25
Smart Home: Beyond Technology Envisioning how the ecosystem could work Daniel Shepherd VP, ICT Frost & Sullivan June, 2012

4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

 

Citation preview

Page 1: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Smart Home: Beyond Technology

Envisioning how the ecosystem could work

Daniel Shepherd VP, ICT

Frost & Sullivan

June, 2012

Page 2: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Contents

Suggesting what the industry and/ or specific players need to consider and do next

Introduction

The Big Picture

Challenges

Ecosystem

Business Models

Way Forward

Mapping who is who and who is doing what and who would like to gain what

Top-down review of key issues, allowing us to highlight that that stakeholder fragmentation and competing interests are a core issue underpinning many of the others

What is a smart home and why are we talking about it again now?

Outline of 2-3 strategic options we see as to how it could all come together and exposing a preliminary evaluation

Page 3: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

3

The Big Picture: What is the Smart Home?

Back

Page 4: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

What is a Smart Home?

A Smart Home is a home that integrates automation to control and monitor many internal functions such as heating, lighting, security and multi-media.

It is an evolving concept that has seen a renaissance in recent years as home automation and broadband networking have achieved higher global availability.

4

Source: Timberline Geodesics (used with permission) Source: Stratecast/ Frost & Sullivan

Page 5: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Smart Home: Major Themes

Telemetry:

Utilities, Healthcare, Security

Content:

Delivery, Management, Distribution

Communication Services:

Voice, Video, Data and Wireless

Home Networking:

Distribution, Management, Control and Automation

Page 6: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Smart Home: Why Now? (or why again?)

Smart Homes have been around since the ’60s, but now are beginning to resonate. Why?

6

Many homes now have entertainment centers that combine video and other content consumption. They also have access to broadband data services and many have home security systems.

Inherent Needs

Complexity

Regulatory

Technology Availability

Consumers are increasingly interested in services that enable safety, more efficient use of utilities, life simplification, etc.

The need to conserve and reduce the cost of energy is driving interest in ways to manage utility costs

Broadband and wireless now deliver data access to the home Data Ubiquity

Home automation and networking technology are now easier to do: Wi-Fi, data over power wiring, prewired new construction

Page 7: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

7

Challenges

Back

Page 8: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Challenges

1. Business Model Consumer value perception: consumers aren’t clear what a smart home is or what it

should cost Yet, the market for smart home solutions is fragmented, with many smaller players

offering partial solutions Communication services are becoming tightly integrated: the smart home solutions must

work with other communications services and technology

2. Funding Model

Focus on low margin access services compromises ability to invest in smart home offerings that enable higher margin revenues

Entry into home networking and automation space demands the creation of an extensive installation, maintenance and management infrastructure

8

Page 9: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Consumer Uncertainty

Yes 29%

No 43%

Don't know 28%

Would you be interested in a smart home?

Problem: Low perception of Value

Source: Stratecast/ Frost & Sullivan

Would you be willing to pay extra for smart home products or services?

Page 10: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Market Fragmentation

The market is extremely fragmented: – Thousands of home electronics manufacturers – Hundreds of communication service providers – Thousands of home electronic maintenance providers – Thousands of home networking installers – Dozens of telemetry providers

There are essentially no comprehensive solutions for the interested

consumer that include everything from installation to support and repair and which include content delivery services as well as monitoring services Remember: consumers want ease of use

Page 11: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Ease of Use

Customer Service

Billing Quality Value Pricing

Importance of Offering AttributesVery Important

Consumers Dislike Complexity

Offerings must be easy to implement and use Source: Stratecast/ Frost & Sullivan

Page 12: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

12

The Smart Home Ecosystem

Back

Page 13: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Smart Home Ecosystem

Communication Service Providers

Home Networking

and Management

Installers, Vendors, etc.

Content Providers

Monitoring Services: Health,

Security, Utility

Page 14: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

The Smart Home Ecosystem

Many providers in each domain:

– Communication Services: AT&T, Verizon, British Telecom, Deutsche Telecom, France Telecom, Rostelecom, etc.

– Telemetry: ADT, Monitronics, SDG, Overlook, FrontPoint, etc.

– Content: AT&T, Verizon, British Telecom, Deutsche Telecom, France Telecom,

Rostelecom, Hulu, YouTube, etc.

– Home Networking and Automation: X10, NetGear, D-Link, Cytech, MarmiTek, Sonos, Nuvo, etc.

Few complete solutions, although some are coming close:

– AT&T Uverse as an example

14

Page 15: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Who Should Lead?

The essential component of the smart home is the network connection – controlled by the network operators. Every other segment of the ecosystem must either ride the network or

interface with it. This would seem to make network operator leadership in the smart

home market, obvious…wouldn’t it? But wait…network operators needn’t be in charge.

In fact, the smart home is largely accessed through easy to use

interfaces and these can come from any segment of the market ecosystem

15

Page 16: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

16

Business Model Options

Back

Page 17: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Trends, Opportunities & Unmet Needs

Analysis

Opportunity: Integrated Offerings

that provide installation, support

and services

Relevant Trends Unmet Needs

Increasing need for integrated solutions

Increasing adoption of monitoring

Increasing adoption of smart appliances

Increasing need for support services

Increasing use of broadband content delivery

Increasing need for user support

Increased consumption of broadband delivered content

Increasing need for operator service revenue

Service Interface that is intuitive, comprehensive and sticky

Page 18: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Key Drivers Summary

Cross Domain Competition Broadband

Consumer Needs

Content

Home Networking

Vendor Revenue

Source: Frost & Sullivan.

Page 19: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Consumer Confusion

Complexity

Price Lack of Integration

Market Fragmentation

Key Restraints Summary

Source: Frost & Sullivan.

Page 20: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Business Options

Drivers are defined by Consumer needs Restraints are defined by existing offering deficiencies

Vendors/operators must focus on integration, ease of use and

features to overcome market restraints Partnerships are indicated as a way to consolidate a critical mass of

capabilities

20

Page 21: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Case Study: Verizon Whole Home Monitoring and Control

Verizon includes home content management, utility monitoring and management, communication service access, security management and home automation functions

It does not include home network installation or support, although

these can be obtained from recommended third parties

21

Source: Verizon

Page 22: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Case Study: Comcast Xfinity Home

Xfinity services include home monitoring and security, consumer communication service access, utility management and content

Xfinity does not include home network installation, management or

monitoring

22

Source: Comcast

Page 23: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

23

The Way Forward

Back

Page 24: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

Way Forward

Network Operators must develop or partner to obtain: – Complete suite of communication services – Cutting edge service interfaces – Service installation, support and management – Home networking support

Home networking and automation providers must partner with

operators to offer comprehensive smart home service packages Content providers must partner with network operators and home

networking providers to offer a complete smart home package Telemetric services must be included in smart home offerings and

must be integrated into other existing communication services

24

Page 25: 4 sheperd frost & sullivan

For Additional Information

Daniel Shepherd Vice President, ICT [email protected] M: +7 915 043 4460