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RNCNational Survey

March 9-11, 2010

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The following national survey was conducted by OnMessage Inc. Telephone interviews were conducted March 9-11, 2010. This survey consists of 1200 likely voters and interviews were stratified by previous election results to reflect historic voter trends. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 2.8%.

The following national survey was conducted by OnMessage Inc. Telephone interviews were conducted March 9-11, 2010. This survey consists of 1200 likely voters and interviews were stratified by previous election results to reflect historic voter trends. The margin of error for this survey is +/- 2.8%.

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MethodologyMethodology

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Generic Ballot Generic Ballot –– CongressionalCongressionalHistoryHistory

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Image: ObamaImage: ObamaHistoryHistory

•President’s image has fallen to 1 to 1, favorable to unfavorable for the first time in his Presidency.

•President’s image has fallen to 1 to 1, favorable to unfavorable for the first time in his Presidency.

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Image: Pelosi Image: Pelosi HistoryHistory

•Speaker Pelosi remains very unpopular with a net image rating of -27.

•Speaker Pelosi remains very unpopular with a net image rating of -27.

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Image: ReidImage: ReidHistoryHistory

•Leader Reid’s total image has risen to 63% with a net image rating of -23.

•Leader Reid’s total image has risen to 63% with a net image rating of -23.

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Image TestsImage TestsPres. ObamaPres. Obama’’s HC Reforms HC Reform

Very FavSomewhat FavSomewhat UnfavVery Unfav

Never Heard OfNo Opinion

36

55

Net: -19Net: -19

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Image Image –– POTUS HC ReformPOTUS HC ReformParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic BallotParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

23% 13% 20% 16% 21% 27%UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Image TestsImage TestsPres. ObamaPres. Obama’’s HC Reforms HC Reform

•The image of President Obama’s health care reform has fallen to a net rating of -19, with 44% of all voters holding a VERY unfavorable opinion of the measure.

•The image of President Obama’s health care reform has fallen to a net rating of -19, with 44% of all voters holding a VERY unfavorable opinion of the measure.

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Job Approval: Obama OverallJob Approval: Obama OverallHistoryHistory

•President Obama’s overall job approval is now just +2. •President Obama’s overall job approval is now just +2.

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Job Approval: Obama Health CareJob Approval: Obama Health CareHistoryHistory

•As this chart demonstrates, the fall of Obama’s overall job approval is being driven in large part by his handling of the health care issue.

•As this chart demonstrates, the fall of Obama’s overall job approval is being driven in large part by his handling of the health care issue.

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Do you favor or oppose the health care reform bill currently being considered in Congress?

Do you favor or oppose the health care reform bill currently being considered in Congress?

Note: Asking a favor/oppose of health care reform in Congress yields the same results as asking the favorable/unfavorable of the President’s health care reform.

Note: Asking a favor/oppose of health care reform in Congress yields the same results as asking the favorable/unfavorable of the President’s health care reform.

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Health Care Legislation Health Care Legislation Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic BallotParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Concerning the current health care bill being pushed by President Obama and the Democrats in Congress, which of the following comes closest to your

opinion?1.Some people say Congress should scrap the current health care bill altogether and focus on the economy.2.Other people say Congress should scrap the current health care bill and start over with a new bill.3.Still other people say Congress should pass the current health care bill as soon as possible.

Concerning the current health care bill being pushed by President Obama and the Democrats in Congress, which of the following comes closest to your

opinion?1.Some people say Congress should scrap the current health care bill altogether and focus on the economy.2.Other people say Congress should scrap the current health care bill and start over with a new bill.3.Still other people say Congress should pass the current health care bill as soon as possible.

•63% Scrap and start over or Scrap and move to economy•Only 27% pass now

•63% Scrap and start over or Scrap and move to economy•Only 27% pass now

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Scrap HC BillScrap HC BillParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic BallotParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Health care reform in Congress has gotten out of

control. Congress is spending too much, cutting Medicare too much, raising taxes too much and growing the deficit too

much. They should scrap what they have done so far and start over.

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Health care reform in Congress has gotten out of

control. Congress is spending too much, cutting Medicare too much, raising taxes too much and growing the deficit too

much. They should scrap what they have done so far and start over.

70

25

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Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate who voted for President Obama’s health care bill?

Would you be more or less likely to vote for a candidate who voted for President Obama’s health care bill?

3651

•41% of the voters saying this vote would make them MUCH less likely to vote for them is significant but ...

•41% of the voters saying this vote would make them MUCH less likely to vote for them is significant but ...

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More/Less Likely to Vote For Candidate that voted for HC More/Less Likely to Vote For Candidate that voted for HC Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic BallotParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Recent news reports state that the current health care reform bill proposed by President Obama and the Democrats in

Congress will result in $400 billion dollars in cuts to Medicare and Medicaid. Knowing this, would you be more

or less likely to vote to re-elect your current member of Congress if they voted for this bill?

Recent news reports state that the current health care reform bill proposed by President Obama and the Democrats in

Congress will result in $400 billion dollars in cuts to Medicare and Medicaid. Knowing this, would you be more

or less likely to vote to re-elect your current member of Congress if they voted for this bill?

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65•Voting for a reform that results in cutting Medicare by $400 billion is downright deadly.

•Voting for a reform that results in cutting Medicare by $400 billion is downright deadly.

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More/Less Likely to Vote For Candidate/ Medicare $400 Billion CuMore/Less Likely to Vote For Candidate/ Medicare $400 Billion CuttParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic BallotParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Would you be more or less likely to support the re-election of a Congressman or Senator if you knew that they made a backroom deal to trade their vote for President Obama’s

health care bill in exchange for more Federal money for their state?

Would you be more or less likely to support the re-election of a Congressman or Senator if you knew that they made a backroom deal to trade their vote for President Obama’s

health care bill in exchange for more Federal money for their state?

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74•The backroom deals Democrats have pursued are as deadly as the bill itself.

•The backroom deals Democrats have pursued are as deadly as the bill itself.

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More/Less Likely to Vote if you knew of backroom dealsMore/Less Likely to Vote if you knew of backroom dealsParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic BallotParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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OR

Thinking about the elections this year, which of the following candidates for Congress would you most

likely vote for?

Thinking about the elections this year, which of the following candidates for Congress would you most

likely vote for?

A Republican candidate who would be a check and balance to

President Obama and the Democrats in Congress.

A Republican candidate who would be a check and balance to

President Obama and the Democrats in Congress.

A Democratic candidate who would help President Obama

and the Democrats in Congress pass their agenda.

A Democratic candidate who would help President Obama

and the Democrats in Congress pass their agenda.

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Check & Balance vs. Help Obama Check & Balance vs. Help Obama Party Affiliation/Undecided Generic BallotParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot

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Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I would consider voting for a Republican for Congress to send a

message to President Obama and the Democrats and make them listen to the concerns of voters like me.

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? I would consider voting for a Republican for Congress to send a

message to President Obama and the Democrats and make them listen to the concerns of voters like me.

54

36

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Send A MessageSend A MessageParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic BallotParty Affiliation/Undecided Generic Ballot

UGB = undecided on generic ballot