12:00 P.M.

United States Department of Agriculture

National Agricultural Statistics Service

Crop Production - Annual

Grain Stocks

Rice Stocks

Cotton Ginnings

Winter Wheat Seedings

January Crop Production Executive Summary

Lance Honig, Chief

Crops Branch

January 12, 2015

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

Field Crops Stocks Fruit & Nuts Specialty Crops

Corn Corn Citrus Potatoes

Soybeans Soybeans Sweet Potatoes

All Cotton Sorghum Peppermint Oil

Sorghum Rice Spearmint Oil

Rice Hay Taro (Hawaii)

Hay & Forge All Wheat Hops

Peanuts Barley

Proso Millet Oats

Minor Oil

Sugarcane

Sugarbeets

Tobacco

Pulse Crops

Winter Wheat

Contents

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

December Ag Survey

Survey Type Farmer Reported

Collection Method Mail, Phone, Internet,

Personal Interview

Crops Included Field Crops

States All except HI

Sample Size 83,139

Collection Period Nov 29 – Dec 19

Survey Overview

Year Principal Crops Change From

Previous Year

Million Acres

2005 317.6 -4.7

2006 315.6 -2.0

2007 320.4 +4.7

2008 325.6 +5.3

2009 319.0 -6.6

2010 315.4 -3.6

2011 314.3 -1.1

2012 324.3 +10.0

2013 324.9 +0.6

2014 326.8 +1.9

Principal Crops Planted Acreage United States

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

327

309

290

295

300

305

310

315

320

325

330

335

340

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Million AcresPrincipal Crops

United States

Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS

1-12-15

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Corn

Planted Mil Ac 90.6 -0.3 -5.0

Harvested Mil Ac 83.1 +<0.1 -4.9

Yield Bu/Ac 171 -1.4 +8.2

Production Bil Bu 14.2 -1.3 +2.8

Stocks Bil Bu 11.2 NA +7.2

Crop Unit

171.0

80.0

90.0

100.0

110.0

120.0

130.0

140.0

150.0

160.0

170.0

180.0

1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Bushels per AcreCorn for Grain Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)USDA-NASS

1-12-15

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2 0 1 4 C o r n Y ie ldB u s h e ls a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s Y e a r

1 5 9 #1 2

2 1 0 #3 3 1 8 7 #

1

1 6 5-2 6

1 4 61 5

.& #.

2 0 0 #3 4

1 3 5 #2

1 7 0-5

2 0 0 #1 9

2 0 0 #2 2

1 8 8 #1 1

1 7 81 4

1 4 92 3 1 5 8

-1 2

1 8 3 #1 0

.& #.

1 7 5 #1 7

.& #.

1 6 1 #6

1 5 6-3

1 8 5 #9

1 8 6 #5 0

1 0 0-1 5

1 7 9 #1 0.& #

.

.& #.

1 5 7 #1 8

1 9 5 #5

1 4 81 1

1 3 2-1 0

1 2 41 4

1 7 6 #2

1 4 72

1 9 02

1 5 4 #8

.& #.

1 1 7-1 2

U .S .1 7 1 .0 #

1 2 .9

# R e c o r d H ig h

N C = N o C h a n g e

1 4 81 1

1 6 8 #1 2

1 4 8 #1 2

1 6 0-1 0

.& #.

1 4 5-9

2 1 5N C

1 4 9 #2

1 5 61 1

1 3 81 1

13.2

12.5

14.3

13.7

14.7

14.1

13.4

11.7

14.7

15.4

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15

Billion BushelsCorn Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun SepUSDA-NASS

1-12-15

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Soybeans

Planted Mil Ac 83.7 -0.6 +8.9

Harvested Mil Ac 83.1 -0.4 +8.9

Yield Bu/Ac 47.8 +0.6 +8.6

Production Bil Bu 3.97 +0.3 +18.2

Stocks Bil Bu 2.52 NA +17.2

Crop Unit

47.8

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Bushels per AcreSoybean Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)USDA-NASS

1-12-15

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2 0 1 4 S o y b e a n Y ie ldB u s h e ls a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s Y e a r

4 0-3 .5

.& #. 5 0 #

6 .5

.& #.

.& #.

.& #.

4 8 #7 .5

4 3 #2

4 0-0 .5

.& #.

5 6 #6

5 6 #4 .5

5 1 .56

3 6-1 4 8

-2

5 7 #8 .5

.& #.

4 66 .5

.& #.

4 3-1 .5

4 2N C

5 2 #6

4 6 .5 #1 0 .5

.& #.

5 40 .5.& #

.

.& #.

4 4 #4 .5

.& #.

4 5-3

4 0 #6 .5

3 4 .54

5 2 .5 #3

2 9-1 .5

.& #.

4 9 #N C

.& #.

3 5 #6 .5

U .S .4 7 .8 #

3 .8

# R e c o r d H ig h

N C = N o C h a n g e

4 5 #4 .5

4 6-0 .5

3 8 .5 #1 3

.& #.

.& #.

3 9 .51

.& #.

5 1 #4 .5

4 45

.& #.

3.32

3.65

3.253.17

3.50 3.48

3.313.21

3.50

4.06

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15

Billion BushelsSoybean Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun SepUSDA-NASS

1-12-15

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

All Cotton

Planted Mil Ac 11.0 +0.2 +6.1

Harvested Mil Ac 9.71 -1.8 +28.7

Yield Lb/Ac 795 +2.8 -3.2

Production Mil Bls 16.1 +1.0 +24.6

Crop Unit

795

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Pounds per AcreAll Cotton Yield

United States

Yield Linear (Yield)USDA-NASS

1-12-15

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2 0 1 4 A l l C o t to n Y ie ldP o u n d s a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s Y e a r

9 1 01 2 1

1 4 5 38 1 1 9 3 #

6 0

1 7 2 6 #9 8

.& #.

.& #.

.& #.

9 1 42 5 3

8 7 64 5

.& #.

.& #.

.& #.

.& #.

8 6 1 #1 0 4 .& #

.

1 1 7 1-5 2

.& #.

.& #.

.& #.

.& #.

.& #.

1 1 8 3-2 0

1 1 1 7 #1 4 9

.& #.

.& #..& #

.

.& #.

.& #.

8 7 8-4 3

.& #.

1 0 4 9 #2 5 0

.& #.

.& #.

5 7 8-1 3

.& #.

.& #.

.& #.

8 9 82 0 7

U .S . 7 9 5

-2 6

# R e c o r d H ig h

.& #.

8 7 52 2

5 8 1-6 5

.& #.

.& #.

1 2 3 9 #2 9 8

.& #.

.& #.

.& #.

.& #.

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Sorghum

Planted Mil Ac 7.14 -1.0 -11.6

Harvested Mil Ac 6.40 +3.7 -2.8

Yield Bu/Ac 67.6 +2.3 +13.4

Production Mil Bu 433 +6.0 +10.3

Stocks Mil Bu 229 NA -1.0

Crop Unit

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Rice

Planted Mil Ac 2.94 +0.3 +18.0

Harvested Mil Ac 2.92 +0.3 +18.2

Yield Lbs/Ac 7,572 -0.3 -1.6

Production Mil Cwt 221 -<0.1 +16.4

Stocks Mil Cwt 158 NA +18.2

Crop Unit

254

232 233228

245

273

227

236

220

248

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15

Million HundredweightRough Rice Stocks

United States

Supply Dec Mar Jun AugUSDA-NASS

1-12-15

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

All Hay

Harvested Mil Ac 57.1 -1.0 -1.4

Yield Tons/Ac 2.45 -5.0 +5.2

Production Mil Tons 140 -6.0 +3.6

Stocks Mil Tons 92.1 NA +3.1

Crop Unit

D e c e m b e r 1 , 2 0 1 4 H a y S to c k s /P r o d u c t io nP e r c e n t a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s Y e a r

7 1 .22 .3

1 3 .34 .1 8 3 .4

6 .9

2 3 .7-1 .2

5 0 .52 .9

4 7 .1-0 .1

8 2 .42 8 .1

6 8 .5-1 .2

6 8 .3-5 .1

4 6 .1-1 .1

7 4 .11 7 .3

5 4 .9-3 .2

8 0 .3-1 .2

7 45 .2 6 9 .3

-7 .1

6 4 .67 .8

5 5 .8-5 .1

5 5 .1-0 .2

3 8 .8 &N C

7 7 .83 2 .5

6 8-1 3 .7

5 7 .7-1 1 .8

7 7 .53

8 5 .5-0 .6

7 6 .3-0 .75 3

-2 .9

4 5 .72 8 .9

4 5 .2-1 .6

3 6 .3-5 .3

4 9 .3-1 9

6 5 .1-1 .7

9 8 .92 .6

5 7 .2-2 .9

8 3 .34 .9

5 1 .7-1 .4

5 4-1 4 .5

6 0 .91 4 .2

5 9 .6-9 .4

U .S . 6 5 .8

-0 .3

& R e c o r d L o w

N C = N o C h a n g e

9 0-1 .4

7 8 .32 .2

6 3 .9-2 .6

4 9 .73 .9

5 8 .5-7 .6

7 2 .9-6 .5

4 4 .87 .6

8 0 .45 .7

6 0 .8-1 6 .3

6 6 .91 9

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Production

All Other Hay Mil Tons 78.4 -6.9 +0.7

Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 61.4 -4.8 +7.4

Proso Millet Mil Bu 13.5 NA -26.9

Peanuts Bil Lbs 5.21 +3.3 +24.8

Crop Unit

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Production

Canola Bil Lbs 2.51 -0.4 +13.6

Cottonseed Mil Tons 5.31 +1.1 +26.4

Flaxseed Mil Bu 6.37 NA +89.7

Mustard Seed Mil Lbs 29.0 NA -21.0

Rapeseed Mil Lbs 2.59 NA +33.5

Safflower Mil Lbs 209 NA -0.8

Sunflowers Bil Lbs 2.21 -9.7 +9.5

Crop Unit

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Production

Sugarcane Mil Tons 30.9 -1.0 +0.4

Sugarbeets Mil Tons 31.4 -<0.1 -4.3

All Tobacco Mil Lbs 876 +3.3 +21.1

Crop Unit

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Production

A. Winter Peas Thou Cwt 225 -11.1 -1.3

Dry Peas Mil Cwt 17.2 +2.9 +9.8

Dry Beans Mil Cwt 29.2 +1.8 +18.8

Lentils Mil Cwt 3.37 +3.4 -32.9

Wrinkled Seed Thou Cwt 618 NA +124.7

Crop Unit

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Production

Potatoes, all Mil Cwt 447 +0.9 +2.8

Sweet Potatoes Mil Cwt 29.6 NA +19.4

Peppermint Oil Mil Lbs 5.69 NA -6.9

Spearmint Oil Mil Lbs 2.78 NA -4.9

Taro (Hawaii) Mil Lbs 3.24 NA +4.5

Hops Mil Lbs 71.0 NA +2.5

Crop Unit

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2014 Crop Production – Annual

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Estimate Season

Stocks

Wheat, All Bil Bu 1.52 NA +3.4

Barley Mil Bu 158 NA -6.9

Oats Mil Bu 62.2 NA +29.5

Crop Unit

2.64

2.38

2.51

2.822.87

3.14

2.86

2.99

2.85

2.62

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15

Billion BushelsAll Wheat Stocks

United States

Supply Sep Dec Mar JunUSDA-NASS

1-12-15

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

Winter Wheat Seedings

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Wheat, Winter

Planted Mil Ac 40.5 NA -4.6

Crop Unit

40.5

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Million AcresWinter Wheat Acres

United States

Planted HarvestedUSDA-NASS

1-12-15

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

2 0 1 5 W in te r W h e a t P la n te d A r e a( 0 0 0 ) A c r e s a n d C h a n g e F r o m P r e v io u s Y e a r

1 9 5-6 0

91 3 9 0

-7 5

4 5 0-1 0

2 5 0 0-2 5 0

.& #.

7 5-5

2 05

3 2 02 0

7 5 0-3 0

5 5 0-1 9 0

3 6 0-3 0

2 4-2

9 4 0 0-2 0 0 6 4 0

1 0

1 3 0-3 0

.& #.

3 3 5-5

.& #.

5 0 0-7 0

4 86

1 5 0-8 0

6 5 0-2 3 0

2 3 0 0-2 0 0

1 7 0 01 5 01 4

-1

.& #.

3 0-3

3 5 0-3 0

1 0 5-1 5

7 7 0-6 0

4 0 0-4 7 0

5 4 0-8 0

5 1 0 0-2 0 0

7 8 03 0

1 9 05

.& #.

1 9 5-3 5

U .S . 4 0 ,4 5 2

-1 ,9 4 7

& R e c o r d L o w

N C = N o C h a n g e

1 4 8 02 7 0

5 0 0-3 0

5 9 0 0-1 0 0

1 2 0 &N C

.& #.

3 0 01 0

1 8 0 01 0 0

7 &-3

2 3 0-6 5

1 4 55

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

Objective Surveys

(Size and Drop) Fruit Maturity Row Count

Survey Type Field Observations Laboratory Tests Field Observations

Crops Included All except

Fallglo tangerines

Oranges excl.

Navels

Non-Valencia

Oranges and

Tangelos

Sample Size 1,695 groves 324 samples 59,992 rows

Collection Period Dec 15-29 Dec 30-31 Dec 30-31

Test Period -- Jan 5-6

Survey Overview Florida Citrus

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

January 2015 Crop Production

% Change % Change

From From

January Previous Previous

2015 Forecast Season

Production

Oranges Mil Tons 6.72 -3.5 -0.9

Grapefruit Mil Tons 1.04 +1.0 -1.4

Lemons Thou Tons 888 +5.7 +6.7

Tangelos Thou Tons 36.0 NC -10.0

Tangerines &

MandarinsThou Tons 748 -2.6 +3.0

Crop Unit

USDA-NASS

1-12-15

Release Date Report Title

January 23

Cotton Ginnings

Cattle on Feed

Noncitrus Fruits and Nut - Preliminary

January 29 Peanut Stocks and Processing

Vegetables - Annual

January 30 Agricultural Prices, Cattle, and Sheep and Goats

February 10 Crop Production

February 24 Crop Values

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