Vegas Global Cities

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

    METROPOLITAN POLICY PROGRAM

    Audrey Singer, Immigration Fellow

    The Brookings Institution

    Global Immigrant Gateways WorkshopGeorge Washington University

    January 12-13, 2006

    Las Vegas: Global Suburb?:Migration to and from an Emerging Immigrant Gateway

    Metropolitan Policy Program

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    It is important that we have a project onthe West Coast, and where better thanLas Vegas which is a destination, and

    Southern California where people can seeit and ride it. It is expensive, but we cantcontinue the growth in the western part of

    the United States and still rely on justroads and air.

    --Rep. Don Young (R-Alaska), in support of amagnetic levitation train between Anaheim

    and Las Vegas

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

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    Look, I've had guys from a little farm inPuebla [Mexico] who were some of the

    best chefs I've ever seen. Phenomenal.Anything you taught them they couldlearn, and do.

    Stephen Kalt, Executive Chef,Corsa Cucina,Wynn Las Vegas

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

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    Why has Las Vegas grown so quickly?

    The Last Detroit: the most unionized city in theUS and the service economy

    Low cost of living, new housing, endless desertspace

    Las Vegas has a diversified economy: majortransportation, inexpensive storage space, lowoperation costs

    Its not California: recession in the early 1990sled to mass exodus out of California

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

    METROPOLITAN POLICY PROGRAM

    Las Vegas in Context

    Hoover Dam

    North Las Vegas

    Oxnard

    Fresno

    Tucson

    Phoenix

    Stockton

    San Jose

    Las Vegas

    San Diego

    Riverside

    Sacramento

    Los Angeles

    Bakersfield

    San Francisco

    Salt Lake City

    Great Salt Lake

    Salton Sea

    Lake Mead

    Lake Powell

    Lake Tahoe

    I15

    I10

    I5

    I40

    I80

    I8

    I70

    I17

    I19

    Reno

    Carson City

    Henderson

    UTAH

    NEVADA

    CALIFORNIA

    ARIZONA

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

    METROPOLITAN POLICY PROGRAM

    Population Change in Las Vegas, 1960-2000

    Total Population, Metropolitan Las Vegas, 1960-2000

    139,126

    304,744

    528,000

    852,737

    1,563,282

    0

    200000

    400000

    600000

    800000

    1000000

    1200000

    1400000

    1600000

    1800000

    Total population

    Source: Census

    1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

    119% 76% 62% 83%

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

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    Migration In and Out of Las Vegas

    0

    20000

    40000

    60000

    80000

    100000

    120000

    1989

    -90

    1991

    -92

    1993

    -94

    1995

    -96

    1997

    -98

    1999

    -00

    2001

    -02

    2003

    -04

    In-migrants Out-migrants Net in-migrants

    Source: IRS

    Gross and net migration, Las Vegas

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    Migration In and Out of Las Vegas

    Source: IRS

    0

    2000400060008000

    1000012000140001600018000

    1989

    -90

    1990

    -91

    1991

    -9

    1992

    -93

    1993

    -94

    1994

    -95

    1995

    -96

    1996

    -97

    1997

    -98

    1998

    -99

    1999

    -00

    2000

    -01

    2001

    -0

    2002

    -03

    2003

    -04

    In-migrants Out-migrants Net in-migrants

    Migration Flows between Las Vegas and Los Angeles

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    Migration In and Out of Las Vegas

    Source: IRS

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    1989

    -90

    1991

    -92

    1993

    -94

    1995

    -96

    1997

    -98

    1999

    -00

    2001

    -02

    2003

    -04

    In-migrants Out-migrants Net in-migrants

    Migration Flows between Las Vegas and Riverside-San Bernardino

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

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    Migration In and Out of Las Vegas

    Source: IRS

    Migration Flows between Las Vegas and Phoenix

    -500

    0

    500

    1000

    15002000

    2500

    30003500

    4000

    4500

    1

    989-90

    1

    991-92

    1

    993-94

    1

    995-

    96

    1

    997-

    98

    1

    999-00

    2

    001-02

    2

    003-04

    In-migrants Out-migrants Net in-migrants

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

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    Los Angeles Metropolitan area dominates inflow

    Source: Internal Revenue Service

    *includes Orange County

    97,14785,30077,17167,222Total In-migration

    1.31,2881.41,2181.71,3102.11,415Reno

    2.32,2812.82,3872.82,1906.34,213Phoenix

    4.13,9682.92,5123.52,6972.71,841San Diego3.23,1823.02,5372.92,2231.5993New York

    3.33,2013.73,1402.92,2462.31,519Chicago

    4.64,4514.94,2516.04,6323.42,286Riverside-SanBernardino

    16.015,56614.912,69519.815,25114.59,762Los Angeles*

    %#%#%#%#

    2004200019941990Metropolitan Area

    Sources of Gross In-migration to Las Vegas Metropolitan Area, Selected Years

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

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    Increase in the Foreign-Born, Las Vegas, 1980-2000

    Source: Census

    1980 1990 2000

    74,304

    258,494

    35,062

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    300,000

    1

    112% 248%

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

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    The nations primary Gateway States are shifting

    From Northeast

    and Southwest

    To Southeast

    and Mountain West

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    METROPOLITAN POLICY PROGRAM29.0Salinas, CA

    29.0Laredo, TX

    29.5McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX

    29.9Orange County, CA

    32.0San Francisco, CA

    33.7New York, NY

    34.1San Jose, CA

    36.2Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA

    38.5Jersey City, NJ

    50.9Miami, FL

    HIGHEST PERCENT FOREIGN-BORN, 2000

    Contemporary trends in metropolitan immigrantsettlement

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

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    Contemporary trends in metropolitan immigrantsettlement

    172.2Austin-San Marcos, TX

    174.1Salt Lake City-Ogden, UT

    182.7Phoenix-Mesa, AZ

    186.6Denver, CO

    219.9Nashville, TN

    247.9Las Vegas, NV-AZ

    262.8Atlanta, GA

    270.4Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

    315.0Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC

    367.2Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC

    PERCENT GREATEST GROWTH IN FOREIGN-BORN, 1990-2000(Among Metros with >1M total population)

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    Country of Birth, Las Vegas 2000

    Other23%

    Germany 2%

    Mexico47%

    Philippines 10%

    El Salvador 4%

    Vietnam 2%China 2%

    UK 2%Cuba 3%

    Canada 3%

    Korea 2%

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

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    Where did you live 5 years ago (1995), Las Vegasresidents, 2000

    Native -Born Foreign -Born

    Same House

    Different House, US

    Abroad

    26 %

    54 %

    19%

    38 %

    61 %

    1%

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

    METROPOLITAN POLICY PROGRAM

    Percentage of foreign-born who moved from abroadfive years ago, selected metros, 2000

    42%Atlanta

    41%Pittsburgh

    38%Detroit

    38%Dallas

    36%Phoenix

    33%Chicago

    33%New York

    26%Las Vegas

    23%

    RESIDING IN

    Los Angeles

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

    METROPOLITAN POLICY PROGRAM

    Among FB movers, where did you live 5 years ago?

    71

    80

    86

    82

    66

    93

    77

    77

    72

    78

    29

    20

    14

    18

    34

    7

    23

    23

    28

    22

    0 20 40 60 80 100 120

    Mexico

    Philippines

    El Salvador

    Canada

    Cuba

    Germany

    Guatemala

    Japan

    China

    KoreaDifferent house in US Abroad

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    Residential concentration outside the city limits

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    Change in the population without the foreign born

    Population Change in Selected Metropolitan Areas, 1990-2000

    -10.0

    0.0

    10.0

    20.0

    30.0

    40.0

    50.0

    60.0

    70.0

    80.0

    90.0

    Pittsburgh Chicago New York Los Angeles Atlanta Las Vegas Phoenix

    Percent Change in Total Population

    Percent Change in Native-born

    Population

    Source: Census

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    BROOKINGS INSTITUTION

    METROPOLITAN POLICY PROGRAM

    Las Vegas, Global Suburb?

    Migration system with the Southwestern region,including Mexico

    More affordable middle-class lifestyle, like the

    burbs used to be?

    Foreign-born population will continue to grow dueto social networks