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Technological Route between Pioneerism and Improvement
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WORLD CONFERENCE: TRIZ FUTURE 2008
5-7 November 2008, University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands
Roberto Nani, Daniele Regazzoni
Scinte s.n.c., Ranica, Italy - University of Bergamo, Dalmine, Italy
Technological Route between
Pioneerism and Improvement
ETRIA Conference TRIZ Future 2008 - November 5-7, 2008 - University of Twente (NL)
GOAL AND METHODOLOGY
• to clearly identify
the patent state of
the art of a certain product or
technology• to perform
research activities such as
technological
forecasting
REFERENCES
S-curve of Evolution for a Specific Main Functionand Levels of Solutions
Differentiating Among the Five
Levels of Solutions
By Valeri Souchkov
The proposed classification helps to better
understand innovation.
• Innovative solutions reside at levels 2-4,
• level 2 represents incremental
innovations;
• level 3 represents radical innovations
for a specific market segment;
• level 4 – pioneering innovations.
A number of solutions at level 1 is
considerably larger than solutions at previous
levels.
• result inside a new market;
• within a new context;
• using a known function/principle combination.
3: Extending a Known
Function/Principle
Combination to a New Market
• qualitative changes and improvements of
components;
• within a technical system;
• based on the existing function/principle/market
combination
2: Qualitative Improvement of
the Existing
Function/Principle/Market
Combination
"scientific solutions" do not address any function or a
market.
5: Discovering a New Principle
• result from creating radically new functions;
• using a scientific principle discovered at level 5.
4: Creating a Radically New
Function/Principle
Combination
• quantitative change of a value of a certain
parameter or a couple of parameter;
• within a technical system;
• based on the existing function/principle/market
combination.
1: Quantitative Improvement of
the Existing
Function/Principle/Market
Combination
Level of Invention
METHODOLOGY STEPS
• browsing or searching in the patent classification the technological fields characterizing the matter (IPC);
• crossing keywords and classes search.
• number of patents filed per year;
• number of 4 digits IPC classes in which patents are classified per year;
• cumulative number of patents filed per year;
• total count of classes in which patents have been classified per year.
N°cumulative patentsIPD = ------------------------------------
N°classes involved
0<IPD<1
10<IPD<40
• Few patents, filed when a new
invention appears, can be found in
several different patent classes;
• highly innovative devices or
technology have a wide spectrum of
application and potential fields of
use;
• as a consequence, IPD of an
emerging technology is quite low.
• Increasing of filed patents that are
focused on sub-systems or details
and that are classified in a small
number of classes;
• as a consequence, IPD of mature
technology is much higher.
IPD
3: Extending a Known
Function/Principle
Combination to a New Market
2: Qualitative Improvement of
the Existing
Function/Principle/Market
Combination
5: Discovering a New
Principle
1<IPD<10
4: Creating a Radically New
Function/Principle
Combination
10<IPD<100
1: Quantitative Improvement
of the Existing
Function/Principle/Market
Combination
Level of Invention
Fitting the IPD data in logistic curves:
• software package for analyzing logistic behaviour developed and shared by the University of Rockefeller (NY) - Loglet Lab.
• Loglet Lab allows to discern and analyze S-shaped curve or a succession of many S-shaped curves even if overlapped in time.
• a clustering algorithm applied to the set of patents;• minimize cluster interactions;
• new Boolean algorithm of patent search• without imposing any class constraint.
((gripper*) <in> (TITLE,ABSTRACT,CLAIMS) ) AND ((weft* OR thread* OR filament* <in> (TITLE, ABSTRACT, CLAIMS))) (1)
Collections searched: European (Applications - Full text), European (Granted - Full text), US (Granted - Full text), WIPO PCT Publications (Full text), US (Applications - Full text)
6,458 matches found of 11,531,757 patents searched
(((d03d OR b65h) <in> IC ) AND ((gripp*) <in> (TITLE,ABSTRACT,CLAIMS))) (2)
Collections searched: European (Applications - Full text), European (Granted - Full text), US
(Granted - Full text), WIPO PCT Publications (Full text), US (Applications - Full text)
8,700 matches found of 11,531,757 patents searched
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
File
d Yea
r 19
5819
6619
6919
7219
7519
7819
8119
8419
8719
9019
9319
9619
9920
0220
0520
08
Figure 3: Number of patents per year
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
File
d Yea
r 19
5819
6619
6919
7219
7519
7819
8119
8419
8719
9019
9319
9619
9920
0220
0520
08
Figure 4: Number of involved IPC classes per year
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
File
d Yea
r 19
5819
6619
6919
7219
7519
7819
8119
8419
8719
9019
9319
9619
9920
0220
0520
08
Figure 5: Cumulative number of patents filed per year
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
FiledYear
1930 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2008
Figure 6: Total count of classes per year
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
File
d Yea
r 19
30
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2008
Figure 7: Intellectual
Property Density IPD
Figure 8: S-shaped curves fitting IPD data
Figure 9: Bell-shaped curves fitting IPD data
Technology I: midpoint = 1972; growth time = 14.4; saturation = 6.7;Technology II: midpoint = 1987; growth time = 11.7; saturation = 9.8;Technology III: midpoint = 1999; growth time = 17.3; saturation = 12.4.
Filed Year Items % Bar Chart
1999 305 3.5 %
1987 320 3.7 %
1972 112 1.3 %
Cluster Overview 5 Clusters
For work file: 1972 (112 items )
release, side, arrange, adjacent, movement, locate, operation, hold, first, time5
mean, member, parallel, relative, grip, pair, include, release, pass, groove4
form, engage, surface, end, material, drive, provide, apparatus, lower, length3
sheet, mechanism, gripper, mount, press, transfer, conveyor, include, movement,
printing
2
comprise, loom, roller, provide, apparatus, mean, move, device, control, include1
Descriptive wordsCluster
� ((release AND groove AND arrange AND movement) <in>
(TITLE,ABSTRACT,CLAIMS)) (4)
6,400 matches found of 11,374,720 patents searched
Collections searched: European (Applications - Full text), European (Granted - Full text), US
(Granted - Full text), WIPO PCT Publications (Full text), US (Applications - Full text)
5 clusters graph of collection 1987
� ((support AND rotation AND tube AND extend AND press)
<in> (TITLE,ABSTRACT,CLAIMS)) (5)
1,210 matches found of 11,374,720 patents searched
Collections searched: European (Applications - Full text), European (Granted - Full text), US
(Granted - Full text), WIPO PCT Publications (Full text), US (Applications - Full text)
Cluster Overview 5 Clusters
For work file: 1999 (305 items )
end, support, portion, reel, rotatably, comprise, mount, shaft, arrange, provide5
include, move, position, first, grip, stack, engage, apparatus, rotation,
hold
4
mean, apparatus, control, arrange, transfer, provide, convey, product, form,
first
3
invention, relate, say, gripper, comprise, define, provide, include, section,
guide
2
sheet, device, form, grip, machine, method, station, gripper, position,
comprise
1
Descriptive wordsCluster
� ((include AND move AND position AND engage AND rotation
AND hold) <in> (TITLE,ABSTRACT,CLAIMS)) (6)
21,483 matches found of 11,374,720 patents searched
Collections searched: European (Applications - Full text), European (Granted - Full text), US (Granted - Full text), WIPO PCT Publications (Full text), US (Applications -
Full text)