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Mining Mining CompaniesCompanies
Lorna TamLorna Tam
Sandy GaoSandy Gao
Natalie KimNatalie Kim
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Luka MiodragovicLuka Miodragovic
What is Mining?
Mining is the extraction of valuable minerals or other Mining is the extraction of valuable minerals or other geological materials from the earth. geological materials from the earth.
Materials recovered by mining include Materials recovered by mining include Coal , copper, gold, silver, diamonds, iron, precious Coal , copper, gold, silver, diamonds, iron, precious
metals, lead, limestone, nickel, and phosphate. metals, lead, limestone, nickel, and phosphate.
Any material that cannot be grown from agricultural Any material that cannot be grown from agricultural processes, or created artificially, is usually mined. processes, or created artificially, is usually mined.
Mining Industry
Two sectorsTwo sectors
Specialization in exploration for new resourcesSpecialization in exploration for new resources typically made up of individuals and small mineral typically made up of individuals and small mineral
resource companies dependent on public investmentresource companies dependent on public investment
Specialization in actual miningSpecialization in actual mining typically large and multi-national companies sustained typically large and multi-national companies sustained
by mineral production from their mining operations by mineral production from their mining operations
Laws &
Regulations
Credit Risk
Interest Rate&
Foreign Exchange
Operational
Environmental
Market
Risks
Risks Associate With Mining
Market Risk
Revenues are highly dependant on market prices
Prices are affected by: Growth and political conditions of consuming economies Currency exchange fluctuations Global supply and demand Availability and cost of substitute materials Speculative activities Production levels and costs of other mining countries
Operational Risks
Geological problems, including earthquakes and other natural disasters
Occurrence of unusual weather or operating conditions
Metallurgical and other processing problems
Mechanical equipment failure and facility performance problems
Lower than expected ore grades or recovery rates estimates are based upon engineering evaluations of
assay values derived from samplings of drill holes and other openings
Delays in the receipt of or failure to receive necessary government permit
Uncertainty of exploration and development
Energy represents a significant portion of the production costs of our operations Electricity, diesel fuel and natural gas
Labour disputes Occupational health Labour standards
Operational Risks
Ability to attract and retain skilled and experienced employees
Shortage of skills could limit ability to meet contractual requirements
Industrial accidentsLong term sales contracts Loss of any contracts require company to sell at
prevailing market prices, which might expose it to lower metal prices compared to contract prices
Default or modification of the sales contracts could prohibit additional loans or require the immediate repayment of outstanding loans depending on covenants of credit facilities
Operational Risks
Mine closure regulations Operations in the United States are subject to various
federal and state mine closure and mined-land reclamation laws (requirements of these laws vary depending upon the jurisdiction
Bureau of Land Management (BLM) regulates mining operations located on unpatented mining claims located on federal public lands
Mines are required to post increasing amounts of financial assurance to ensure the availability of funds to perform future closure and reclamation
Operational Risks
Operational Risk In Foreign Countries
Political instability and civil strife
Changes in foreign laws and regulations, including those relating to the environment, labor, tax, royalties on mining activities, and dividends or repatriation of cash and other property to the US
Foreign currency fluctuations
Import, export, and trade regulations
Insurance
Cost of insurance dramatically increased as a result of worldwide economic conditions
Liability for environmental damage or other hazards which may be uninsurable or for which it may elect not to insure because of premium costs
Environmental Laws and Regulations
Regulations include: Clean Air Act Clean Water Act Resource Conservation and Recovery Act Metals Mines Reclamation Act
Laws are continually changing and becoming more restrictiveObtain permits issued by federal, state and local regulatory agencies Some require periodic renewal or review of conditions
which they cannot predict if they could renew or new conditions imposed
Subject to claims for natural resource damages where the release of hazardous substances is alleged to have injured natural resources
Compliance with these laws and regulations imposes substantial costs and significant potential liabilities
Often impose liability with respect to divested or terminated operations, even if the operations were terminated or divested many years ago
Parties to pay for remedial action or to pay damages regardless of fault
Environmental Laws and Regulations
Credit and Interest Rate Risk
Credit Risk Default or modification of sales contracts could prohibit
additional loans or require the immediate repayment of outstanding loans depending on covenants of credit facilities
Interest Rate Risk Financing for operations from credit facilities are sensitive to
interest rates
Important to hedge against interest rate risk so cash flow is not affected for operations
Phelps Dodge
Phelps Dodge (PD) is a producer of: Copper , Carbon black, Magnet wire, Continuous-cast
copper rodWorld’s major producer of copper and molybdenum
Consists of two divisions Phelps Dodge Mining Company (PDMC)
Integrated producer of copper and molybdenum Phelps Dodge Industries (PDI)
produces engineered products principally for the global energy sector
Acquisition of Phelps Dodge
Freeport-McMoRan bought out Phelps Dodge for $26 billion
Stockholders approved of the deal on March 21, 2007 98 percent of stockholder votes supported the merger
The largest publicly traded copper producer
Phelps Dodge shareholders are to receive $88 per share in cash and 0.67 of a share of Freeport stock (about $126.50 a share)
The buyout ends Phelps Dodge's 78-year run on the NYSE The new company will trade under the symbol of FCX
Future
If copper prices hold at the current rate of around $2.50 a pound, Freeport will be able to quickly pay off its debt. At existing prices, the new company will generate an estimated $6.5 billion in operating cash.
Will copper prices remain stable, allowing Freeport to quickly pay off the $17.5 billion in debt it took on to buy Phelps Dodge?
If copper price plunges, the new company may end up on the rocks. Freeport is partially financing the buyout with $6 billion in junk-based bonds and $10 billion in bank loans.
Sales
US Mining Operations Majority of the copper from Phelps Dodge’s US mining
operations is cast into rod Rod sales to outside wire and cable manufacturers
constitute 74% of PDMC’s US sales in 2006South American Mines Production is sold as copper concentrate or as copper
cathode. Candelaria mine sells copper concentrate to copper Asian
smelters(Japan) under long-term contracts Ojos del Salado concentrate is sold to local Chilean
smelters. Sales prices are based on LME prices
Worldwide Competitors
Primary US producers
Numerous foreign producers, metal merchants, custom refiners and scrap dealers
Some major producers outside the US have cost advantages richer ore grades, lower labor costs and, in some cases, a lack
of strict regulatory requirements US mines has less political risk
Other materials that compete with copper Aluminum, plastics, stainless steel and fiber optics
Recent Prices
COMEX copper prices averaging $3.089 per lb in 2006 $1.407 above the average for 2005
Metals Week Dealer Oxide mean price $24.75 per lb in 2006 decreased 22% from the 2005 mean price of $31.73 per lb
Copper and Molybdenum Price
Phelps Dodge’s reported ore reserves are economic at copper price of $2.02 per pound molybdenum price of $24.30 per pound
most-recent three-year historical average price
Phelps Dodge develops its business plans using a long-term average COMEX copper price of $1.05 per pound average molybdenum price of $5.00 per pound
The per lb COMEX copper price average $1.17(10 yr), $1.13(15 yr) and $1.12(20yr)
The per lb Metals Week molybdenum mean price $9.73(10yr), $7.88(15 yr) and $6.66(20yr)
Executives
J. Steven Whisler Chairman of the Company since May 2000 CEO since January 200 President from Dec. 1997 to Oct. 2003 Chief Operating Officer from Dec. 1997
to Jan. 2000 President for PDMC from 1991 to Oct. 1998 Joined Phelps Dodge’s corporate office in New York in 1981
University of Colorado, B.S. in business (accounting) University of Denver College of Law , J.D. Colorado School of Mines, M.S. in mineral economics and D. Sc. in engineering (Hon.) Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business SchoolCertified Public Accountant in the State of Arizona
Executives
Timothy R. Snider Elected President and COO in Nov. 2003 Senior Vice President from 1998 President and COO of FCX Began 37-year career with Phelps Dodge
as a laborer in underground miningoperations in Bisbee, Ariz.
Previous president of PDMC Northern Arizona University, B.S. in chemistry and geology
(1979) Advanced management program of the Wharton School at U.
Penn (1996)
Executives
Ramiro G. Peru Executive Vice President in Oct. 2004 Senior Vice President and CFO in Jan. 1999 Senior Vice President for Organization Development and
Information Technology from Jan. 1997 Vice President and Treasurer from 1995
Executives
Richard C. Adkerson CEO and director of Freeport-McMoRan
Copper & Gold Inc. Co-Chairman of the Board of McMoRan
Exploration Co. (MMR). Prior to joining Freeport-McMoRan in 1989,
he was a Partner and Managing Director of Arthur Andersen & Co., where he headed the firm’s Worldwide Oil and Gas Industry Practice.
From 1976 to 1978, he was a Professional Accounting Fellow with the Securities and Exchange Commission in Washington, D.C. and a Presidential Exchange Executive.
Mississippi State University, B.S. (Hon.), MBA degree.
Advanced Management Program of the Harvard Business School
Risk Factors
Copper and Molybdenum Price Volatility
Increased Energy Costs
Copper price Protection Programs
Pressure on the Copper Production Costs
Mine Closure Regulations
Subject to Complex and Evolving Laws and Regulations
Uncertain level of Ore Reserves
Operational Risks
Risk Factors
Copper and Molybdenum Price Volatility Copper market is volatile and cyclical
During the past 15 years, COMEX prices per lb have ranged from a high $4.076 to a low of 60.4 cents
Molybdenum market is more volatile and cyclical than copper During the past 15 years, Metals Week prices have ranged
from a high of $40.00 per lb to a low of $1.82 per lb
Copper Fixed-Price Rod Sales Hedging / Copper Price Protection Programs
Risk Factors
Increased Energy Costs Energy is a significant production cost Principal sources are electricity, diesel fuel and natural gasmulti-year energy contracts / self-generation / diesel fuel and
natural gas hedging / price protection programs
Pressure on Copper Production Costs Relatively high cost structure
Competitors’ mines located outside US have lower costs Due to strong demand, even high cost reserves are mined
Overall increase in worldwide production costs
Hedging Philosophy
“We do not purchase, hold or sell derivative financial instruments unless we have an exiting asset or obligation or we anticipate a future activity that is likely to occur and will result in exposing us to market risk. We do not enter into any instruments for speculative purposes. We use various strategies to manager our market risk, including the use of derivative instruments to limit, offset or reset or reduce our market exposure. Derivative financial instruments are used to manage well-defined commodity price, energy foreign exchange and interest rate risks from our primary business activities.”
Hedge Programs
Copper Fixed-Price Rod Sales HedgingCopper Price Protection ProgramsMetal Purchased HedgingGold and Silver Price Protection ProgramCopper Quotational Period Swap ProgramDiesel Fuel/Natural Gas Price Protection ProgramInterest Rate HedgingForeign currency Hedging
Fixed sales price instead of the COMEX average price
Enter copper futures and swap contracts
619M(2006), 492M(2005) and 381M(2004) lbs of copper sales were hedged
The sensitivity analysis of copper futures contracts to change in copper prices if copper prices dropped 10% at the end of 2006, copper
futures contracts would result in a net loss of $30M. All losses would have been offset by a gain in sales
Copper Fixed-Price Rod Sales Hedging
Protection against unanticipated copper price decreases
Purchase zero-premium copper collars and copper put options to protect 2005, 2006, and expected 2007 global copper production
These transactions do not qualify as hedge accounting treatment (SFAS No.133) Adjusted to fair market value based on the forward curve price
and implied volatility as of the last day of the recording period
Copper Price Protection
As of Dec.31, 2006, Phelps Dodge had for 2007 If the forward curve price had increased 10% at the end of
2006, option contracts would have reduced NI by $ 130M.
Copper Price Protection
Metal (aluminum, copper and lead) swap contracts to hedge metal purchase price exposure on fixed-price sales contracts
Metal hedge swaps for 57M (2006), 33M(2005) and 23M(2004) lbs of metal sales
As of Dec. 31, 2006, Phelps Dodge had outstanding swaps on 33M lbs of metal purchases maturing through Feb 2008
If market price had dropped a hypothetical 10% at the end of 2006, it would have had a net loss from the swap contracts of $5M. All losses would have been offset by a gain in purchases
Metal Purchase Hedging
Energy price protection programs for North American and Chilean operations to reduce its exposure to price increases in Diesel Fuel and Natural Gas products Combine diesel fuel and natural gas call option contracts and
fixed-price swaps
During 2006, 2005, and 2004, it had 58M, 61M and 56M gallons of diesel fuel purchases hedged, respectively. Gain in these hedge transactions were offset by a loss in the
underlying diesel fuel purchases
Diesel Fuel/Natural Gas Price Protection
Objectives Reduction of the variability in interest payments Protection against significant fluctuations in the fair value of
debt
However, as of Dec.31, 2006 and 2005, Phelps Dodge did not have any interest rate swap programs
Interest Rate Hedging
Forward exchange contracts or currency swaps to minimize Forward exchange contracts or currency swaps to minimize the effects of exchange and interest rates fluctuationthe effects of exchange and interest rates fluctuation Protect the functional currencies of international subsidiaries’ Protect the functional currencies of international subsidiaries’
transactionstransactions Exposures to the British Pound, Euro, South African Rand and Exposures to the British Pound, Euro, South African Rand and
U.S. Dollar. U.S. Dollar. As of Dec.31, 2006, it had forward exchange contracts As of Dec.31, 2006, it had forward exchange contracts
outstanding for $19M maturing through May 2007outstanding for $19M maturing through May 2007
A hypothetical negative exchange rate movement of 10% A hypothetical negative exchange rate movement of 10% would have resulted in a potential loss of $2M. would have resulted in a potential loss of $2M. The loss would have been offset by a gain in related underlying The loss would have been offset by a gain in related underlying
transactionstransactions
Foreign Currency Hedging
Incorporated in 1992 The only primary palladium producer in U.S. Common Shares:Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE: SWC)Current Stock Priceas of March 30, 2007: $ 12.73 Market Capitalization: $ 1,149 millionTotal Shares Outstanding: 91.60 million
Corporate Profile
Profile
One of the world's leading producers of platinum group metals (PGMs)The only significant primary producer of palladium in the Western Hemisphere Extraction: two mines in southern MontanaConcentration and refining: a site near Columbus, Montana, to a purity of 60% PGMs, then shipped to Johnson Matthey for final refining of palladium, platinum and other metals at a facility in New Jersey.
Profile
The Company's 28-mile long JM Reef in Montana is the highest grade ore-body containing platinum group metals (PGMs).
In 2006 the Company’s PGM production increased 8% to 601,000 ounces of PGMs.
In 2007 the company expects PGM production to increase by 5% and plan to increase its PGM capacity more than 800,000 ounces.
Proven Ore Reserves
Developed State
Upgrade infrastructure- 2006: Four major projects completed- 2007: smelter furnace addition
Increase proven reserves- Key driver on production growth- Primary development, diamond drilling
Transforming the Mines
Continue to Advance Safety systems
Increase Developed State of Mines
Expand selective mining methods
Increase production levels
Reduce operating costs
Officers
Francis R. McAllister (age 63) Francis R. McAllister (age 63)
Current Position:Current Position:Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive OfficerChairman of the Board and Chief Executive OfficerThe Board of Directors of Cleveland Cliffs, Incorporated, an iron ore The Board of Directors of Cleveland Cliffs, Incorporated, an iron ore mining company.mining company.
Education:Education: The Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business School The Advanced Management Program at Harvard Business School MBA from New York University MBA from New York University Bachelor of Science - Finance from the University of Utah Bachelor of Science - Finance from the University of Utah
Previous Positions:Previous Positions:Chairman and Chief Executive Officer with ASARCO Incorporated. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer with ASARCO Incorporated. Executive Vice President — Copper Operations with ASARCO Executive Vice President — Copper Operations with ASARCO Incorporated.Incorporated.Chief Financial Officer with ASARCO Incorporated.Chief Financial Officer with ASARCO Incorporated.various professional and management positions with ASARCO various professional and management positions with ASARCO Incorporated.Incorporated.
Officers
Gregory A. Wing (age 56)
Current Position: Chief Financial Officer
Education: M.B.A in Accounting and Finance from the University of California at BerkeleyBachelor of Arts in Physics from the University of California at Berkeley
Previous Positions:Vice President of Finance and Chief Financial Officer with Black Beauty Coal Company Manager of Financial Planning and Analysis with Pittsburg and Midway Coal Mining Company (a subsidiary of Chevron Corporation)Senior Analyst in Corporation Planning with Chevron Corporation
Risk Factors - Price
Sole Source of Revenue is sale of PGMs, so main risk is price fluctuationFactors beyond the company’s control that can influence the price: Global Supply & Demand Speculative Activities International Political and Economic Conditions Exchange Rates Production level and costs in other PGM
producing countries – mainly Russia and South Africa
Risk Factors - Price
Contraction in US could lead to volatility of PGM prices due to downturn in sale of automobiles and electronicsWeakening South African rand could make South African PGM producers more competitive
Risk Factors – Customers
Dependent on Ford and GM who are its two major customersLong-Term contracts locked in a priceGM and Ford bonds no longer investment gradeIf fail to pay, Company would have to sell at a possibly lower open market priceCompany may not be able to lock in good prices when contracts come up for renewal which would require it to curtail or shut down ops.
Risk Factors - Other
Relatively high cost primary producerDifficult to provide accurate production forecastsSome risks associated with mining may not be covered by insurancePossible liability for environmental damageUses hedging instruments which may lead to loss
Derivatives Usage
Fixed Forwards, Cashless Put and Call Collar Options and Financially Settled ForwardsUsed to Hedge Metal Prices and Interest Rate RiskLoss of $15.8 million in 2006Highly Effective Hedges – Fair Value of Derivatives offset changes in the hedged transaction very well due to high correlation between hedged transaction and financial instrument
Commodity Price Risk
Financially Settled Forwards accounted as cash flow hedgesFinancially Settled Forward contracts cover half of its anticipated platinum sales until June 2008.Hedged 113,500 ounces of platinum sales at an average price of approximately $988/ounce.
Other Comprehensive Income
Contains $31.1 million of realized hedging losses offset by $29.3 million change in fair value of derivatives held$25,000 difference is the unrealized loss on investments held for sale
Change in Stockholder’s Equity
Year Change in net unrealized gains on derivative financial instruments, net of tax
2004 (4,145,000)
2005 (12,639,000)
2006 1,824,000
Fair Value
Stillwater classifies it as the price to sell an asset or to pay to transfer a liability (exit price) not the price paid to acquire an asset or assume liability (entry price)Derivatives must be recognized on the balance sheet, and, if the derivative is not designated as a hedging instrument, changes in the fair value must be recognized in the earnings in the period of the hedge
Stock Options
Estimated at the date of grant using the Black-Scholes option pricing modelThe effect of stock options on diluted weighted average shares outstanding was 85,341 in 2006Options expire 10 years after the grantMay consist of incentive stock options (ISOs) or non-qualified stock options (NQSOs), stock appreciation rights (SARs), nonvested shares or other stock-based awards, with the exception that non-employee directors may not be granted SARs and only employees of the Company may be granted ISOs.
Options Valuation
The weighted average fair value of options granted during 2006 was $5.86, which was calculated using the Black-Scholes option-pricing formula.