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A2A Investor Day Milan, 10th April 2015
2 2
1. FY 2014 Results
2. Strategic Plan
3. Closing Remarks
4. Q&A
Valerio Camerano CEO
Andrea Crenna CFO
Giovanni Valotti Chairman
2
3 3
FY 2014
Results
3
4 4
Corporate Governance
simplification
Organization progresses
New Business Unit structure
with greater responsibility
Operating integration
(Edipower, A2A Ambiente)
People development
(Gulliver Project, Futura2a, …)
Further cost efficiency: -€24M fixed costs vs. 2013
New-generation LED projects
Environment development: glass treatment plant, …
Dispatching services market record volumes
District heating western Milan pipeline completed
GOVERNANCE
AND ORGANIZATION OPERATIONS
Main
achievements
2014
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
5 5
156 175
2013 2014
3,874 3,363
2013 2014
EBITDA/
NFP
Consolidated
Results 2014
5,604 4,984
2013 2014
1,133 1,024
2013 2014
-11% -10%
-13% 3.4 3.3
62
-372013 2014
* Excluding extraordinary items equal to €212M in 2014 and €94M in 2013
REPORTED EBITDA REVENUES
NET FINANCIAL
POSITION
ORDINARY GROUP
NET INCOME* GROUP NET INCOME
€M
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
+12% n.s.
6 6
2013Reported
1,133
-54
2013Ordinary
1,104
-72
18
Environment
6 988 53 1,024
Non-recurringItems
Provisions forredundancies
25
Gener.& Trad.
EnergyRetail
-32
DistrictHeating
-21
Networks
EPCG
-14
2014Ordinary
Provisionsfor Mobility
-17
Non-recurringItems
2014Reported
Group 2014
EBITDA
-116
-109
€M
-109
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
7 7
From EBITDA
to Group Net
Income 2014
2014EBITDA
Reported
1,024
-207
-452
-147
161 -179
GroupNet Income
Reported
Impairmentof Assets
D&A RiskProvisions
-57
NetFinancialExpenses
EBT Tax Minorities
-19 -37
-37FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
€M
8 8
Group NetIncome
Reported2014
-37
207
Tax effecton
impairmentof Assets
-48 65
Capitalgainand
Disposalof Assets
175
GroupNet
OrdinaryIncome
2013
156
Write-downon assets
Taxes: effectof RHT
Cancellation
-12
Group NetIncome
Ordinary2014
From Group Net
Income to
Ordinary Group
Net Income 2014
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
€M
+212 +12%
9 9
Capex 2014
104
135
41
151
113
43
2013
280
2014
307
Mandatory
Maintenance
Development
34
85
43
41
67
25
114
69
41
48
2013
10
280
2014
10
307
Energy
Environment
DistrictHeating
Networks
Corporate
EPCG
+27 +27
BREAKDOWN
BY ACTIVITY
BREAKDOWN
BY BUSINESS
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
€M
10 10
2014EBITDAReported
1,024
Use ofFunds
-86-133
NetFinancialExpenses
-122
920-307
613-102
511
Changein Net Working
Capital
237
TaxPaid
FFO
Capex
FreeCashFlow
Dividends
Net FreeCash Flow
Net Free
Cash Flow 2014
(1) Funds from operations after working capital change
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
€M
11 11
GrossFinancialDebt 2013
3,209
479
638
4,326
Net FinancialPosition
2013
FreeCash Flow
2014
Net FinancialPosition
2014
GrossFinancialDebt 2014
2,910
449
615
3,973
Cash andequivalents+ Other NetAssets 2013
-452
3,874
-511
3,363
Cash andequivalents+ Other NetAssets 2014
610
Gross Debt
and Net Financial
Position 2014
Bonds Loans
-353
Fixed
rate
85%
Var. 15%
Average debt maturity 5.7 years
Average annual cost of debt from 4.4% to 3.9% NFP
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
Average debt maturity 5.7 years
Average annual cost of debt from 4.4% to 3.9%
€M
Fixed
rate
85%
Var. 15%
12 12
Strategic Plan
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 12
13 13
Vision
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
Modern and multi-business utility,
essential for future needs of local communities,
leader in green economy, smart networks and new energy models
VISION
Develops most concrete opportunities and resolutely addresses
present challenges starting an in-depth strategic re-positioning
STRATEGIC PLAN
FROM… …TO
Conventional energy
Large-scale investments
Reactivity, centralization
Asset based
Cost cutting
Leveraged
Innovative energy and environment solutions
Tailor-made solutions for community needs
Proactivity, de-centralization
People based
Operational excellence
Self-funding
14 14
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 14
15 15
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 15
16 16
RESTRUCTURE
RELAUNCH
RESHAPE
DISCIPLINE
DIALOGUE
DIGITAL
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 16
17 17
RESTRUCTURE
Substantial reduction
in thermoelectric power
generation exposure
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 17
18 18
RELAUNCH
Growth acceleration
in environment,
smart networks
and energy services
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 18
19 19
RESHAPE
Buying options
in smart city
and green economy
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 19
20 20
DISCIPLINE
Discipline
in operations
and capital
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 20
21 21
DIALOGUE
Dialogue & engagement
with key stakeholders
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 21
22 22
DIGITAL
Digital
& technological
transformation
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 22
23 23
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 23
24 24
* Excluding 2014 impairment effects
Key highlights €2B cumulated Capex (~+40% vs. 10-14) SIZEABLE
INVESTMENTS
STRONG EBITDA
GROWTH €1.35B by 2019 (CAGR 5.8%)
DOUBLE DIGIT ROI from ~8% in 2014* to >12% in 2019
FURTHER DEBT
REDUCTION €-0.8B in 5 years
REBALANCE
BUSINESS MIX
+ environment, smart networks and
new energy services
DIVIDEND POLICY Growing and sustainable dividend policy
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
25 25
Strategic Plan
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 25
26 26
R1 - Thermal
plant restructure
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
-€100M of cumulated savings
-3 GW capacity
San Filippo and Brindisi plant reconversion
A2A GenCo Gas creation
€35M in increased CCGT flexibility to capture
capacity market potential
COST
REDUCTION
A DIFFERENT
ASSET BASE
ONE CCGT
COMPANY
KEY PLAYER
IN A NEW
POWER MARKET
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
27 27
2014 cost
82
Cost reduction
-21
2019 cost
61
-25%
LTSA contract renegotiation
Plant management streamlined
-€100M cumulated savings, 90% already secured
Tangible results already in 2015
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
€M -25% CCGT fixed
cost reduction
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
28 28
Start-up timefrom warm (avg.)
120
215
2014
2019
-3 GW thermal capacity, CCGT flexibilization
Additional thermal capacity reduction (-40%)
Top class in flexibility and energy management
Reconversion of obsolete plants into RES/Environment plants
Load gradient(avg)
26
50
CCGT A2A PERFORMANCE EVOLUTION
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
+92% -44%
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
31/12/2013
1.3
2.0
10.0
31/12/2019
4.1
0.6**
2.0
7.05.7*
1.0*
0.3
Hydro+RES
Coal
CCGT
Otherthermaland cogen.
A2A INSTALLED CAPACITY
-3 GW GW
*Includes active plants temporarily mothballed/not dispatched due to non-economical conditions
** includes project under authorization process
min. MW/
min.
29 29
Genco Gas creation
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
Progressive integration
of all CCGT assets into
one business entity
CCGT
CCGT
CCGT
CCGT
Integration process
according to different
CCGT ownership
structures
Genco Gas
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
30 30
0.6
0.2
0.8
1.6
1.4
2014 2019E
Must-run
Capacitypayment
Interruptibility
Capacitymarket
2014
3.3
20.2
2019
23.5
Key player in the
forthcoming
energy market
Installed Italy capacity
reduction by 2019:
-9 GW non-cogenerative
CCGT
-19 GW traditional thermal
plants (mostly already
inactive in 2014)
TOTAL IMPACT ON
ITALIAN ELECTRICITY BILL
CAPACITY MARKET
IMPACT ON A2A PLANTS
-€0.2B
ITALIAN ELECTRICITY
SYSTEM EVOLUTION
Room for reduction of the
electricity bill
Capacity market compatible
with system charge reduction
Remuneration differentiated by
technology
A2A estimates in line with
foreign market evidence (e.g.
UK auctions)
Average figures on A2A
total generation portfolio
Adequacy/
Flexibility
Note: 2014 Italian system data forecast; 2019 figure, A2A internal estimate
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
€B €K/
MW
Increase in flexibility,
remunerated by capacity
market
Essentiality (must-run)
charge reduction (e.g.
Sicily)
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
31 31
-39
81
73
109
~5%~5%
ThermalEBITDA
2014
Cost savingsand plant
conversionsMarketmargin
evolution
Netcontribution
from the system
-6
ThermalEBITDA
2019
< -10%CCGTROI < -10%CCGTROI
Strategic Plan
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R1: impact on EBITDA
Net impact
between end of
SFM essentiality
and capacity market
revenue increase
€M +€148M
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
32 32
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
Strategic Plan
Strategic guidelines
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 32
33 33
R2 - Relaunch
of core business
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
+20% waste collection
+1 Mt waste treatment
+18% district heating volumes
+13% POD managed in gas distribution
3x customer base in free market
+4.0 TWh & +900 Mm3 sold
+14% electricity generation
-18% FTE
ENVIRONMENT
SECTOR
REGULATED
BUSINESSES
ENERGY
RETAIL MARKET
EPCG
34 34
Use of landfills currently
over 40% in Italy
Proven experience in development
and management of treatment
plants with material and energy
recovery
Sorted collection >60% by 2020
in target geographic areas
Leader in sorted waste collection
(~700 Kton in 2014)
Plant developments already
completed (glass treatment, heavy
ashes plant…)
Tenders for waste collection
concessions covering 5
million inhabitants served in
target geographic areas in next
5 years
Proven track record in tenders
(~70% success rate, +160k
inhabitants served in the last 18
months
BUSINESS SEGMENT
ATTRACTIVENESS A2A
KEY SUCCESS FACTORS
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
Strong growth
in Environment
value chain
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
35 35
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
Strong growth
in Environment
value chain
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
+550 K inhabitants served
10% success rate in waste collection tenders
+22% COLLECTION (M inhabitants)
+38% TREATMENT (Mtons)
2014
2.7
2019
3.3
0.3
2.1
2.60.3
2.5
0.8
3.6
2014
0.2
2019
Sorted
Other MSW
Industrial
+22%
+38% 600 kt/y recycling plants (glass, paper, organic, …)
Other MSW: +300 kton/y
~35% external growth
Foreign EPC contracts
EBITDA
+€54M By 2019
MSW – Municipal Solid Waste
36 36
BUSINESS SEGMENT
ATTRACTIVENESS A2A
KEY SUCCESS FACTORS
DH, instrument to achieve energy
efficiency goals and emission
reduction in big urban areas
A2A strong presence in Lombardy's
main towns and cities
Long-term concessions (Milan,
Brescia, Bergamo >2035. Varese 2025)
Churn rate structurally close to zero
Quasi–regulated business
High potential in northern Italy Significant growth opportunities in
Milan and Bergamo (network
coverage ~10%, vs. Brescia 70%)
Efficient cross-industry
business mix
Opportunities for integration
between DH, electricity
generation and waste treatment
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
District Heating
development
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
37 37
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
District Heating
development
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
2.0
0.5
2.5
2.9
2014 2019
Additional volumesfor temperaturenormalization
Penetration increase*
MI from 9% to 11%
BG from 16% to 20%
Saturation of existing heat
sources +0.1 TWh
Increase in Group heat
generation +0.2 TWh
Heat recovery from third-
party industrial processes
+0.1 TWh
+18%
* connected volumes
TWh
EBITDA
+€28M By 2019
38 38
BUSINESS SEGMENT
ATTRACTIVENESS
A2A
KEY SUCCESS FACTORS
Growth in gas
networks
Further cost synergies from
adjacent ATEMs
Scale economies from
sector consolidation
Reduction of current
fragmentation thanks
to tender process
Opportunity of consolidation in
Lombardy (18 ATEMs served) and
in the northern part of Italy
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
39 39
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
Growth in gas
networks
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
2014
1,215
2019
1,371
2014
965
2019
1,224
+13% POD managed in gas
distribution
Cash-in and cash-out balanced
from tendering process
+27% RAB value combination of
Sound capex plan
POD increase through tenders
POD: points of delivery
+13%
+27%
‘000
POD
€M
RAB
EBITDA
+€19M By 2019
40 40
BUSINESS SEGMENT
ATTRACTIVENESS A2A
KEY SUCCESS FACTORS Growth in energy
retail: mass-market
and SME
Business segment with
interesting risk-return profile,
but with high competitiveness
Low and stable churn rate
in each segment
CtA: payback period <1 year
(average)
CtS residential customers
in core territories <20 €/year
65% dual customers
Best-in-class credit/NWC
Opportunity to extract value
from operations
Growth of value added
and integrated services
Group know-how for cross-sector
services and upselling (waste,
energy efficiency, …)
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
41 41
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
Growth in energy
retail: mass-market
and SME
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
320
965
180 510EE
140 455GAS
2014 2019
Gradual territory expansion
>€40M used for
acquisition channels
Strong focus on operating
performance
Note: assumption of current regulatory and market structure continuity
3x
*free market on total customer
15%*
37%* EBITDA
+€53M
By 2019
‘000
POD
EBITDA
+€53M By 2019
42 42
2010
2,967
2014
2,618
2019
2,150
Thermal1.3
Hydro1.7
3.0Thermal
1.4
Hydro2.1
3.5
2014 2019
POWER GENERATION
FTE EVOLUTION
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
TWh EPCG
performance
enhancement
Further operating efficiencies
Network losses -5%
Smart meters +80k
Structure streamlining
(-468 FTE)
Refurbishing of existing
hydro plants (Piva and
Perucica)
Sharing of best practices Italy-
Montenegro
Tariff adjustment (CAGR +5%)
New opportunities from energy
management/ trading
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
EBITDA
+€61M By 2019
43 43
R2: impact on EBITDA
Environment
54
2819
Retail
53
EPCG
61
IncrementalEBITDA
R2
215
DistrictHeating
GasDistribution
€M
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
+€215M
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
44 44
Strategic Plan
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 44
45 45
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
Renewing street lighting with LED
Energy efficiency improvement in
public and private buildings
ENERGY
EFFICIENCY
"ENERGY
COMMUNITY"
SERVICES
SMART CITY
From the current test phase to
extended solutions of distributed
generation, demand aggregator,
storage systems
New technological tests (smart
grids, big data, …) for the design
of new business models
250,000 installed
LED
5,000 energy-
refurbishment
projects
Supporting
the paradigm
shift of the
power system
Leading role
in the development
of urban
infrastructures
R3 – Build options
for the future
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
46 46
Focus on
energy efficiency
initiatives
2014
100
2019
250
LED example +150%
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
‘000
Public Lighting
Milan and Brescia (+40k lights)
Focus on northern Italy medium-
large municipalities
Value-added services (Wi-Fi,
video-surveillance, ...)
Energy efficiency
Public Administration and
Condominiums
Growth through selective
acquisitions
Regulatory opportunities (white
certificates)
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
EBITDA
+€30M By 2019
47 47
EnergyEfficiency
20
PublicLighting
10
Smart City
3
EBITDA2019
33
R3: impact on EBITDA
€M
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
+€33M
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
48 48
Strategic Plan
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 – Dialogue
D3 - Digital
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 48
49 49
Discipline,
Dialogue
& Digital
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
DIALOGUE
DIGITAL
& TECH
DISCIPLINE
€130M cost-cutting from identified projects
"EN&A", new project on process optimization (not included in plan financials)
Growing dividend policy with a sustainable capital structure
Accountability & transparency vs. stakeholder (multi-stakeholder table)
Focus on people and skills development and entrepreneurial culture
Strong commitment to environmental protection and natural resources
8 key digital initiatives identified to support enhancement of :
- Brand positioning
- Acquisition and cross-selling
- Social care, online and mobile services, offer portfolio
Emerging disruptive technologies, “window opportunity"
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
50 50
421
110
531
2015Savings
-32
394
109
503
2016-2019Savings
-54
369
108
477
2014pro-forma
Inflation
4
2015 Inflation
28
2019
€130M
cost savings
620 17
2015Savings
-13
62458
2016-19Savings
-33
649
2014pro-forma
UnitIncrease
2015 UnitIncrease
2019
Initiatives identified
punctually
Results already in 2015
Savings on O&M of energy
and waste plants
Increase in productivity
Full exploitation of labour
market mechanisms
-€86M -16%
OPEX
LABOUR
COST
Controllable
Note: on a like for like basis data excluding Aspem Spa networks opex and labour costs (exit forecast
from 2017); not included new development initiatives; capitalized labour cost included, other
personnel costs not included (amounting to €50M in 2014 and €35M in 2015 and 2019)
-€46M -7%
€M
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
Launched En&A program to
achieve significant process
improvements in costs and
quality of service (results not included in plans figures)
51 51
Dividend policy
and capital
structure
A2A
DIVIDEND
PER SHARE
(€ cent)
FFO/DEBT*
Stable
dividends
bound to
grow…
…maintaining
solid
investment
grade rating
+10% Stable
dividends
Growing
dividends
to about 2x
2013
3.3
17.1%
…
…
…
2014
3.6
17.7%
2015
3.6
18-18.5%
2016
3.6
~20%
2019
7.5
>25%
* FFO = Ebitda – provisions for bad debt - net interest expense - current tax expense + dividends received
* Debt = gross financial debt net of surplus cash + employee benefits + liabilities for landfills
Strategic guidelines
R1 - Restructure
R2 - Relaunch
R3 - Reshape
D1 - Discipline
D2 - Dialogue
D3 - Digital
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
52 52
Strategic Plan
Key financial figures
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 52
53 53
Ebitda evolution
2014-2015
-53 -37
2014Ordinary
951-11 -6
1,010
2014
1,024
14One-off
14 ClimateEffect
RedundancyCosts
17
Gener.& Trading
53
Environment
DistrictHeating
Networks
14
Other
9
2015
€M
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Key financial figures
Closing Remarks
+59
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
54 54
Ebitda evolution
2015-2019
2015 Gener. &Trading
Energyretail
Environment DistrictHeating
Networks EPCG 2019
1,010
11346 74
25 17 691,354
€M
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Key financial figures
Closing Remarks
+344
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
55 55
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Key financial figures
Closing Remarks
€M EBITDA
regulated/
free market mix
2014Ordinary
406
261
92192
457
351
137
409
951
2019
1,354
Merchant
Merchant low
volatility
Quasiregulated
Regulated
REGULATED
FREE MARKET
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
56 56
Net Income
evolution
2015Group Net
Income
215
EBITDA
344
D&A RiskProvisions
NetFinancialExpenses
Tax
-125
Minorities 2019Group Net
Income
395
-40 12 24
-35
Strategic Plan
Economic and financial figures
€M
2014
-
2015
2015
-
2019
-37
212 175
55
2015Group
NetIncome
215
2014Group
Net Income
ExtraordinaryEffect
2014 GroupNet Ordinary
Income
EBITDA
-14
D&A
RiskProvisions
-19
NetFinancialExpenses
20
Associates,JV and others
-4
Taxes
-5
Minorities
7
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
57 57
Capex Plan
307 403146
629
912
212
783
1,094
2014 2015 2016-2019
1,687
Total Capex2015-2019
2,090
Mandatory
Maintenance
Development
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Key financial figures
Closing Remarks
€M 2014 -2019 CAPEX
21%
1%
41%
36%
Regulated
QuasiRegulated
Merchant lowvolatility
Merchant
2015-2019
BUSINESS UNIT (%)
2015-2019
REGULATED/ FREE MARKET (%)
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
36%
14%
25%
14%8%
2%1%
Generation &Trading
Retail
Environment
District Heating
Network
Corporate
Epcg
58 58
Cash-flow
generation
3.4
-5.9
0.10.3
1.1
2.1
0.7 2.5
2014NFP
Ebitda
Change inNWC
Use ofFunds
Tax
NetFinancialExpenses
0.6
Capex
Dividends
2019NFP
NFP/
EBITDA 1.9x 3.3x
-€0.8B
ROI ~8%* ~12% RETURN ON INVESTMENTS
2015-2019
FFO ~€3.7B
* Excluding 2014 impairment effects
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Key financial figures
Closing Remarks
€B
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
59 59
Strategic Plan
Upsides and wrap-up
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 59
60 60
Additional
projects
under way
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Upsides and wrap-up
Closing Remarks
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
FEASIBILITY/
EBITDA IMPACT INITIATIVE STATUS
€200-250M not included in Strategic Plan
tbd EN&A project launched Efficiency from process
redesign and optimization
€10-20M ATEM scouting and tender preparation Gas networks: further growth
through gas tenders
ATO Brescia rationalization tbd Integrated water cycle
development through partnership
€50-100M First scouting of opportunities in Lombardy Local aggregations
€50-60M Agreement with Lombardy and Milan
municipality under discussion
Heat transportation
backbone Cassano-Milano
€40-80M Presence in Acerra, competitive dialogue
ongoing in Giugliano, projects under study
WTE: new plants in southern Italy
& rationalization in Lombardy
€10M Pilot projects under-way (S.C.U.O.L.A.
Project and Brescia Smart Living)
System integrator for
smart city services
tbd Business opportunity scouting under way Potential abroad
development
Feasibility
low high
61 61
More flexible,
more profitable
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Upsides and wrap-up
Closing Remarks
INVESTMENTS
FOR GROWTH
~€2B cumulated Capex (~+40% vs. 2010-2014)
EBITDA by 2019 €1.35B (CAGR 5.8%)
-€0.8B debt reduction in 5 years
BUSINESS-MIX
REBALANCE
DIVIDEND POLICY AND
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
Thermal capacity reduction (-40%)
Strong growth in core skills markets
Regulated/Quasi-regulated EBITDA by 2019 ~35%
DPS 2014 +10%, stable dividend set for 2015-2016
DPS bound to grow
Sustainable capital structure
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
62 62
Closing Remarks
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN 62
63 63
A2A @2020:
Leading public utility in Italy
Solid economics and financials
Best-in-class service standards, highly innovative
Value creation for local communities served
Best place to work for
A2A @ 2020
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
New strategic plan designed backwards from future to present:
once shared the vision we settled A2A positioning in 2020, than
the management team built-up the steps needed to get there
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
64 64
Discontinuity plan, that reshapes strategies and business mix
Discontinuity
and tradition
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
Combination of tradition and innovation
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
65 65
Tangible projects based on intangible values
Our values for
our stakeholder
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
Stakeholder engagement and corporate social responsibility
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
66 66
Financial and economic improvement
Going industrial
staying local
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
Industrial DNA of a deep-rooted local presence
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
67 67
Sharing throughout organization
Organization
engagement
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
Professional growth opportunities
Cohesive and simpler corporate governance
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
68 68
Promotion of alliances through an innovative approach
Growing
together
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
69 69
Presente
nel futuro WE ARE READY.
Eager in the present to join the future.
The future beckons.
We are ready, raring to go. Now.
70 70
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
Q&A
2015-2019 STRATEGIC PLAN
71 71
Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by A2A solely for investors and analysts. This document does not
constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe any shares or other securities and neither it
nor any part of it shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or
commitment whatsoever. Some information contained herein and other material discussed at the
meetings may include forward-looking information based on A2A’s current beliefs and expectations.
These statements are based on current plans, estimates, projections, and projects and therefore you
should not place undue reliance on them. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and
uncertainties. We caution you that a number of important factors could cause actual results to differ
materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, but are not
limited to changes in global economic business, changes in the price of certain commodities including
electricity, gas and coal, the competitive market and regulatory factors. Moreover, forward-looking
statements are current only at the date on which they are made.
Contacts and
Disclaimer
FY 2014 Results
Strategic Plan
Closing Remarks
Contacts:
A2A Investor Relations Team
Mail: [email protected]
Phone: +39 02 7720 3974
http://www.a2a.eu/en/investor/