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POLITICAL MONITOR August 2014 Contacts: [email protected] [email protected] 020 7347 3000

Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

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Ipsos MORI’s latest Economic Optimism Index shows that half the public (51%) believe that general economic condition of the country will improve over the next 12 months. One in five (19%) think the economy will get worse, and a quarter that it will stay the same, giving an Economic Optimism Index (% think get better minus % think will get worse) of +32. This is the second highest in the history of the Index, first started in 1978, beaten only by the record high of +35 in May this year, and is up from +25 in June.

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Page 1: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

POLITICAL MONITOR

August 2014

Contacts:

[email protected]

[email protected]

020 7347 3000

Page 2: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

The economy

Page 3: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Nov-0

4F

eb-0

5M

ay-0

5A

ug

-05

Nov-0

5F

eb-0

6M

ay-0

6A

ug

-06

Nov-0

6F

eb-0

7M

ay-0

7A

ug

-07

No

v-0

7F

eb-0

8M

ay-0

8A

ug

-08

Nov-0

8F

eb-0

9M

ay-0

9A

ug

-09

Nov-0

9F

eb-1

0M

ay-1

0A

ug

-10

Nov-1

0F

eb-1

1M

ay-1

1A

ug

-11

Nov-1

1F

eb-1

2M

ay-1

2A

ug

-12

Nov-1

2F

eb-1

3M

ay-1

3A

ug

-13

Nov-1

3F

eb-1

4M

ay-1

4A

ug

-14

Economic Optimism Index

Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same or get worse

over the next 12 months?

Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 9th – 11th August 2014

Improve

Stay the same Get worse Improve

Don’t know

Get worse

Stay the same

August 2014

EOI = +32

51%

26%

19%

4%

Page 4: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

4

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

No

v-9

7F

eb

-98

Ma

y-9

8A

ug

-98

No

v-9

8F

eb

-99

Ma

y-9

9A

ug

-99

No

v-9

9F

eb

-00

Ma

y-0

0A

ug

-00

No

v-0

0F

eb

-01

Ma

y-0

1A

ug

-01

No

v-0

1F

eb

-02

Ma

y-0

2A

ug

-02

No

v-0

2F

eb

-03

Ma

y-0

3A

ug

-03

No

v-0

3F

eb

-04

Ma

y-0

4A

ug

-04

No

v-0

4F

eb

-05

Ma

y-0

5A

ug

-05

No

v-0

5F

eb

-06

Ma

y-0

6A

ug

-06

No

v-0

6F

eb

-07

Ma

y-0

7A

ug

-07

No

v-0

7F

eb-0

8M

ay-0

8A

ug

-08

No

v-0

8F

eb-0

9M

ay-0

9A

ug

-09

No

v-0

9F

eb-1

0M

ay-1

0A

ug

-10

No

v-1

0F

eb-1

1M

ay-1

1A

ug

-11

No

v-1

1F

eb

-12

Ma

y-1

2A

ug

-12

No

v-1

2F

eb

-13

Ma

y-1

3A

ug

-13

No

v-1

3F

eb

-14

Ma

y-1

4A

ug

-14

Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same or get worse

over the next 12 months?

Base: c.1,000 British adults each month

+7

-46

-56 -48

+23

The Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index

Ind

ex

(g

et

be

tte

r m

inu

s g

et

wo

rse)

-64

Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

+32

Page 5: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

The cost of living

Page 6: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

6 Concern about the cost of living

I am going to read out some things that some people worry about regarding their personal finances, and I would like you tell me to what

extent, if at all, you have worried about each one in the last 2-3 weeks. For each, please tell me if you have worried about them a great deal,

a fair amount, a little or not at all.

15

18

17

18

19

16

19

12

12

12

25

26

15

18

26

43

34

51

51

43

You, or someone else in your

family losing their job

Your ability to pay the bills

Your children’s job prospects

Interest rates going up more than

you or your family can afford

% A little % Not at all % A fair amount % A great deal %Don’t know/Not applicable

Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 9th – 11th August 2014

October 2011

August 2014

August 2014

August 2014

August 2014

Page 7: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

Holidaying with the leaders?

Page 8: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

8 Leaders who voters most want to spend time

with on holiday

Which one of the following leaders, if any, would you most like to spend time with on holiday?

Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 9th – 11th August 2014

40%

15%

15%

26% David Cameron

Ed Miliband

Nick Clegg

None of these

Page 9: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

9 Leaders who voters least want to spend time

with on holiday

Which one of the following leaders, if any, would you least like to spend time with on holiday?

Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 9th – 11th August 2014

9%

18%

37%

28% David Cameron

Ed Miliband

Nick Clegg

None of these

Page 10: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

David Cameron’s response to

Gaza

Page 11: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

11 David Cameron’s response to the Gaza conflict

I now want to ask your views about the recent conflict between Israel and Palestine in Gaza. Which of the following

statements is closest to your view about David Cameron’s response to the conflict?

Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

Base: 1,003 British adults 18+, 9th – 11th August 2014

13%

9%

38%

41% David Cameron should have

been more critical of Israel

David Cameron should have

been more supportive of Israel

Don’t know

David Cameron has got the

balance right between

supporting and criticising

Israel

Page 12: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - August 2014 Release Two

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