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I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
Headquarters U.S. Air Force
Public Affairs Measurement and AnalysisDeveloping Insights & Driving Decisions
Colonel Sean MonogueUSAF Public Affairs
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win
• Trusted Advice and Counsel• Airman Morale and
Readiness• Public Trust and Support• Global Influence and
Deterrence
PA Core Functions
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win 3
OUTPUTS OUTTAKES OUTCOMES
Engage the Media
Develop and sustain Partnerships
Connect with American Public
Communicate with Airmen
Educate and Inform Key Decision Makers
Lines of Effort
In Progress
In Progress
In Progress
In Progress
In Progress
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win 4
Measuring Trust and Confidence
The “big” ideas:
• Big Data, Modelling, and Predictive Analytics is key for resource allocation
• Explore the intersection of Output / Outtake measures to uncover Outcomes
• PR for PA is not inherently bad … internal controls must support a culture of engagement
• Additional leading and lagging indicators for the health of external relationships are available and needed (beyond Gruning)
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win 5
Big Data & Predictive Analytics
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win 6
Big Data & Predictive Analytics
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win 7
Big Data & Predictive Analytics
Seattle
Portland
Spokane
Sacramento
San Francisco
Los Angeles
San Diego
LasVega
s
Phoenix
Salt Lake
Denver
Albuquerque
Dallas
Austin
SanAntonio
Houston NewOrlean
s
Mobile
Tampa
Miami
Orlando
Jacksonville
Birmingham
Atlanta
Charlotte
Raleigh
NorfolkNashvilleOklahoma
City
KansasCity
Omaha
St.Louis
Indianapolis
Cincinnati
Chicago
Milwaukee
Minneapolis
Detroit
Cleveland
Pittsburg
D.C.Baltimore
Philadelphia
New York
Boston
Statistically Higher Since 2014
Statistically The Same As 2014
Statistically Lower Since 2014
Lower Than National AverageThe Same As National AverageHigher Than National Average
Would Recommend The Air ForcePercent Who Say They Would Recommend The Air Force to A Child or Grandchild
(4s and 5s on a 5 point scale: 1 - Not At All Likely, 5 – Extremely Likely)National Avg. 52%
2016
City Legend (based on DMAs)
Source: Gallup Panel
Seattle
Portland
Spokane
Sacramento
San Francisco
Los Angeles
San Diego
LasVega
s
Phoenix
Salt Lake
Denver
Albuquerque
Dallas
Austin
SanAntonio
Houston NewOrlean
s
Mobile
Tampa
Miami
Orlando
Jacksonville
Birmingham
Atlanta
Charlotte
Raleigh
NorfolkNashvilleOklahoma
City
KansasCity
Omaha
St.Louis
Indianapolis
Cincinnati
Chicago
Milwaukee
Minneapolis
Detroit
Cleveland
Pittsburg
D.C.Baltimore
Philadelphia
New York
Boston
Statistically Higher Since 2014
Statistically The Same As 2014
Statistically Lower Since 2014
Lower Than National AverageThe Same As National AverageHigher Than National Average
Knowledge of The Air ForcePercent Who Say They Know Some or A Lot About the Air Force
National Avg. 48%2016
City Legend (based on DMAs)
Source: Gallup Panel
Seattle
Portland
Spokane
Sacramento
San Francisco
Los Angeles
San Diego
LasVega
s
Phoenix
Salt Lake
Denver
Albuquerque
Dallas
Austin
SanAntonio
Houston NewOrlean
s
Mobile
Tampa
Miami
Orlando
Jacksonville
Birmingham
Atlanta
Charlotte
Raleigh
NorfolkNashvilleOklahoma
City
KansasCity
Omaha
St.Louis
Indianapolis
Cincinnati
Chicago
Milwaukee
Minneapolis
Detroit
Cleveland
Pittsburg
D.C.Baltimore
Philadelphia
New York
Boston
Statistically Higher Since 2014
Statistically The Same As 2014
Statistically Lower Since 2014
Lower Than National AverageThe Same As National AverageHigher Than National Average
Knowledge of The Air ForcePercent Who Say They Know Some or A Lot About the Air Force
National Avg. 48%2016
City Legend (based on DMAs)
Source: Gallup Panel
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e 11
ICAS U.S. AIRSHOWS 2014
11
Big Data & Predictive Analytics
I n t e g r i t y - S e r v i c e - E x c e l l e n c e
2014 Thunderbird Map
12
notes military air shownotes civilian air show
Big Data & Predictive Analytics
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win 13
Big Data & Predictive Analytics
Now, add in Bands, Media Coverage, Open Houses, ANG / AFR Bases, Commercials, ROTC, Gold Bar Recruiters, Sporting Events, Recruiting Statistics …
• We know a few things:• NASCAR events w/flyovers generate 21% more leads• Airshow leads up 43% w/Thunderbirds• Flyovers translate into jumbotron messages, recruiting space, and
Airmen appreciation events
• What we’d like to know:• Is it better to double up on bands and Thunderbirds or disperse assets?• Is public sentiment a leading or lagging indicator for recruiting?• Do Airshows in under-represented populations make a difference?• What’s the right re-visit frequency?• Thunderbirds and Blue Angels … does it matter?
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win 14
The intersection of different measures
Quality Engagement Tracking
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win15
PR for PA
A Culture of Engagement (Supported by internal communication, goals, and measures)
Timely, credible, transparent, and consistent engagement with stakeholders is critical to long-term success
Speed is critical … communication processes cannot operate effectively under the “normal” staff battle rhythm
Context is important and requires the active engagement of commanders, SMEs, and others
Engagement must happen early and often, across multiple channels / audiences Listening and seeking advice is critical to building effective partnerships Effective media and legislative engagement is the backbone of transparency
and credibility Airmen are the experts and must be empowered to engage
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win 16
PR for PA
Aim High…Fly, Fight, Win17
MEASURABLE INDICATORS Time to process requests for information (RFIs)
Frequency of consultation / relationship building
Time to process media queries
Frequency of media embeds
Number/Scope of externally mandated reports
RESULTS More collaborative relationships
Increased Understanding
Shared Approaches to Problem Solving
Expanded Sources of Ideas
Greater Flexibility for Program Implementation
More Prominent “Airmen’s” Voice
External RelationshipsMonitoring Trust and Confidence
• Tap into feedback from interlocutors• Monitor shared content through owned channels• Read the tea leaves … maintain robust expertise in Qualitative assessment and
monitoring