Upload
marsha-craig
View
220
Download
2
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Complex Adaptive Systems A collection of many individual agents, who
have the freedom to act in unpredictable ways, and whose actions are interconnected such that one agent’s actions changes the context for other agents. Order emerges from interaction, not predetermined History is irreversible Future is often unpredictable
Examples: termite colonies, stock markets, the Internet, gardens, human beings, groups of people
Types of Challenges
CertaintyClear Evidence
Ag
reem
en
tA
mong
Part
icip
ants
Close to Far from
Far
from
Clo
se to Simple
Chaotic
Complex
Complicated
Simple, Complicated, & Complex
Following a Recipe Sending a Rocket to the Moon
Raising a Child
The recipe is essential Formulae are critical and necessary
Formulae have a limited application
Recipes are tested to assure easy replication of success
Sending one rocket increases assurance of future success
Raising one child provides experience but no assurance of future success
No particular expertise is required (cooking skill can improve the success rate)
High levels of expertise in a variety of fields are necessary for success
Expertise can contribute but is neither necessary nor sufficient to assure success
Recipes produce standardized, predictable results every time
Rockets are similar and there is a high degree of outcome predictability
Every child is a unique individual with unpredictable “outcomes”
Adapted from Brenda Zimmerman, PhD. 2002
Matching Approach & Challenge
CertaintyClear Evidence
Ag
reem
en
tA
mong
Part
icip
ants
Close to Far from
Far
from
Clo
se to Simpl
eJust do it!
ChaoticSeek Patterns;
Go FishComplex
Explore, Invent & Build On What Is Working
ComplicatedPlan, Align,
Control, Optimize
Liberating Structures for Complex Challenges
CertaintyClear Evidence
Ag
reem
en
tA
mong
Part
icip
ants
Close to Far from
Far
from
Clo
se to
Simple
Chaotic
Complex
Complicated
Chaordic ™ Design Process
Conversation Café Dialogue
Positive Deviance
Appreciative Inquiry
Communities of Practice
Wicked Questions
Open Space Technology
Rapid PrototypingBricolage
Minimum Specs
15% Solutions
HRO Collective Mindfulness
Creative DestructionTRIZ
Leadership and Teaching Tasks
In A Professional Bureaucracy
role defining – job and task descriptions tight structuring – use chain of command simplifying – prioritize or limit simple actions socializing – seek homogeneous values &
ideas decision making – find the “best” choice knowing – decide & tell others what to do controlling – tightly managed execution planning via forecasting – plan & then roll out staying the course – align & maintain focus
Adapted from Ruth Anderson & Reuben McDaniel, JR.
Leadership and Teaching Tasks
Complex Adaptive System
relationship building – work with patterns of interaction
loose coupling – informal communities of practice complicating – add more degrees of freedom diversifying – draw out & exploit difference sense making – collective interpretation/meaning learning – act/learn/plan at the same time improvising – intuition guiding action w/min specs thinking about the future – imagine surprises noticing emergent direction – build on what works
Adapted from Ruth Anderson & Reuben McDaniel, JR.
A Paradoxical, Complementary PairProfessional Bureaucracy
Complex Adaptive System
role defining tight structuring simplifying socializing decision making knowing controlling (w/ max specs) planning via forecasting stay the course
relationship building loose coupling complicating diversifying sense making learning improvising (w/ min specs) thinking about the future noticing emergent direction
Adapted from Ruth Anderson & Reuben McDaniel, JR.
Sources of Knowledge, Learning & Talent
Explicit Tacit LatentASK
What your students or
patients tell you they need when
you ask (e.g., focus groups)
OBSERVEWhat behaviors you
see in their local context (e.g., ethnographic
studies)
CREATE & EXPERIENCEWhat you jointly
develop with your students/patients (e.g.,
rapid prototyping efforts)
++
+++++
Telling
Adapted from Alan Duncan, MD (Mayo Clinic)
Continuum of Theories
INNOVATION IS: Unpredictable,
emergent, socially constructed adaptation
to challenges
INNOVATION IS: Socially-enabled
progress, facilitated through negotiation &
influence
INNOVATION IS: Managerial, planned process of design,
validation & dissemination
SPREAD STRATEGYSupport unit-based sense-making &
reinvention as goals emerge & co-evolve
SPREAD STRATEGYEngage change agents, early adopters & social networks in “vetting” as evidence unfolds
SPREAD STRATEGYDrive awareness of
evidence & agreement “buy-in” with individuals
Facilitate learning & alertness that informs
ongoing innovation
WHAT IS POSSIBLE NOW?
Provide ongoing feedback regarding
strengths & weaknesses
IS IT PROGRESSING?
Render evidence and definitive judgments of
success or failure
DOES IT WORK?
ORDER CONTROL
Chaordic DefinedCoined by Dee Hock (founder of VISA)
Chaordic® [kay’ ordic] adj. fr. E chaos and order
1. The behavior of any self-governing organism, organization or system which harmoniously blends characteristics of order and chaos
2. Patterned in a way dominated neither by chaos or order3. Characteristic of the fundamental organizing principles of
evolution and nature
CHAOS
Origins of innovation
DifferencesComplicated
• Plan then act• Create explicit plans• Look for agreement & a clear outcome• Limit type of actions• Drive implementation & set targets
Complex
•“Act-learn-plan” at the same time• Look for divergence• Use multiple actions & min specs• Tune to the edge• Build on what emerges & grows
An Innovator’s Fine Balance
Vertical, Hierarchical Orientation Participants respond
through the chain-of-command
Participants narrow objectives to solve discreet problems & achieve pre-determined outcomes
Information flows through formal channels & disciplines
Individual accountabilities, rank, & job descriptions are emphasized
Variation viewed as waste
Horizontal, Network Orientation Participants seek out
expertise, not rank, in informal social networks
Participants are reluctant to oversimplify complex challenges, seeking outcomes different and better than expected
Information flows freely across “territories” & “silos”
Leaders and followers switch roles easily
Participants rely on each other more than usual
Deviation can be positive
© 2004, Keith McCandless
TRIZ – Leashing Creativity/Talent1. Begin by defining an unwanted result of your work together
2. Specify structures, practices, investments, and roles that would reliably create the unwanted result selected
3. Compose these elements into an ideal, adverse system to create the unwanted result
4. Define how this system creates harm and keeps you stationary
5. Compare the ideal adverse system to the current system
6. Eliminate similarities to your current system.
7. Notice how novel approaches will emerge from “the grass roots up” & “the fringe in” to fill the space
BIRTHEntrepreneurial Action
GROWTHStrategic Management
MATURITYConservation & Routinization
Conventional Lifecycle
The Back Loop
CREATIVEDESTRUCTION
Release/Crisis/Confusion
RENEWALExploration/Invention/Reorganization
LEADERSHIPEnvisioning new options
BIRTHEntrepreneurial Action
CREATIVEDESTRUCTION
Release/Crisis/Confusion
MATURITYConservation & Routinization
RENEWALExploration/Invention /Reorganization
All Together Now
Gathering Sifting
BIRTHEntrepreneurial Action
CREATIVEDESTRUCTION
Release/Crisis/Confusion
MATURITYConservation & Routinization
RENEWALExploration/Invention/ Reorganization
--
Pot
enti
al
+
Stor
ed C
apit
al
-- Connectedness + Flexibility or rigidity resulting from loose or tight relatedness
Poverty & Rigidity Traps
Rigidity Trap
Connectedness
Potential
… Resilience
Poverty Trap
Connectedness
Potential
Resilience
“Back Loop” Lessons• Change is continuous
• Renewal requires destruction
• Need for crisis -- root word “to sift”
• Need for firebreaks; don’t burn the entire
forest and damage the soil
• Patch dynamics are key to long term
survival and adaptability
• Create and look for conditions for self-
organization and learning
Chronic Disease Complex
Acute, Uncomplicated Simple
Gradual onset over time Abrupt onset
Multivariate cause, changing over time
Of ten a single cause can be identifi ed
Diagnosis is uncertain and prognosis obscure
Diagnosis and prognosis are commonly accurate
I ndecisive technologies & therapies with adversities
Specifi c therapy or treatment available
No cure, pervasive uncertainty: management, coaching & self -care over time is needed to improve health
Profession & laity must be reciprocally knowledgeable to improve health status
Technological intervention is usually eff ective; cure is likely with return to normal health
Profession is knowledgeable and laity inexperienced
Adapted from: Halstead Holman, MD (Stanford)
Roots Of Complexity
Santa Fe Institute Physics-chaos theory Math-fractal geometry Meteorology-butterfly effect Biology-complex adaptive
systems
Surprising Convergence: We Stand on the Shoulders of Giants
Complex Adaptive Systems
((( Murray Gell-Mann )))The Quark & the Jaguar
((( Stuart Kaufmann )))At Home in the Universe
((( John Holland )))Emergence
((( Brian Arthur )))Increasing Returns
EcologyJames Lovelock, Gaia Hypothesis
MeteorologyEdward Lorenz, The Butterfly Effect
SociologyRobert Axelrod, Complexity of Cooperation
ChemistryIlya Prigogine, Order Out of Chaos
PhysiologyAry Goldberger, Cardiac Research
Socio-BiologyE.O. Wilson Consilience
Computer ScienceChristopher Langton
GeneticsR.C. Lewontin, Biology as Ideology
PhilosophyKen Wilbur, Integral Science & Religion
Physics-EcologyFritjof Capra, Web of Life
MathematicsMandlebrot, Fractals
PhysicsDavid Bohm, Wholeness
& the Implicate Order
More Giants Complexity applied to organizations
Complex Adaptive Systems
People PracticesJeffery Pfeffer
Org DevelopmentDavid Cooperrider
LeadershipGareth Morgan
Market StrategyKevin Kelly
Strategy/LeadershipRalph Stacey
InnovationEverett Rogers
ManagementBrenda Zimmerman
PlanningHenry Mintzberg
StrategyS. Brown & K. Eisenhardt
LeadershipMeg Wheatley
LearningEtienne Wegner
ManagementJeffery Goldstein
IT StrategyReuben McDaniel
SustainabilityPaul Hawken/James Moore
KnowledgeIkujiro NonakaOrg Dynamics
Roger Lewin/Birute Regine
Principles Behind the Methods
N
S
EW
Liberating StructuresThe Art & Science of Self-
Organization
Min Specs: Amplify Freedom &
Responsibility
Engagement, Not Control:
Hold Plans Lightly
Uncertainty, Not Prediction:
Take Multiple Actions
Bricolage & ChunkingWork With What Is At Hand,
Chunk-by-Chunk
Attractors Not Resistance:
Appreciate What Works
Creative Destruction:Make Space for
Innovation
No Clear End: Focus on Purpose
Not Vision
Tune to the Edge: Work with Paradox