Transcript
Page 2: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Economics

KEY REPORT• Thai Macro - No Place Like Home

KEY REPORTS• 2017 Outlook & Lookouts - Of politics & policies• Safety and strength in numbers

KEY REPORTS• 2017 Outlook & Lookouts - Of politics & policies• Safety and strength in numbers

CHUA HAK BIN

KEY REPORTS• ASEAN: Synchronization and Rate Hike Cycles• China’s Rising Wall of Savings• Singapore’s Broadening Growth Recovery

SUHAIMI ILIAS

CHIEF ECONOMIST

ZAMROS DZULKAFLI

MALAYSIA

TIM LEELAHAPHAN

[email protected]

+65 6231 5830

[email protected]

+603 2297 8682

[email protected]

+603 2082 6818

[email protected]

+66 2658 6300 ext 1420

REGIONAL THEMATIC

THAILAND

Page 3: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

KEY REPORT• Vietnam - Mixed 1Q17 Macros

LEE JU YE

KEY REPORTS• ASEAN: Synchronization and Rate Hike Cycles• China’s Rising Wall of Savings• Singapore’s Broadening Growth Recovery

LIEN LE HONG

VIETNAM

[email protected]

+65 6231 5844

[email protected]

+84 844 55 58 88 ext 8181

REGIONAL

Economics

Page 4: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Strategy

KEY REPORT• Singapore Market Monitor - Growth Ahoy!

KEY REPORT• 2017 Outlook & Lookouts - Of politics & policies

KEY REPORTS• Brexit Five Things We Think We Think• Another Five Things We Think We Think• ASEAN Infrastructure - The New Old Thing

WILLIE CHAN

KEY REPORTS• Juggling balls in two different worlds• Of Mandates, Currencies and Capital Controls• Swaggy Charts, New Intrigues – Eight Charts that

Go Bump

SADIQ CURRIMBHOY

REGIONAL

WONG CHEW HANN

MALAYSIA

NEEL SINHA

[email protected]

+852 2268-0631

[email protected]

+65 6231 5836

[email protected]

+603 2297 8686

[email protected]

+65 6231 5838

REGIONAL

SINGAPORE

Page 5: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

KEY REPORT• Vietnam - Mixed 1Q17 Macros !

KEY REPORT• India Strategy - Demonetisation impact, worst not

over YET

KEY REPORTS• Six-for-17: Another year of low expectation• The Myopic Eye: Monthly flows and ideas

ISNAPUTRA ISKANDAR

KEY REPORT• Indonesia Strategy - A New Chapter

MARIA LAPIZ

THAILAND

JIGAR SHAH

INDIA

LIEN LE HONG

[email protected]

+62 21 8066 8680

[email protected]

+662 257 0250

[email protected]

+91 22 6632 2632

[email protected]

+84 844 55 58 88 ext 8181

REGIONAL

VIETNAM

Strategy

Page 6: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

SMID

KEY REPORT• Indonesia Strategy - A New Chapter

KEY REPORTS• Six-for-17: Another year of low expectation• The Myopic Eye: Monthly flows and ideas

KEY REPORTS• ASEAN Small & Mid-Caps (SMID) - Beta Mind The

Alpha • ASEAN Small & Mid-Caps (SMID) - Casual dining and

retail therapy in Manila

WONG CHEW HANN

KEY REPORT• 2017 Outlook & Lookouts - Of politics & policies

NEEL SINHA

REGIONAL

MARIA LAPIZ

THAILAND

ISNAPUTRA ISKANDAR

[email protected]

+603 2297 8686

[email protected]

+65 6231 5838

[email protected]

+662 257 0250

[email protected]

+62 21 8066 8680

MALAYSIA

INDONESIA

Page 7: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

KEY REPORT• Vietnam - Mixed 1Q17 Macros !

KEY REPORT• India Strategy - Demonetisation impact, worst not

over YET

JIGAR SHAH

INDIA

LIEN LE HONG

[email protected]

+91 22 6632 2632

[email protected]

+84 844 55 58 88 ext 8181

VIETNAM

SMID

Page 8: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Automobiles

KEY REPORT• Philippines Automotive

KEY REPORTS• ViTrox Corporation - Level up!• V.S. Industry - Dusting off the competition • Semiconductor - Opportunities favour the ready

KEY REPORTS• China Auto OEM - Five Lessons From China’s

Smartphone Success Story• Regional Auto - Proton-Geely eyes the ASEAN region

ISNAPUTRA ISKANDAR

KEY REPORT• Indonesia Strategy - A New Chapter

KA LEONG LO

CHINA

HONG KONG

IVAN YAP

MALAYSIA

KATHERINE TAN

[email protected]

+62 21 8066 8680

[email protected]

+852 2268 0630

[email protected]

+603 2297 8612

[email protected]

+63 2 849 8843

INDONESIA

PHILIPPINES

Page 9: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

KEY REPORT• China Auto OEM - Five Lessons From China’s

Smartphone Success Story

KEY REPORT• India Strategy - Demonetisation impact, worst not

over YET

JIGAR SHAH

INDIA

BENJAMIN HO

[email protected]

+91 22 6632 2632

[email protected]

+852 2268-0632

CHINA

HONG KONG

Automobiles

Page 10: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Gaming

KEY REPORT• Wynn Macau - Dealt a bad hand • MGM China - Mass Market Gainer, U/G HOLD

KEY REPORTS• Malaysia Casinos - Winner winner chicken dinner in

the year of the rooster• Genting Malaysia - Counting our winnings first• Genting Bhd - Laggard play to GENM and GENS

ROMMEL RODRIGO

KEY REPORT• Bloomberry Resorts - Winner in the gaming sector

SAMUEL YIN SHAO YANG

REGIONAL

SONIJA LI

CHINA

HONG KONG

[email protected]

+63 2 849 8839

[email protected]

+603 2297 8916

[email protected]

+852 2268 0641

PHILIPPINES

Page 11: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Consumer Discretionary

KEY REPORTS• Gudang Garam - Still Shining• Ramayana Lestari - Heating Up

KEY REPORTS• Hengan Intl - Market ignoring positives brewing• Hengan Intl - Transformation on track, but more

patience needed; 2H story• Uni-President China - U/G on better opex control

and easing competition

KEY REPORTS• SCC: Trade this white elephant• Six-for-17: Another year of low expectation• DTAC: No Need for Pessimism

KA LEONG LO

KEY REPORTS• China Auto OEM - Five Lessons From China’s

Smartphone Success Story• Regional Auto - Proton-Geely eyes the ASEAN region

MARIA LAPIZ

THAILAND

JACQUELINE KO

CHINA

HONG KONG

JANNI ASMAN

[email protected]

+852 2268 0630

[email protected]

+662 257 0250

[email protected]

+852 2268 0633

[email protected]

+62 21 8066 8687

CHINA

HONG KONG

INDONESIA

Page 12: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Consumer Discretionary

KEY REPORTS• Philippines Consumer - Consumption story intact• San Miguel Pure Foods Co - Undervalued, despite

rebound

SAMUEL YANG

KEY REPORTS• Malaysia Casinos - Winner winner chicken dinner in

the year of the rooster• Genting Malaysia - Counting our winnings first• Genting Bhd - Laggard play to GENM and GENS• Media - A step closer to a special div?

LOVELL SARREAL

PHILIPPINES

[email protected]

+603 2297 8916

[email protected]

+63 2 849 8841

MALAYSIA

KEY REPORTS• China Sportswear - Loose Footing (initiation)• ANTA Sports Products - Best Foot Forward

KEY REPORT• India Strategy - Demonetisation impact, worst not

over YET

JIGAR SHAH

INDIA

BENJAMIN HO

[email protected]

+91 22 6632 2632

[email protected]

+852 2268-0632

CHINA

HONG KONG

Page 13: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Consumer Discretionary

KEY REPORTS• Malaysia Consumer - 2017, in the bag?• AEON Co. - Troubled retail business

KEY REPORTS• Hotel sector: Growth momentum to pick up• Healthcare: Social Security Scheme rate hike

JADE TAM

KEY REPORT• Media - A step closer to a special div?

THAILAND

KEVIN WONG

MALAYSIA

[email protected]

+603 2297 8687

[email protected]

+662 658 6300 ext 1393

[email protected]

+603 2082 6824

MALAYSIA

SITTICHAIDUANGRATTANACHAYA

Page 14: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Consumer Staples

KEY REPORTS• Gudang Garam (GGRM) - Still Shining• Ramayana Lestari (RALS) - Heating Up

KEY REPORTS• Hengan International - Market ignoring positives

brewing; U/G to BUY • Hengan International - Transformation on track, but

more patience needed; 2H story• Uni-President China - U/G on better opex control

and easing competition

KEY REPORTS• SCC: Trade this white elephant• Six-for-17: Another year of low expectation• DTAC: No Need for Pessimism

LIEN LE HONG

KEY REPORTS• VNM - Solid Growth, Wider Margin, U/G to BUY • DHG - Ahead of Fundamentals, D/G to SELL• Vietnam - Mixed 1Q17 Macros

MARIA LAPIZ

THAILAND

JACQUELINE KO

CHINA

HONG KONG

JANNI ASMAN

[email protected]

+84 844 55 58 88 ext 8181

[email protected]

+662 257 0250

[email protected]

+852 2268 0633

[email protected]

+62 21 8066 8687

VIETNAM

INDONESIA

Page 15: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Consumer Staples

KEY REPORTS• Philippines Consumer - Consumption story intact• San Miguel Pure Foods Co - Undervalued, despite

rebound

LOVELL SARREAL

PHILIPPINES

[email protected]

+63 2 849 8841

KEY REPORTS• Bison - Small but potent• Consumer - New Price Control and Anti-Profiteering

Regulations • Consumer - What is in the store?

LIEW WEI HAN

MALAYSIA

[email protected]

+603 2297 8676

KEY REPORTS• China Sportswear - Loose Footing (initiation)• ANTA Sports Products - Best Foot Forward

BENJAMIN HO

[email protected]

+852 2268-0632

CHINA

HONG KONG

Page 16: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Energy

KEY REPORTS• PVD - Cut Earnings; D/G to SELL • HT1- Adverse SOE Impact

KEY REPORT• India Strategy - Demonetisation impact, worst not

over YET

KEY REPORTS• China Oil & Gas - The tide is turning…• China Oil & Gas - 7th Inning Stretch: D/G to Neutral• Regional Oil & Gas - See the Forest for the Trees

LIAW THONG JUNG

KEY REPORTS• Oil & Gas: Upgrade to POSITIVE• Alam Maritim: Sees red in 1Q16 • Wah Seong: Nord Stream 2 game changer • MMHE: Take profit. D/G to SELL

HOWARD WONG

REGIONAL

JIGAR SHAH

INDIA

LE NGUYEN CHUYEN

[email protected]

+603 2297 8688

[email protected]

+852 2268 0648

[email protected]

+91 22 6632 2632

[email protected]

+84 844 55 58 88 ext 8082

REGIONAL

VIETNAM

Page 17: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Plantations

KEY REPORT• PP London Sumatra Indonesia - Vintage LSIP

KEY REPORTS• Boustead Plantations – monetisation of assets to

sustain dividends • Bumitama Agri – In a sweet spot• Regional Plantations – 2017 Outlook

LIAW THONG JUNG

KEY REPORTS• Indonesia Strategy - A New Chapter• PP London Sumatra Indonesia - Vintage LSIP• Indonesia Coal - Diversification Into Power

ONG CHEE TING

REGIONAL

ADHI TASMIN

INDONESIA

[email protected]

+62 21 8066 8680

[email protected]

+603 2297 8678

[email protected]

+62 21 8066 8694

INDONESIA

Page 18: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Telecommunications

KEY REPORT• India Telcos - Pain to remain for a while

KEY REPORTS• Telco: Still competitive but normalizing• DTAC: No Need for Pessimism

KEY REPORTS• Alibaba - Investor Day 1: It’s a Whole New World /

Investor Day 2: Unveiling the Data Economy• Regional Telecom - Lighthouse in the Fog

TAN CHI WEI

KEY REPORT• Telcos: Share prices bottoming?

MITCHELL KIM

REGIONAL

MARIA LAPIZ

THAILAND

NEERAV DALAL

[email protected]

+603 2297 8690

[email protected]

+852 2268-0634

[email protected]

+662 257 0250

[email protected]

+91 22 6623 2606

MALAYSIA

INDIA

Page 19: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Telecommunications

KEY REPORTS• Alibaba - Investor Day 1: It’s a Whole New World /

Investor Day 2: Unveiling the Data Economy• Regional Telecom - Lighthouse in the Fog

JEFFREY KWONG

CHINA

HONG KONG

[email protected]

+852 2268 0635

Page 20: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Transportation

KEY REPORT• Airline: Excise tax on jet fuel hiked

KEY REPORT• Westports - Taking a backseat

KEY REPORTS• Aviation - Getting past the Trump’over• MAHB - Modest gain from PSC restructuring• AirAsia - PSC revision a slight impact

NEEL SINHA

KEY REPORT• Singapore Market Monitor - Growth Ahoy!

MOHSHIN AZIZ

REGIONAL

LEE YEN LING

MALAYSIA

SITTICHAIDUANGRATTANACHAYA

[email protected]

+65 6231 5838

[email protected]

+603 2297 8692

[email protected]

+603 2297 8691

[email protected]

+662 658 6300 ext 1393

SINGAPORE

THAILAND

Page 21: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

DERRICK HENG

SINGAPORE

KEY REPORTS• Singapore Strategy - The Singapore Fix• Singapore Land Transport - Bus Transition: slight

bump in the road

[email protected]

+65 6432 1446

Transportation

Page 22: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary

Technology

KEY REPORTS• Greater China Foundry: A Strong Start to the Year…

For Real? • Greater China Tech: Later Arrival of New iPhone?

IVAN YAP

KEY REPORTS• ViTrox Corporation - Level up!• V.S. Industry - Dusting off the competition • Semiconductor - Opportunities favour the ready

STEFAN CHANG

REGIONAL

[email protected]

+603 2297 8612

[email protected]

+852 2268 0675

MALAYSIA

Page 23: AMB 2017 Regional V4 2017...Malaysia Singapore Indonesia Thailand Vietnam Philippines Greater China India Regional Economics Strategy SMID Automobiles Gaming Consumer Discretionary