Minnesota Demographic ChangeCHARIS Ecumenical Center

Tom Gillaspy

Minnesota Planning

November, 2001

Minnesota’s Population Is

• Increasing, especially in the suburbs

• Growing older

• More racially and culturally diverse, though still not very

All States In The Region Grew Faster In The 90s Than 80s

3.1%

7.1%

5.7%

3.7%

6.5%

-4.7%

7.3%

-2.1%

0.8%

4.0%

5.4%

12.4%

0.5%

8.5%9.6%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

Iowa Minnesota NorthDakota

SouthDakota

Wisconsin

Pe

rce

nt

Ch

an

ge

Ov

er

De

ca

de

70 to 80

80 to 90

90 to 00

Change in Total Population for North Dakota and MinnesotaPercentage Change between 1990 and 2000

St. LouisItasca

Cass

Lake

Polk

Cass

Dunn

Ward

Beltrami

Pine

Aitkin

Cook

Grant

McLeanMcKenzie

Morton

Stark Stutsman

Koochiching

Williams

Otter Tail

Roseau

Clay

Wells

Barnes

Slope

Kidder

Walsh Marshall

Becker

McHenry

Sioux

Mountrail

Stearns

Divide

Benson

Burleigh

Todd

Burke

Cavalier

Emmons

Bottineau

Pierce Ramsey

Richland

Logan

Dickey

Trai llMercer

Kittson

Billings

Pope

Nelson

Adams

Lyon

Swift

TownerRolet te

Bowman

Pembina

Morrison

Eddy

Hettinger

Renville

Carlton

La Moure

Steele

HubbardOliver

Grand Forks

Sargent

Sheridan

Rice

Martin

Norman

Wilkin

Ransom

GriggsFoster

Renville

McIntosh

Fillmore

Wright

Nobles

Grant

Crow Wing

Mower

Murray

Clearwater

Sibley

Lake of the Woods

Redwood

Jackson

Brown

Rock

Douglas

Goodhue

Meeker

Isanti

Winona

Dakota

Kandiyohi

Faribaul t Freeborn

Olmsted

Stevens

Scott

SteeleBlue Earth

Lincoln

Golden Valley

Houston

Traverse

Dodge

Wadena

Anoka

Hennepin

Mille LacsKanabec

Wabasha

McLeod

Chippewa

Nicollet

Lac Qui Parle

Waseca

Benton

Chisago

Carver

Big Stone

Pennington

Cottonwood

Le Sueur

Mahnomen

Pipestone

Red Lake

Yellow Medicine

Sherburne

Watonwan

Washington

Ramsey

Loss: -25.32% to -11.87%Loss: -11.86% to 0%Gain: 0% to 13.39%Gain: 13.4% to 30.96%Gain: 30.97% to 54.72%

The Growth Collar Grew rapidly In The 90s While Growth Was Modest Elsewhere

4.6% 3.5%

36.3%

6.8%Per

cen

t C

han

ge 9

0-00

Mpls + St. Paul

Older DevelopedSuburbsGrowth collar

Rest of the State

1990-2000 1990-2000 1980-1990No. of 2000 1990 Population Percent No. Losing Percent

Size Category Cities Population Population Change Change Population Change

100,000 or more 2 669,769 640,618 29,151 4.6% 0 -0.1%50,000-99,999 12 792,236 676,731 115,505 17.1% 1 30.7%25,000-49,999 19 662,479 558,462 104,017 18.6% 3 15.1%10,000-24,999 50 817,345 703,624 113,721 16.2% 11 10.4%5,000-9,999 43 311,483 266,862 44,621 16.7% 7 9.0%2,500-4,999 81 284,897 242,056 42,841 17.7% 16 5.5%1,000-2,499 124 202,002 185,689 16,313 8.8% 29 -1.9%500-999 146 104,522 98,385 6,137 6.2% 52 -2.5%250-499 145 52,226 51,056 1,170 2.3% 62 -5.0%Less than 250 231 30,381 31,487 -1,106 -3.5% 133 -13.4%

Total 853 3,927,340 3,454,970 472,370 13.7% 314 10.2%

Cities By Size Of Place: 2000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Population Growth Is Fastest Around The Twin Cities Area

54.7%

6.9%

9.4%

6.0%

3.5%

-4.2%

-2.5%

12.4%

-0.3%

-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Scott

Sibley

Le Sueur

Nicollet

Blue Earth

Brown

Cottonwood

Redwood

Minnesota

Percent Change 1990-2000

Minnesota Natural Increase Is Slowing While Migration Increasing

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

Net Migration

Natural Increase

Census Bureau estimate and vital statistics

Minnesota Change By Age Group 1990 to 2000

-2.1%

2.9%

19.7%25.8%

2.0%

-13.7%

23.7%

55.4%

31.1%

4.0%0.4%

15.9%24.4%

-20%-10%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Under

5

5 to 9

10 to

14

15 to

19

20 to

24

25 to

34

35 to

44

45 to

54

55 to

59

60 to

64

65 to

74

75 to

84 85+

2000 Census

Change in Persons Age 0 to 18 for North Dakota and MinnesotaPercentage Change between 1990 and 2000

St. LouisItasca

Cass

Lake

Polk

Cass

Dunn

Ward

Beltrami

Pine

Aitkin

Cook

Grant

McLeanMcKenzie

Morton

Stark Stutsman

Koochiching

Williams

Otter Tail

Roseau

Clay

Wells

Barnes

Slope

Kidder

Walsh Marshall

Becker

McHenry

Sioux

Mountrail

Stearns

Divide

Benson

Burleigh

Todd

Burke

Cavalier

Emmons

Bottineau

Pierce Ramsey

Richland

Logan

Dickey

Trai llMercer

Kittson

Billings

Pope

Nelson

Adams

Lyon

Swift

TownerRolet te

Bowman

Pembina

Morrison

Eddy

Hettinger

Renville

Carlton

La Moure

Steele

HubbardOliver

Grand Forks

Sargent

Sheridan

Rice

Martin

Norman

Wilkin

Ransom

GriggsFoster

Renville

McIntosh

Fillmore

Wright

Nobles

Grant

Crow Wing

Mower

Murray

Clearwater

Sibley

Lake of the Woods

Redwood

Jackson

Brown

Rock

Douglas

Goodhue

Meeker

Isanti

Winona

Dakota

Kandiyohi

Faribaul t Freeborn

Olmsted

Stevens

Scot t

SteeleBlue Earth

Lincoln

Golden Valley

Houston

Traverse

Dodge

Wadena

Anoka

Hennepin

Mille LacsKanabec

Wabasha

McLeod

Chippewa

Nicollet

Lac Qui Parle

Waseca

Benton

Chisago

Carver

Big Stone

Pennington

Cottonwood

Le Sueur

Mahnomen

Pipestone

Red Lake

Yellow Medicine

Sherburne

Watonwan

Washington

Ramsey

Loss: -39.29% to -22.32%Loss: -22.31% to -8.46%Loss: -8.45% to 0%Gain: 0.0% to 26.44%Gain: 26.45% to 55.35%

Minnesota Public School Enrollment Projected To 2008

500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 0 2 4 6 8

YearUS Dept of Education

Minnesota Is Increasingly Racially Diverse, But Not Very, By National

Standards

Percent minority increased from 6.3 percent in 1990 to 11.8 percent in 2000, compared with 30.9 percent for the nation.

Growth 1990 to 2000 In Selected

Minnesota Race and Ethnic Groups

6%

81%

8%

87%

166%

7%

112%

57%

113%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%120%140%160%180%200%

White, NH Black, NH Indian, NH Asian, NH Hispanic

Per

cent

Cha

nge

90-0

0

Single Race Single or Mult Race

2000 Census, NH abbreviation for Not Hispanic

Minnesota’s Asian Population Saw Rapid Growth In Most Groups

7,220

8,283

17,764

12,262

6,247

9,543

14,661

19,963

18,622

45,443

15,255

11,516

20,570

50,103

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000

Asian Indian

Chinese

Hmong

Korean

Laotian

Vietnamese

Other Asian

2000

1990

Minnesota’s Latino Population Saw Large Gains In All Origins, Especially Mexican

32,954

3,373 1,765 3,1908,382

95,613

6,616 6,180 7,239

27,734

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Mexican PuertoRican

CentralAmerican

SouthAmerican

All Other

1990

2000

Minnesota’s Foreign Born Population

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Data for 2000 is C2SS high and low

5.8% of total population in 2000, up from 2.6% in 90 but was 28.9% in 1900

Non-English Speaking Students: While Minneapolis and St. Paul have the largest numbers, some smaller

districts also have substantial proportions

24.8%

37.9%

5.4%

5.1%

27.7%

20.6%

16.8%

17.3%

16.1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Minneapolis

St. Paul

Other large district

State

Worthington

Madelia

Sleepy Eye

Pelican Rapids

Willmar

Mn Dept of Children Families & Learning

Minnesota Housing Vacancy Rates

5.5%

1.5%

7.9%

3.3%

0.9%

4.1%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

Total,excludingseasonal

Homeowner

Rental

2000

1990

State: 78% 39 to 67 67 to 80 80 to 100 100 to 173

% change in median sales price of existing houses1989-1990 to 1999-2000

Some Sources of Demographic Information

• State Demographer http://www.mnplan.state.mn.us/demography/

• Helpline 651-296-2557

• Metro Council http://www.metrocouncil.org/

• Census Bureau http://www.census.gov/

• Hennepin County http://www.co.hennepin.mn.us/opd/opd.htm