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16 STRATEGIES FOR TROUBLESHOOTING ENERGY CRISIS IN INDONESIA THROUGH OPTIMIZATION ELECTRICAL ENERGY Yanah 1 , Andi Kusma 2 1 Lecturer at faculty of economic, majoring of accounting, 2 Chairman of the Foundation August 17, 1945 University (UNTAG) Cirebon Street Perjuangan, Number 17A Cirebon, West Java, Indonesia Email : [email protected] Abstract The main factor cause of the energy crisis in Indonesia is the energy dependence on fossil fuels. The government has sought to find a solution by way of conversion from fuel oil to gas fuel and remove the fuel price subsidies that are not wasteful in energy consumption, but has not been able to overcome the energy crisis. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of crude oil prices on energy consumption and the strategies that should be done to overcome the energy crisis in Indonesia. The method used is quantitative method with time series data from 2000 to 2013. The population in this study are types of crude oil in Indonesia as many as 52 kinds, the sampling technique used was purposive sampling. Data analysis tool using simple linear regression. The results showed that the price of crude oil effect a positive and significant on energy consumption in Indonesia, meaning that although the price of crude oil rises, it will not lower the amount of energy consumption, so that the government's efforts to reduce energy consumption by removing energy subsidies would not affect the reduction in energy consumption. Strategies that should be done is to make the conversion from fossil energy to electrical energy because electrical energy is a multifunctional energy source that can be converted into an other energy as needed. Indonesia has a lot of electrical energy sources, namely: the sun, geothermal, wind, waterfalls, water rivers, sea water, uranium, litter, cow manure, human body temperature, seaweed, and microalgae. Keyword: crisis, energy, electricity 1. Introduction The energy crisis is happening in Indonesia, one of the contributing factors is the dependence on energy derived from fossil. To overcome the energy crisis, among which the government made the conversion program from kerosene to LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) 3 kg for the household sector. The condition requires the public to switch to LPG that impact the scarcity and high prices of LPG, making for poor families forced to switch to firewood. Based on data obtained from the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources was quoted by Media Indonesia is known that oil consumption is still very dominating, amounting to 42.99% of the total energy consumption, gas 18.48% and coal 34.47%, while the use of renewable energy amounted to only 4 % of total energy consumption (Media Indonesia, 03.31.2015: 6). LPG is derived from natural resources can not be renewed to be depleted if used continuously, while the need for LPG as fuel for the household sector continued to increase, in addition to the cost of processing natural gas into LPG and distribution costs to the consumer is still very expensive lead to inefficiency budget, while Indonesia is still to be frugal. Other efforts that the government is making natural gas network installation program for the household sector with city

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16

STRATEGIES FOR TROUBLESHOOTING ENERGY CRISIS IN INDONESIA

THROUGH OPTIMIZATION ELECTRICAL ENERGY

Yanah1, Andi Kusma

2

1Lecturer at faculty of economic, majoring of accounting,

2 Chairman of the Foundation

August 17, 1945 University (UNTAG) Cirebon

Street Perjuangan, Number 17A Cirebon, West Java, Indonesia

Email : [email protected]

Abstract

The main factor cause of the energy crisis in Indonesia is the energy dependence on fossil fuels. The government has

sought to find a solution by way of conversion from fuel oil to gas fuel and remove the fuel price subsidies that are

not wasteful in energy consumption, but has not been able to overcome the energy crisis. The purpose of this study

was to determine the effect of crude oil prices on energy consumption and the strategies that should be done to

overcome the energy crisis in Indonesia. The method used is quantitative method with time series data from 2000 to

2013. The population in this study are types of crude oil in Indonesia as many as 52 kinds, the sampling technique

used was purposive sampling. Data analysis tool using simple linear regression. The results showed that the price of

crude oil effect a positive and significant on energy consumption in Indonesia, meaning that although the price of

crude oil rises, it will not lower the amount of energy consumption, so that the government's efforts to reduce energy

consumption by removing energy subsidies would not affect the reduction in energy consumption. Strategies that

should be done is to make the conversion from fossil energy to electrical energy because electrical energy is a

multifunctional energy source that can be converted into an other energy as needed. Indonesia has a lot of electrical

energy sources, namely: the sun, geothermal, wind, waterfalls, water rivers, sea water, uranium, litter, cow manure,

human body temperature, seaweed, and microalgae.

Keyword: crisis, energy, electricity

1. Introduction

The energy crisis is happening in Indonesia, one of the

contributing factors is the dependence on energy derived from

fossil. To overcome the energy crisis, among which the

government made the conversion program from kerosene to

LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) 3 kg for the household sector.

The condition requires the public to switch to LPG that impact

the scarcity and high prices of LPG, making for poor families

forced to switch to firewood. Based on data obtained from the

Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources was quoted by

Media Indonesia is known that oil consumption is still very

dominating, amounting to 42.99% of the total energy

consumption, gas 18.48% and coal 34.47%, while the use of

renewable energy amounted to only 4 % of total energy

consumption (Media Indonesia, 03.31.2015: 6).

LPG is derived from natural resources can not be

renewed to be depleted if used continuously, while the need

for LPG as fuel for the household sector continued to increase,

in addition to the cost of processing natural gas into LPG and

distribution costs to the consumer is still very expensive lead

to inefficiency budget, while Indonesia is still to be frugal.

Other efforts that the government is making natural gas

network installation program for the household sector with city

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gas installations in order to maximize LPG demand of the

household sector can be met optimally. However, the

distribution of city gas for household consumption is still not

able to fully take advantage of the entire society, particularly

those in rural areas because of the construction of city gas

installations are still very expensive (Media Indonesia,

03.24.2015), other than that the government create a program

converter kit, namely produce gas-fueled vehicles and has

built gas refueling station but gas is the energy source that can

not be renewed, for more details data on national energy

reserves can be seen in Table 1.

Table 1

National Energy Reserves

Types of Energy

Reserves

Potential Reserves Proven Reserves Depleted

Period

Crude Oil 3.85 billion barrels 3.69 billion

barrels

30 years

Natural Gas 48.85 trilion standard cubic

feet

101.54 tscf 70-80 years

Coal 28.97 billion ton 39.45 billion ton 120 years

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources was quoted by Media Indonesia (04.14.2015: page1)

Another problem facing Indonesia is the crisis of fuel

oil (BBM) as the number of motor vehicles in Indonesia

continues to increase every year as a result of the easy filing

requirements of motor vehicles made by leasing in Indonesia

led to each household have a motor vehicle more than one

unit, this led to the increasing need for fuel oil. To meet the

needs of fuel oil for the community was built of the General

Fuel Filling Station on the main streets in order to fuel the

needs of society can be met, but the cost to build General fuel

filling stations is relatively expensive, in addition to the

location of the General Fuel Filling Stations still limited to

major roads leading to inefficiencies for the people because

they have to fill the fuel at the General fuel filling stations

located away from home or office, these conditions can also

cause congestion and pollution because of the mobility of the

vehicle in the vicinity of the General Fuel Filling Station is

very high, For more details on the distribution of data General

fuel filling stations in Indonesia can be seen in table 2

Table 2

Data Distribution of General Fuel Filling Stations

Ex.

UPMS

/

Region

Province Number of

General Fuel

Filling

Stations

General Fuel

Filling

Stations

Pasti Pas

Ex.

UPMS

/Region

Province Number of

General Fuel

Filling

Stations

General Fuel

Filling

Stations Pasti

Pas

I Kep Riau 43 36 V West Nusa

Tenggara

59 48

I Nanggroe Aceh

D

99 67 V East Nusa Tenggara 58 18

I Riau 134 77 VI West Kalimantan 95 44

I West Sumatera 105 59 VI South Kalimantan 78 60

I North Sumatera 314 186 VI Central Kalimantan 42 20

II Bangka

Belitung

51 37 VI East Kalimantan 74 29

II Bengkulu 36 24 VII Gorontalo 19 15

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II Jambi 64 19 VII West Sulawesi 18 5

II Lampung 132 75 VII South Sulawesi 178 80

II South Sumatera 128 94 VII Central Sulawesi 54 32

III Banten 231 195 VII Southeast Sulawesi 40 15

III DKI Jakarta 277 228 VII North Sulawesi 48 36

III Jawa Barat 906 712 VIII Maluku 20 13

IV DI Yogyakarta 92 101 VIII North Maluku 10 5

IV Central Java 630 452 VIII Papua 26 14

V Bali 180 115 VIII West Papua 10 5

V East Java 839 536 Grand Total 5.091 3.452

Source: Annual Report Pertamina, 2013: 45

From table 2 it is known that the number of stations

that are in Indonesia as many as 5.091 units that require a great

cost. Moreover, the distribution of fuel from Pertamina to gas

station use the pipeline, ship and oil tanker that can cause

congestion or fire. in addition, the reduction of energy

subsidies that have an impact on the price fluctuation of

energy with a frequency that is too often, people must seek to

make new breakthroughs.

The electrical energy is currently only serves as a

means to operate the lighting and electronic goods whose

benefits already enjoyed by rural communities. Contained

source of electrical energy in Indonesia is still very much, i.e

sunlight, the temperature of the human body, windmills,

waterfalls, river water, sea water, geothermal, seaweed,

garbage, microalgae, uranium and cow dung. The current

government policy is divided into three parts, namely : gas,

fuel oil and electricity, do not focus on one source of energy,

causing not able to find an optimal solution to the energy crisis

that is currently using fossil energy.

There is some research on solar energy include research

conducted by Sohag and Ummay (2013) aims to analyze the

solar energy system and electricity from solar energy in

Bangladesh. The results of research known that solar energy

can optimize power shortages in the country. Solar power is

the conversion of sunlight into electricity. The electrical

energy is stored into the battery charging with the help of the

charge controller. The DC power comes from the battery is

converted into AC power with the help of an inverter circuit.

Finally output AC electricity is sent to the Load. The system

described in the study is very important to neutralize the load-

shedding problem in Bangladesh and ensure the sustainability

of energy supply in the community.

Cesare (2008) in his study wanted to know whether the

fossil fuel and nuclear powered can be transformed into solar

energy in the third millennium. The results of research known

that the Earth system and science have made use of the sun as

a source of renewable energy by converting it into other useful

forms of energy, which is to cook food, produce heat, fuel,

agriculture, lighting through the windows of homes and

workplaces so as to save artificial light/electricity generated

from nuclear and fossil. Scientists have scientific knowledge

and technological means to observe, measure and monitor the

form of solar radiation directly and indirectly, wind,

waterfalls, biomass over a period of days, months, seasons and

years. With a combination of satellite data and field

measurements, can be estimated amount of direct solar

radiation intensity or location of wind blowing on Earth in

order to know the resources available at any point on the

planet Earth. Solar architecture and urban planning have basic

principles to collect, transform or store the sun's heat and

convert solar heat, wind and waterfalls into electricity.

Marika (2012) aims to review the concept of

photovoltaic solar energy conversion and limitations of thin-

film solar cell technology. The results showed a special

emphasis on solar cells using a Cu (In, Ga) Se2 and Cu2ZnSn

(S, Se)4 as a layer that absorbs sunlight.

Ewing (2003) found that the renewable energy of wind

and sun, and then learn the basics of wind and solar energy

systems. Ewing clearly complements the size of a system of

solar photovoltaic modules, wind turbines, charge controllers,

batteries, inverters, water pumps, household appliance and

water heater.

Yutaka (2012) describe the energy transferring process

of the concentrated solar beam of a high flux intensity into the

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reduced form of the Ni-ferrite for the -O2 releasing reaction,

so that can be used for water decomposition reaction to

generate solar hydrogen.

Stenbjo rn Styring (2012) discusses why we need a

solar fuel and why electricity is not enough. The result showed

there are two strategies for producing solar fuels from solar

energy and water is by way of photovoltaics and

photosynthesis.

Norwood, Nyholm, Otanicar & Johnsson (2014), in his

research revealed that in order to be able to compare the

economic potential of sunlight technology to do is to measure

the type and amount of resources that can be harnessed

sunlight technology, estimates of potential performance

technology based resource and comparing costs each of these

technologies in the area. His research empirically validate the

overall model of the type of system that is non-tracking solar

photovoltaics, 2d-tracking photovoltaics, high-concentration

photovoltaics, thermal flat-plate, evacuated tube thermal,

thermal trough concentrating, concentrating solar combined

heat and power, and hybrid concentrating photovoltaic/

thermal. The models are integrated into a weather simulation

using meteorological data to produce electricity from the heat

of the sun for a system of more than 12.846 locations in

Europe and 1.020 locations in the United States. Research

results showed that more profitable to produce electricity in

areas with cold climates of the regions with high radiation.

The conclusion of the study was to compare sunlight

technology with simple technology of electricity cost per watt.

Mintorogo (2000) against the background research by

the world's energy crisis and the high price of energy sources

led to the need for alternative energy that does not cause air

pollution, CO2 and radioactive (nuclear power). The results of

research known that solar cells or photovoltaic energy is a

technology that can be utilized as an energy source.

Ratnata, Surya and Somantri (2013), the research aims

to produce an assessment of the energy potential of river water

Cibeureum located behind the UPI University to generate

electricity. The method used is the method of field survey,

followed by planning the development of the energy potential

of MHP. The results showed that the river flow Cibeureum has

the potential to be used as a source of hydroelectric power

plants because the river has an average height of falling water

(head) 15 m and flow rates of 150 liters / sec during the dry

season up to 500 liters/sec at during the rainy season, so the

river Cibeureum is expected to generate electricity with a

power capacity of 15 kw to 40 kw.

Waris and Muslim (2013) wants to analyze the

performance of the system both technically and economically

using software Homer (The Hybrid Optimization Model for

Electric Renewables) with eight simulated system

configuration, namely: 1) the electrical system of the building

is only supplied from the grid system, 2) hybrid system

consists of the supply of electricity from the grid and

generator, 3) hybrid system consists of a photovoltaic system

and a generator, 4) hybrid system consists of photovoltaic

systems and grid systems, (5) hybrid system consists of

photovoltaic systems, grid systems and batteries, ( 6) hybrid

system consists of a photovoltaic system, generator and

battery, (7) a hybrid system consists of photovoltaic systems,

grid and generator systems, (8) hybrid system consists of

photovoltaic systems, grid systems, generators and batteries.

The results showed that the electric power system to be

applied is the most optimal configuration of the power system

simulation fourth system that uses electric power systems and

photovoltaic systems connected to the grid system because it

produces NPC (Net Present Cost) value the lowest.

Jasa (2010) in his research looking for renewable

energy sources to reduce dependence on fossil energy.

Research using Vertex with Axial axis. Research results show

the water flow time (Pangkung) can be used as a simple power

plant with a small capacity for home lighting at night so as to

ease the burden on the poor.

Hamdani, Subagiada and Subagiyo (2011), in a study

carried out analysis of solar photovoltaic system (SPS) is

based on energy efficiency and eksergi as well as the potential

for increased eksergetik using experimental data which

environmental parameters and the electrical output of the SPS

to the city of Samarinda, East Kalimantan. The results showed

eksergi that efficiency is always less than the energy efficiency

as it relates to the amount of business generated by the SPS

optimum whereas the increase in potential expressed in terms

of the flow of incoming and outgoing eksergi SPS showed that

only about 4-12% of solar energy in this test were utilized as a

business the useful and the rest will be lost in the system.

Yuningsih and Masduki (2011), the purpose of the

study was to determine the seabed morphology and properties

of hydro-oceanography as a reference the exact location in the

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ocean current energy utilization. Research methods such as

measuring the flow, tidal observation, observation of

meteorological parameters, the condition of coastal and seabed

morphology research area. The results showed the location of

the placement of ocean current turbines with morphology at a

depth of ± 20 m and close to residential areas. Based on

analysis of current measurements with ADCP moving flow

velocity distribution obtained a low of 0.004 m/s and the

highest is 3.68 m/s, while the results of current measurements

with ADCP stationary acquired price is the lowest flow speed

of 0002 m/s and the highest of about 2.83 m/s so the potential

to be used as a power plant.

Prasetya, Risqiputra & Susanto (2013), the research

aims to study the effect of NaCl concentration concentrated,

aqueous NaCl solution flow rate, feed water synthesis, and

seawater against power density generated. His research begins

with a concentrated NaCl solution with various concentrations

i.e 30,40,50,60 g/l by 2l, and make NaCl aqueous solution

with a concentration of 1 g/l as much as 2l, then turn on the

second diaphragm pump to drain the two types the feed

solution into the channels contained in a series of tools. After

the tool runs a while, change the output voltage (mV) and

electric current (mA) can be measured using a multitester. The

measurement is performed every interval of 20 seconds, then

repeat the same steps for each variable that has been

determined. The results showed that the increase in feed flow

rate, then the power density generated greater because of the

increased flow rate causes the rate of ion transfer to the larger

electrode. On increasing concentrations of NaCl concentrated,

the resulting power density greater because of the increased

concentration difference causes an increase in chemical

potential. For almost the same sample concentration of 30 g/l,

then the power density resulting from the synthesis of the

water is greater than sea water due to the value of the

activation electrolyte in the synthesis of water greater than sea

water, so it can be concluded that increasing the flow rate and

concentration can increase power the resulting density.

Pradanti Mandiri, et al. (2006) research goal is to

provide solutions in the provision of alternative sources of

energy using organic waste. The trick is (1) Wastewater and

organic impurities entering through the filler hole into the

digester chamber. (2) In the space digester, wastewater and

organic impurities will be fermented by bacteria. The pressure

of the gas generated by the fermentation process will be

measured by a test valve so they will know the amount of gas

generated through the measured pressure (3) The effluent and

the resulting sediment discharged through the bottom of the

test valve while the valve is used as a test of the upper channel

expenses in case of excess flow (overflow). (4) The resulting

gas mixture to be channeled through the test valve. Water

vapor is carried along with the resulting gas mixture will

undergo condensation, and will enter into a catcher container

(water traps). Biogas then exit through a valve at one end is

connected with the bath water filter that undergo a process of

purification. (5) After experiencing purification with KmnO4

and KOH, then biomethane will be accommodated in advance

in a tank. Biomethane from the tank can be directly used as a

fuel source. Biomethane flow toward the stove occur

spontaneously due to the high pressure of biomethane.

Waskito (2011) in his research aims to examine the use

of livestock manure of dairy cows in the cattle business as raw

material for biogas. the results showed that through the process

of anaerobic digestifikasi, by utilizing digester technology, the

cattle dung can be used as raw material for the production of

biogas for power generation biogas. cow dung as much as 55

tons / day will generate will produce as much as 2200 cubic

meters of biogas per day, and the electrical potential generated

by 16'390.86 kwh per day, the potential yield 217.45 kw.

Bagaskara, Sarwito and Kusuma (2006) study aims to

determine the technical and economic aspects of the

installation of wind turbines generating electricity on the

island Panggang, as well as the need to know the number of

wind turbines and the right configuration to meet the needs of

the electric power on the island grilled. The results showed

that in order to meet the electricity needs of the island

Panggang needed 4 pieces of 519kW 225kW turbine power,

because power 225kW turbine when in pairs on the island

baked only produce power equal to 145kW. The cost of

investment needed to make wind power on the island

amounted to 15.48 billion roasted dollars, while income if the

wind power plant operates 12 hours a day amounted to 1.05

billion dollars per year, so the cost of this investment will be

returned when wind power plant has been in operation for 15

years. If the wind power plant operates 24 hours a day

amounted to 2.11 billion dollars per year, so the cost of this

investment will be returned when the wind power plant has

been operating for 7.5 years.

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Based on the results of previous studies it is known that

there are several sources of renewable energy that can be the

solution of the energy crisis, so that Indonesia can develop the

potential of renewable energy sources to meet the energy

needs of Indonesia so that people become more self-sufficient,

prosperous, economical and easy to obtain energy needed.

Based on the background of the problem, the formulation of

the problem in this research are:

1. Does the price of crude oil affect the energy consumption

in Indonesia?

2. What strategies should be done to overcome the energy

crisis in Indonesia?

Based on the formulation of the problem, the purpose

of this study are:

1. To determine the effect of crude oil prices on energy

consumption in Indonesia

2. To determine the strategies that must be done to overcome

the energy crisis in Indonesia

II.Methodology

The method used in this research is quantitative

method. This study uses secondary data, i.e data the average

price of Indonesian crude (x) and energy consumption (y)

obtained from the ministry of energy and mineral resources

through www.esdm.go.id.

The population in this study are types of Indonesian

crude oil as much as 52 kinds: SLC, Arjuna, Attaka, Cinta,

Duri, Widuri, Belida, Senipah Condensate, Anoa, Arun

Condensate, Badak, Bekapai, Belanak, Bentayan, Bontang

Return Cond (BRC), Bula, Bunyu, Camar, Cepu, Geragai,

Geragai Condensate, Handil Mix, Jambi, Jatibarang,

Jene/Serdang, Kaji, Kerapu, Klamono, Komp PLB SLT,

Lalang, Langsa, Lirik, Madura, Mengopeh, Meslu, Mudimix,

NSC/Katapa/Arbei, Pagerungan Condensate, Pam

Juata/Sanga2 Mix, Pangkah, Ramba/Tempino,

Rimau/Tabuhan, Sangatta, Selat Panjang, Sepinggan Yakin

Mix, South Jambi Condensate, Tanjung, Tap, Tiaka, Udang,

Walio Mix, West Seno.

The sampling technique used in this research is

purposive sampling : sampling technique with a certain

consideration. Data used in this research is time series data

from 2000 to 2013.

Data collection techniques used in this study are:

1. Observation

Observation is done by making observations and

collecting data necessary in institutions / agencies relevant to

the topic of this study, namely Pertamina, the state gas

company, state electricity company and the Ministry of Energy

and Mineral Resources.

2. Studies Library

Writer collect references relating to research topics

through books, magazines, newspapers and journals so expect

these results to be accurate and up to date.

Research hypothesis in this paper are:

Ho: the price of crude oil had no effect on energy

consumption

Ha: Crude oil price effect on energy consumption

Based on the formulation of the problem, the

operationalization of variables in this study can be seen in

Table 3.

Table 3.

Operationalization of Variables

Variable Dimension Indicator

Scale

Crude Oil Price (X) Average Crude Oil Price US$/Barrels

Ratio

Energy Consumption (Y) Total Energy Consumption Except Biomass Household, Industrial, Commercial,

Transportation Ratio

and Others Sector (Barrel Oil Equivalent)

Data analysis tools used in this study is the Simple

Linear Regression. Regression analysis was used to predict

how far the changes in the value of the dependent variable if

the independent variable value changed, so the benefit of the

results of the regression analysis to make a decision whether

the increase or decrease in the dependent variable can be done

through an increase in the independent variables or not

(Sugiyono, 2009: 260). Simple linear regression equation is:

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Description:

Y=Energy-consumption

= Price Y when the price of X = 0 (constant prices)

β = Figures directions / regression coefficient which shows the

numbers increase or decrease in the dependent variable (Y)

which is based on changes in the independent variable (X),

if the (+) direction of the line up and when the (-) then the

direction of the line down

X=Indonesian Crude Oil Price

In this study, the authors used SPSS version 22

software to make it easier to analyze the data. To be able to

provide interpretation of the correlation coefficient is found, it

is guided by the provisions contained in Table 4.

Table 4

Interpretation Guidelines Correlation Coefficient

Interval Coefficient Level

Relation

0.00-0.199 Very Low

0.20-0.399 Low

0.40-0.599 Medium

0.60-0.799 Strong

0.80-1.000 Very Strong

Source : Sugiyono, 2009:231)

To test the hypothesis linearity is done by comparing

the probability value (Sig) in table ANOVA with (0:05) with

decision-making criteria: if the value of Sig < then Ho is

rejected, it means there is a linear relationship between the

variables x and y, while the coefficient for the test conducted

by comparing the value of Sig the coefficients table with

(0.05), if the value of Sig < hence Ho refused meaning

significant variable coefficient x (Trihendradi, 2011: 170-171).

In a correlation coefficient there is coefficient of

determination (r2), the coefficient determinant for variances

that occur in the dependent variable can be explained by the

variance that occurs in the independent variable (Sugiyono,

2009: 231).

Results and Discussion

Research Result

1. Effect of Crude Oil Prices on Energy Consumption Statistical analysis showed that the correlation

coefficient (R) of 0.900 means that there is a very strong

relationship between the price of crude oil to energy

consumption. The coefficient of determination describes how

much variation Y caused by X. From Table 5 it is known that

the value of Adjusted R Square of 0.794, meaning that the

variations that occur on energy consumption in Indonesia

amounted to 79.4% due to the variation in crude oil prices, and

the balance of 20.6% is affected by other factors.

Table 5

Model Summaryb

Mod

el R R Square

Adjuste

d R

Square

Std. Error of

the Estimate

1 ,900a ,810 ,794 63802608,915

a. Predictors: (Constant), Indonesia Crude Price

b. Dependent Variable: Energy Consumption

To test whether the linear model Y = + βX is right or

not, the linearity test was done by comparing the value Sig of

the ANOVA table with a value (0.05), i.e 0.000 <0.05 then

Ho is rejected, meaning that the form of linear equations was

appropriate and accountable.

Table 6

ANOVAa

Model Sum of Squares Df Mean Square F Sig.

1 Regressio

n

208637805608420384,0

00 1

208637805608420384,0

00 51,253 ,000

b

Residual 48849274852056472,00

0 12 4070772904338040,000

Total 257487080460476896,0

00 13

a. Dependent Variable: Energy Consumption

b. Predictors: (Constant), Indonesia Crude Price

From Table 7 it is known that the regression equation is Y =

432’754’694.314 + 3’757’020,774 X Indonesia Crude Price, which

means that if the value of the crude oil price increased by US $

1, the energy consumption will increase by 3’757’020.774

BOE, but if the price of crude oil is constant, then energy

consumption will amount 432’754’694.314 BOE.

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Table 7

Coefficientsa

Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Coefficients T

Sig.

95,0% Confidence Interval for

B

B Std. Error Beta Lower Bound Upper Bound

1 (Constant) 432754694,31

4

37567074,62

4

11,52

0 ,000

350903070,14

9

514606318,47

8

Indonesia Crude

Price 3757020,774 524789,976 ,900 7,159 ,000 2613601,642 4900439,907

a. Dependent Variable: Energy Consumption

To test the significance of the regression coefficient (β),

is the independent variable (X) significant effect or not, the

test is done by comparing the value of the coefficient of

probability (Sig) in the table 7 with a value (0.05), i.e 0.000

<0.05 then Ho is rejected, means that significant coefficients

in crude oil prices. In Figure 1 can be seen in the observations

and quadratic equations show that the regression equation

already linear.

Figure 1

Linear lines

Histograms are used to measure the distribution of the data.

From the histogram can be concluded that the data in this

study are normally distributed.

Figure 2

Normal PP Plot charts are used to test the distribution of data.

On Normal PP Plot a graph showing that the data in this study

are normally distributed.

Figure 3

Based on the results of statistical analysis can be

concluded that there is a positive and significant relationship

between the price of crude oil to energy consumption, meaning

that even though crude oil prices rise, it will not lower the

amount of energy consumption, so that the government's

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efforts to reduce total energy consumption by disconnecting

the energy price subsidies are not will reduce the amount of

energy consumption, so we need a conversion source of

energy from crude oil to other energy sources that can be

renewed, because crude oil is an energy source that can not be

renewed and will be depleted if used continuously, while the

need for energy consumption continues to rise.

2. Strategy What to Do To Overcome Energy Crisis in

Indonesia

There are some efforts have been made by the

government to overcome the energy crisis in Indonesia,

namely expanding the natural gas infrastructure network by

operating the gas pipeline network more than 6,200 km

because natural gas is cheaper than LPG (Radar Cirebon,

02.04.2015: page 20) , the government will increase power

generation infrastructure to 35 thousand megawatts (Media

Indonesia, 03.28.2015: page 5), the conversion of CNG fuel

(Media Indonesia, 04.15.2015: page 18) and by 2014 had

established 43 Gas Fuel Filling Station and 12 Mobile

refueling Unit ( Annual Reports National Gas Company,

2014), the converter kit distributed to the public transport in

Bogor, Palembang and Jakarta (Media Indonesia, 04.14.2015:

page 1), the government will set up a Nuclear Power Plant

(NPP) in East Kalimantan (Media Indonesia, 04.30.2015: page

22), raising the portion of biofuels (BBN) in diesel fuel

content of 10% to 15% (Media Indonesia 04.14.2015:1), will

maximize the Enhanced Oil Recovery (Media

Indonesia,03.20.2015), set 10 business fields as green

investment category that received tax allowance facility based

on Government Regulation No. 18/2015 on income tax facility

for certain investments in the business and/or in specific areas,

namely: the field of geothermal energy utilization, industrial

refining and natural gas processing, industrial organic basic

chemicals derived from agricultural products (Fragrance),

industrial gas tube lights (LEDs), power generation, gas

procurement natural and artificial, purification and water

storage reservoirs clean, environmentally friendly urban

transport, tourism region, as well as the management and

disposal of waste that is not hazardous (Media Indonesia,

04.27.2015: 17), the roof of the house people use solar

panels/solar cell in year 2020 ( Radar Cirebon, 06.08.2015),

the government will be the installation of solar panels on the

roof of a government building (Media Indonesia. 06.13.2015 :

17), but until now the government's efforts have not provided

the optimal solution to overcome the energy crisis that

occurred in Indonesia.

There are some efforts that have been undertaken by

the private sector to overcome the energy crisis, namely:

producing electrical energy from waste, how: in the yard office

Kencana Online, Bandung, Indonesia placed a digester with a

capacity of 3,000 L produce biogas number 3 cubic meters.

Each day included organic waste mixed with water as much as

50-75 kg. Not far from the digester pool there is a place to

wash dishes that the bottom is equipped with tools and a food

counter that is directly connected to the pipe flowed into waste

ponds. When you first use the digester takes about 30 days to

turn waste into biogas, henceforth only need to enter the

garbage every day, it will continue to be produced biogas.

Waste which is derived from household waste, market waste

and water hyacinth growing around the river. The result is a

liquid and a gas. The liquid will get into the pool probiotic that

contains catfish, and through the installation of pipes and

hoses, the water will be drained from the pond probiotics to

the field of portable and rack hydroponics. Results in the form

of biogas has two channel taps, namely to fuel the stove

instead of LPG and to flow into the generator that will convert

into electrical energy (Media Indonesia,03.29.2015).

Alternative fuels can be produced from seaweed and

microalgae are converted into energy biofuel or bioethanol

because cultivation is relatively short and high productivity,

such as Gelidium SP, Eucheuma cottonii and some types of

microalgae (phytoplankton) as Scenedesmus,Nannochloropsis

oculata, Chlorella and Dunaliella salina. Advantages of

microalgae that do not require extensive environment and can

be grown throughout the year regardless of season and

produce biodiesel 100x more than other crops with a shorter

life cycle. 1 kilogram of microalgae to produce 360 grams of

crude oil and 60% of the crude oil can be turned into biofuel,

meaning that 1 kg of microalgae can produce 240 grams of

biofuels. Based on data from Inha University in Korea is

known that one hectare of seaweed can produce 58’700 liters

of biodiesel per year with an oil content of 30%, then the

potential for seaweed cultivation area of about 2 million

hectares with a productivity of seaweed average of 25 tons/

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hectare/crop (harvest age 2 months), it will produce seaweed

100-125 tons/ha/year) (Media Indonesia, 31.03.2015: page 6).

The use of electrical energy to drive the electric car

battery-powered buses have been carried out in the city of

Geneva, Switzerland which assemble battery-powered

articulated bus system that is able to recharge the electric

power in just 15 seconds at the stop of transit. Electric-

powered articulated bus project named Trolleybus

Optimisation Systeme Alimintation (TOSA) involving four

companies, namely Geneva's Public Transport Company, the

Office for the Promotion of Industries and Technologies, The

Geneva Power Utility and ABB Group. The main

infrastructure consists of electric articulated buses and

integrated electric charging stations at bus stops. About 1.82

kilometer distance between bus stops. Form of articulated

buses with a capacity of 135 passengers is not much different

from the usual articulated buses, these vehicles use different

propulsion of the vehicle roof contained battery which is

capable of absorbing and storing electrical power quickly, and

on the roof, right in the middle of the bus body are electrical

sockets for connect the battery to the electric charging stations.

Electric charging stations set up at each stop. The charging

device is connected to the 4-meter-high pole with the top

protrudes forward and at the top of the mast there is a board

and an electrical outlet. Board equipped with a laser-based

guidance system and drive motor which can adjust the position

of the plugs to electrical sockets on the roof of the bus. An

initial charge bus batteries carried for 5 minutes and after a

distance of eight kilometers, the battery is recharged bus

started. How to recharge the battery by stopping the bus at the

bus stop, right in front of the pole charging the battery, the

motor on the board automatically adjusts the position of the

socket, connect the battery bus with an electric charging

station, then a power of 400 kilowatts per second will be

streamed enter the battery for 15 sec. That process takes place

simultaneously with the rise and fall of the passengers. The

battery is not fully charged but enough to move the bus until

three the next stop. Entire electricity demand in Geneva

supplied from hydropower (Tempo, 06.23.2013).

The use of solar energy to drive the aircraft has been

performed on the solar plane named Solar Impulse who

successfully realize the ambitions of Bertrand Piccard and

Andre Borschberg around the world at speeds between 50 to

100 kilometers per hour. The solar plane has been proven to

perform flights at day and night without running out of fuel

because the best sites include lithium batteries. In 2010,

Borschberg successfully make Solar Impulse as solar plane

that flew for 24 hours nonstop, then in 2012 the Solar Impulse

flew from Spain to Morocco, and in 2013 Piccard and

Borschberg of Solar Impulse flew to the United States on a

special mission (Tempo, 01.20.2013 and Nature, 2008)

Researchers at the University of Southampton, UK in

collaboration with Vodaphone managed to create a sleeping

bag that generate electricity from the wearer's body

temperature is called Recharge Sleeping Bag. Mini power

plant was enough to recharge the phone battery. The sleeping

bag fitted thermoelectric modules are devices capable of

converting heat into electricity. Cloth sleeping bag made of

flexible material that power felt like fabric capable of

generating electricity that is made of two layers of polymer

and semiconductor type-M and type-N. Power Felt generates

electricity when each side gets different temperature stimuli,

then power felt connected to charging devices in the front

pocket of a sleeping bag (pocket filler stun) called power

pocket. How to use: the user enters into a sleeping bag and

connects the power cord to the mobile phone charging device

that is in power pocket. When the inside of the fabric bag gets

its body temperature heat stimulus, then at the same time the

outer side of the fabric will get cold temperature stimuli from

the outside, the result will generate electricity. The average

temperature inside the sleeping bag filled with about 37

degrees Celsius, while the temperature outside of the bag is

usually lower, this temperature difference is converted into

electricity and channeled through the phone's battery to power

pocket. If sleeping in Recharge Sleeping Bag for eight hours

then it will generate enough electricity to turn on a cell phone

for 11 hours of standby time or 24 minutes of talk time

(Tempo, 06.30.2013: 16). Vodapone also introduced a

prototype power pants shorts are capable of generating

electricity. Short jeans fabric is made of materials containing

polymer ferroelectret are able to collect the kinetic energy of

the pressure or pull the fabric when users move so that when it

is used for activities such as walking, the pants can generate

electricity to charge a cell phone battery (Tempo, 06.30. 2013:

16). The findings are reinforced by evidence that the Black

Stone can generate electricity from body temperature Muslims

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26

who perform tawaf, meaning that the temperature of the

human body can produce electricity.

Landfill in Indonesia is still using the old method that is

by digging and burying garbage, whereas the use of

technology, waste can be converted into electrical energy

using a digester as implemented in landfill Wonokromo,

Surabaya. There are three benefits arising from the landfill

management, namely: 1) Waste can be handled properly

without any smell and pollution 2) The availability of trash, so

it is not confused looking for new land to dispose of waste. 3)

Regional Income increased from the waste management into

electrical energy (Radar Cirebon, 03.22.2015).

Costa Rica, a small country in Central America have

stopped using fossil fuels and produces hydropower, for 75

consecutive days, Costa rica managed to stop the use of fossil

fuels such as coal, petroleum, and natural gas as the driving

turbine electricity due to continuous heavy rainfall so that the

operation of the four power plants since the month of

December 2014 is driven purely hydroelectric. Earlier in 2014

recorded 80% of national energy comes from hydropower and

10% geothermal. Now 94% of the country's energy supply

comes from renewable energy though Costa rica rich reserves

of black gold but do not drill oil fields on the grounds of

protecting the environment (Media Indonesia, 03.20.2015).

Innovators from Bandung Institute of Technology

succeeded in creating Oseanopori, namely electricity

generation tool that is designed to be easy to use simple. Its

main function as a producer of electricity, collect wave data

and describe the condition of the electricity generated through

the waves. Its working principle is : Oscillating water column,

which utilizes an oscillating wave properties (up and down/the

peaks and valleys of the wave), oseanopori invested in coast it

will function when the water level rises/crest of the wave, then

the air inside the PVC pipe will pushed out pipe forming

rotating wind turbine located at the mouth of the pipe,

otherwise when the water level decreases, the air in the

pipeline will go to form the wind turbine rotate and

continuously waves up and down, the waves will continue to

oscillate and electricity will continue to be produced for free

and clean, without the use of fuel/generator. Oseanopori

consists of: tool stuck in the ground, ropes, pipes, turbines,

generators and protective rain. Oseanopori is plugged on the

beach so the ocean waves crashing against the pipeline can be

converted into electrical energy (Media Indonesia, 05.02.2015:

21).

CHIEF Executive Officer of Peugeot, Carlos Tavares

plans to bring new electric cars that are environmentally

friendly, less expensive, but it has a cruising range of more

distant (Media Indonesia, 05.20.2015: page 28).

Maglev trains created by Central Japan Railway Co. is

a train that uses magnetic technology as the main driving tool,

so by using magnetic attraction generated by electrical energy,

maglev trains could travel at the speed of 590 km/h and has

managed to beat the speed record for the fastest train 12 years

ago, so the trip between Tokyo and Nagoya cities within 286

km can be reached in just 40 minutes. JR Central will

reexamine the train with hopes of running at speeds of 600 km

/ h, and plans in 2027 maglev trains will be used as the

primary means of transport (Media Indonesia, 04.19.2015:

page 28).

Suzuki registered a patent for the technology engine

with hydrogen fuel. Motor parts registered its patent rights is

hydrogen tank and cylindrical structure that protects the tank.

The design can be seen from the hydrogen from the tube

towards the blue box, and then a process of utilization of

hydrogen as a source of electrical energy in a box which is

then supplied to the battery, and the battery performance is

also seen as an additional power if needed and recharged when

not in use. Hydrogen fuel systems enable faster fueling than

battery-powered electric ordinary, other than that, the

emissions generated turn into water so that environmentally

friendly (Media Indonesia, 06.09.2015: 28).

PT Toyota Astra Motor manufactures fuel cell car

named Mirai, i.e vehicles that use hydrogen fuel which has a

cruising speed of up to 700 km and able to pass the 170 km/h

(Media Indonesia, 05.28.2015 : Page 23)

Discussion

The government should create a program conversion

from fossil fuels to electricity as a fuel such as electric cars,

electric motorcycles, electric stove, electric tractor, electric

aircraft, electric boats, electric train and others. To facilitate

refueling for electric cars, the government should establish a

substation that serves as a electricity refueling station to

charge electric energy scattered in many locations throughout

Indonesia as a substitute for the fuel filling stations, it will be

more efficient because it can save the land to build general

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fuel filling station and save costs, reduce congestion and

pollution, while to refuel for the electric motor can be done at

home each such as filling phone celular battery, it will be more

efficiently because people can make their own electricity use a

source of electrical energy is available in the area. For electric

trains and electric aircraft using the battery as a fuel, while

using an electric stove with how to connect the cable to the

switch that is connected to an electric current, or can also use

biogas derived from waste. People can design electric tractor

that uses the sun, wind or water as a generator so as to save

costs, as well as for boats can be designed electric boats by

using water as the power plant comes from the bottom of the

vessel/boat and using sunlight as a power plant originating

from up the of ship/boat so the ship/boat can sail day and

night, pollution-free, more efficient, more competitive and

independent.

Based on the data from Pertamina, cost of sales, other

direct costs and operating expenses of crude oil, can be seen in

table 8

Table 8

Cost of Sales, Other Direct Costs and Operating

Expenses

of Crude Oil (in million US$)

Expenses 2013 2012

- Cost of sales

- Upstream Production and Lifting

Cost

- Exploration Cost

- Costs Related to Other Activities

60’910

2’468

210

515

60’699

2’391

376

522

Total Cost of Sales and Other

Direct Cost

64’103 63’988

- Selling and Marketing Expenses

- General and Administratif

Expenses

1’166

995

1’151

1’021

Total Operating 2’161 2’172

(Source : Annual Report Pertamina, 2013 : page 200)

Based on the data the authors obtained from the

Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources that renewable

energy is not fully utilized, as can be seen in Table 9.

Tabel 9

The Development of Renewable Energy

Description Unit 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Electricity

- Geothermal Megawatts 852 852 982 1.052 1.189 1.189

- Solar Power Plant Megawatts 1,23 2,91 5,63 8,67 13,5 13,5

- Wind power Megawatts 1,03 1,19 1,67 1,87 1,87 1,96

- Hydroelectric Power

Plant

Megawatts 3.224,32 3.532,47 3.512,90 4.200,00 5.711,29 5.711,29

- Microhydro Power Plant Megawatts 215 215 216 218 218 229

- Biomass Power Plant Megawatts 935,51 935,51 935,51 935,51 1.628,00 1.628,00

Total Electricity 5.228,69 5.538,91 5.654,08 6.415,78 8.761,55 8.772,50

Biofuels

- Bio Diesel Thousand

Kiloliters

120,00 456,60 1.550,00 2.329,10 2.521,50 2.647,57

- Bio Ethanol Thousand

Kiloliters

2,50 12,50 135,00 192,40 212,50 223,12

- Bio Oil Thousand

Kiloliters

- 2,40 37,20 37,20 40,00 42,00

Total Biofuel 122,500 471,500 1.722,200 2.558,700 2.774,000 2.912,690

(Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources accessed through www.esdm.go.id on May 15, 2015)

Indonesia is a country that lies on the equator, which is

part of the earth that receive most sunlight with the Earth's

rotation axis is perpendicular to the orbit inclined (the angle of

67.5 degrees) so that sunlight is potentially large to serve as a

future source of electrical energy in order government

subsidies currently given to fuel subsidies, electricity and gas

that reaches millions of trillions of dollars, can be focused to

subsidize electricity because the sun is the energy source multi

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function, which illuminates the earth, the source of the fire,

moving the earth on its axis, heating, and cooling at the poles,

Similarly, electricity is a multi-functional energy because it

can be converted into other energy, such as light bulbs, stove,

sparks, moving trains, cars, ships and planes, heaters (irons,

oven) and cooling (refrigerator). In addition, the temperature

of the human body, uranium, windmills, waterfalls, sea water,

river water, geothermal, garbage and cow dung can also

generate electricity so it is possible for Indonesia to overcome

the energy crisis that occurred. In addition, the focus of the

government is not divided against subsidies and infrastructure

such as energy sources today is petroleum, natural gas and

coal, but can focus on one source of energy that is electrical

energy that can be converted into other energy.

Based on the data the authors obtained from the

Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources that the geothermal

potential is still a lot as can be seen in table 10 and not fully

utilized, as can be seen in table 11

Table 10

Geothermal Potential in 2011 (in megawatts)

Resources % Reserves %

Speculative Hypothesis 45.57% Probable Maybe Proven 54.43%

8.905 4.391 12.756 823 2.288

13.296 15.867

29.177

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources accessed through www.esdm.go.id acceses on 05/16/2015)

Table 11

Geothermal Installed Capacity Per Region in 2011 (in megawatts)

Number Location Geothermal Power Plants Installed Capacity

(megawatts)

%

1 JAVA Kamojang 200 17

2 Salak 377 32

3 Darajat 270 23

4 Wayang Windu 227 19

5 Dieng 60 5

6 OUTSIDE JAVA Lahendong 80 7

7 Sibayak 12 1

TOTAL 1.226 103

(Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources, 2013)

Hydropower potential in Indonesia are very much as

can be seen in Table 12.

Table 12

Potential Hydropower

Number Island Potential

(Megawatts)

1 Sumatra 15.600

2 Java 4.200

3 Kalimantan 21.600

4 Sulawesi 10.200

5 Bali, NTT, NTB 620

6 Maluku 430

7 Papua 22.350

TOTAL 75.000

(Source: Ministry of Energy, 2013)

However, the potential of hydropower in Indonesia has

not been used optimally as a power plant as shown in table 13

Table 13

Hydropower Installed Capacity

Number Island Hydropower Capacity

(mw)

1 Sumatra 1713.10

2 Java 2610.61

3 Kalimantan 30.00

4 Sulawesi 1351.58

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5 Bali, NTT,

NTB

2.00

6 Maluku,

Papua

4.00

Total 5711.29

Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources

The river water can also be used as a power plant, in

addition to the number of rivers in Indonesia very much but

have not been used optimally as power plants, as can be seen

in Table 14.

Table 14

micro-hydro power plant Installed Capacity

Numbe

r

Island Capacity each Year

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

1 Sumatra 55.699 55.923 56.181 56.629 56.719 59.546

2 Java 39.447 39.447 39.809 39.809 39.809 41.793

3 Kalimantan 849 849 849 1.273 1.273 1.336

4 Sulawesi 102.346 102.346 103.268 103.666 103.666 108.833

5 Bali, NTT, NTB 11.965 11.965 11.965 12.053 12.053 12.654

6 Maluku, Papua 4.296 4.296 4.296 4.296 4.369 4.587

Total 214.603 214.827 216.369 217.726 217.890 228.749

(Source: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources accessed through www.esdm.go.id on 16/05/2015)

The public can make its own source of electrical energy

from sunlight, the temperature of the human body, manure,

garbage, seaweed, microalgae, waterfalls, river water, sea

water, wind and uranium to meet its needs for electricity such

as for powering electric stove, moving tractor electricity,

moving boats, mobile phone battery charge, charge the battery

motors and so on as it has done in the office Kencana Online

Bandung district can produce electricity and biogas

independently and as was done by researchers at the

University of Southampton, England managed to create a

device that produces electricity of the wearer's body

temperature, so that the public is expected to be more

independent and not dependent on the government. The

government only acts as a facilitator in providing the

equipment needed by the community to generate electricity, so

it will have a multiplier effect that Indonesian society became

more independent, competitive and boost national economic

growth because of the benefits of agricultural and marine

products increased.

Conclusion

The energy crisis that occurred in Indonesia can be

overcome through optimization of electrical energy, namely by

converting from fossil fuels to electricity as a fuel, such as

electric cars, electric motorcycles, electric stove, electric

aircraft, electric boats and so on as it has done in Geneva,

Switzerland is able to produce a battery-powered bus and

conducted by researchers in the UK who have managed to

create a sleeping bag that serves as the power plant of the body

temperature of the wearer to charge the phone battery and a

solar-powered aircraft Solar Impulse successful around the

world 24 hours non-stop without running out of material as

well as the fuel carried in the office Kencana Online Bandung

who managed to create electricity and biogas from household

waste and market waste.

Indonesia has many sources of electrical energy,

namely sunlight, waterfalls, river water, garbage, water,

seaweed, microalgae, the temperature of the human body, cow

dung, uranium, windmills, geothermal and others so that

people can make their own energy electricity without having

to rely on the government. By converting electrical energy as a

fuel will make the government more focused on infrastructure

development of energy sources, in addition to the electrical

energy is an energy source multi-function can be converted

into other energy according to the needs of its users.

III. Acknowledgement

The authors would like to thank the team of reviewers

who have reviewed this article.

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