12
Molecular Staging of Lymph Nodes from Patients with Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Liqiang Xi, 1,5 James D. Luketich, 1,3 Siva Raja, 1 William E. Gooding, 2,3 Virginia R. Litle, 1,5 Michael C. Coello, 1 Sydney D. Finkelstein, 4 Melissa L. Chestney, 1 Rodney J. Landreneau, 1,3 Steven J. Hughes, 1,3 and Tony E. Godfrey 1,3,5 Departments of 1 Surgery and 2 Biostatistics, University of Pittsburgh; The 3 University of Pittsburgh Cancer Institute; 4 Redpath Integrated Pathology, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and 5 Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, New York ABSTRACT Purpose: This study was designed to evaluate molecular markers for the detection of micrometastasis in esophageal adenocarcinoma, define algorithms to distinguish positive from benign lymph nodes and to validate these findings in an independent tissue set and in patients with p N0 esophageal adenocarcinoma. Experimental Design: Potential markers were identified through literature and database searches. All markers were analyzed by quantitative reverse transcription (QRT)-PCR on a limited set of primary tumors and benign lymph nodes. Selected markers were further evaluated on a larger tissue set and classification algorithms were generated for individ- ual markers and combinations. Algorithms were statistically validated internally as well as externally on an independent set of lymph nodes. Selected markers were then used to identify occult disease in lymph nodes from 34 patients with p N0 esophageal adenocarcinoma. Results: Thirty-nine markers were evaluated, six underwent further analysis and five were analyzed in the external validation study. Two markers provided perfect classification in both the screening and validation sets, although parametric bootstrap analysis estimated 2% to 3% optimism in the observed classification accuracy. Several marker combinations also gave perfect classification in the observed data sets, and estimates of optimism were lower, implying more robust classification than with individual markers alone. Five of thirty-four patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma had positive nodes by multimarker QRT- PCR analysis and disease-free survival was significantly worse in these patients (P = 0.0023). Conclusions: We have identified novel QRT-PCR markers for the detection of occult lymph node disease in patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma. The objective nature of QRT-PCR results, and the ability to detect occult metastases, make this an attractive alternative to routine pathology. INTRODUCTION At the time of diagnosis, many patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma already have distant metastatic disease, and thus, surgical resection is not an option. For earlier stage patients, however, surgery offers the best hope for long-term cure. In these patients, the most important prognostic factor is the involvement of regional lymph nodes. Five-year survival for patients with any lymph node involvement averages < 25%, whereas survival in node-negative patients is 55% to 65% (1, 2). These low survival rates reflect the limitations of surgical treatment in an aggressive and frequently systemic disease for which current chemotherapy regimens are ineffective. In lymph node – negative patients, surgical resection alone should theoretically result in cure. Clearly this is not the case, suggesting that many patients may have pathologically occult lymph node involvement or hema- togenous tumor spread with clinically occult distant metastases. Indeed, many recent studies have shown the presence of occult metastases in lymph nodes from patients with esophageal cancer staged as pathologically node-negative (p N0 ; refs. 3 – 14). These studies indicate that 1% to 17% of histologically negative lymph nodes and 11% to 50% of p N0 patients have nodal metastases that are missed by routine pathologic evaluation. Furthermore, of the studies that include clinical follow-up data (3 – 10, 15), all but one (15), show a significant correlation of occult lymph node disease with poor outcome. In the majority of reported studies, occult metastases have been detected using additional sectioning of formalin-fixed lymph nodes, followed by immunostaining with pan-cytokeratin antibodies. From the literature on several tumor types, it seems that both increased tissue sampling and the addition of immunohistochemistry contribute to increased lymph node metastasis detection rates (7, 8, 10, 16– 28). Unfortunately, such detailed lymph node analysis remains restricted to diseases such as breast cancer and melanoma where the use of sentinel lymph node biopsy greatly reduces the number of nodes to be examined. In breast cancer, however, significant discordance has been reported for interpretation of sentinel lymph nodes by different pathologists (29), indicating that pathologic examination is a difficult and subjective process when small volumes of tumor are involved. In esophageal cancer, > 20 lymph nodes are typically removed, and therefore, detailed pathologic analyses of each node with immunohistochemical staining is not feasible. In a Received 4/27/04; revised 10/20/04; accepted 11/3/04. Grant support: NIH/National Cancer Institute CA90665-01 research grant, the Veterans Administration Pittsburgh Health Care System, and a cooperative research and development agreement with Cepheid (Sunnyvale, CA). The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact. Note: Supplementary data for this are available at Clinical Cancer Research Online (www.mssm.edu/labs/godfrt01/index.html). Requests for reprints: Tony E. Godfrey, Mount Sinai School of Medicine, One Gustave L. Levy Place, Box 1668, New York, NY 10029. Phone: 212-659-9082; Fax 212-849-2523; E-mail: tony. [email protected]. D2005 American Association for Cancer Research. Vol. 11, 1099–1109, February 1, 2005 Clinical Cancer Research 1099 Cancer Research. on November 24, 2020. © 2005 American Association for clincancerres.aacrjournals.org Downloaded from

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Page 1: Molecular Staging of Lymph Nodes from Patients with ... · of regional lymph nodes. Five-year survival for patients with any lymph node involvement averages < 25%, whereas survival

Molecular Staging of Lymph Nodes from Patients

with Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

Liqiang Xi,1,5 James D. Luketich,1,3 Siva Raja,1

William E. Gooding,2,3 Virginia R. Litle,1,5

Michael C. Coello,1 Sydney D. Finkelstein,4

Melissa L. Chestney,1 Rodney J. Landreneau,1,3

Steven J. Hughes,1,3 and Tony E. Godfrey1,3,5

Departments of 1Surgery and 2Biostatistics, University of Pittsburgh;The 3University of Pittsburgh Cancer Institute; 4Redpath IntegratedPathology, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and 5Mount Sinai School ofMedicine, New York, New York

ABSTRACT

Purpose: This study was designed to evaluate molecular

markers for the detection of micrometastasis in esophageal

adenocarcinoma, define algorithms to distinguish positive

from benign lymph nodes and to validate these findings in an

independent tissue set and in patients with pN0 esophageal

adenocarcinoma.

Experimental Design: Potential markers were identified

through literature and database searches. All markers were

analyzed by quantitative reverse transcription (QRT)-PCR

on a limited set of primary tumors and benign lymph nodes.

Selected markers were further evaluated on a larger tissue

set and classification algorithms were generated for individ-

ual markers and combinations. Algorithms were statistically

validated internally as well as externally on an independent

set of lymph nodes. Selected markers were then used to

identify occult disease in lymph nodes from 34 patients with

pN0 esophageal adenocarcinoma.

Results: Thirty-nine markers were evaluated, six

underwent further analysis and five were analyzed in the

external validation study. Two markers provided perfect

classification in both the screening and validation sets,

although parametric bootstrap analysis estimated 2% to

3% optimism in the observed classification accuracy. Several

marker combinations also gave perfect classification in the

observed data sets, and estimates of optimism were lower,

implying more robust classification than with individual

markers alone. Five of thirty-four patients with esophageal

adenocarcinoma had positive nodes by multimarker QRT-

PCR analysis and disease-free survival was significantly

worse in these patients (P = 0.0023).

Conclusions: We have identified novel QRT-PCR

markers for the detection of occult lymph node disease in

patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma. The objective

nature of QRT-PCR results, and the ability to detect occult

metastases, make this an attractive alternative to routine

pathology.

INTRODUCTION

At the time of diagnosis, many patients with esophageal

adenocarcinoma already have distant metastatic disease, and

thus, surgical resection is not an option. For earlier stage patients,

however, surgery offers the best hope for long-term cure. In these

patients, the most important prognostic factor is the involvement

of regional lymph nodes. Five-year survival for patients with any

lymph node involvement averages < 25%, whereas survival in

node-negative patients is 55% to 65% (1, 2). These low survival

rates reflect the limitations of surgical treatment in an aggressive

and frequently systemic disease for which current chemotherapy

regimens are ineffective. In lymph node–negative patients,

surgical resection alone should theoretically result in cure.

Clearly this is not the case, suggesting that many patients may

have pathologically occult lymph node involvement or hema-

togenous tumor spread with clinically occult distant metastases.

Indeed, many recent studies have shown the presence of occult

metastases in lymph nodes from patients with esophageal cancer

staged as pathologically node-negative (pN0; refs. 3–14). These

studies indicate that 1% to 17% of histologically negative lymph

nodes and 11% to 50% of pN0 patients have nodal metastases that

are missed by routine pathologic evaluation. Furthermore, of the

studies that include clinical follow-up data (3–10, 15), all but

one (15), show a significant correlation of occult lymph node

disease with poor outcome.

In the majority of reported studies, occult metastases have

been detected using additional sectioning of formalin-fixed

lymph nodes, followed by immunostaining with pan-cytokeratin

antibodies. From the literature on several tumor types, it seems

that both increased tissue sampling and the addition of

immunohistochemistry contribute to increased lymph node

metastasis detection rates (7, 8, 10, 16–28). Unfortunately, such

detailed lymph node analysis remains restricted to diseases such

as breast cancer and melanoma where the use of sentinel lymph

node biopsy greatly reduces the number of nodes to be examined.

In breast cancer, however, significant discordance has been

reported for interpretation of sentinel lymph nodes by different

pathologists (29), indicating that pathologic examination is a

difficult and subjective process when small volumes of tumor are

involved. In esophageal cancer, > 20 lymph nodes are typically

removed, and therefore, detailed pathologic analyses of each

node with immunohistochemical staining is not feasible. In a

Received 4/27/04; revised 10/20/04; accepted 11/3/04.Grant support: NIH/National Cancer Institute CA90665-01 researchgrant, the Veterans Administration Pittsburgh Health Care System, anda cooperative research and development agreement with Cepheid(Sunnyvale, CA).The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by thepayment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby markedadvertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely toindicate this fact.Note: Supplementary data for this are available at Clinical CancerResearch Online (www.mssm.edu/labs/godfrt01/index.html).Requests for reprints: Tony E. Godfrey, Mount Sinai School ofMedicine, One Gustave L. Levy Place, Box 1668, New York,NY 10029. Phone: 212-659-9082; Fax 212-849-2523; E-mail: [email protected].

D2005 American Association for Cancer Research.

Vol. 11, 1099–1109, February 1, 2005 Clinical Cancer Research 1099

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different approach, several groups have recently shown that

molecular staging, using reverse transcription (RT)-PCR, can also

detect occult lymph node metastasis in cancer patients. In these

studies, RT-PCR typically gives positive results in 6% to 49% of

lymph nodes and 50% to 100% of pN0 patients (11, 13, 14). This

high frequency of positive results in pN0 patients, many of whom

do not recur, has led to criticism of the RT-PCR technique on the

basis of poor specificity. To overcome this problem, most

investigators have begun to use quantitative RT (QRT)-PCR for

detection of occult metastasis. In esophageal cancer patients, we

recently reported that QRT-PCR allowed us to obtain high

(f90%) sensitivity for predicting disease recurrence in node-

negative patients, although still maintainingf90% specificity. In

our study, we quantified expression of carcinoembryonic antigen

(CEA), a somewhat generic adenocarcinoma marker, to achieve

these results. However, recent studies in breast and lung cancer

have identified genes that are considerably superior to CEA for

detecting lymph node metastases. Thus, the goal of this study was

to identify and test potential molecular markers for detection of

occult lymph node metastasis in esophageal adenocarcinoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Identification of Potential Markers. An extensive

literature and public database survey was conducted to identify

any potential markers relevant to esophageal adenocarcinoma.

Resources for this survey included PubMed, OMIM, UniGene

(http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/), GeneCards (http://bioinfo.

weizmann.ac.il/cards), and CGAP (http://cgap.nci.nih.gov). Our

survey criteria were somewhat flexible but the goal was to

identify genes with moderate to high expression in esophageal

adenocarcinoma and low expression in normal lymph nodes. In

addition, genes reported to be up-regulated in esophageal

adenocarcinoma and genes with restricted tissue distribution

were considered potentially useful. Finally, genes reported to be

cancer-specific, such as the cancer testis antigens and hTERT,

were evaluated.

Tissues and Pathologic Evaluation. Tissue specimens

were obtained from tissue banks at the University of Pittsburgh

Medical Center through Institutional Review Board approved

protocols. One half of each lymph node, and a small piece of

each primary tumor, were snap-frozen in liquid nitrogen and later

embedded in optimal cutting temperature compound (oct) for

frozen sectioning and RNA isolation. The remaining tissue was

used for routine diagnostic pathology evaluation. Twenty 5-Amsections were cut from each frozen tissue piece for RNA

isolation. In addition, sections were cut and placed on slides for

H&E and immunohistochemical analysis at the beginning,

middle (between the 10th and 11th sections for RNA), and end

of the sections for RNA isolation. All three H&E slides from

each specimen underwent pathological review to confirm

presence of tumor, percentage of tumor, and to identify the

presence of any contaminating tissues (such as esophagus or

lung tissue on a lymph node). All of the unstained slides were

stored at �20jC. Immunohistochemistry evaluation was done

using the AE1/AE3 antibody cocktail (DAKO, Carpinteria, CA),

and Vector Elite ABC kit and Vector AEC Chromagen (Vector

Laboratories, Burlingame, CA). Immunohistochemistry was

used as needed to confirm the H&E histology. Only tissues on

which diagnostic pathology and frozen section pathology that

were concordant were included in the screening tissue sets.

Patients with Esophageal Adenocarcinoma. A total of

314 lymph nodes were analyzed from thirty four consecutive,

consenting patients (median 8.5 nodes per patient) with

esophageal adenocarcinoma. All patients signed informed

consent for this study using protocols and consent forms

approved by the University of Pittsburgh Institutional Review

Board. The final pathology staging, recurrence status, and other

clinical information on these patients is shown in Table 1.

Recurrence information was obtained by review of clinical charts

and electronic medical records by three of the authors (J.D.

Luketich, V.R. Litle, and M.C. Coello).

Marker Screening. The screening was conducted in two

phases. All potential markers entered the primary screening

phase and expression was analyzed in six primary esophageal

cancers and 10 benign lymph nodes obtained from patients

without cancer (five RNA pools with two lymph node RNAs per

pool). Markers that showed good characteristics for lymph node

metastasis detection (i.e., high expression in primary tumors and

low expression in benign lymph nodes) passed into the

secondary screening phase. The secondary screen consisted of

expression analysis on 18 primary tumors, 20 histologically

positive lymph nodes, and 21 benign lymph nodes from

21 patients without cancer (referred to as the screening tissue

set). All tumors and positive lymph node samples were from

independent patients.

Marker Validation. To externally validate the classifica-

tion accuracy of markers tested in the secondary screen, an

independent, validation, set of lymph nodes was analyzed. The

validation set consisted of 32 benign lymph nodes from patients

without cancer and 24 pathology-positive lymph nodes obtained

from patients undergoing surgery for esophageal adenocarcino-

ma. Diagnostic pathology and frozen section pathology were

concordant on all nodes in the validation set. In addition, we also

analyzed 14 lymph nodes from esophageal cancer patients which

were determined to be positive on routine diagnostic pathology

but were negative by our own pathology (H&E and immuno-

histochemistry) on the frozen tissue piece (discordant lymph

node set). As with the screening set, all lymph nodes were from

independent patients.

RNA Isolation and cDNA Synthesis. RNA was isolated

using the RNeasy minikit (Qiagen, Valencia, CA) essentially as

described by the manufacturer. The only modification was that

we doubled the volume of lysis reagent and loaded the column in

two steps. This was found to provide better RNA yield and

purity. All RNAs were DNase-treated using the DNA-free kit

from (Ambion, Austin, TX) and reverse transcription was done

in 100 AL reaction volumes with random hexamer priming and

Superscript II (Invitrogen, Carlsbad, CA) reverse transcriptase

(30). For the primary screen, two reverse transcription reactions

were done, each with 1,000 ng of RNA. The cDNAs were

combined and quantitative PCR (QPCR) was done using the

equivalent of 20 ng RNA per reaction. For the secondary screen,

the RNA input for primary tumors and positive nodes was 1,200

ng per RT reaction and 20 ng per QPCR reaction, but this was

increased to 2,000 ng per RT reaction and 80 ng per QPCR

reaction for the benign nodes in order to improve sensitivity for

detection of low background expression.

RT-PCR of Lymph Nodes from Patients with Esophageal Cancer1100

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Quantitative PCR. All QPCR reactions were done on

the ABI Prism 7700 Sequence Detection Instrument (Applied

Biosystems, Foster City, CA). Relative expression of the

marker genes was calculated using the y-CT methods

previously described (30, 31) and with h-glucuronidase as

the endogenous control gene. All assays were designed for use

with 5V nuclease hybridization probes although the primary

screening was done using SYBR Green quantification in order

to save on costs. Assays were designed using the ABI Primer

Express Version 2.0 software, and where possible, amplicons

spanned exon junctions in order to provide cDNA specificity.

In addition, all primer pairs were tested empirically for

amplification from 100 ng of genomic DNA and primers were

redesigned when necessary. With the exception of cytokeratin

19 (CK19), cDNA-specific primer sets were successfully

identified for all genes in this study. Finally, optimal annealing

temperature was determined by testing primers for generation

of a single band on gels using cDNA templates and annealing

temperatures of 60jC, 62jC, and 64jC. Further details

describing our methods for primer design and testing have

recently been published (32). PCR efficiency was estimated

using SYBR green quantification prior to use in the primary

screen. Further optimization and more precise estimates of

efficiency were done with 5V nuclease probes for all assays

used in the secondary screen.

A mixture of the Universal Human Reference RNA

(Stratagene, La Jolla, CA) and RNAs from human placenta,

thyroid, heart, colon, PCI13 cell line, and SKBR3 cell line

served as a universal positive expression control for all the genes

in the marker screening process. Tissue RNAs were batched for

reverse transcription and the positive control RNA was included

in each batch. Batches of cDNAs were then analyzed by QPCR

Table 1 Clinical characteristics of the 34 patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma studied for occult disease

PatientID

Tumorstage

Nodestage

Metastasisstage

Finalstage

Neoadjuvanttherapy

QRT-PCRresults

Recurrencesite

Follow-uptime (months)

1 T3 N0 M0 IIA yes Neg none 26.62 T1 N0 M0 I no Neg none 24.23 T3 N0 M0 IIA yes Neg adrenal

metastasis,liver

26.7

4 T3 N0 M0 IIA yes Pos* celiaclymph nodes,liver, brain

18.0

5 T3 N0 M0 IIA yes Neg pleural fluid 7.96 T1 N0 M0 I no Neg none 25.47 T3 N0 M0 IIA no Neg none 27.78 Tis N0 M0 0 no Neg none 28.39 T1 N0 M0 I yes Neg none 23.710 T1 N0 M0 I no Neg none 4.311 T1 N0 M0 I no Neg none 25.512 T3 N0 M0 IIA no Neg none 26.113 T2 N0 M0 IIA no Neg none 22.314 T1 N0 M0 I no Neg none 5.615 T1 N0 M0 I no Neg none 23.516 T0 N0 M0 0 yes Neg stomach 11.617 T2 N0 M0 IIA yes Neg pleural fluid,

pericardium7.9

18 T1 N0 M0 I no Pos liver, abdomen,carcinomatosis

12.1

19 T1 N0 M0 I no Neg none 14.420 T1 N0 M0 I yes Pos liver 11.421 T0 N0 M0 0 yes Neg none 20.822 T0 N0 M0 0 yes Neg none 11.623 T1 N0 M0 I no Neg none 18.124 T0 N0 M0 0 yes Neg none 17.225 T3 N0 M0 IIA no Pos none 17.926 T1 N0 M0 I no Neg none 5.427 T2 N0 M0 IIA no Neg none 12.128 T2 N0 M0 IIA yes Pos retroperitoneal,

celiac, superiormesenteri arterylymph nodes

7.0

29 Tis N0 M0 0 no Neg none 8.430 T0 N0 M0 0 yes Neg brain/central

nervous system13.6

31 T2 N0 M0 IIA no Neg none 12.432 T0 N0 M0 0 yes Neg none 11.633 T1 N0 M0 I no Neg none 9.534 T3 N0 M0 IIA no Neg none 6.7

*This patient had two nodes positive by QRT-PCR.

Clinical Cancer Research 1101

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one gene at a time on 96-well plates. Thus, the positive control

RNA acted as a control for both reverse transcription and QPCR

of each batch. The positive control was not used for calculation

of relative expression.

Quantification with SYBR Green (Primary Screen).

For SYBR Green I-based QPCR, each 50 AL reaction contained

1� TaqMan buffer A (Applied Biosystems), 300 nmol/L each

deoxynucleotide triphosphate, 3.5 mmol MgCl2, 0.06 units/ALAmplitaq Gold (Applied Biosystems), 0.25� SYBR Green I

(Molecular Probes, Eugene, OR), and 200 nmol/L each primer.

The amplification program comprised two stages with an initial

95jC Taq activation stage for 12 minutes followed by 40 cycles

of 95jC denaturation for 15 seconds, 60jC, 62jC, or 64jCanneal/extend for 60 seconds and a 10-second data collection

step at a temperature 2jC to 4jC below the Tm of the specific

PCR product being amplified (ref. 33; more information on this

technique is provided in the Supplementary Methods available

online at www.mssm.edu/labs/godfrt01/index.html). After am-

plification, a melting curve analysis was done by collecting

fluorescence data while increasing the temperature from 60jC to

95jC over 20 minutes.

Quantification with 5V Nuclease Probes (Secondary

Screen). Probe-based QPCR was done as described previously

(12, 31). Briefly, reactions were done with a probe concentration

of 200 nmol/L and a 60-second anneal/extend phase at 60jC for

h-GUS, CK19, and CK20, 62jC for CK7 and Villin 1, and

64jC for CEA and TACSTD1. The sequences of primers and

probes (purchased from IDT, Coralville, IA) for genes evaluated

in the secondary screen are available in Supplemental Table 1 at

www.mssm.edu/labs/godfrt01/index.html. The primer sequences

for markers used in the primary screen will be provided upon

request.

Quantitative PCR Analysis. In the primary screen, data

from the melt curve was analyzed using the ABI Prism 7700

Dissociation Curve Analysis 1.0 software (Applied Biosystems).

The first derivative of the melting curve was used to determine

the product Tm as well as to establish the presence of the specific

product in each sample. In general, samples were analyzed in

duplicate PCR reactions and the average C t value was used in

the expression analysis. However, in the secondary screen,

triplicate reactions were done each individual benign node and

the lowest C t value was used to calculate relative expression and

thus obtain the highest (most conservative) estimate of

background expression for the sample.

Statistical Analysis

Generation of Prediction Rules. Six markers that passed the

secondary screen were evaluated individually and in combination

with other markers. The characteristics used to evaluate markers

were sensitivity, specificity, classification accuracy, and the area

under the ROC curve. For individual markers, a cutoff value was

determined that maximized the classification accuracy (proportion

of lymph nodes correctly classified). In cases where classification

accuracy was 100%, the cutoff was set at the midpoint between the

highest expressing benign node and the lowest expressing,

histologically positive node. Markers were also combined into

pairs and for lymph node classification and a linear prediction rule

was generated for each pair. The rule was equivalent to the linear

predictor that equalized the fitted probabilities above and below

the linear boundary. That is, points on the boundary line had a

predicted probability midway between the numerical scores

assigned to positive and negative nodes. For example, if positive

nodes were assigned a score of 2 and benign nodes a score of 1,

predicted scores > 1.5 were classified as positive.

Internal Validation of Prediction Rules. Properties of single

and paired marker prediction rules were investigated by

examining the distributional properties of the observed marker

expression levels and by applying parametric bootstrap valida-

tion. Data were simulated from the lognormal and bivariate log-

normal distributions using moment estimators for mean, variance,

and correlation between marker pairs. One thousand parametric

samples of the original data were obtained and the prediction for

each bootstrap sample was applied to the original data. The

difference between the observed classification accuracy and

the average bootstrap classification accuracy was used to estimate

the optimism in the resubstitution prediction rules (34).

External Validation of Prediction Rules. External vali-

dation of the prediction rules generated in the secondary

screen was done on an independent set of benign lymph nodes

(n = 32) and positive lymph nodes (n = 24) from patients with

esophageal cancer. The prediction rules for individual

markers and marker combinations were applied to data from

the validation set and classification characteristics were

calculated.

RESULTS

Primary Screen. Our literature and database surveys

identified a total of 39 genes for evaluation in the primary screen.

All of these genes were analyzed for expression in six primary

esophageal tumors and 10 benign lymph nodes. Median relative

expression (relative to the endogenous control gene) in the

primary tumors and in benign nodes was calculated for each

gene in the primary screen and is reported in Table 2. In addition,

we also calculated the ratio of relative expression between the

lowest expressing tumor and the highest expressing benign node

and between the median expression in tumors and the highest

expressing benign node. Some genes, such as CK20, had no

detectable expression in benign nodes and therefore ratios could

not be calculated. With the exception of CK20, however, all

genes with undetectable expression in benign nodes also have

very low median expression in the primary tumors and as a

result, these genes are unlikely to be sensitive markers for

detection of occult disease.

When using median expression in the tumors as the

numerator, six genes (TACSTD1, CK19, CK7, CEA, Villin 1,

and CDX1) clearly stand out as having tumor/benign node ratios >

1,000. When the minimum difference between tumors and benign

nodes is calculated as a ratio (lowest tumor/highest benign node),

all of these genes still distinguish tumors from benign nodes very

well. CDX1 however does not seem to be quite as good as the

other five genes because it has a minimum-fold ratio of only 68.7

versus >234 for the other five genes. Based on this data, CEA,

CK7, TACSTD1, CK19, and Villin 1 were chosen for analysis in

the secondary screen. In addition, CK20 was analyzed in the

secondary screen based on the finding that it was moderately

expressed in tumors but undetectable in benign nodes. Detailed

data on genes in the primary screen that were not analyzed in the

secondary screen will be made available on request.

RT-PCR of Lymph Nodes from Patients with Esophageal Cancer1102

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Secondary Screen. Histologic evaluation of the 18 pri-

mary adenocarcinoma specimens used in the secondary screen

revealed a median tumor percentage of 70% with a range of 5%

to 100%. Similarly, in the 20 histologically positive nodes, the

median tumor percentage was 50% with a range of 2% to 100%.

The relative expression profiles of the markers selected for the

secondary screen are shown in Fig. 1. The data shows that these

markers are expressed in positive lymph nodes as well as in

primary tumors indicating that metastatic tumor cells continue to

express these markers. Interestingly, however, analysis of the

percentage of tumor cellularity compared with marker expres-

sion level revealed only weak associations in all cases except

TACSTD1. Figure 1 also indicates the relative expression cutoff

values that provide the most accurate classification of histolog-

ically positive and negative nodes. Of the six markers chosen

from our original screen, all but CK7 was able to classify

positive and negative lymph nodes with > 95% accuracy in the

secondary screen (Table 3). Furthermore, two markers, CK19

and TACSTD1, provided perfect classification. Of these two,

however, the distribution of expression levels in positive and

negative nodes is less variable for TACSTD1 than for CK19 and

the difference between the distributions is greater for TACSTD1.

Thus, one may expect that on a larger sample set, TACSTD1

would prove superior to CK19. In an attempt to address this

issue, we did an internal marker validation using parametric

bootstrap analysis to estimate the optimism in our observed

classification accuracy. Essentially, the expression distribution

observed in positive and negative lymph nodes was statistically

modeled (as illustrated in Fig. 1B and C) and 41 new data

points (20 positive and 21 negative) were artificially generated.

The most accurate cutoff value calculated from the artificial

data points was then applied to the original 41 data points and

the classification accuracy was determined. This was

repeated 1,000 times and the average values for classification

Table 2 Primary screen data on relative expression of potential markers in esophageal adenocarcinoma specimens and benign lymph nodes

MarkerAccessionnumber

Mediantumor

Medianbenign node

Highestbenign node

Lowest tumor/highestbenign node

Median tumor/highestbenign node

TACSTD1 NM_002354 126.5271 0.009753 0.049549 505.0 2,553.6TM4SF3 NM_004616 54.36396 0.025295 0.136787 39.8 397.4CK19 NM_002276 31.30345 0.003691 0.018163 504.2 1,723.5CK18 NM_000224 11.81054 0.033609 0.073557 30.0 160.6CK7 NM_005556 7.063151 0.000953 0.003162 234.7 2,233.8MMP7 NM_002423 5.607552 0.009453 0.099098 0.1 56.6CEA NM_004363 3.339841 0.000175 0.00027 1,964.2 12,369.8PVA NM_001944 2.888319 —* 0.021197 1.8 136.3Villin 1 NM_007127 2.288635 0.000288 0.000433 2,010.5 5,285.5SCCA1/2 NM_006919 1.825825 0.000014 0.015571 1.8 117.3Survivin NM_001169 0.790635 0.022251 0.113834 0.7 6.9CK20 NM_019010 0.767534 —y —y 1 1MAGEA3 NM_005362 0.319258 0.000328 0.001271 0.01 251.2c-MET NM_000245 0.307788 0.020617 0.039692 5.1 7.8MAGEA2 NM_005361 0.117915 —* 0.000279 0.04 422.6CDX1 NM_001804 0.099384 0.000003 0.000016 68.7 6,211.5bHCG NM_000737 0.029632 0.001616 0.009005 1.1 3.3NIS NM_000453 0.026305 0.003933 0.016232 0.6 1.6PTHrP NM_002820 0.019655 0.001186 0.004425 0.5 4.4NTS NM_006183 0.016921 0.532185 2.321408 0.00003 0.007hTERT NM_003219 0.01441 0.012648 0.026645 0.2 0.5MAGEA12 NM_005367 0.00929 0.000103 0.000404 0.002 23.0BRDT NM_001726 0.005306 0.000065 0.00035 0.003 15.2LDHC NM_017448 0.003147 —* 0.016402 0.1 0.2ITGB4 NM_000213 0.001867 0.000038 0.000063 13.3 29.6TITF1 NM_003317 0.001649 0.00132 0.007625 0.01 0.2GAGE1 NM_001468 0.001016 0.000221 0.002159 0.0005 0.5CK14 NM_000526 0.000917 —y —y 1 1MAGEA1 NM_004988 0.000524 —y —y —z 1KRTHB1 NM_002281 0.000417 —* 0.000165 0.2 2.5MAGEA4 NM_002362 0.000295 —y —y —z 1SSX2 NM_003147 0.000209 —y —y —z 1MAGEA10 NM_021048 0.000063 —y —y —z 1SGY-1 NM_014419 0.000054 0.000134 0.000605 0.002 0.1STX NM_006011 0.000054 0.00003 0.000194 0.005 0.3SSXux 0.000044 —y —y —z 1GAGEux —* —* 0.000126 —z —zMAGEA8 NM_005364 —* —y —y —z —zNY-ESO-1 NM_001327 —* —* 0.002036 —z —z

NOTE. Genes in boldface were analyzed further in the secondary screen. ‘‘Median tumor’’ and ‘‘Median benign node’’ indicates the medianexpression level in primary tumors and benign nodes.

*Three or more samples were at the nondetectable level in 40-cycle QPCR.yAll samples tested were at the nondetectable level in 40-cycle QPCR.zLowest or median expression levels of tumor were at nondetectable levels in 40-cycle QPCR.xUniversal design to amplify all submembers in the gene family.

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Fig. 1 A, secondary screen data showing the expression profiles of selected markers in primary esophageal tumors (T), histologically positivelymph nodes (PN), and benign lymph nodes (BN). Open, light blue diamonds, samples where expression of CK20 was undetectable at 40 PCRcycles. The expression levels for these six samples were artificially calculated using a CK20, C t value of 40 cycles. B and C, examples illustratingthe approach used for analysis of data from the secondary marker screen. B, data obtained from Villin 1 and CEA; C, data from CK19 andTACSTD1. In each example, the top left graph shows the observed expression data for the selected gene on the 41 lymph nodes in the secondaryscreen, along with the most accurate cutoff value for lymph node classification. The bottom left graphs illustrate how lymph node classification wasanalyzed using combinations of marker pairs. In this case, the prediction rule used to classify nodes was calculated such that it split the region intotwo zones of equal prediction probability as described in Materials and Methods. For the top and bottom right graphs, the distribution characteristicsof expression in the positive and negative nodes were statistically modeled for each marker, or marker combination, based on the observedexpression data. Two hundred simulated positive and negative nodes were then randomly drawn from populations with these modeled distributionsand plotted. These plots illustrate how the cutoff values and prediction rules calculated from the observed data may be expected to fare when a largernumber of nodes is examined and more extreme values of expression levels are observed. This distribution modeling and resampling approach wasalso used in the calculation of parametric bootstrap estimates shown in Table 3. B, although CEA and Villin 1 were imperfect discriminators bythemselves, combining their information improves prediction in both the observed and simulated data. The larger dispersion seen in the simulatedpositive nodes reflects the lower correlation, and greater variance, found with these two markers and in positive lymph nodes in general. Among theindividual markers, TACSTD1 and CK19, yielded the best empirical discrimination and this also held up well in the simulated data. In addition toyielding the best single marker prediction properties, CK19 and TACSTD1 also benefit from being highly correlated with one another. Highercorrelation tends to limit variability in the bivariate distribution.

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characteristics on the original 41 lymph nodes were calculated

(Table 3, bootstrap estimates). Because the parametric method

takes into account the distribution in the observed data, markers

with tighter and more separated distributions should fare better

in this analysis. Overall, the estimates of optimism were quite

low (2-5%), indicating that robust classification of lymph nodes

should be possible with these markers. Individually, CK19 and

TACSTD1 were again the best markers with estimated

classification accuracies of 97% and 98%, respectively.

In addition to analyzing individual markers, we also

evaluated lymph node classification using paired marker

combinations. Marker pairs were evaluated by plotting graphs

similar to those in Fig. 1B and C (bottom left), and then

mathematically calculating a linear cutoff that was midway

between the positive and negative lymph node distributions.

Classification accuracy obtained for all marker combinations

using this approach are shown in Table 3 (observed data). All

combinations achieved accuracies of 98% or greater but, as with

the individual markers, this is likely to be optimistic. However,

parametric bootstrap analysis estimated that, on average,

classification accuracy dropped <1% compared with the

observed data when using marker combinations (Table 3,

parametric bootstrap estimates).

External Marker Validation. To perform a more robust

evaluation of the cutoff values and prediction rules generated in

the secondary screen, five markers (CK7 was omitted due to

poor classification characteristics in the secondary screen) were

further evaluated in an independent, validation set of positive

and benign lymph nodes. Pathology analysis of the 24 positive

nodes in this set determined that the median tumor percentage

was 80% with a range of 2% to 100%. In general, application

of the cutoff values and prediction rules to the validation set

resulted in classification characteristics of individual markers

that were very similar to those estimated by the parametric

bootstrap analysis used for internal validation in the

secondary screen (Supplemental Table 2 and Fig. 2). The

two clear exceptions to this were Villin 1 and CK20, where

the specificity was clearly worse than in the secondary screen

and as a result, overall classification accuracy dropped by 7%

to 10% compared with the bootstrap estimate data from the

secondary screen. TACSTD1 and CK19 once again stood out

as the best individual markers with 100% accuracy in this set.

All combinations of marker pairs resulted in classification

accuracy > 92%, even those including Villin 1, and 7 of the

10 combinations gave perfect, 100% classification in the

validation set.

Analysis of Nodes with Discordant Pathology. As part

of our ongoing studies on esophageal cancer, we have now

analyzed over 600 lymph nodes using the markers described in

this study. Of these nodes, we have found 14 where the half of

the lymph node sent for diagnostic pathology was positive, but

our own pathology (including immunohistochemistry) on the

frozen lymph node half was inconclusive. One pathologist called

our sections from all 14 nodes negative, whereas a second

pathologist thought that 8 of the nodes were positive. Two

additional pathologists were asked to review these cases and

come to a consensus opinion. Their examination concluded that

3 of the 14 nodes were positive and these 3 were among the

8 identified by the second pathologist. Two of these three nodes

were positive based on QRT-PCR for multiple markers (Fig. 2),

whereas the third node was positive only by QRT-PCR for

CK20.

Table 3 Individual and marker pair classification characteristics on positive and benign lymph nodes in the secondary screen

Observed data Parametric bootstrap estimates*

Markers Sensitivity SpecificityClassificationaccuracy Sensitivity Specificity

Classificationaccuracy

CEA 0.95 0.95 0.98 0.95 0.93 0.93CK7 0.95 0.86 0.94 0.90 0.82 0.89CK19 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.99 0.94CK20 1.0 0.95 0.995 0.98 0.98 0.92TACSTD1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.96 0.99Villin 1 0.95 0.95 0.98 0.95 0.92 0.93CEA + CK7 0.95 1.0 0.98 0.93 0.99 0.96CEA + CK19 0.95 1.0 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.98CEA + CK20 0.95 1.0 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.97CEA + TACSTD1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.99 1.0 0.99CEA + Villin 1 0.95 1.0 0.98 0.95 1.0 0.98CK7 + CK19 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.99 0.99 0.99CK7 + CK20 0.95 1.0 0.98 0.93 0.99 0.97CK7 + TACSTD1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.99 1.0. 0.99CK7 + Villin 1 0.95 1.0 0.98 0.95 0.99 0.98CK19 + CK20 0.95 1.0 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.98CK19 + TACSTD1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.99 1.0 0.99CK19 + Villin 1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.99 0.99 0.99CK20 + TACSTD1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.99 1.0 0.99CK20 + Villin 1 0.95 1.0 0.98 0.94 1.0 0.97TACSTD1 + Villin 1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.99 1 0.99

*Classification characteristics are calculated based on the observed data from 41 lymph nodes (left side of table) and also using parametricbootstrap analysis (right side). One thousand parametric bootstrap samples of 41 lymph node marker pair expression levels were generated and foreach new sample, a new decision rule was devised to split the region into two zones of equal prediction probability as described in Materials andMethods (total of 1,000 decision rules). The bootstrap estimates are the average prediction properties from classifying the original 41 lymph nodes1,000 times.

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Correlation of QRT-PCR Analysis with Survival in pN0Patients. Three hundred and fourteen lymph nodes from

34 patients with pN0 esophageal adenocarcinoma were analyzed

by QRT-PCR for CK19 and TACSTD-1. Using the cutoff

generated in the secondary screen for the CK19/TACSTD-1

combination, six nodes from five patients were classified as

positive by QRT-PCR. Even with limited follow-up time, Kaplan-

Meier analysis showed that QRT-PCR-positive patients had a

significantly worse disease-free survival than QRT-PCR negative

patients (P = 0.0023, log-rank test; Fig. 3). Future analyses on

larger patient sets, and with more follow-up, are required to see if

this preliminary finding remains true in multivariate analyses.

DISCUSSION

The current tumor-node-metastasis staging system identifies

groups of cancer patients who are expected to have similar

outcome probabilities, thus allowing physicians to make

appropriate decisions regarding treatment options. Unfortunately,

within these stage groupings, the outcome for any individual

patient can still be very different from the overall prognosis of

the group. In esophageal cancer, the patients most affected by

such limitations of the current staging system are those with

localized, lymph node–negative tumors. Despite potentially

curative surgical resection, 30% to 40% of these patients will

suffer recurrence and succumb to their disease. In previous work,

we have shown that analysis of lymph nodes using QRT-PCR

can identify pathologically occult lymph node metastases and

that this correlates with disease recurrence (12). Extending this

work, the goal of our current study was to identify, screen, and

validate the best mRNA-based molecular markers for detection

of lymph node metastases in esophageal adenocarcinoma.

Marker Identification. CEA (CEACAM5) is a cell

adhesion molecule that is frequently found in adenocarcinomas

of endodermally derived digestive system epithelia. Historically,

CEA has been the marker of choice for identifying adenocar-

cinoma of the gastrointestinal tract and was among the first

markers to be used for RT-PCR analysis of lymph nodes.

TACSTD1, also known as EPCAM, EGP-2, KS1/4, GA-733-2,

and MIC-18 is a human cell surface antigen that is defined by the

monoclonal antibody AUAI. TACSTD1 is also the antigen for

the antibody Ber-Ep4 and, as such, has been used in several

studies to detect lymph node micrometastases in a variety of

tumor types (23, 35, 36). A recent study has also shown that

TACSTD1 is a good RT-PCR-based marker for identification of

lymph node micrometastases in non–small cell lung cancer (37).

CK19 is an acidic keratin that is expressed at high levels in

many epithelial tissues and their derived tumors. CK19 is one of

the keratins targeted by the AE1/AE3 antibody cocktail and, as

such, is frequently used by pathologists for immunohistochemical

Fig. 2 Analysis of the 56 lymph nodes in the validation set and the 14 lymph nodes with discordant pathology. Top, data on five individual geneexpressions observed in benign, discordant, and positive nodes. The horizontal line indicates the most accurate cutoff value calculated from thesecondary screen and applied to this independent data set. Bottom, validation set data for the same two marker pair combinations illustrated in Fig. 1Band C (CK19/TACSTD1 and CEA/Villin 1). As with the individual markers, the diagonal black line indicates the decision rule generated from thesecondary screen data, applied to the validation set. Classification characteristics of the individual markers and all marker combinations are reported inSupplemental Table 2.

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detection or confirmation of lymph node metastases in many

cancer types. CK19 has also been used in many RT-PCR-based

studies to detect occult lymph node disease in breast cancer

(35, 38, 39). Unfortunately, this gene has at least two pseudogenes

that make it difficult to develop a cDNA-specific assay. As a

result, the utility of this marker may be limited in clinical settings

given the potential for false-positive results. Cytokeratin 7 (CK7,

KRT7) is a type II keratin of simple, nonkeratinizing epithelia and

is typically found in tissues such as the epidermis, bronchus, and

mesothelium. As such, CK7 would not typically be considered as

a marker for esophageal adenocarcinoma. The last two markers,

CK20 and Villin 1, are generally associated with colonic

epithelium. Cytokeratin 20 (CK20, KRT20) is an integral,

intermediate filament component and is a major cytoskeletal

keratin of the intestinal epithelium. CK20 has been used

frequently in RT-PCR studies to detect occult metastases in colon

cancer patients but has not been used previously in esophageal

cancer. Villin 1 is a major structural component of the brush border

cytoskeleton. It is a calcium-regulated, actin-binding protein that

is specifically expressed in simple epithelia of some tissues of the

gastrointestinal and urogenital tracts. Because esophageal adeno-

carcinoma is thought to arise from an intestinal type, glandular

metaplasia of the normal squamous epithelium, the finding that

CK20 and Villin 1 are potentially useful markers for this disease is

novel but not surprising.

Lymph Node Classification. Data generated in the

screening and validation process indicate that TACSTD1 and

CK19 are the best individual markers for classification of positive

and benign lymph nodes in esophageal adenocarcinoma. Both

markers showed 100% classification accuracy in the secondary

screen, and internal validation resulted in estimated accuracies of

98% and 97%, respectively. Furthermore, when the cutoff values

from the secondary screen were applied to an independent

validation set of lymph nodes, these markers again showed 100%

classification. Indeed, the classification accuracy observed for all

markers in the validation study was very similar to that seen in the

secondary screen, indicating that robust and accurate classifica-

tion of lymph nodes by QRT-PCR is feasible. In our study,

however, the majority of positive lymph nodes examined

contained a large percentage of tumors (only seven nodes

contained < 5% tumor) and were easily identified by routine

pathology. Thus, the extremely high sensitivity and specificity

observed in our data may not be reflected upon analysis of node-

negative patients for the presence of micrometastatic disease.With

this in mind, and because it is highly unlikely that classification

accuracy with any individual marker will remain 100% when a

larger number of nodes are examined, we also analyzed

classification characteristics using combinations of marker pairs.

By combining individual markers we hoped to increase the

separation between positive and negative lymph node distribu-

tions and therefore obtain more reliable and sensitive lymph node

classifications. When combining markers with less than perfect

classification characteristics, we found that the combination

frequently improved the observed classification accuracy beyond

that of either individual marker alone. When comparing bootstrap

estimates of accuracy between individual markers and marker

combinations, the combinations were better than either individual

marker in all cases (average 2.5% improvement). Furthermore, the

bootstrap estimates of optimism in the individual markers ranged

from 2% to 5%, whereas on marker pairs, the optimism was only

0% to 2%. Finally, analysis of the independent, validation lymph

node set resulted in perfect classification for 7 of the 10 marker

combinations tested. These data indicate that combining the

classification characteristics of two markers is likely to result in

more robust lymph node classification, in particular when

examining nodes for micrometastatic disease.

Statistical Approach. In this study, the decision rules for

both single and double markers have been rigorously validated.

Internal validation consisted of parametric resampling of lymph

node expression data to simulate sampling variability. The

decision rules were further tested in an independent test set of

lymph nodes from patients at our institution. Thus, we are

confident of the reproducibility of classification at our institution

and in our laboratory. This process should be considered only the

first step in a series of more thorough efforts to generalize RT-

PCR-based methods of lymph node analysis. A continuum of

increasingly diverse settings needs to be introduced for full

evaluation of the generalizability of our ability to discriminate

and predict nodal status (40). These include obtaining lymph

nodes from patients at other institutions and evaluating QRT-PCR

in the hands of other pathologists and laboratory technicians.

Clinical Translation. The clinical utility of RT-PCR

staging of lymph nodes relies on the assumption that RT-PCR

will eventually prove superior to routine pathology, either by

detecting occult disease in pN0 patients or by providing an

objective analysis to help overcome the subjectivity and

discordance observed in current pathologic examination. Our

work lays the foundation for these studies because we have

identified appropriate markers and defined the classification

Fig. 3 Kaplan-Meier disease-free survival curves for 34 patients withpN0 esophageal adenocarcinoma. Patients were stratified into occultdisease-positive and occult disease-negative groups based on QRT-PCRdata for CK19 and TACSTD1 using the cutoff algorithms developed inthe marker screening phase. QRT-PCR-positive patients had a signifi-cantly worse disease-free survival than QRT-PCR-negative patients (P =0.0023, log-rank test). Note that patient 25 was censored at 17.9 monthsand patient 4 recurred at 18.0 months. Hence, the survival curve drops tozero despite one QRT-PCR-positive patient who did not suffer recurrencein this study.

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criteria to be applied to lymph nodes from patients with

esophageal adenocarcinoma. The detection of occult lymph

node disease, and subsequent improved patient staging, could

have significant consequences for the treatment of esophageal

cancer. For example, although chemotherapy has failed to show

a proven benefit in any large, randomized, well-controlled study

(41, 42), there is now increasing interest in nonfluorouracil-

containing regimens that seem to be better tolerated by patients

(43). Specifically, an ongoing Eastern Cooperative Oncology

Group trial is investigating platinum-based regimens in combi-

nation with either irinotecan or paclitaxel. These therapies are

most likely to benefit patients with minimal residual disease,

such as patients with micrometastatic involvement of regional

lymph nodes. Furthermore, a major benefit of more accurate

staging may actually be in our ability to identify the low risk,

truly node-negative patients and spare them the potential

morbidity of unnecessary chemotherapy.

Surgical approach and extent of lymph node dissection may

also be determined by the lymph node status, with some surgeons

advocating extensive lymph node dissection in node-positive

patients. Furthermore, there is reasonably strong evidence that

patients with extensive lymph node involvement have a worse

prognosis (1, 7, 44) and that curative surgery may not be possible

in this group. These findings have led to a push for the revision of

the tumor-node-metastasis staging system in esophageal cancer to

include an N2 stage for patients with extensive lymph node

disease. Along these lines, identification of occult lymph node

metastases in patients determined to be N0 by routine histology

could help distinguish them from truly node-negative patients.

The former subgroup might possibly benefit from more extensive

nodal dissection, whereas the latter group may achieve curative

resection with less aggressive surgical resection. On the other

hand, among node-positive patients, the presence of occult nodal

disease could identify those patients with more extensive nodal

involvement (the proposed N2 patients) who might derive a better

quality of life from less invasive surgery and/or palliative or

systemic treatments rather than from a relatively morbid, and

ultimately unsuccessful, radical surgery. Thus, the detection of

occult lymph node metastasis could play an important role in

future staging and treatment options for pathologically node-

positive as well as node-negative patients.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTSWe thank Drs. Alyssa Krasinskas, Kenneth McCarty, Jr., and Susan

Silver for reviewing slides on discordant tissues.

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