrial opportunities. The role of the precinct
is to meet longer term industrial employment demand.
The area is ideal for further industrial expansion, predominantly for
warehousing, transport, logistics and some manufacturing. Its
attributes are:
The Precinct is not quite flat, with pockets of vegetation but in
comparison to other locations is relatively unconstrained.
The Precinct is well located for good access to other regional
locations like Kempsey and Taree.
Regional based businesses are more appropriate for the area
than local service oriented industries.
There are few land use conflicts with surrounding residential
land.
Port Macquarie is expanding west with significant residential
growth planned for between Wauchope and Port Macquarie with
70% of residential growth to be located in this corridor.
The main advantages with Sancrox include the following:
Major dedicated employment precinct;
Proximity to key regional transport and freight corridors via
Sancrox Interchange including Pacific and Oxley Highways,
Airport and distribution networks;
Proximity and access to significant local and growing labour
market in the broader Port Macquarie-Hastings area;
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 39 | 61
Well positioned for regional based business, distribution
warehousing, logistics and manufacturing;
Large expanse of land offering range of investment and
development opportunities;
Opportunities for Greenfield industrial development allowing
for diverse or customised industry operations;
Proximity to expanding urban growth corridor PMQ-
Wauchope; and
Existing major industrial development as catalyst to attract
further business industrial development.
The man disadvantages with Sancrox include the following:
Some topographical constraints in parts limiting development
feasibility;
Gaps in infrastructure and servicing; and
Cost of establishment and development due to topographical
constraints and servicing requirements.
Fernbank Creek Road
Since the last review 23 hectares of land at Fernbank Creek Road was
rezoned to IN1 General Industrial and IN2 Light Industrial. The
precinct is on the east side of the Pacific Highway from Sancrox and
around 7km from Port Macquarie CBD.
The precinct is viewed both as a future extension of the Sancrox
Employment Precinct given the opening of the overpass due at the
end of 2015. Potentially the precinct could also develop local service
industries to meet demand following the full absorption of industrial
land in Area 13.
The main advantages with Fernbank include the following:
Major dedicated industrial precinct;
Proximity to key regional transport and freight corridors via
Sancrox Interchange including Pacific and Oxley Highways,
Airport and distribution networks;
Proximity and access to significant local and growing labour
market in the broader Port Macquarie-Hastings area;
Large land parcels in single ownership;
Opportunities for Greenfield industrial development allowing
for diverse or customised industry operations;
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 40 | 61
Well positioned on fringe of expanding urban growth corridor;
and
Proximity to growing resident labour market to support local
service industry operations.
The main disadvantages with Fernbank include the following:
No existing or catalyst industry east of the highway;
Gaps in infrastructure and servicing; and
Cost of establishment and development due to topographical
constraints and servicing requirements.
Partridge Creek (Area 13 Thrumster)
Partridge Creek Industrial Precinct is located south of the Port
Macquarie Airport.
Current zoning is IN2 Light industrial under Port Macquarie-Hastings
Local Environmental Plan 2011.
The main advantages with Fernbank include the following:
Dedicated industrial precinct
Proximity to key local transport and freight corridors via Oxley
Highway
Proximity to key employment hubs including Port Macquarie
Airport, Tertiary Education Campuses and Health Services
Infrastructure (Port Macquarie Base Hospital)
Well positioned in expanding urban growth corridor
Proximity and access to resident population as catalyst to local
service industry development
Access to growing labour market in key growth corridor
Large land parcels in single ownership
Opportunities for Greenfield industrial development allowing
for diverse or customised light industry operations
Potential to attract local service industrial investment
Separation from other sensitive land uses reducing potential
for land use conflicts;
The main disadvantages with Fernbank include the following:
Lack of established infrastructure and servicing;
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 41 | 61
Cost of establishment and development due to topographical
constraints and servicing requirements;
Some topographical and airport operational constraints may limit
final development outcomes; and
Lack of direct access to John Oxley Drive
Lindfield Park Road
The Lindfield Park Road precinct comprises 7.4ha of land on the
northern side of the proposed Oxley Highway bypass at the
intersection of Oxley Highway and Lindfield Park Road. This area is
zoned IN2 Light Industrial.
Hill PDA’s review of the Port Macquarie-Hastings Retail Strategy
(2010) indicated there is a shortage of sites in the LGA for future
growth of bulky goods retailing. Given that there are no remaining
sites in Lake Road and Hastings River Drive for this land use, the best
location for further bulky goods expansion is around Lindfield Park
Road, north and south of new and old Oxley Highway. Around 6ha to
8ha would be required to accommodate this option.
The main advantages with Lindfield Park Road include the following:
Dedicated light industrial precinct;
Proximity to key local transport and freight corridors via Oxley
Highway;
Proximity to key employment hubs including Port Macquarie
Airport, Tertiary Education and Health Services Infrastructure
(CSU, Port Macquarie Base Hospital);
Well positioned in expanding urban growth corridor;
Proximity and access to resident population as catalyst to local
service industry development;
Large single ownership parcels; and
Opportunities for greenfield.
The main disadvantages with Lindfield Park Road include the
following:
Lack of established infrastructure and servicing; and
Cost of establishment and development due to servicing
requirements, including water quality management.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 42 | 61
Kew
The Kew Industrial Precinct is a dedicated light industrial precinct
servicing Kew Village and surrounds. The precinct comprises a single
parcel of land 1.2ha zoned IN2 light industrial to the north of the
village and 1.8ha of IN2 land to the southeast of the village. Both
parcels are largely vacant.
The precinct plays a local servicing role for residents of Laurieton,
Kendall and the surrounding rural catchments.
The main advantages with Kew include the following:
Self-contained dedicated light industrial area/s servicing local
residents;
Proximity to local business centre, local population, and key
regional and local transport and distribution networks - Pacific
Highway and Ocean Drive;
large single ownership parcels;
Greenfield release areas;
Vacant supply is relatively unconstrained and in close proximity
to existing services;
Good amenity; and
Presence of existing businesses in adjoining village
The main disadvantage with Kew is gaps in infrastructure.
Proposed Development
Area 14 (Lake Cathie/Bonny Hills)
The Area 14 Masterplan (2004) encompasses the existing urban areas of
Lake Cathie and Bonny Hills as well as relatively constraint free land
around the villages. The total projected industrial land requirement in
the Masterplan was 15.9ha. The location of employment land in this
location is advantages for the following reasons:
Relatively flat.
Good location on the main coastal road.
Local industrial services will be attracted to the site.
However the majority of the site is subject to flooding. As a result
only around 4ha is considered developable.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 43 | 61
North Kew
The 2007 ILS included land identified as North Kew (around 1km
north of Kew village) as suitable for investigation as future industrial
land supply, notwithstanding a lack of access to the realigned Pacific
Highway, and other constraints.
The site has not been included within the urban footprint in the Mid-
North Coast Regional Strategy (2006-2031) and is consequently not
included in the Urban Growth Strategy.
North West Interchange
It is recognised the Mid-North Coast Regional Strategy (2006-2031)
proposes employment land on the north-western side of the
intersection of the Oxley and Pacific Highways. Industrial
development on this site may not be the most appropriate kind of
employment land use given the ‘point of arrival’ or ‘gateway’
characteristics of this location.
Industrial Zones
The main zones for industrial and out of centre business zones in Port
Macquarie Hastings are:
IN1 (General Industrial);
IN2 (Light Industrial);
B5 (Business Development); and
B7 (Business Park).
IN1 General Industrial
The objectives of the zone are as follows:
To provide a wide range of industrial and warehouse land uses;
To encourage employment opportunities;
To minimise any adverse effect of industry on other land uses;
To support and protect industrial land for industrial uses; and
To enable other land uses that provide facilities or services to
meet the day to day needs of workers in the area
The list of permissible land uses include Depots; Freight transport
facilities; General industries; Hardware and building supplies;
Industrial training facilities; Kiosks; Landscaping material supplies;
Light industries; Medical centres; Neighbourhood shops; Plant
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 44 | 61
nurseries; Pubs; Roads; Rural supplies; Take away food and drink
premises; Timber yards; Vehicle sales or hire premises; Warehouse or
distribution centres
There is an extensive list of prohibited land uses including rural,
residential and commercial (office and retail). Any use not prohibited
is permissible with consent.
The purpose of this zone is to accommodate industrial uses and
employment and to protect land for these purposes. This zone is
used extensively in the large industrial estates including the Lake
Road area, Sancrox and Bago Road.
IN2 Light Industrial
The objectives of the zone are as follows:
To provide a wide range of light industrial, warehouse and
related land uses.
To encourage employment opportunities and to support the
viability of centres.
To minimise any adverse effect of industry on other land uses.
To enable other land uses that provide facilities or services to
meet the day to day needs of workers in the area.
To support and protect industrial land for industrial uses.
This zone has similar permissible land uses to IN1 except that freight
transport facilities and general industries are not permissible. Light
industries are permissible along with hardware, building supplies,
landscape supplies and the other uses in the IN1 zone.
The purpose of this zone is to ensure that heavier industries or
industries that can potentially interfere with amenity are excluded.
This zone is used in smaller precincts, particularly precincts that are
in close proximity to residential and commercial zones. A number of
them are located on the fringe of commercial centres to provide local
urban services and support those centres. Examples include Kew and
Laurieton.
IN3 Heavy Industrial
The purpose of this zone is to provide land for heavy industry in a
location with adequate separation from other land uses. Permissible
uses in the zone include Depots; Freight transport facilities; General
industries; Hazardous storage establishments; Heavy industries;
Kiosks; Offensive storage establishments; Roads; Take away food and
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 45 | 61
drink premises; Warehouse or distribution centres. Light industrial
uses are excluded – presumably this is to preserve these sites for
heavy industry uses.
The only area with an IN3 zone is Herons Creek which was initially
conceived to be Port Macquarie Hastings heavy industry precinct. It
includes Boral’s Timber Processing Plant, completed in 2006.
IN4 Working Waterfront
The objectives of the IN4 zone are as follows:
To retain and encourage waterfront industrial and maritime
activities.
To identify sites for maritime purposes and for activities that
require direct waterfront access.
To ensure that development does not have an adverse impact on
the environmental and visual qualities of the foreshore.
To encourage employment opportunities.
To minimise any adverse effect of development on land uses in
other zones.
To enable other land uses that provide facilities or services to
meet the day to day needs of workers in the area.
To ensure that industrial activities located in the zone require
direct waterfront access or are associated with other industrial
activities that require direct waterfront access.
Permissible uses include Boat building and repair facilities; Boat
launching ramps; Industrial training facilities; Jetties; Kiosks; Light
industries; Roads; Take away food and drink premises; Wharf or
boating facilities.
This zone only applies in two areas – Birdon Marine and Laurieton
Working Waterfront.
B5 Business Development
The objectives of the B5 zone are as follows:
To enable a mix of business and warehouse uses, and bulky
goods premises that require a large floor area, in locations that
are close to, and that support the viability of, centres.
To minimise conflict between land uses within the zone and with
adjoining zones.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 46 | 61
To ensure that new developments make a positive contribution
to the public domain and streetscape.
Permissible land uses include Bulky goods premises; Child care
centres; Food and drink premises; Garden centres; Hardware and
building supplies; Kiosks; Landscaping material supplies; Light
industries; Neighbourhood shops; Passenger transport facilities; Plant
nurseries; Respite day care centres; Roads; Self storage units; Vehicle
sales or hire premises; Warehouse or distribution centres.
The three main precincts zoned B5 are part Lake Road precinct (Lake
Road, Central Road, Barton Cres and Milton Cres), Bellbowrie and
Hastings River Drive. The land uses in these zones include hardware
and home supplies, bulky goods, wholesale businesses, car sales
yards and the like.
Where used, the B5 zone has been applied to land close to existing
centres, where employment generating uses such as offices,
warehouse, large format retail premises and automotive retailing and
services are to be encouraged to support the viability of the centre.
B7 Business Park
The main difference between B7 and the other above zones is that
office premises are permissible. Notwithstanding a key zoning
objective is that development does not conflict with the hierarchy of
business and retail centres.
The only area of B7 in Port Macquarie is the airport site.
Summary of Supply
The Port Macquarie-Hastings Industrial Land Strategy (2007 ILS)
examined and surveyed all industrial zoned land across the LGA,
providing recommendations as to industrial land supply, demand and
priority of locations for further investigation. It’s understood supply
in the 2007 ILS was deduced from Council’s GIS mapping data.
The 2007 ILS indicated there was around 333.51ha of zoned industrial
land of which 202.84ha was developed and 130.67ha was vacant. The
2007 ILS also indicated that only 70.61ha (54%) of total vacant land
was unconstrained and available for development. Land that is
heavily constrained is concentrated in Herons Creek.
A further constraint to industrial land supply is the take up of land
zoned for industrial land use by bulky goods retail in the Bellbowrie,
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 47 | 61
Hastings River Drive and Lake Road precincts which has increased
industrial land supply pressures in those areas.
Hill PDA has updated the supply side in 2009-10 and again in 2015 to
reflect new development, rezonings and changes in the market (as
indicated in preceding sections of this Chapter) since the 2007 ILS,
with results indicated in the following table.
Table 6 –Supply of Industrial Land in Port Macquarie-Hastings LGA (2015)
Precinct Total Zoned
Land (ha)
Total Developed
Land (ha)
Total Vacant
Land (ha)
Area 13 (Thrumster) 32.4 - 32.4
Lindfield Park Road 7.3 - 7.3
Lake Road 101.0 98.1 2.9
Bellbowrie 11.1 10.8 0.3
Hastings River Drive 18.8 17.9 0.9
Birdon Marine 6.4 2.7 3.7
Airport 24.3 5.6 18.7
Wauchope CBD 14.3 12.3 2.0
Bago Road 117.2 60.8 56.4
Herons Creek 80.7 6.0 74.7
Laurieton 4.4 3.8 0.6
Laurieton Working Waterfront 1.0 0.9 0.1
Sancrox 85.4 26.2 59.2
Fernbank Creek Rd 23.3 - 23.3
Kew 3.0 - 3.0
Total 530.6 245.1 285.5
Source: AEC Group (2007) updated by Hill PDA and Council (2015)
The table above indicates there is currently 530ha of zoned industrial
land across the LGA, of which around 245ha of land is developed and
286ha is zoned and vacant.
Removing what is constrained (Herons Creek 75ha) there is around
211ha of vacant suitable industrial land available to the market.
There are also a couple of sites in the planning stages of investigation
and possible future rezoning as shown below.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 48 | 61
Table 7 - Port Macquarie-Hastings Investigation Areas (2009)
Proposed Development Total Site Area (ha) Developable Land (ha)
Airport Precinct 40 10
Area 14 (Lake Cathie/Bonny Hills) 9 4
Total 49 14
Based on the preceding analysis in this Chapter, there is around 14ha
of land currently under investigation for industrial land development,
which is considered developable. This brings total developable
vacant land supply to around 225ha.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 49 | 61
INDUSTRIAL LAND DEMAND 5
The previous chapter provided an appraisal of industrial land supply
in the LGA. This chapter forecasts demand for industrial land based
on population growth and considers the need, if any, for future
rezoning of land.
Population Projections
In 2006, the total population of the local government area was
estimated to be 71,285 people. By 2011 it had increased to 74,955 – an
average annual increase of 1.01%. Population growth is to continue
until 2016, with the strongest growth anticipated between 2016 and
2036 (1.3% per annum). The forecast of population is provided below:
Table 8 - Population Forecast for Port Macquarie-Hastings to 2036 (2015)
Locality 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Camden Haven East 5,941 6,023 6,156 6,250 6,347 6,451
Camden Haven West 3,084 3,205 3,673 4,015 4,407 4,753
Flynns Beach 2,144 2,181 2,231 2,244 2,267 2,301
Hastings River Canals 2,513 2,762 2,891 2,895 2,884 2,880
Inner West Port 2,343 2,337 2,439 2,590 2,814 3,033
Innes Peninsula 3,110 4,109 5,151 6,276 7,030 7,318
Lake Cathie - Bonny Hills 6,024 6,559 7,433 8,341 9,219 10,143
Lighthouse Beach - Greenmeadows 11,805 11,950 12,441 12,825 12,979 13,016
Lord Street 1,739 1,862 1,963 2,124 2,357 2,592
Port Macquarie Rural Fringe 3,386 3,596 3,866 4,119 4,664 5,320
Rural 6,564 6,801 7,024 7,258 7,478 7,675
Shelly Beach - Bellevue Hill 11,060 11,242 11,371 11,452 11,556 11,693
Thrumster 162 754 2,362 3,958 5,647 7,682
Town Beach - CBD 900 1,118 1,241 1,384 1,484 1,611
Wauchope 6,911 7,290 7,661 8,063 8,446 8,883
Westport 7,268 7,354 7,378 7,481 7,493 7,575
Total 74,955 79,144 85,280 91,276 97,072 102,926
Source: Forecast.ID
Resident Workforce Projections
To forecast resident workforce growth the 2007 ILS assumed that the
total available resident workforce is generally around 45% of the
total population. However, this proportion assumes full employment
and no leakage of employees to outside the LGA.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 50 | 61
To reflect scenarios of growth and change, the 2007 ILS adopted
three workforce participation rates being:
Low Workforce Participation of 34%;
High Workforce Participation of 39%; and
Full Workforce Participation of 45%.
In 2011 there were 27,625 working residents, equivalent to around
38% of the population (ABS Census 2011). Whilst this is lower than
the AEC assumption of 45%, it is more representative of a regional
location. Even so, HillPDA has adopted a resident workforce
participation rate scenario of 45% of the population as a target for
the LGA.
Adopting:
revised population growth projections;
the 2011 actual resident workforce as indicated in the ABS
Census; and
the ILS assumptions of low, high and full scenarios of growth and
change (34%, 39% and 45% respectively) -
the following resident worker projections result.
Table 9 - Resident Workforce Projections to 2036 (2015)
Scenario 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Low Participation (34%) 25,485 26,909 28,995 31,034 33,004 34,995
High Participation (39%) 29,232 30,866 33,259 35,598 37,858 40,141
Full Participation (45%) 33,730 35,615 38,376 41,074 43,682 46,317
Source: ABS 2011 Census and Hill PDA 2015
The revised projections result in a slightly lower forecast resident
worker growth than previously calculated in the 2007 ILS. This is due
to both lower forecast population growth and a lower actual
workforce participation rate in 2011 than previously assumed in the
2007 ILS.
Note that for the purpose of land use planning the scenario of full
participation should be adopted to ensure sufficient supply of land.
Resident Workforce by Industry
The 2007 ILS further broke down resident workforce by sector, based
on the proportion of the workforce employed in each industry sector
as reported in the 2001 Census. This assumed:
2.73% work in heavy industry;
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 51 | 61
4.10% work in modern general industry;
3.10% work in transport, warehousing and storage; and
4.47% work in supporting industry.
Using these same assumptions, resident workforce by industry is
forecast below.
Table 10 - Resident Workforce Projections by Industry to 2036 (2011)
Low Participation (34%) 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Heavy Industry 701 740 798 854 908 963
Modern General Industry 1,053 1,112 1,198 1,283 1,364 1,446
Transport, Warehousing and Storage 796 841 906 970 1,031 1,094
Supporting Industry 1,148 1,212 1,306 1,398 1,487 1,577
Total 3,699 3,906 4,209 4,505 4,791 5,080
High Participation (39%) 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Heavy Industry 773 816 880 942 1,001 1,062
Modern General Industry 1,161 1,226 1,321 1,414 1,504 1,595
Transport, Warehousing and Storage 878 927 999 1,069 1,137 1,206
Supporting Industry 1,266 1,337 1,440 1,542 1,640 1,739
Total 4,079 4,307 4,640 4,967 5,282 5,601
Full Participation (45%) 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Heavy Industry 840 887 955 1,023 1,088 1,153
Modern General Industry 1,261 1,332 1,435 1,536 1,633 1,732
Transport, Warehousing and Storage 954 1,007 1,085 1,161 1,235 1,309
Supporting Industry 1,375 1,452 1,564 1,674 1,781 1,888
Total 4,430 4,677 5,040 5,394 5,737 6,082
Source: AEC Group (2007) and Hill PDA 2015
Again, these estimates are lower than those forecast in the 2007 and
2010 studies due to both:
Slightly lower than projected population growth; and
The resident workforce in 2011 (based on ABS Census data) being
lower than that assumed by the 2007 ILS for the same year.
Industrial Land Demand
In calculating employment land demand the 2007 ILS assumed the
following rates of employees per hectare:
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 52 | 61
Heavy industry – 18 employees per hectare;
Modern general industry – 30 employees per hectare;
Transport, warehousing and storage – 20 employees per hectare;
and
Supporting land uses – 20 employees per hectare.
Based on these assumptions, the 2007 ILS forecast demand for an
additional 89ha to 118ha of industrial land to 2026.
The worker per hectare ratio is reasonable and generally accords
with non-metropolitan average. Hill PDA applied the above ratios of
employees per hectare to the amended resident worker forecasts to
determine forecast demand for industrial floorspace. However, Hill
PDA has assumed 30 employees per hectare for supporting land uses.
Table 11 - Industrial Land Demand to 2036 (2011) (hectares)
Low Participation (34%) 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Heavy Industry 39 41 44 47 50 53
Modern General Industry 35 37 40 43 45 48
Transport and Warehousing 40 42 45 48 52 55
Supporting Industry 38 40 44 47 50 53
Services (roads, utilities etc) 11 12 13 14 15 16
Open Space (buffers) 46 48 52 56 59 63
Total 209 221 238 255 271 287
High Participation (39%) 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Heavy Industry 43 45 49 52 56 59
Modern General Industry 39 41 44 47 50 53
Transport and Warehousing 44 46 50 53 57 60
Supporting Industry 42 45 48 51 55 58
Services (roads, utilities etc) 13 13 14 15 16 17
Open Space (buffers) 50 53 57 61 65 69
Total 231 244 262 281 299 317
Full Participation (45%) 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Heavy Industry 47 49 53 57 60 64
Modern General Industry 42 44 48 51 54 58
Transport and Warehousing 48 50 54 58 62 65
Supporting Industry 46 48 52 56 59 63
Services (roads, utilities etc) 14 14 16 17 18 19
Open Space (buffers) 55 58 62 67 71 75
Total 251 265 285 305 324 344
Source: AEC Group (2007) and Hill PDA 2015
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 53 | 61
The above results indicate Port Macquarie-Hastings LGA will need
287ha to 344ha of occupied industrial land to 2036. From the table
above growth in demand is 78ha to 93ha of additional occupied
industrial land. This is around 20 to 25 hectares less land than
required in the 2009 forecast. The above forecasts are summarised
by land use type below.
Table 12 - Industrial Land Demand by Land Use to 2036 (hectares)
Industrial Land Demand in 2036:
Low Participation
High Participation
Full Participation
Heavy Industry 53 59 64
Modern General Industry 48 53 58
Transport, Warehousing and Storage 55 60 65
Supporting Industry 53 58 63
Services (roads, utilities etc) 16 17 19
Open Space (buffers) 63 69 75
Total 287 317 344
Additional Industrial Land Required to 2036:
Low Participation
High Participation
Full
Participation
Heavy Industry 15 20 25
Modern General Industry 13 18 23
Transport, Warehousing and Storage 15 20 26
Supporting Industry 14 20 25
Services (roads, utilities etc) 4 6 7
Open Space (buffers) 17 23 29
Total 78 108 135
Source: Hill PDA 2015
Given the current vacant supply of 211 hectares (net of Herons
Creek) plus 48 hectares in the pipeline, we estimate that there is
around 2 to 3 times more land than required by 2036.
Notwithstanding strong supply the geographical distribution of the
vacant land may not always match demand as described in the next
section.
Local Service Industrial Demand
To determine local and district industrial land supply, the 2007 ILS
assumed 50% of demand should be met by local business and industry.
The 2007 ILS divided this local service industrial demand into heavy,
modern general, transport/ warehousing/ storage, supporting
industry, services and open space. Hill PDA would question whether
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 54 | 61
heavy industry would locate on land reserved for local service
industries in small urban areas (e.g. Lake Cathie/Bonny Hills). For this
reason, Hill PDA only calculated total local service industrial demand
based on population forecasts and this is presented in the table below.
Table 13 - Additional Local Service Industrial Land Demand by Location to 2036 (hectares)
Precinct Low
Participation High
Participation Full
Participation
Camden Haven 3.0 4.2 5.3
Flynns Beach - - -
Kings Creek - Sancrox - Lake Innes 5.9 8.1 10.1
Lake Cathie - Bonny Hills 5.7 7.9 9.9
Lighthouse Beach - Greenmeadows 1.7 2.3 2.9
Port Macquarie - Innes Pen 1.2 1.6 2.1
Rural North 2.7 3.7 4.7
Rural West – South 1.6 2.1 2.7
Shelly Beach - Bellevue Hill 0.9 1.2 1.5
Area 13 (Thrumster) 12.2 16.8 21.0
Town Beach – CBD 1.0 1.4 1.7
Wauchope 2.8 3.8 4.8
Westport 0.4 0.6 0.7
Total 39.0 53.8 67.4
Source: Hill PDA 2015
The table above indicates for example, Lake Cathie-Bonny Hills demands
an additional 6ha to 10ha of local service industrial land to 2036.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 55 | 61
INDUSTRIAL LAND STRATEGY 6
Industrial Land Demand versus Supply
There is 530ha of industrial zoned land in Port Macquarie-Hastings
LGA, of which around 245ha of land is developed and 285ha is zoned
and vacant. However removing Herons Creek, which is constrained,
there is around 210ha of vacant suitable industrial land available to
the market.
Based on population forecasts the Port Macquarie-Hastings LGA will
demand an additional 78ha to 93ha of industrial land to 2036
indicating there is sufficient supply to meet demand.
However there is the possibility that the takeup of land in the
Sancrox will be higher than expected given its attributes in the wider
region. Also there remain a couple of areas – namely Lake Cathie/
Bonny Hills and Camden Haven/Kew where suitable zoned land is still
insufficient to meet future demand for local services.
For the longer term, additional land may be required in order to
ensure that future industrial land, beyond 2036, is continued to be
made available. Such land needs to be sufficient to:
Facilitate market choice;
Maintain affordability;
Allow for expected loss of yield in some areas due to constraints;
and
Be located appropriately in relation to urban growth and market
preference.
To address long term industrial demand, an appropriate location for
investigation may be between the Sancrox Employment Precinct and
the Oxley Highway due to:
The proximity of both the Oxley and Pacific Highways;
Agglomeration opportunities with the Sancrox Employment
Precinct; and
The potential for this future land to further improve access to the
Sancrox Employment Precinct.
Strategy Recommendations
The general industrial land strategy for Port Macquarie-Hastings as
provided in the 2007 ILS should be maintained. Namely, that:
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 56 | 61
The majority of future industrial land supply is to be
concentrated in the Sancrox Precinct;
Additional light and general service industrial supply to cater for
employment opportunities in the new Growth Areas being Area
13 (Thrumster), 14 (Lake Cathie/Bonny Hills) and 15
(Kew/Lakewood); and
Retention of a Business Technology Park at Port Macquarie
Airport and provision of additional investigation area for other
industrial uses to account for further need for industrial land
within the Port Macquarie urban area.
Notwithstanding the above, the following should also be considered:
Bago Road, Wauchope
It is recognised that Port Macquarie is expanding west with
significant residential expansion planned for between Wauchope and
Port Macquarie, with 70% of growth to be located in this corridor.
Whilst Wauchope has received much of this residential growth, the
Bago Road Industrial area has historically had slow take up rates due
to its location.
The location of Bago Road has been a major constraint to its
expansion with poor accessibility and isolated location from the
Pacific Highway. Furthermore, its inferior location to other industrial
precincts in the LGA such as Lake Road and Hastings River Drive has
hampered its marketability.
Upgrade works on Pacific Highway and Oxley Highway will improve
the access issues for Bago Road making it a locational choice for
future businesses. It’s likely however that regional businesses,
transport and warehousing will find Sancrox more attractive due to
its proximity to the Pacific Highway.
Given that the precinct has around 56 hectares of vacant
employment lands and growth in demand is modest, alternative land
uses and/or rezoning could be considered by Council.
Port Macquarie Airport
The PMHUGMS 2011 identifies 41.5ha of additional land at the
Airport, including land east-west grass runway and other land to the
east of the Airport, along Boundary Street, as a key site (known as the
‘Airport Precinct Employment Lands’) for investigation for service
industry and business park industrial uses, with a notional supply
timing of less than 5 years. The proposed additional land would lend
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 57 | 61
itself to the introduction of higher technology, freight, logistics and
aviation affiliated industries, to underpin the Airport’s regional role in
ongoing economic development of Port Macquarie LGA and the Mid
North Coast.
Council has recently commenced work to prepare a planning
proposal in relation to rezoning these proposed employment
lands. The aim is to reinforce the Airport Precinct as a significant
gateway to Port Macquarie and to ensure that future development is
compatible with future airport operations, including height, lighting
and other potential impacts.
Its proximity to Port Macquarie CBD and its broader urban area.
Its proximity to Hastings River Drive and the Airport operations
itself.
The availability of relatively flat, vacant, unconstrained land ready
for development.
The land is appropriate for a range of aviation related uses including -
couriers, airfreight, logistics, services relating to airport,
manufacturing, light aircraft manufacture, aircraft maintenance and
repairs, search and rescue, aerial surveillance, aircraft
instrument/electrical installation, charter operations, aircraft
restoration, flying training, petrol/fuelling, skydiving operations,
helicopter operators, and emergency services.
Apart from aviation related uses, the site is appropriate for high
technology and campus style business park development.
John Oxley Drive and Lindfield Park Road
Lindfield Park Road, north and south of new and old Oxley Highway
provides a good location for future hardware, building and landscape
supplies given its proximity and visibility. It is understood that bulky
goods is not permissible however the area is currently under
investigation. The northeast corner of the area bounded by John
Oxley Drive and Oxley Highway has recently been rezoned to permit
a large format bulky goods and/or hardware retailer.
Around 16 hectares is further under investigation. This could
accommodate uses that may have a synergistic relationship with the
Hospital and CSU precinct.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 58 | 61
Area 14 (Lake Cathie/Bonny Hills)
The demand analysis within this report indicates the Lake Cathie/Bonny
Hills area demands around 6 to 10ha of local service industrial land. Hill
PDA understands there is only around 4ha of land developable within
the identified growth area of Lake Cathie/Bonny Hills due to flooding
constraints. Either an alternative site or additional land will be required
to meet demand in this location.
Area 15 (Camden Haven/Kew)
The above analysis indicates Camden Haven area will demand around
3ha to 4ha of additional local service industrial land. 3.0 hectares was
recently zoned IN2 Light Industrial being two parcels of land – 1.2
hectares immediately north of the village centre and 1.8 hectares in the
southeast at No. 2 Ocean Drive. These two sites are probably sufficient
in the short term but insufficient in size to meet long term growth (say
beyond 2026).
Priority of Investigations
Table 9.1 in the 2007 ILS provides the summary of the strategy. It
prioritises the investigations and rezoning of land based on time and
site types. The site types are described in Section 8.3 of the 2007 ILS
are reinstated as follows:
Site Type (I) - Large dedicated industrial sites capable of
accommodating staged development for a range of larger, export
orientated industrial uses, including transport, logistics and light
and general industry in a location on the Pacific Highway not
constrained environmentally, on flat land, proximate to the
labour force and with access to essential infrastructure services.
Site Type (II) - Smaller, appropriately sized industrial areas to provide
local services to emerging populations, including Area 13
(Thrumster) ha, Area 14 (Bonny Hills) and Area 15 (Camden Haven).
Site Type (III) - Large dedicated site close to the urban area of
Port Macquarie to accommodate future local services growth,
accommodate any transferred demand from the rezoning of
industrial areas to commercial, and to accommodate emerging
business technology park style development.
Site Type (IV) - Identification of a site to cluster additional marine
industry with existing operations and major marine infrastructure
such as the slipway.
Furthermore, the UGMS uses the following terms:
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 59 | 61
Short term: within 10 years;
Medium term: 10 to 20 years; and
Long term: more than 20 years.
Site Type (I) has now been addressed with the rezoning of land in the
Sancrox and Fernbank Creek Road areas and the construction of the
overpass.
The following table prioritises investigations of potential future
industrial land areas.
Table 14 - Priority of Investigation and Supply of Future Industrial Land Areas to 2031* Subject to further investigation
The area south of Sancrox to the Oxley Highway provides potential
for long term industrial growth if, and when, demand is warranted.
Should the market take up of land in the Sancrox and Fernbank Creek
Road area occur faster than expected then the rezoning of this land
can be advanced.
Site Type
Site Role & Land Use Total Site Area (ha)
Estimated Develop-able Land
(ha)
Investi-gation Timing (years)
Notional Supply Timing (years)
Zone
III Airport Precinct Major new Port Macquarie site for business technology and local services growth
40 10 < 3 < 5 B7
II Area 14 (Lake Cathie/Bonny Hills)
Local industrial area meeting Area 14 needs
9 4 < 3 < 5 IN2
III John Oxley Drive and Oxley Hwy
Possibilities include hardware, home supplies, bulky goods, light industrial and/or businesses associated with Hospital and CSU
8 8 Current < 5 IN2 and/or B5
II Area 15 (Camden Haven/Kew)
Local industrial site meeting Area 15 needs. Additional land to be identified
5-10 5-15 IN2
TOTAL 57 22
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 60 | 61
Disclaimer
1. This report is for the confidential use only of the party to whom it is addressed
("Client") for the specific purposes to which it refers and has been based on,
and takes into account, the Client’s specific instructions. It is not intended to be
relied on by any third party who, subject to paragraph 3, must make their own
enquiries in relation to the issues with which this report deals.
2. Hill PDA makes no representations as to the appropriateness, accuracy or
completeness of this report for the purpose of any party other than the Client
("Recipient"). Hill PDA disclaims all liability to any Recipient for any loss, error
or other consequence which may ari se as a result of the Recipient acting,
relying upon or using the whole or part of this report's contents.
3. This report must not be disclosed to any Recipient or reproduced in whole or in
part, for any purpose not directly connected to the project for which Hill PDA
was engaged to prepare the report, without the prior written approval of Hill
PDA. In the event that a Recipient wishes to rely upon this report, the Recipient
must inform Hill PDA who may, in its sole discretion and on specified terms,
provide its consent.
4. This report and its attached appendices are based on estimates, assumptions
and information provided by the Client or sourced and referenced from
external sources by Hill PDA. While we endeavour to check these estimates,
assumptions and information, no warranty is given in relation to their
reliability, feasibility, accuracy or reasonableness. Hill PDA presents these
estimates and assumptions as a basis for the Client’s interpretation and
analysis. With respect to forecasts, Hill PDA does not present them as results
that will actually be achieved. Hill PDA relies upon the interpretation of the
Client to judge for itself the likelihood of whether these projections can be
achieved or not.
5. Due care has been taken to prepare the attached financial models from
available information at the time of writing, however no responsibility can be
or is accepted for errors or inaccuracies that may have occurred either with the
programming or the resultant financial projections and their assumptions.
6. This report does not constitute a valuation of any property or interest in
property. In preparing this report Hill PDA has relied upon information
concerning the subject property and/or proposed development provided by the
Client and Hill PDA has not independently verified this information except
where noted in this report.
7. In relation to any valuation which is undertaken for a Managed Investment
Scheme (as defined by the Managed Investments Act 1998) or for any lender
that is subject to the provisions of the Managed Investments Act, the following
clause applies:
This valuation is prepared on the assumption that the lender or addressee as
referred to in this valuation report (and no other) may rely on the valuation for
mortgage finance purposes and the lender has complied with its own lending
guidelines as well as prudent finance industry lending practices, and has
considered all prudent aspects of credit risk for any potential borrower,
including the borrower’s ability to service and repay any mortgage loan.
Further, the valuation is prepared on the assumption that the lender is
providing mortgage financing at a conservative and prudent loan to value ratio.
Port Macquarie Hastings Industrial Land Strategy Review 2015
Ref: C15223 HillPDA Page 61 | 61
ABN 52 003 963 755
Sydney
Level 3, 234 George Street
Sydney NSW 2000
GPO Box 2748 Sydney NSW 2001
t: +61 2 9252 8777
f: +61 2 9252 6077
Melbourne
Suite 114, 838 Collins Street
Docklands VIC 3008
t: +61 3 9629 1842
f: +61 3 9629 6315
Brisbane
Level 27 Santos Place, 32 Turbot Street
Brisbane QLD 4000
GPO Box 938 Brisbane QLD 4001
t: +61 7 3181 5644