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Public Religion Research Institute
Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research Juhem Navarro-‐Rivera, Research Associate
THE 2013 RELIGION, VALUES, AND IMMIGRATION REFORM SURVEY!Ci?zenship, Values, and Cultural Concerns: What Americans Want from Immigra?on Reform
Survey Methodology
2013 Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey • Designed and conducted by Public Religion Research Institute in partnership
with The Brookings Institution • One of largest surveys ever conducted on immigration (N=4,465 Americans) • MOE = +/- 1.7 percentage points at the 95% confidence interval for total
sample • Conducted by telephone (1,774 contacted by cell phone) between January 28
and February 24, 2013 • Bilingual (English and Spanish) interviews • Funded by The Ford Foundation, with additional support from The Nathan
Cummings Foundation and Four Freedoms Fund/Public Interest Projects
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 2
THE CULTURAL CONTEXT Concerns About a Changing America
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 3
The Declining Dominance of White ChrisCan America: AffiliaCon by Age
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 4
10
15
23
29
9
14
15
23
6
11
16
17
3
3
2
2
9
8
9
7
7
5
3
1
10
8
5
3
2
2
2
1
4
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
4
3
2
1
31
22
16
11
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
18-‐29
30-‐49
50-‐64
65+
Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)
White Evangelical White Mainline White Catholic Mormon Black Protestant
Hispanic Protestant Hispanic Catholic Other Catholic Other Ethnic Chris?ans Jewish
Other World Religions Unaffiliated Other/Don't Know
PercepCons of Changes to American Culture Since 1950s
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 5
20 21
23 29
34 34 35
38 39 40 41
51 51
55 56 57 58 59
65 65
76 75 73
66 61 62 61
54 55 54 53 43
42 39 39
37 38
34 29
26
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Tea Party White Evangelical
Republican Seniors
White Mainline White Catholic
White Mormon*
Women All Americans
Men Hispanic
Millennials Democrat
Black Hispanic Catholic
Black Protestant Atheist/Agnostic
Jewish Asian*
Changed for the better
Changed for the worse
*Results should be interpreted with caution due to small number of cases. Asian N=94. Mormon N=97.
Since the 1950s, American culture and way of life has…
Hidden Concerns about Becoming a Majority-‐Minority NaCon
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 6
14 13 15
23
31
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
All Americans All Whites White Born Again Chris?an* Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465); PRRI Religion News
Tracking Poll, March 2013 (N=1,028). *Note: White born again Chris?an has a small number of cases (N=92 on one form) and should be interpret
The idea of an American where most people are not white bothers me. Percent who Agree
Direct Ques?on Indirect List Experiment Ques?on
How Groups are Changing American Culture and Way of Life
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 7
43
40
39
38
24
24
18
16
10
21
43
35
26
30
42
44
48
46
30
9
20
28
30
29
27
31
39
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Young people
Asians
Hispanics
Immigrants
Tea Party
Gay and lesbian people
Muslims
Non-‐religious people
Atheists
Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)
PercepCons of How Groups are Changing American Culture and Way of Life
Changing for the bejer No impact Changing for the worse
Impact of Newcomers from Other Countries on American Culture
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 8
54
68
56
47 44 40
29
38
47 46
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
All Americans 18-‐29 30-‐49 50-‐64 65+ Source: PRRI/Brookings Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).
Growing Number of Newcomers from Other Countries… By Age Groups
Strengthens American society Threatens tradi?onal American customs and values
Concerns about Economic Impact of Illegal Immigrants
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 9
36
56
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).
Illegal Immigrants mostly... Help the economy by providing low cost labor
Hurt the economy by driving down wages for many Americans
64
27
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).
Immigrants coming to this country today mostly...
Take jobs Americans don't want
Take jobs away from American citizens
IMMIGRATION REFORM: POLITICS AND POLICY
Impact on Poli?cal Par?es Values as Moral Guides to Reform Support for a Path to Ci?zenship
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 10
Highest PrioriCes for Congress and President This Year
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 11
65
56
37
32
26
24
16
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Improving the job situa?on
Reducing the budget deficit
Changing the federal income tax system to make it more fair
Dealing with the moral breakdown of the country
Enac?ng stricter gun control laws
Reforming the na?on's immigra?on system
Enac?ng legisla?on to address climate change
PercepCons of Impact on Republican Party
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 12
45 39 41 44
57
42 46 44 45
34
7 11 12 5 5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
All Americans Republican Tea Party Independent Democrat Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)
Did Republican Party PosiCon on ImmigraCon Help or Hurt in Recent ElecCons? By Party AffiliaCon
Hurt No Difference Helped DK/Refused
Support for Path to CiCzenship By Party AffiliaCon
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 13
45
53
64
71
63
16
13
14
13
14
36
32
21
13
21
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Tea Party
Republican
Independent
Democrat
All Americans
How should the immigraCon system deal with illegal immigrants? By Party AffiliaCon
Allow them a way to become ci?zens provided they meet certain requirements Allow them to become permanent legal residents, but not ci?zens Iden?fy and deport them None of these/DK/Refused
Support for Path to CiCzenship By Religious AffiliaCon
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 14
74
71
70
67
64
63
62
61
56
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Hispanic Catholic
Hispanic Protestant
Black Protestant
Jewish
Unaffiliated
Mormon
White Catholic
White Mainline
White Evangelical
Source: PRRI/Brookings, Values, and Immigration Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).
Support for Path to Citizenship (3-Way Question) By Religious Affiliation
Binary QuesCon: Support for Earned Path to CiCzenship (2011 vs. 2013)
The best way to solve the country’s illegal immigra?on problem is to: 1-‐Secure our borders and provide an earned path to ci?zenship 2-‐Secure our borders and arrest and deport all those who are here illegally.
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 15
62
74
62
50
41
68 75
68
56 50
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
All Americans Democrats Independents Republicans Tea Party Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and immigra?on Reform Survey, March
2013 (N=4,465); PRRI/Brookings Pluralism, Immigra?on, and Civic Integra?on Survey, September 2011 (N=2,450).
Binary QuesCon: Support for Securing Borders and Earned Path to CiCzenship (2011 vs. 2013)
2011 2013
Support for “Self-‐DeportaCon”
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 16
24
17
14
11
14
32
28
21
15
20
25
30
29
26
28
18
23
36
46
36
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Tea Party
Republican
Independent
Democrat
All Americans
Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)
Self-‐DeportaCon: The best way to solve the country's illegal immigraCon problem is to make condiCons so difficult for illegal immigrants that they
return to their home country on their own.
Completely agree Mostly agree Mostly disagree Completely disagree Don't know/refused
Support for DREAM Act By Party AffiliaCon
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 17
43
48
60
72
61
53
48
36
24
34
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Tea Party
Republican
Independent
Democrat
All Americans
Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).
Allowing illegal immigrants brought to U.S. as children to gain legal resident status if they join the military or go to college.
By Party Affilia?on
Favor Oppose DK/Refused
Values as Moral Guides to ImmigraCon Reform
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 18
50
52
69
77
77
82
84
84
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Following the biblical example of welcoming the stranger
Con?nuing America's heritage as a na?on of immigrants
Following the Golden Rule, providing immigrants the same opportuni?es I would want if my family was immigra?ng to the U.S.
Enforcing the rule of law
Enuring fairness to taxpayers
Protec?ng the dignity of every person
Keeping families together
Promo?ng na?onal security
Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465)
Values as Moral Guides to ImmigraCon Reform
Extremely important Very important
Top Predictors of Support for Path to CiCzenship
PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra6on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465) 19
73 71 70 63
47 45
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Believe America has changed for the bejer since
the 1950s
Hispanic Know deporta?ons have increased in last 5-‐6 years
All Americans Say immigrants changing
community a lot
Iden?fy as part of Tea Party movement
Source: PRRI/Brookings, Religion, Values, and Immigra?on Reform Survey, March 2013 (N=4,465).
Top Predictors of Support for Path to CiCzenship Among those who...
Dr. Robert P. Jones, CEO Daniel Cox, Director of Research
Public Religion Research Institute
The PRRI/Brookings 2013 Religion, Values, and ImmigraCon Reform Survey
Join the ConversaCon about the Survey Online (Hashtag #IMMSURVEY): Ø www.facebook.com/publicreligion Ø www.twijer.com/publicreligion Ø www.publicreligion.org