Seminole & Orange County, Florida Congressional District 7 ...3wyh0y392y42oz41z1bbzx5w-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/...Jan 04, 2020 · Seminole & Orange County, Florida Congressional

Seminole & Orange County, Florida Congressional District 7 Polling

Executive Summary

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 813 registered voters in Florida’s 7th Congressional District. The poll was

conducted from January 2nd through the 3rd and has a margin of error of 3.4%. The survey was collected from respondents using interactive voice responses and

an online panel of cell phone users. The results are weighted by relevant voting demographics. The poll was paid for by Douglas J. Kaplan.

6) In the 2016 Presidential election whom did you vote for?

County Party Age group Gender

Orange Seminole Total Democrat Independent or In Another Party Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q6: 2016VOTE Donald Trump 40.4% 47.2% 44.6% 11.8% 41.3% 82.3% 24.7% 43.0% 51.8% 50.2% 39.1% 50.8%

Gary Johnson 2.2% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 2.0% 0.0% 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1.9%

Hillary Clinton 44.0% 39.2% 41.0% 74.6% 34.8% 11.0% 42.6% 37.9% 42.7% 40.4% 43.8% 37.9%

Other 5.3% 4.6% 4.9% 4.4% 9.0% 1.8% 13.8% 4.4% 1.8% 3.2% 7.8% 1.6%

Prefer not say 8.1% 7.9% 8.0% 7.8% 14.0% 2.9% 18.9% 7.8% 3.7% 6.2% 8.3% 7.7%

Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870

7) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of President Trump’s job performance?



Q7: TRUMPPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 21.6% 8.9% 13.7% 9.6% 16.6% 15.4% 20.6% 23.6% 7.4% 9.1% 14.9% 12.3%

Somewhat Disapprove 9.6% 9.6% 9.6% 7.3% 18.6% 4.1% 17.4% 15.9% 4.7% 5.6% 10.1% 9.0%

Strongly Approve 26.5% 39.5% 34.6% 10.1% 27.3% 67.0% 13.7% 26.6% 45.0% 41.7% 31.3% 38.3%

Strongly Disapprove 37.9% 38.3% 38.2% 66.3% 34.3% 11.9% 44.6% 28.6% 39.2% 40.1% 40.6% 35.4%

Uncertain 4.4% 3.6% 3.9% 6.7% 3.3% 1.5% 3.7% 5.3% 3.6% 3.4% 3.1% 4.9%

8) Do you support the impeachment of President Trump?


Orange Seminole Total Democrat

Independent or In Another

Party Republican 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Female Male

Q8:

IMPEACHMENTSUPPORT

No 40.4% 48.9% 45.7% 14.4% 46.7% 78.0% 28.2% 42.7% 53.3% 50.2% 42.3% 49.5%

Uncertain 10.6% 5.9% 7.7% 7.1% 12.8% 3.8% 18.6% 11.5% 2.5% 3.9% 9.8% 5.3%

Yes 49.0% 45.2% 46.6% 78.5% 40.5% 18.2% 53.2% 45.8% 44.2% 45.9% 47.9% 45.2%

9) If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote?



Q9: TRUMPVSNOMINEE Democratic Nominee 48.7% 42.7% 45.0% 80.7% 36.4% 14.8% 53.7% 40.4% 44.5% 43.4% 47.7% 41.9%

Donald Trump 37.1% 46.7% 43.1% 13.3% 40.8% 76.5% 27.0% 42.0% 49.2% 47.0% 37.7% 49.1%

Uncertain 14.1% 10.6% 12.0% 6.0% 22.8% 8.7% 19.4% 17.6% 6.2% 9.7% 14.6% 9.0%

10) Does Congresswoman Stephanie Murphy’s vote to impeach President Trump make you more or less likely to vote for her?



Q10: MURPHYVOTE Less Likely 41.9% 46.4% 44.7% 15.8% 44.7% 75.3% 21.4% 47.8% 52.8% 47.7% 38.8% 51.3%

More Likely 41.1% 37.9% 39.1% 65.8% 34.4% 15.0% 51.6% 30.8% 38.7% 37.7% 43.0% 34.7%

Uncertain 16.9% 15.7% 16.2% 18.4% 20.9% 9.7% 27.0% 21.3% 8.4% 14.6% 18.1% 14.0%

11) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Congresswoman Murphy’s job performance?



Q11: MURPHYPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 24.6% 21.3% 22.5% 30.0% 21.5% 15.5% 33.9% 16.4% 17.3% 26.1% 21.4% 23.8%




Uncertain 22.0% 17.5% 19.2% 19.2% 27.4% 12.0% 33.4% 25.2% 13.0% 12.8% 24.1% 13.7%

12) If the election for Congress were held today, for whom would you vote?



Q12: CONGRESSVOTE Goble 2.2% 4.5% 3.6% 0.5% 6.1% 4.7% 5.4% 2.7% 3.6% 3.2% 3.1% 4.2%

Greenberg 15.8% 23.1% 20.4% 4.1% 16.2% 41.2% 12.2% 22.8% 21.2% 22.8% 18.1% 22.9%

Murphy 43.6% 42.5% 42.9% 76.4% 38.5% 11.3% 55.7% 35.4% 40.8% 42.8% 46.0% 39.5%

Uncertain 33.7% 25.7% 28.8% 15.1% 37.0% 36.0% 19.7% 37.0% 27.2% 30.3% 30.1% 27.3%

Valentin 4.7% 4.2% 4.4% 3.8% 2.3% 6.8% 7.0% 2.1% 7.2% 1.0% 2.7% 6.2%

14) Do believe that the government should be involved in developing new and innovative technology?





Q14:

GOVERNMENTTECH

No 16.3% 24.3% 21.3% 11.4% 21.2% 31.9% 16.5% 25.0% 27.8% 13.9% 20.8% 21.9%

Uncertain 24.2% 14.4% 18.1% 16.7% 18.4% 19.2% 19.0% 20.8% 12.8% 21.6% 22.0% 13.6%

Yes 59.6% 61.3% 60.6% 71.9% 60.4% 48.9% 64.5% 54.2% 59.3% 64.5% 57.1% 64.6%

15) Have you visited the Seminole County Tax Collector’s Office in the last two years?



Q15: OFFICEVISIT More than once 14.2% 49.5% 36.2% 32.5% 35.1% 41.0% 31.0% 32.6% 39.8% 37.9% 34.4% 38.2%

No 71.1% 31.7% 46.6% 46.7% 48.7% 44.5% 46.4% 50.5% 44.1% 46.6% 49.0% 43.8%

Only once 14.7% 18.8% 17.3% 20.8% 16.2% 14.5% 22.6% 16.9% 16.1% 15.5% 16.6% 18.0%

16) Would you support the implementation of a digital driver’s license?



Q16: DIGITALLICENSE No 34.9% 39.3% 37.7% 30.2% 41.0% 42.6% 25.0% 37.3% 43.3% 39.5% 36.7% 38.7%

Uncertain 30.4% 31.5% 31.1% 28.7% 36.0% 29.4% 32.4% 21.4% 28.4% 40.7% 35.4% 26.3%

Yes 34.7% 29.2% 31.2% 41.1% 23.0% 28.0% 42.6% 41.3% 28.3% 19.8% 27.9% 35.0%

17) Seminole County Tax Collector’s office has built a completely new website with a 24/7 customer service chatbot, opened three new branch offices including

a drive-through service, became the only tax collector’s office in the state to be open on Saturday, increased online transactions by 70% and reduced wait times

by 50%. Do you believe these accomplishments satisfy Tax Collector Joel Greenberg’s campaign promise of a smarter, faster and more efficient government?



Q17: EFFICIENCYPROMISE Completely agree 33.3% 39.4% 37.1% 30.8% 29.3% 50.5% 23.9% 39.1% 44.7% 34.9% 34.8% 39.6%

Completely disagree 3.1% 2.9% 3.0% 5.7% 0.6% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 2.5% 3.9% 3.3% 2.6%

Somewhat agree 35.0% 39.5% 37.8% 35.8% 48.9% 30.0% 42.4% 40.0% 37.4% 33.7% 36.5% 39.2%

Somewhat disagree 3.8% 6.6% 5.5% 6.7% 6.2% 3.6% 3.0% 1.2% 5.1% 10.8% 5.0% 6.1%

Uncertain 24.9% 11.7% 16.7% 21.0% 15.0% 13.6% 27.7% 17.2% 10.3% 16.6% 20.4% 12.5%

18) Do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of Seminole County Tax Collector Joel Greenberg’s job

performance?



Q18: GREENBERGPERFORMANCE Somewhat Approve 38.0% 36.2% 36.9% 36.4% 37.2% 37.1% 31.7% 45.3% 41.4% 28.6% 31.7% 42.7%




Uncertain 33.3% 18.6% 24.2% 30.3% 23.5% 18.3% 33.9% 20.6% 21.4% 23.9% 30.6% 16.9%

19) If the election for Congress were held today, for whom would you vote?





Q19:

MURPHYVSGREENBERG

Greenberg 37.8% 45.3% 42.5% 10.9% 44.3% 74.3% 24.7% 47.9% 50.9% 39.9% 36.5% 49.2%

Murphy 46.2% 40.5% 42.6% 76.2% 38.8% 10.5% 53.6% 36.3% 42.1% 41.0% 45.0% 40.0%

Uncertain 16.0% 14.3% 14.9% 13.0% 16.8% 15.3% 21.7% 15.8% 7.1% 19.1% 18.5% 10.9%

Demographic information

1) Are you registered to vote in Florida?

2) What is your party affiliation?

3) What is your political ideology?

4) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

5) What race do you identify yourself as?

20) What is the highest level of education have you completed?

21) In which county are you registered to vote?

22) How old are you?

23) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

24) What is your gender?

Documents

Seminole & Orange County, Florida Congressional District 7 ...3wyh0y392y42oz41z1bbzx5w-wpengine.netdna-ssl.com/...Jan 04, 2020 · Seminole & Orange County, Florida Congressional