Upload
christian-maxwell
View
214
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Mann, Institute for International Economics
1
Networked Readiness and Trade Competitiveness:
Lessons From Global Electronic Commerce
Catherine L. MannInstitute for International Economics
Chapter 9
Mann, Institute for International Economics
2
On what does E-Commerce Depend?
• Access to global market– strongly affected by private ownership of the network in an
environment of competition and independent regulation.
• Services infrastructure– require a supportive fundamental policy environment (including
openness to trade and cross-border investment)
• Flexible Market-oriented environment– rule of law (the belief that laws will be equally enforced for all)
and the overall balance of competition and regulation (rather than e-commerce specific regulation)
Mann, Institute for International Economics
3
E-Commerce: Innovation, Application, Transformation
OLD BUSINESS
Old Business
•Process: Doing old things (inventory, accounting) better
GEOGRAPHY
TIME
DATA
•Markets: Information rich, global, networked
New BusinessNew Consumers,& Government
NEWBUSINESSES
•Product: New products & services contingent on Internet; bundles
Mann, Institute for International Economics
4
An Indicator of E-Commerce Intensity
• Cost savings• Industry readiness,
product fit• Internal, External Use• Stages of use• No consistent method
or measurement!
SectorFood Ingredients 4Consumer goods 3textiles 3energy, chem, natl res. 1
Pharmaceuticals 4metals/metal products 1Indus eqpt & Supplies 3Electronic Components 5Autos 3
Internet Intensity
Higher figure is more intense use of e-commerce
Mann, Institute for International Economics
5
Implications for GDP Growth
Growth of ICT sector
ICTs Alone
Productivity growthfrom ICT-assisted
transformationthroughout
economy
Structural Policies, Networked ICTs,
Human Resources
Change in productivity (potential growth of GDP)
Mann, Institute for International Economics
6
E-commerce and Trade Exposure
Mann, Institute for International Economics
7
E-commerce and Trade Competitiveness
Mann, Institute for International Economics
8
Mann, Institute for International Economics
9
Mann, Institute for International Economics
10
Exposed and Ready. Consider an economy where the trade cones are tall and the readiness cylinder is tall (e.g., the U.S. or Singapore). Such an economy is exposed to e-commerce through trade, and its ability to use e-commerce (because the environment is facilitating) also is great. Such an economy is likely already enjoying productivity gains and faster growth. Less exposed, but Ready. Consider an economy where the trade cones are relatively short, but the readiness cylinder is tall (e.g., Australia). Here is an economy that is using e-commerce in the domestic market to enhance resource usage and gains in productivity and welfare. The tallish import cone indicates that imports are in e-commerce intensive sectors, which, when combined with a tall readiness cylinder, implies that domestic businesses will be able to obtain cost efficiencies from those imports. On the export side, the cone is not so tall now because the country’s Networked Readiness is high, but the domestic environment is good, so exporters will be able to find new opportunities in new trade sectors. Exposed and less Ready. Consider an economy where the trade cones are tall and the readiness cylinder is short (e.g., Philippines or Mexico). Such an economy is exposed to e-commerce through trade, but firms will find it hard to take advantage of the opportunities because the Networked Readiness of the economy is lagging. Firms in this economy might lose international market share, particularly in sectors that use e-commerce intensively, because their exporters cannot use e-commerce effectively. Moreover, gains from the efficient use of e-commerce by importers and domestic firms will be reduced. Less exposed and less Ready. Consider an economy where the trade cones are short and the readiness cylinder is short as well (e.g., Russia). This economy is unlikely to receive much of a boost from e-commerce technologies because the domestic policy environment is not particularly facilitating. Moreover, the trade channel is unlikely to be the factor forcing policy reforms.
Mann, Institute for International Economics
11
Electronic Commerce
• Flat Rate
• Access
• Bandwidth
• International
• Real Time
• Secure
Services Infrastructure is Key
The “e” in e-commerce to catalyze reforms that support the “c” in e-
commerce. Private-public virtuous circle to promote reform.
Finance
TelecomDistribution
• Competitive
• Multi-modal
• Customs
Mann, Institute for International Economics
12
• Build awareness at the local level• Access and incubators within communities serve
community interests and build on community strengths • Grow Internet entrepreneurs from existing community
leaders and entrepreneurs.Government intervention: • Preserve incentives to innovate; • Beware permanent cost projects• Promote diffusion out of parks
Beyond Infrastructure to Business