The Future… Now!

Michael BettersworthAssociate Vice Chancellor for Technology Adv., Texas State Technical College System

Jim BrazellPresident, VentureRAMP, Inc.

www.kurzweilai.net/.../ SIN_headshot_highres.html

“An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense ‘intuitive linear’ view. So we won't experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century -- it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today's rate)… because we're doubling the rate of progress every decade, we'll see a century of progress--at today's rate--in only 25 calendar years.”

Kurzweil, KurzweilAI.net, March 7, 2001.

The New Age

Changing Nature of Work

The Pain and the Pill

What’s the R.U.B.?

The Future… Now!

How would you describe the

age in which we now live?

What is this?

http://www-bsac.eecs.berkeley.edu/archive/users/warneke-brett/SmartDust/

Berkeley’s Golem Dust11.7 mm3 total circumscribed volume

~4.8 mm3 total displaced volume

Berkeley’s Deputy Dust6.6 mm3 total circumscribed

volume 4th Gen

11.7 mm3

6.6 mm3

MIT Technology Review,

January, 2005

4th

GEN

MIT Tech Review, 2005

Sensors

Physical

Chemical

Biologicalhttp://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/bbl/03102801.pdf , page 16

Actuators

Physical

Chemical

Biological

PhiloMetron™

4th

GEN

MIT Tech Review, 2005

This is a ROBOT

http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/events/bbl/03102801.pdf , page 16

Nanobionics

Tethered bacterium

Swimming bacteriumSwimming speed ~ 20-30 μmProtons flux/motor ~ 1200 proton/rev

Tethered bacteriumMotor efficiency ~ 90-100 %Output power ~ 2.9×10-4 pW

Stall torque ~ 4600 pN-nm

Nano-motor (45 nm wide)Genetic Engineering

Harmless E. coli

Mohamed Al-Fandi, Ph.D.Research Assistant Professor of NEMS & MEMSDept. of Mechanical Engineering & BiomechanicsUniversity of Texas

An artificial red cell – the respirocyte [41]. Designer Robert A. Freitas Jr. ©1999 Forrest

Bishop. http://www.imminst.org/freitas.html

“A half a liter of respirocytes… would allow a person to hold his breath at the bottom of a swimming pool for up to 4 hours…”

How would you describe the

age in which we now live?

Cybernetics is the discipline that studies and creates communication and control systems in living organisms and in the machines built by humans. Greek kybernetes(meaning steersman, governor, pilot, or rudder).

The New Age

Changing Nature of Work

The Pain and the Pill

What’s the R.U.B.?

The Future… Now!

How is this new age changing the nature of

work?

The number of jobs requiring technical training is growing at five times the rate of other occupations.Innovate America, U.S. Council on Competitiveness

Integrates sensors, batteries, a control chip, and an RF transmitter

in a 35mm-long housing.

Lab-in-a-Pill

http://www.olympus.co.jp/en/news/2004b/nr041130capsle.cfm

University of Glasgow

Capsule Endoscope

Changing the structure of work and the economics of health care.

21st century jobs are increasingly transdisciplinary--existing at the intersection of

multiple traditional industry and academic domains.

“In most industries you have electricians, mechanics and IT, in wind, you are expected to do everything. Turbine Techs earn $28-$40K a year…Many techs earning $40K -$80K a year with OT.”-- Bryan Gregory, Jr.

11.1.2006, TSTC West TX, Sweetwater

“Automotive Technicians earn $30K-$36K per year.”

“Every system on a car is monitored or controlled by a computer. Technicians have to be more analytical and process oriented.”

--Russell CarriganTSTC West TX, Sweetwater, 10.31.2006

Samuel Palmisano (CEO, IBM): Business Week: 10.11.2004

100 million jobs are going to be created in a lot of these

cross-disciplinary fields

Council on Competitiveness:National Innovation Initiative

Where is the sweet spot

today?

MechatronicsThe synergistic combination of mechanical engineering, electronics, control systems and computers.Mechanical, Aerospace, and Nuclear EngineeringDepartments at RPIAll Contents Copyright(C) 2001 Mechatronics Lab at RPI

http://www.toyota.com/prius/index.html?s_van=GM_TN_HYBRID_PRIUS

Energy-CHP

Utilities

A California study indicates that peak-rate usage can be shaved by 20 percent if utilities used Automated Meter Reading (ARM) for accurate pricing information--each megawatt of reduction can equate to $400,000 in savings per year (Jackson, 2004, p. 1) saving California utilities and consumers at least $5 billion a year.

http://www.utilitiesproject.com/documents.asp?grID=85&d_ID=2402

More than 25 million AMR units installed on gas (21 percent), water (11 percent), and electric utility (16 percent) meters.

200 million units yet to be changed out to AMR (Jackson, 2004).

Security and Process ControlSCADA $3.1 B (2004) to over $4 B (2007).

SCADA security software to grow by 50% annually through 2007 (Kuykendall, 2004).

RF Modules 1.9 MM units (2004) to climb to 165 MM units (2010) (Legg, 2004).

Industrial wireless sensors $24 MM (2001) over $100 MM (2008)(Donoho, 2002).

NovusEDGE

ArmidaDevicePoint

Construction

Patent thin-nickel-strip magneto-strictive sensor

(MsS™). Applicable to airplanes, ships, plants,

pipelines and bridges.

US 80 billion square feet of commercial and government facilities and buildings, and more than 100 billion square feet of dams and bridges (Sensametrics, 2003). One trillion dollar market (Elgamal).

http://www.swri.org/3pubs/ttoday/fall03/Future.htm

SwRI MsS™

http://www.swri.edu/3pubs/IRD2002/14-9285.htm

Home Technology

Implantable robots.

http://sfgate.com/c/pictures/2005/04/17/bu_geeks_012_db.jpg

Bottom Line: We need more of these…

Especially if I have to reboot my knee….

How is this new age changing the nature of

work?

Jobs Context

Texas Cluster Initiative -Workforce

60% of the jobs in the Texas biotechnology cluster require only an associates degree or certificate.

The reality is many of the Texas Cluster’s high-tech jobs are split between requirements for community and technical college degrees and 4-year degrees.

Skilled technical jobs are attainable and critically needed by industry. Dr. Mae Jemison,

Chair, Biotechnology Cluster

The New Age

Changing Nature of Work

The Pain and the Pill

What’s the R.U.B.?

The Future… Now!

Where is the pain and how can

engage industry and K-12 to create solutions quickly?

• International (TIMSS) test scores show U.S. 4th graders to be 12th in the world in math; 6th in the world in science

• International (TIMSS) test scores show U.S. 8th graders to be 14th in the world in math; 9th in the world in science

• International (PISA) test scores show U.S. 12th graders to be 24th in the world in math; 22nd in the world in scienceData from National Center for Education Statistics. In Mayo 2005, National Academies.(http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pisa/PISA2003Highlights.asp and http://nces.ed.gov/timss/Results03.asp)

National Center for Education Statistics, Mayo, 2005.

Data from National Center for Education Statistics . In Mayo 2005, National Academies.(http://nces.ed.gov/surveys/pisa/PISA2003Highlights.asp and http://nces.ed.gov/timss/Results03.asp)

“The longer we stay in the educational system,

the worse off we are with respect to our

peers.”Source: Mayo, National Academies2005

Jobs Context

“The amount of private investment in post secondary education now exceeds the public investment. The lines have crossed.”

— Dr. Ray Perryman

L3 Communication Systems

Aviation Career Education (ACE)

Semester 1, 2, 3Eligibility for part-time employment at L3

Semester 4, 5Tuition paid for first three semesters

Part-time employment at L3Tuition paid directly by L3

Upon GraduationTwo-year employment contract with L3

“When you realize you’re going to get hired by a company like L-3 right out of school, it’s too good an opportunity to pass up.”

— Al Johnson, 19, Houston, 1st year student

Students

Education

Industry

WorkforceEco Dev

Informed Education ChoicesImproved Career RelevancePathways with IntentHigher Placement

Fulfilling the MissionCloser Industry AlignmentInformed Curriculum PlanningCompelling DataIncreased Enrollment

Informed Education InvestmentsImproved Workforce AnalysisTransparent Supply PipelineHigher Quality Workforce

How do we engage K-12?

--A. Gold, IC2 Institute, UT Austin

1.Students have professional aspirations, but lack knowledge about how to reach professional goals.

2.Opportunities to learn about and explore careers are not available at school or accessed by the majority of students.

3.Students lack knowledge about the context and content of careers.

The Next Step

- Career Exploration- Academic Planning- Pathways, not Tracks- Relevant Curriculum- Industry Sponsored- Career Intent

ITSA

SpaceTEAMS

spaceTEAMS Summer Academy

Gameboy Video Game BRAIN

Vision System

Lego Actuators and Building Blocks

MechatronicsThe synergistic combination of mechanical engineering, electronics, control systems and computers.Mechanical, Aerospace, and Nuclear EngineeringDepartments at RPIAll Contents Copyright(C) 2001 Mechatronics Lab at RPI

Elementary

spaceTEAMSSan Antonio,TX

Robot competition plus career and

academic exploration and history of

science and technology.

spaceTEAMSSan Antonio,TX

Middle School

US First-EISDAndrew SchuetzeSan Antonio,TX

High School

The New Age

Changing Nature of Work

The Pain and the Pill

What’s the R.U.B.?

The Future… Now!

“NobelistHerbert A. Simon has written that the availability of technologies to youth is its own instructor.”

Dr. George Kozmetsky

What is this?

TERAFLOP SUPER COMPUTER for $300!

10 years ago, the cost of a 2 Teraflop supercomputer was $100M.--Frietas, The Future of Computers

What is the average age of all video gamers in US?

Entertainment Software Association (ESA), 2005 Essential Facts About the Computer and Video Game Industry, May 18, 2005.

What percent female and

male?

55% and 43% of all games

Entertainment Software Association (ESA), 2005 Essential Facts About the Computer and Video Game Industry, May 18, 2005.

“It’s not true that women do not like to

hunt. They like to hunt in packs and

with a reason to kill.”--My Mom

What is this?

Improved Target Acquisition System Trainer

$7.5 million project that immerses students in the hectic environment of a hospital's intensive care unit and places them in a first-person role as a health-care professional. Funded by the U.S. Office of Naval Research, Pulse!! is being developed by Texas A&M-Corpus Christi, which in turn hired Hunt Valley (Md.)-based BreakAway to produce and design the platform. –Business Week

http://www.businessweek.com/innovate/content/apr2006/id20060410_051875.htm

Pulse!!

Case study: Emergency Response Training, Pjotr van Schothorst

VSTEP BV, Rotterdam, The Netherlands

USC ISI and Tactical Language Training

(ITSEC 2005)

NETC – 24 Blue

(ITSEC 2005)

What is this?

COPYRIGHT 2003-2005 CRITICAL MASS INTERACTIVE, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

USAF: AIR DOMINANCEACTION FLIGHT SIMULATOR

What is this?

©num

edeon, inc. 2006

©num

edeon, inc. 2004

Virtual Biotech company

Make viruses

Release into community

Join team to find vaccine

Reach 20,000 for awareness

Refer 1,000 for education

WHERE’S MY

VACCINE!

WhyPoxBiotech

©num

edeon, inc. 2004

Make airplanes

Do flight test

Manage supply chain

WHERE’S MY

AIRPLANE!!New Century

ManufacturingReach 20,000 for awareness

Refer 1,000 for education

What is this?

Math Engineering

TechScience

TEAMS

What are they learning?

What is this?

A robust program of research and experimentation is needed to enhancedevelopment of educational games by stimulating transfer of the art andtechnologies of video games to education and learning systems.

High development costs in an uncertain market for educational innovationsmake developing complex high-production learning games too risky for videogame and educational materials industries.

Educational institutions need to transform organizational systems andinstructional practices to take greater advantage of new technology, includingeducational games.

Outcome data from large-scale evaluations of educational games are needed to demonstrate that these technologies are equal to or offer comparative advantage vs. conventional IM.

We seek to advance the learning and career development of science, technology, engineering and mathematics domains (STEM) using a vanguard educational solution that combines real world simulation tools with video game technologies.

This is about much, much more t the MacArthur Foundation announced a $50MM

han fun and games. On 10.19.2006,fund for digital learning and games.

What is this?

Learning Machine

21st Century Teacher

Can you make the shift?

The New Age

Changing Nature of Work

The Pain and the Pill

What’s the R.U.B.?

The Future… Now!

www.kurzweilai.net/.../ SIN_headshot_highres.html

“An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common-sense ‘intuitive linear’ view. So we won't experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century -- it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today's rate)… because we're doubling the rate of progress every decade, we'll see a century of progress--at today's rate--in only 25 calendar years.”

Kurzweil, KurzweilAI.net, March 7, 2001.

Adapted from Charles OstmanSenior Fellow

Institute for Global Futures

NEURO NANO

BIOINFO

21st Century Architecture

Adapted from Charles OstmanSenior Fellow

Institute for Global Futures

NEURO NANO

BIOINFO

Structural Integration

Industrial Age

Notion of INFO AGE

Historic –Economic –Social Shift

Cybernetic Age