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US vs. EU Broadband Trends 2012 – 2019

US vs. EU Broadband Trends

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Page 1: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

US vs. EU Broadband Trends

2012 – 2019

Page 2: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

Letter from Jonathan Spalter .........................................................................................................................................1

Key Findings ...................................................................................................................................................................................3

US vs. EU Broadband Deployment » Coverage

Households Covered with Fixed Broadband at Any Speed .........................................................................4

Households Covered with Fixed Broadband at NGA Speed .......................................................................5

Households Covered with Fixed Broadband > 100 Mbps ..............................................................................6

Households with 2 or More Wired Facilities Based Competing Providers .......................................7

Households with 2 or More Facilities Based Competing Providers ......................................................8

US vs. EU Broadband Adoption » Take-Up

Share of Households with Fixed Broadband Subscription at Any Speed .........................................9

Share of Households with Fixed Broadband Subscription ≥ 30 Mbps .............................................10

Share of Households with Fixed Broadband Subscription ≥ 100 Mbps ...........................................11

Share of Households with Broadband Subscriptions at 3 Speed Intervals ..................................12

Why is the US Ahead? ...........................................................................................................................................................13

USTELECOM PARTNER Arthur Menko, BPI-Telcodata

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page 3: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

1

THE U.S. LEADS ON BROADBAND: THE KEY QUESTION IS WHY

THE U.S. STANDS AT A CROSSROADS for its innovation policy. Congress and the Administration are stepping up with historic funding that works shoulder to shoulder with broadband companies to close the digital divide. As a result, we as a country are able to contemplate all the possibilities that the future of a universally connected nation might hold.

But as we look to this future, it is imperative that we understand our nation’s path to global leadership in the information age. This means confronting persistent myths with data-driven facts when it comes to assessing the state of U.S. broadband. One of the most common and misguided claims is that the European Union’s (EU) more intensive framework for broadband regulation has somehow yielded a superior online experience for its consumers.

The findings of this report flatly debunk this claim, and the data is undeniable: The U.S. leads the EU in broadband deployment and adoption—and this lead is even larger when rural areas and at higher-speed offerings are considered.

Put another way, if the U.S. had followed the EU’s more regulatory path, then our nation’s digital divide could be more than triple what it is today—leaving an additional 39.5 million1 Americans without access to a broadband-fueled world of opportunities.

EU leaders are keenly aware of their disadvantage. As far back as 2012, Europe’s chief telecom regulator warned that the “attachment to 20th century policy mindsets and business models is hurting Europe’s economy.”2 The following year, the full European Commission decried its “regulatory mess,” noting “the effect is that Europe is losing the global race to build fast fixed broadband connections. Concretely: telecoms companies are under-performing, other businesses are losing competitiveness and frustrated consumers are stuck in the internet slow lane.”3

1 Based on 2019 census figures and U.S. broadband services ≥ 30Mbps down/3 Mbps up. 2 https://telecoms.com/45731/kroes-europe-flattened-by-global-competitors-without-more-ict-investment/ 3 https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/MEMO_13_756

LETTER FROM JONATHAN SPALTER

Page 4: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

2 US VS. EU BROADBAND TRENDS 2012 – 2019

While European governments imposed heavy regulation on broadband—chilling investment in better, stronger and more farreaching networks—the U.S. bounded ahead by crafting a more collaborative approach between the public and private sectors. One outcome?

Broadband companies invest more than three times as much in telecommunications infrastructure per household in the U.S. than in the EU—about $700 per home each year.

This policy approach that encourages capital-intensive infrastructure work also has delivered to U.S. consumers a far more competitive broadband marketplace, with twice the facilities-based competition as EU consumers enjoy. This, in turn, has fueled a cascade of additional benefits from falling U.S. broadband prices4 to greater network resilience in times of crisis to the ability of American consumers to more fully utilize digital tools and resources, as evidenced by the fact that the average U.S. subscriber uses 60% more data than its European counterparts.5

From addressing the pandemic through remote work, telehealth and online learning to growing information-based jobs and entrepreneurial opportunities, our nation continues to reap the rewards of U.S. broadband leadership. As we look to the future, we should do so with a clear-eyed understanding of how we got here: The U.S. leads because smart infrastructure has been advanced by smart policy that helped spark more than $1.8 trillion—and counting—in private sector U.S. infrastructure investment.

Jonathan SpalterPresident and CEO, USTelecom

4 https://www.ustelecom.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/USTelecom-2020-Broadband-Pricing-Index.pdf 5 https://openvault.com/complimentary-report-4q20/

LETTER FROM JONATHAN SPALTER

Page 5: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

3

KEY FINDINGS

KEY FINDINGS

The U.S. handily leads the EU in both broadband infrastructure deployment and broadband adoption—at all speeds—and this lead grows when comparing higher speed offerings.

• Deployment: U.S. leads EU by 12 percentage points at 30 Mbps; 25 pp lead for ≥100 Mbps.

• Adoption: U.S. leads EU by 9.4 pp at 30 Mbps; 21.4 pp lead for ≥100 Mbps.

The U.S. infrastructure advantage is most significant when comparing rural areas, despite the EU definition of “rural” including more population-dense areas (which allows costs to be spread across a much larger customer base).

• U.S. leads EU in rural deployment by 22.3 pp at 30 Mbps.

U.S. dominance on broadband adoption reinforces prior research showing encouraging progress on U.S. broadband affordability—with U.S. broadband prices declining, even as the costs of many other essential goods and services continue to rise.

Broadband providers invest substantially more in U.S. versus EU infrastructure (≥3x on a per household basis). This can be attributed to a more collaborative public-private U.S. policy framework that encourages investment in facilities-based competition rather than imposing heavy government regulation (e.g. open access, unbundling).

One added advantage of the United States’ pro-investment approach is that its consumers enjoy twice the facilities-based competition as their EU counterparts. It also has infused the country with extensive physical network redundancy and capacity, which can bolster resilience in times of crisis—from surging online traffic amid a pandemic to acts of cyberwarfare.

Page 6: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

4 US VS. EU BROADBAND TRENDS 2012 – 2019

75%

80%

85%

95%

90%

100%

2012 20192013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

91% 92% 92%93%

94%95% 95%

97%

98%97%

98% 98% 98%99% 99% 99%

95%96% 96% 96%

97% 97% 97% 97%

81%82%

83%84%

85%86%

87%

90%

US VS. EU BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT » Coverage

KEY TAKEAWAYS

The U.S. leads the EU in broadband coverage at any speed.

This lead extends substantially when comparing rural areas.

This U.S. rural edge exists despite the more restrictive U.S. definition of rural.

HOUSEHOLDS COVERED WITH FIXED BROADBAND AT ANY SPEED » U.S. & EU in All Areas and Rural

EU ALL AREAS US ALL AREAS EU RURAL US RURAL

The EU defines rural areas as ≤ 263 people per square mile. In the U.S. on average there are 17.4 people per square mile in rural areas. A majority (57% ) of the EU’s rural census blocks would be considered non-rural in the U.S.

SOURCES: FCC, NTIA AND EC’S DESI DATA

Page 7: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

5

0%

20%

10%

40%

30%

80%

70%

90%

60%

50%

100%

2012 20192013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

84%82%

89% 89% 91% 94% 95%

54% 56%

63%67%

72%77%

80%83%

93%

12%

19%24%

36%

45%

52%

59%

48%48%

55%

66%60%

27%

70%74%

79%

US VS. EU BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT » Coverage

SOURCES: FCC, NTIA AND EC’S DESI DATA

HOUSEHOLDS COVERED WITH FIXED BROADBAND AT NGA SPEED » U.S. & EU in All Areas and Rural

EU ALL AREAS US ALL AREAS EU RURAL US RURALKEY TAKEAWAYS

The U.S. lead on deployment grows when considering only higher-speed offerings.

In 2019, the U.S. was ahead by:

• 12 percentage points overall

• 20 percentage points in rural areas

US speeds: ≥ 25/3 (2012-14) and 30 Mbps (2015-2019); EU speeds: ≥ 30 Mbps down and any speed up.

Page 8: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

6 US VS. EU BROADBAND TRENDS 2012 – 2019

US VS. EU BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT » Coverage

KEY TAKEAWAYS

The higher speed the offering, the more the U.S. pulls ahead on access.

Lead extends to 25 percentage points in 2019 for ≥100 Mbps.

HOUSEHOLDS COVERED WITH FIXED BROADBAND ≥100 MBPS » U.S. & EU in All Areas

EU ALL AREAS US ALL AREAS

0%

20%

10%

40%

30%

80%

75%

90%

60%

50%

100%

2013 20192014 2015 2016 2017 2018

53%52% 54%

61%55%

90% 92%

40%44% 46%

49%

63% 61%67%

SOURCES: FCC, NTIA AND EC’S DESI DATA

Page 9: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

7

US VS. EU BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT » Coverage

KEY TAKEAWAYS

There is nearly 2x more facilities-based wired competition in the U.S. vs. EU

There is a 5X U.S. edge when comparing rural areas in 2019.

HOUSEHOLDS WITH 2 OR MORE WIRED FACILITIES-BASED COMPETING PROVIDERS » U.S. & EU in All Areas and Rural

EU ALL AREAS US ALL AREAS EU RURAL US RURAL

US: 2 or more Wired Providers | EU: A Cable and Telco Provider

0%

20%

10%

40%

30%

80%

70%

90%

60%

50%

100%

20192015 2016 2017 2018

7% 8% 9% 11%

52%

11%

48%46% 46%

66%

48%50%

74%

49%

84% 84%

44%

86%

43%43%

85%

45% 46%

86%

SOURCES: FCC, NTIA AND EC’S DESI DATA

Page 10: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

8 US VS. EU BROADBAND TRENDS 2012 – 2019

US VS. EU BROADBAND DEPLOYMENT » Coverage

HOUSEHOLDS WITH 2 OR MORE FACILITIES-BASED COMPETING PROVIDERS » U.S. & EU in All Areas and Rural

EU ALL AREAS US ALL AREAS EU RURAL US RURALKEY TAKEAWAYS

Adding fixed wireless to the competitive mix, U.S. consumers enjoy an even greater advantage.

There is over 2x more facilities-based competition in the U.S. vs. EU

There is a nearly 8X U.S. edge when comparing rural areas in 2019.

0%

20%

10%

40%

30%

80%

70%

90%

60%

50%

100%

20192015 2016 2017 2018

90% 90%

44%

94%

43% 43%

91%

45% 46%

91%

68%66%70% 70%

78%

7% 8% 9% 11% 11%

US: 2 or more Fixed Providers | EU: A Cable and Telco Provider

SOURCES: FCC, NTIA AND EC’S DESI DATA

Page 11: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

9

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2012

2019

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

72%

68%71%

74% 75%77% 78% 77%

79%75% 76%

79%82% 82%

84%

KEY TAKEAWAYS

Not only do more Americans have access to high-speed broadband, but significantly more Americans also have adopted the service in their homes.

SHARE OF HOUSEHOLDS WITH FIXED BROADBAND SUBSCRIPTION AT ANY SPEED

EU US

SOURCES: FCC, NTIA AND EC’S DESI DATA

US VS. EU BROADBAND ADOPTION » Take-Up

Page 12: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

10 US VS. EU BROADBAND TRENDS 2012 – 2019

US VS. EU BROADBAND ADOPTION » Take-Up

KEY TAKEAWAYS

Like deployment, the U.S. adoption advantage grows at higher speeds—with U.S. consumer take-up rates nearly 10 percentage points ahead of EU consumers.

SHARE OF HOUSEHOLDS WITH FIXED BROADBAND SUBSCRIPTION ≥ 30 MBPS

EU US

0%

20%

10%

30%

50%

40%

60%

70%

80%

2012

2018

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

10%

26%

35%

44%

50%

57%

63%

15%21%

26%

34%

40%

48%53%

SOURCES: FCC, NTIA AND EC’S DESI DATA

Page 13: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

11

US VS. EU BROADBAND ADOPTION » Take-Up

SHARE OF HOUSEHOLDS WITH FIXED BROADBAND SUBSCRIPTION ≥ 100 MBPS

EU US KEY TAKEAWAYS

At the fastest speeds, the U.S. has a 20+ percentage point lead on broadband adoption.

2012

2019

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

0%

10%

20%

40%

30%

50%

3%5%

9%

14%18%

23%

26% 26%

.1% .5%8%

13%

47%

20%

33%

SOURCES: FCC, NTIA AND EC’S DESI DATA

Page 14: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

12 US VS. EU BROADBAND TRENDS 2012 – 2019

US VS. EU BROADBAND ADOPTION » Take-Up

SHARE OF HOUSEHOLDS WITH BROADBAND SUBSCRIPTIONS AT 3 SPEED INTERVALS

< 25 MBPS ≥ 25 MBPS < 100 MBPS ≥ 25 MBPS

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

0%

15%

30%

45%

60%

75%

90%

KEY TAKEAWAYS

More American consumers are adopting broadband overall, and far more are choosing higher-speed service offerings than EU consumers.

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

0%

15%

30%

45%

60%

75%

90%

US EU

SOURCES: FCC, NTIA AND EC’S DESI DATA

Page 15: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

13

KEY TAKEAWAYS

Broadband companies invest far more in the U.S. as a whole…

U.S. +75% (CUM)

…Despite a far smaller customer base

U.S. -43% (# of households vs. EU)

…and per household

U.S. +208%(CUM)

…every year

U.S. +$478/household (Avg Annual Investment)

WHY IS THE U.S. AHEAD? TELECOM INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT 2012 – 2018

EU US

WHY IS THE US AHEAD?

Denominated in 2018 U.S. dollars. All figures are 2012-2018 CUM. Investment figures include residential, business and mobile services.

SOURCES: FCC, NTIA AND EC’S DESI DATA

EU$230

EU$353B

U.S.$616B

U.S.$708

EU219M

U.S.124M EU

$1,610

U.S.$4,955

CUSTOMER BASEAVERAGE HOUSEHOLD

PER HOUSEHOLD AVG ANNUAL INVESTMENT

INVESTMENT2012-2018 CUM

Page 16: US vs. EU Broadband Trends

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