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United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
August Crop ProductionExecutive Summary
Lance Honig, Chief
Crops Branch
August 10, 2018
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
Field Crops Fruit and Nuts Specialty Crops
Corn Peaches Dry Beans
Soybeans Apples Tobacco
Cotton Pears Sugarbeets
Wheat Grapes Sugarcane
Oats Cranberries Hops
Barley Summer Potatoes
Sorghum
Alfalfa & Other Hay
Rice
Peanuts
Contents
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
Ag Yield Objective Yield
Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement
Crops Included Field CropsCorn, Soybeans, Cotton,
and Winter Wheat
Sample Size 21,646 4,544
Collection Period July 30 – Aug 6 July 25 – Aug 1
Survey Overview
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
August 2018 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit August Previous Previous
2018 Forecast Season
Corn
Planted Mil Ac 89.1 NC -1.2
Harvested Mil Ac 81.8 NC -1.1
Yield Bu/Ac 178.4 NA +1.0
Production Bil Bu 14.6 NA -0.1
9.76 9.439.92
9.50
8.97
10.1
11.8
11.1
10.5
13.0
12.0
13.1
12.4 12.3
10.8
13.814.2
13.6
15.114.6 14.6
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Billion BushelsCorn for Grain Production
United States
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
178.4
80.0
90.0
100.0
110.0
120.0
130.0
140.0
150.0
160.0
170.0
180.0
190.0
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Bushels per AcreCorn for Grain Yield
United States
Yield Linear (Yield)
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
2004
20052006 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
20142015
20162017 Aug-18
0.260
0.270
0.280
0.290
0.300
0.310
0.320
0.330
0.340
0.350
0.360
0.370
25,000 25,500 26,000 26,500 27,000 27,500 28,000 28,500 29,000 29,500
Lbs/Ear
Ears Per Acre
Corn Objective Yield RegionEars Per Acre vs. Implied Ear Weight
Implied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsImplied Ear Weight = (Published Yield * 56) / EarsUSDA-NASS
8-10-18
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
LowOf Expectations
AverageOf Expectations
HighOf Expectations
14.0
14.1
14.2
14.3
14.4
14.5
14.6
14.7
August September October November Final
Billion Bushels
2018 United States Corn ProductionIndustry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
August 2018 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit August Previous Previous
2018 Forecast Season
Soybeans
Planted Mil Ac 89.6 NC -0.6
Harvested Mil Ac 88.9 NC -0.7
Yield Bu/Ac 51.6 NA +5.1
Production Bil Bu 4.59 NA +4.4
2.742.65
2.76
2.89
2.76
2.45
3.12 3.073.20
2.68
2.97
3.36 3.33
3.10 3.04
3.36
3.93 3.93
4.30
4.394.59
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Billion BushelsSoybean Production
United States
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
51.6
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Bushels per AcreSoybean Yield
United States
Yield Linear (Yield)
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
LowOf Expectations
AverageOf Expectations
HighOf Expectations
4.25
4.30
4.35
4.40
4.45
4.50
4.55
4.60
4.65
August September October November Final
Billion Bushels2018 United States Soybean Production
Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
August 2018 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit August Previous Previous
2018 Forecast Season
All Cotton
Planted Mil Ac 13.5 NC +7.2
Harvested Mil Ac 10.1 NA -8.7
Yield Lb/Ac 911 NA +0.7
Production Mil Bls 19.2 NA -8.1
13.5
10.1
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Million AcresAll Cotton Acres
United States
Planted Harvested
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
13.9
17.0 17.2
20.3
17.2
18.3
23.323.9
21.6
19.2
12.812.2
18.1
15.6
17.3
12.9
16.3
12.9
17.2
20.9
19.2
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Million BalesAll Cotton Production
United States
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
911
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Pounds per AcreAll Cotton Yield
United States
Yield Linear (Yield)
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
August 2018 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit August Previous Previous
2018 Forecast Season
Winter Wheat
Harvested Mil Ac 24.8 -0.1 -1.9
Yield Bu/Ac 47.9 -0.2 -4.6
Production Bil Bu 1.19 -0.3 -6.3
Other Spring Wheat
Harvested Mil Ac 12.9 NC +27.0
Yield Bu/Ac 47.6 NC +16.1
Production Mil Bu 614 +<0.1 +47.5
Durum Wheat
Harvested Mil Ac 1.84 NC -13.8
Yield Bu/Ac 39.9 -2.0 +55.3
Production Mil Bu 73.4 -1.9 +33.7
All Wheat
Production Bil Bu 1.88 -0.2 +7.8
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
2004
20052006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 2015
2016
2017
Jun-18Jul-18Aug-18
0.530
0.540
0.550
0.560
0.570
0.580
0.590
0.600
0.610
0.620
0.630
0.640
0.650
0.660
0.670
0.680
0.690
0.700
38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
Grams/Head
Heads Per Square Foot
Wheat Objective Yield RegionHeads Per Square Foot vs. Implied Head Weight
Implied Head Weight = Published Yield / (Heads*1.6006) USDA-NASS
8-10-18
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
LowOf Expectations
AverageOf Expectations
HighOf Expectations
1.83
1.84
1.85
1.86
1.87
1.88
1.89
1.90
1.91
1.92
1.93
July August Final
Billion Bushels
2018 United States All Wheat ProductionIndustry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
LowOf Expectations
AverageOf Expectations
HighOf Expectations
1.17
1.19
1.21
1.23
1.25
1.27
1.29
1.31
1.33
1.35
May June July August Final
Billion Bushels
2018 United States Winter Wheat ProductionIndustry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
LowOf Expectations
AverageOf Expectations
HighOf Expectations
560
570
580
590
600
610
620
630
640
650
July August Final
Million Bushels
2018 United States Other Spring Wheat ProductionIndustry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
LowOf Expectations
AverageOf Expectations
HighOf Expectations
60.0
65.0
70.0
75.0
80.0
85.0
July August Final
Million Bushels2018 United States Durum Wheat Production
Industry Expectations vs NASS
NASS Forecast Individual Industry Expectation
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
August 2018 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit August Previous Previous
2018 Forecast Season
Oats Mil Bu 65.7 -1.1 +33.0
Barley Mil Bu 156 +1.0 +10.0
Sorghum Mil Bu 375 NA +3.2
Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 57.8 NA +4.9
Other Hay Mil Tons 70.7 NA -7.4
Rice Mil Cwt 211 NA +18.3
Peanuts Bil Lbs 6.09 NA -15.8
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
August 2018 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit August Previous Previous
2018 Forecast Season
All Tobacco Mil Lbs 647 NA -8.9
Dry Beans Mil Cwt 35.9 NA +0.3
Sugarbeets Mil Tons 35.3 NA -0.2
Sugarcane Mil Tons 32.6 NA -2.0
Summer Potatoes Mil Cwt 19.8 NA -8.9
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
August 2018 Crop Production
% Change % Change
From From
Crop Unit August Previous Previous
2018 Forecast Season
Peaches Thou Tons 732 NA +5.1
Apples Bil Lbs 11.5 NA +0.4
Pears Thou Tons 739 NA +0.2
Grapes Mil Tons 7.66 NA +4.0
Hops Mil Lbs 106 NA +1.3
Cranberries Mil Bbls 8.63 NA +3.1
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
Release Date Report Title
August 24Cattle on Feed
Rice Stocks
August 28 Citrus Fruits
August 29 Agricultural Prices
September 4 CAIR: Cotton, Fats & Oils, and Grain Crushings
September 12Cotton Ginnings
Crop Production
Upcoming Reports
USDA-NASS
8-10-18
United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service
All Reports Available Atwww.nass.usda.gov
For Questions202-720-2127
800-727-9540
