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Page 1 of 2 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: QE INDEX AND KEY STOCKS TO CONSIDER QE Index: Short-Term Uptrend The QE Index extended its winning streak for the fourth straight session and scaled a new peak. However, the index trimmed its gains after reaching 14,225.39, as traders opted to book profits. Meanwhile, the bias remains positive for the index, as the RSI continues to be in the buy zone and the MACD remains in the bullish territory. On the flip side, the index may find support at the 14,100.0 and 14,050.0 levels. Al Meera Consumer Goods Co.: Short-Term Pullback MERS failed to make any headway above the descending trendline, and penetrated below both the supports of the 21-day moving average and QR187.80 in a single swoop. Moreover, the stock developed a bearish Marubozu candlestick formation, indicating a likely continuation of this pullback toward QR185.0. Further, both the indicators are pointing down, suggesting weakness. However, a close above QR187.80 may provide some relief. Al Rayan Islamic Index: Short-Term Upmove The QERI Index continued its northbound journey for the seventh consecutive session and advanced 0.45% to settle above the 4,800.0 mark. The index has been moving along the ascending trendline and is registering strong gains over the past few days. We believe based on the current momentum the index may proceed toward 4,850.0, as it has support from the strengthening RSI. Conversely, 4,800.0 and 4,770.0 may act as immediate support levels for the index. Vodafone Qatar: Short-Term Upmove VFQS gained 1.33% to convincingly clear the important resistance of QR21.97 after feigning a failure in the past few attempts. We believe based on the price action and spike in volumes the stock may rally further toward QR22.30, followed by QR22.80. Moreover, the RSI is moving in a bullish manner, which supports this positive sentiment. However, traders may need to exercise caution if the stock slips below QR21.97, as it may drag the stock down. Qatar International Islamic Bank: Short-Term Upswing QIIK advanced 1.84% and cleared the key resistance of QR93.50 to tag a 5-year high. Notably, volumes were also large on the rise, indicating rising optimism among traders. Moreover, the stock formed a sizable bullish candlestick pattern on daily charts, suggesting a continuation of this upmove. We believe the stock may march ahead and test the QR96.0 level. However, a retreat below QR93.50 may pull the stock down. Meanwhile, both the indicators look strong. Industries Qatar: Short-Term Pullback IQCD has been facing stiff resistance at QR194.60 and has failed to close above it, even after repeated failed attempts. Therefore, the QR194.60 level is a hurdle that the stock must clear on a closing basis to advance further. Until then, IQCD may drift lower. We believe this continuous respect may result in a pullback and the stock may test QR193.50. However, if the stock manages to close above QR194.60, it may attract buying interest.

17 September Daily technical trader

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Page 1: 17 September Daily technical trader

Page 1 of 2

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: QE INDEX AND KEY STOCKS TO CONSIDER

QE Index: Short-Term – Uptrend

The QE Index extended its winning streak for the fourth straight

session and scaled a new peak. However, the index trimmed its

gains after reaching 14,225.39, as traders opted to book profits.

Meanwhile, the bias remains positive for the index, as the RSI

continues to be in the buy zone and the MACD remains in the bullish

territory. On the flip side, the index may find support at the 14,100.0

and 14,050.0 levels.

Al Meera Consumer Goods Co.: Short-Term – Pullback

MERS failed to make any headway above the descending trendline,

and penetrated below both the supports of the 21-day moving

average and QR187.80 in a single swoop. Moreover, the stock

developed a bearish Marubozu candlestick formation, indicating a

likely continuation of this pullback toward QR185.0. Further, both the

indicators are pointing down, suggesting weakness. However, a close

above QR187.80 may provide some relief.

Al Rayan Islamic Index: Short-Term – Upmove

The QERI Index continued its northbound journey for the seventh

consecutive session and advanced 0.45% to settle above the 4,800.0

mark. The index has been moving along the ascending trendline and

is registering strong gains over the past few days. We believe based

on the current momentum the index may proceed toward 4,850.0, as

it has support from the strengthening RSI. Conversely, 4,800.0 and

4,770.0 may act as immediate support levels for the index.

Vodafone Qatar: Short-Term – Upmove

VFQS gained 1.33% to convincingly clear the important resistance of

QR21.97 after feigning a failure in the past few attempts. We believe

based on the price action and spike in volumes the stock may rally

further toward QR22.30, followed by QR22.80. Moreover, the RSI is

moving in a bullish manner, which supports this positive sentiment.

However, traders may need to exercise caution if the stock slips

below QR21.97, as it may drag the stock down.

Qatar International Islamic Bank: Short-Term – Upswing

QIIK advanced 1.84% and cleared the key resistance of QR93.50 to

tag a 5-year high. Notably, volumes were also large on the rise,

indicating rising optimism among traders. Moreover, the stock formed

a sizable bullish candlestick pattern on daily charts, suggesting a

continuation of this upmove. We believe the stock may march ahead

and test the QR96.0 level. However, a retreat below QR93.50 may

pull the stock down. Meanwhile, both the indicators look strong.

Industries Qatar: Short-Term – Pullback

IQCD has been facing stiff resistance at QR194.60 and has failed to

close above it, even after repeated failed attempts. Therefore, the

QR194.60 level is a hurdle that the stock must clear on a closing

basis to advance further. Until then, IQCD may drift lower. We believe

this continuous respect may result in a pullback and the stock may

test QR193.50. However, if the stock manages to close above

QR194.60, it may attract buying interest.

Page 2: 17 September Daily technical trader

Contacts

Saugata Sarkar Abdullah Amin, CFA Shahan Keushgerian Sahbi Kasraoui Ahmed Al-Khoudary QNB Financial Services SPC Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Senior Research Analyst Manager - HNWI Head of Sales Trading – Institutional Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6569 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 Tel: (+974) 4476 6548 PO Box 24025 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Doha, Qatar

DISCLAIMER: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of Qatar National Bank (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange; QNB is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. While this publication has been prepared with the utmost degree of care by our analysts, QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report.

COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS. Page 2 of 2

*These stocks are today’s suggested ideas

Overall Methodology: The charts and descriptions on Page 1 provide an indicative view of the future direction of the equities mentioned. The table on page 2 has been provided to denote historical movements in certain stocks. The historical trend analysis uses 21- and 55-day SMAs for indicating short-term and long-term trends, respectively. Based on these SMAs, the historical direction of the trend is denoted as UP, DOWN or FLAT. Selection of Key Stocks of the Day: Key stocks’ selection is based on our analysis of 19 members of the QE Index (excludes QNBK QD). Analysis includes identifying trends (short-term as well as long-term), patterns and support/resistance levels. Trend Direction: The methods used to determine trend direction are subjective in nature. We use 21-day SMA and 55-day SMA, absolute price movements, price movements relative to SMAs and accurately drawn trend lines and chart patterns to determine the short- and

long-term trends. Investment Horizon: The definition of short term and long term depends upon investors’ preferences and their investment objectives. As a rule of thumb, the time horizon for traders/short-term trend is 1-3 weeks while it is 1-3 months for investors/long-term trend. Combining Technical and Fundamental Analysis: Investors can combine technical analysis (TA) with fundamental analysis (FA) to maximize their investment returns. While the “True Value” of stocks could be estimated by FA, the entry and exit timings could be fine tuned using technical analysis to benefit from short-term movements in stock prices. Trading Tactics: The trend direction should be analyzed based on the time-horizon of your investments. In general, investors attempt selling close to resistance levels during a downtrend and attempt buying close to support levels during uptrend. Definitions:

1> Simple Moving Average (SMA): A SMA is the average of the closing price of a security for a given period. 2> RSI (Relative Strength Index): A technical momentum indicator that ranges from 0 to 100 and compares the stock’s recent price movements by evaluating recent gains and losses. Stocks with RSI above 70 could be considered overbought and below 30 could be

considered oversold. If the RSI falls below 70, it is a bearish signal. On the other hand, if the RSI rises above 30 it is considered bullish. We use a RSI of 14 days. 3> MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD denotes the relationship between two moving averages, which is used to spot changes in strength, direction, momentum and duration of a stock price trend. The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-day

exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-day EMA. A nine-day EMA of the MACD, called the signal line, is also plotted on top of the MACD, functioning as a trigger for buy/sell signals. The MACD line above the signal line provides a positive signal and vice versa.

Name (Ticker) Last Close Trend Support Resistance

Short Term Long Term First Second First Second

Qatar Exchange Index (QE Index) 14,137.67 UP UP 14,100.00 14,050.00 14,225.39 14,300.00

Al Rayan Islamic Index (QERI Index) 4,809.05 UP UP 4,800.00 4,770.31 4,811.58 4,850.00

Banks and Financial Services Banks and Financial Services

Masraf Al Rayan (MARK QD) 56.60 UP UP 55.80 54.00 57.30 58.20

Commercial Bank of Qatar (CBQK QD) 73.30 UP UP 72.40 70.70 74.30 75.00

Doha Bank (DHBK QD) 62.10 UP UP 62.00 61.00 63.30 64.50

Qatar Islamic Bank (QIBK QD) 118.50 DOWN UP 117.40 115.00 119.90 123.70

Qatar International Islamic Bank (QIIK QD)* 94.00 UP UP 93.50 91.50 96.00 97.50

Qatar Insurance (QATI QD) 98.70 DOWN UP 98.00 97.00 100.00 101.00

Al Khalij Commercial Bank (KCBK QD) 23.40 UP UP 23.23 22.85 23.50 24.00

Consumer Goods and Services Consumer Goods and Services

Medicare Group (MCGS QD) 130.80 DOWN UP 128.80 126.50 131.40 135.20

Al Meera Consumer Goods Co. (MERS QD)* 187.50 DOWN UP 185.00 183.00 187.80 190.00

Industrials Industrials

Industries Qatar (IQCD QD)* 194.50 UP UP 193.50 192.10 194.60 198.00

Qatar Electricity & Water Co. (QEWS QD) 192.20 UP UP 192.00 190.00 194.00 196.00

Gulf International Services (GISS QD) 125.00 UP UP 124.10 122.50 127.00 129.80

Qatari Investors Group (QIGD QD) 61.40 UP UP 61.30 60.60 62.40 64.70

Real Estate Real Estate

Barwa Real Estate Co. (BRES QD) 42.35 UP UP 41.80 41.00 42.50 42.75

United Development Co. (UDCD QD) 29.75 UP UP 29.50 29.05 30.00 30.45

Telecom Telecom

Ooredoo (ORDS QD) 134.50 UP UP 134.00 132.00 135.90 138.50

Vodafone Qatar (VFQS QD)* 22.11 UP UP 21.97 21.40 22.30 22.80

Transportation Transportation

Nakilat (QGTS QD) 24.92 UP UP 24.90 24.45 25.30 25.90

Milaha (QNNS QD) 97.50 UP UP 96.50 95.10 97.80 98.80