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The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology University of Tennessee at Chattanooga

The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

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Page 1: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing

State Library of New South Wales

September 20, 2013

Jason GriffeyHead of Library Information TechnologyUniversity of Tennessee at Chattanooga

Page 2: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

AcquisitionCirculation

Preservation

Page 3: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Circulation

Page 4: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Circulation

Page 5: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Distribution

Page 6: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Copying stuff is never, ever going to get any harder than it is today... Hard drives aren't going to get bulkier, more expensive, or less capacious. Networks won't get slower or harder to access. If you're not making art with the intention of having it copied, you're not really making art for the twenty-first century. There's something charming about making work you don't want to be copied, in the same way that it's nice to go to a Pioneer Village and see the olde-timey blacksmith shoeing a horse at his traditional forge. But it's hardly, you know, contemporary.

--Cory Doctorow, http://craphound.com/littlebrother/about/

Page 7: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Paywalls Stop No One

Page 8: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 9: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

aaaaarg.org

Page 10: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 11: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 12: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 13: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 14: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Consumption

Page 16: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Moore’s Law

Photo by Marcin Wichary - http://flic.kr/p/4v4DSq

Page 17: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Koomey’s Law

Photo by LisaW123 - http://flic.kr/p/7eiqaq

Page 18: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Metcalfe’s Law

Photo by futureshape - http://flic.kr/p/byVYjK

Page 19: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 20: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Visions of the Future

Page 21: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Stross’ Extrapolation

http://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2012/08/how-low-power-can-you-go.html

Page 22: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Photo by Eric Fischer - http://flic.kr/p/87P7QM

Page 23: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Gabe Newell

Page 24: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 25: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Mike Abrash

Page 26: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 28: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

By “wearable computing” I mean mobile computing where both computer-generated graphics and the real world are seamlessly overlaid in your view; there is no separate display that you hold in your hands (think Terminator vision). The underlying trend as we’ve gone from desktops through laptops and notebooks to tablets is one of having computing available in more places, more of the time.

no separatedisplay

Page 29: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

The logical endpoint is computing everywhere, all the time – that is, wearable computing – and I have no doubt that 20 years from now that will be standard, probably through glasses or contacts, but for all I know through some kind of more direct neural connection.

computingeverywhere, all the time

Page 30: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

And I’m pretty confident that platform shift will happen a lot sooner than 20 years – almost certainly within 10, but quite likely as little as 3-5, because the key areas – input, processing/power/size, and output – that need to evolve to enable wearable computing are shaping up nicely, although there’s a lot still to be figured out.

little as 3-5quite likely as

Page 31: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Vernor Vinge

Page 32: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 33: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

“Communications tools don't get socially interesting until they get technologically boring.”

--Clay Shirky, Here Comes Everybody

Page 34: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 36: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 37: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 38: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 39: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 40: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 41: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 42: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 43: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 44: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Preservation

Page 45: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 46: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 47: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Possible Futuresfor Libraries

Photo by Anya_ - http://flic.kr/p/5hNDDp

Page 48: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Every Book a Node

Photo by Cam Incoll - http://flic.kr/p/4ZhFpf

Page 49: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Libraries as

Privacy Spaces

Photo by rpongsaj - http://flic.kr/p/4EvWY9

Page 50: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Libraries as

Data Hubs

Photo by magic robots - http://flic.kr/p/9Jxt8U

Page 51: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Big Data

Page 52: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Libraries as

Archival Units

Photo by Ville de Levallois - http://flic.kr/p/dTXw6F

Page 53: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology
Page 54: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Libraries as

Activists

Photo by bradhoc - http://flic.kr/p/bC2c29

Page 55: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

conclusions

Page 56: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

We look at the present through a rear-view mirror.

We march backwards into the future.

--Marshall McLuhan

Photo by michaeltk - http://flic.kr/p/9UCyhm

Page 57: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Ellis’ Projection

How to See the Futurehttp://www.warrenellis.com/?p=14314

Page 58: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Act like you live in the Science Fiction

Condition.

Photo by Brett Kiger - http://flic.kr/p/9RRpMQ

Page 59: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

Photo by robert.barney - http://flic.kr/p/4JGHGN

Page 60: The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing · The Near Future of Ubiquitous Computing State Library of New South Wales September 20, 2013 Jason Griffey Head of Library Information Technology

jasongriffey.net423-443-4770@griffeyALA TechSource

Head of Library Information TechnologyUniversity of Tennessee at Chattanoogahttp://pinboard.in/u:griffey/

Jason Griffey