View
4
Download
0
Category
Preview:
Citation preview
General rights Copyright and moral rights for the publications made accessible in the public portal are retained by the authors and/or other copyright owners and it is a condition of accessing publications that users recognise and abide by the legal requirements associated with these rights.
Users may download and print one copy of any publication from the public portal for the purpose of private study or research.
You may not further distribute the material or use it for any profit-making activity or commercial gain
You may freely distribute the URL identifying the publication in the public portal If you believe that this document breaches copyright please contact us providing details, and we will remove access to the work immediately and investigate your claim.
Downloaded from orbit.dtu.dk on: Dec 23, 2020
Low-carbon Comprehensive Mobility Plan: Overall approach and linkages to nationalplans
Dhar, Subash
Publication date:2013
Link back to DTU Orbit
Citation (APA):Dhar, S. (Author). (2013). Low-carbon Comprehensive Mobility Plan: Overall approach and linkages to nationalplans. Sound/Visual production (digital)
Experience Sharing Workshop in preparation of Low-carbon Comprehensive Mobility Plans in Indian Cities
22 – 23 August 2013 Udaipur
Low-carbon Comprehensive Mobility Plan: Overall approach and linkages to national plans
In partnership with :
Contents
• Background for LCMP • LCMP framework • Linkages to national / global • Conclusions
Background
LCMP Timeline
Nov 2010 – PSC suggestion to build a Low-carbon Comprehensive Mobility Plan (LCMP) based on the methodology for Comprehensive Mobility Plan (CMP)
Oct 2011 – Presentation of draft methodology for LCMP Apr 2012 – Training of Consultants in LCMP methodology Aug 2013 – Presentation of LCMP from 3 cities Dec 2013 – Finalisation of LCMP toolkit
Aims of CMP & LCMP
CMP • Projects to meet present
and future mobility demand and achieve desirable development goal
LCMP • Strategies to reduce CO2
emissions from transport without compromising the accessibility and mobility needs of people
Tasks in LCMP
• Delineation of planning area and planning horizon Task 0
• Analyse existing situation • Setup Transport Planning & Emissions Models for Base Year Task 1
• Modeling Business as Usual (BaU) Scenario Task 2
• Analyse alternative scenarios (4 strategies) Task 3
• Evaluate BAU & Alternative Scenarios using Indicators Task 4
• Investment and Implementation plan • Project Ideas / Policy Actions / Programs Task 5
LCMP Framework:
Modelling Framework for LCMP
Flow of information
Main Data Inputs Modelling Outputs
Population Industrial structure Building footprints
Land Use Residential, Commercial and
Industrial activity
Land allocation Residential / Commercial
Industrial
Household & Traffic Survey* Trips, Mode Choices, Vehicle Ownership, Incomes , Socio
economic groups, etc
• Information of household surveys is collected using stratified sampling and all income groups , social groups, genders covered • Underlined parameters can be taken from national assessments
Travel Demand (4 stage modelling) Trip generation, Trip
distribution, Modal Choice & Trip assignment
Travel Demand Mode Shares, Traffic Volume
on network links, Indicators - Mobility &
Accessibility, Safety
Vehicle Technology Dispersion matrices Grid CO2 Intensity Industrial growth
Fuel Mix
Energy, Environment
Transport, Household, Industrial Activities
Energy Demand Emission Inventory (local
pollutants and CO2) Air Quality
Indicators – Environment
Linkages to national / global
Guidance for City Planners
• Basic Primer on Climate Change
• Definition of low carbon • Scenarios • Inputs for Modelling • 2O C Scenario for India • 2O C Scenario and Cities
Mitigation Wedges : National
CO2 Price (US $/tCO2 26 56 100 117
Mitigation Wedges for Urban Transport
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Emissions Reduction in Sustainable Low Carbon Scenario
Sustainable mobility (1)
Sustainable logistics (2)
Fuel Economy (3)
Bio fuels (4)
EVs & Eletricity Cleaning (5)
Residual Emissions
Mitigation Strategies within LCMP
-
50,000.00
100,000.00
150,000.00
200,000.00
250,000.00
300,000.00
350,000.00
400,000.00
450,000.00
BAU BAU SS BAU SS BAU SS
2011 2020 2030 2050
Passenger Demand : Vizag(Million pkm)
Walking
Cycling
Buses
3Ws
Cars
2Ws
Initial Result from "LCMP Vizag"
-
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
700.00
800.00
BAU BAU SS BAU SS BAU SS
2011 2020 2030 2050
CO2 Emissions Vizag('000 tCO2)
Buses
3Ws
Cars
2Ws
• Low carbon plans at city level need to be developed on top of regular transport and city planning
• Inputs from global and national level (technology learning, CO2 targets, economic growth, etc ) are important considerations for city scenarios.
• Changes in land use, strengthening of public transport , improving infrastructures for cycling and walking are necessary for improving mobility, safety, environment indicators and also deliver mitigation co- benefits
• National policies related to fuel economy, alternative fuels and electricity cleaning necessary to deliver mitigation required for 2 deg C.
Conclusions
Climate Compatible Urban Development
Considerations
• Socio-economic
• Technology • Inertia
Climate Compatible City Strategy
Planning
• Paradigms • Finance • Capacity
Tools/Methods
• Inventories • Models • Databases
Integration
• Spatial • Temporal • Sectoral
Global Scenarios
Integrated City Scenarios
Mitigation
Focus
downscale
Adaptation
Focus
Thank You
Subash Dhar sudh@dtu.dk +45 4677 5135
Project Website : www.unep.org/transport/lowcarbon
Recommended