Walter Arabasz Regional Coordinator Aug. 14, 2006 Goals & Desirable Outcomes of Meeting

Walter ArabaszRegional Coordinator

Aug. 14, 2006Aug. 14, 2006

Goals & Desirable Outcomes of Meeting

Stated Purpose of Stated Purpose of MeetingMeeting

To begin outlining a strategic plan for unified seismic monitoring in IMW

To foster cooperation and greater technical coordination among IMW networks [and states]

To plan and coordinate political activism

Some “Drivers”Some “Drivers”

Region-wide IMW strategic plan long overdue

USGS: What’s needed in IMW to meet ANSS performance standards? Priorities for next 3 yrs (incl. 3-yr co-ops)?

Timing of USArray in IMW and opportunity for pursuing some kind of plan for retaining some of the temporary broadband stations

Map 19 USArray —USArray —

Temporary Temporary BB StationsBB StationsAlready Already “Rolling” “Rolling” Across the Across the IMW IMW RegionRegion

Desirable Outcomes of MtgDesirable Outcomes of Mtg

1. Understanding of “mutual self interests” and agreement to cooperate

A region-wide strategic plan has to be underpinned, eventually, by a formalized agreement to cooperate.

Consider MOA for CISN . . .

From CISN MOAFrom CISN MOA

“CISN institutions will build upon their existing facilities to cooperatively improve seismicinstrumentation, its spatial distribution throughoutthe state, its effectiveness in meeting public needs . . .

This agreement is based on the value the organizations place on their own institutions receiving appropriate credit, and their understanding that thelong-term health of an organization depends on the recognition of its value to the community and state.”


2. Outline of a 5-yr Strategic Plan and path forward for writing the plan

Consensus on basic goals, what’s needed to meet ANSS performance standards, and priorities


3. Plan for political activism to get added resources for IMW region (esp. RE retention of some USArray stations)

Bill Leith: How many are needed to meet ANSS performance standards? Ideal would be a consensus IMW statement of need that USGS and NSF could discuss and take to OMB to advocate for FY2008 budget.

IMW “Needs” IMW “Needs”

A quick review…

ANSS-IMW RegionANSS-IMW Region

Population*

AZ 5.9 million

CO 4.7 million

UT 2.5 million

NV 2.4 million

NM 1.9 million

ID 1.4 million

MT 0.9 million

WY 0.5 million

20.2

*U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 estimates*U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 estimates

CA = 36.1 M

WA = 6.3 M

OR = 3.6 M

IMW Region...IMW Region...

Large (~3 times larger than CA+WA+OR)Large (~3 times larger than CA+WA+OR)

Fastest growing region in the NationFastest growing region in the Nation

Has concentrated EQ risk in scattered metropolitan areas, in Has concentrated EQ risk in scattered metropolitan areas, in part due to large federal landholdings (83% NV, 65% UT, 62% part due to large federal landholdings (83% NV, 65% UT, 62% ID, 50% WY, 45% AZ, 36% CO, 34% NM, 28% MT) ID, 50% WY, 45% AZ, 36% CO, 34% NM, 28% MT)

Has compelling needs for improved seismic monitoring Has compelling needs for improved seismic monitoring associated with (a) dramatic population growth in metropolitan associated with (a) dramatic population growth in metropolitan areas at moderate to high seismic risk and (b) large gaps in areas at moderate to high seismic risk and (b) large gaps in regional coverage of seismically active areasregional coverage of seismically active areas

545 stations(283 SM, 59 BB) 167 UU

130 UNR104 NSMPMT

WY

CO

NMAZ

NV

ID

UT

StationStationNumbeNumbersrs

IMW Needs — RAC (Nov. IMW Needs — RAC (Nov. 2005):2005):

1. Most important IMW need for regional seismic monitoring is a strategic regionwide plan for dealing with EQ geography, uniform recording, and response

Patchquilt of seismic networksPatchquilt of seismic networks—both —both stably funded and unstably-fundedstably funded and unstably-funded


2. Need to help “have not” networks [and states] in IMW HOW?• Convene long-overdue mtg between ANSS mgrs, IMW network

operators, and IMW RAC• “Mutual-aid agreements among nets & NEIC, especially where

network staffing is very small• Provide improved software for efficient earthquake analysis• Assist with critically-needed technical support (more)


HOW? (cont’d)

• Address ways to provide critical info—both via Web and via personal contacts—to information outlets and/or to key persons in “have not” states to ensure that they can reliably inform governors, high-level decision-makers, and local media during earthquake situations


HOW? (cont’d)

• Explore avenues for funding—including ways that unified political activism among IMW states can gain support for improved network monitoring in seismically active states that are disadvantaged under ANSS


3. Need for availability of portable instruments to augment inadequate network coverage (with sensible “business rules” to govern when instruments will be deployed and what logistic and financial support may be available)


4. Need to capture strong-motion data for large normal-faulting Eqs, even if it means instrumenting areas with low population density

Documents

Walter Arabasz Regional Coordinator Aug. 14, 2006 Goals & Desirable Outcomes of Meeting