Education MinnesotaDemographic Change And Education

Tom Gillaspy

Minnesota Planning

October, 2001

Some Findings From The 2000 Census

• Population increased 12.4% to 4.9 million

• Fastest growing state in the “frost-belt”

• Most growth in the suburban fringe past the 694/494 belt

• Minneapolis and St. Paul grew for the first time in half a century.

• About 2/5ths of statewide growth due to migration. Each year about 80,000 people move in and 60,000 move out.

More Trends From The 90’s

• Populations of color increased rapidly. Latino nearly tripled, Black and Asian nearly doubled.

• Race comparisons difficult due to change in definitions.

• Immigration—4,000 to 9,000 per year.

• Median age increased from 32.4 to 35.4 over the decade. Middle-aged and college age increased most rapidly.

The Rate of Minnesota Population Change Increased in the 90s 14.50%

11.50%

7.10% 7.30%

12.40%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-00

Decade

Per

cent

Cha

nge

Minnesota Growth = 12.4% -11.9% to .0% .0% to 12.4% 12.4% to 25.0% 25.0% to 55.0%

Population Change 1990 to 2000Source: U.S. Census Bureau

The Growth Collar Grew rapidly In The 90s While Growth Was Modest Elsewhere

4.6% 3.5%

36.3%

6.8%Per

cen

t C

han

ge 9

0-00

Mpls + St. Paul

Older DevelopedSuburbsGrowth collar

Rest of the State

Minnesota Change By Age Group 1990 to 2000

-2.1%

2.9%

19.7%25.8%

2.0%

-13.7%

23.7%

55.4%

31.1%

4.0%0.4%

15.9%24.4%

-20%-10%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Under

5

5 to 9

10 to

14

15 to

19

20 to

24

25 to

34

35 to

44

45 to

54

55 to

59

60 to

64

65 to

74

75 to

84 85+

2000 Census

Minnesota Sees Increases in Teens and Declines In Young Children

-10.0%

-5.0%0.0%

5.0%

10.0%15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%35.0%

40.0%

Under 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Age

Per

cent

Cha

nge

1990

-200

0

Children By Age In Minnesota 2000

50,000

55,000

60,000

65,000

70,000

75,000

80,000

Under 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Age

Minnesota Public School Enrollment Projected To 2008

500,000550,000600,000650,000700,000750,000800,000850,000900,000950,000

70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 0 3 6

YearUS Dept of Education

Percent Change 1990 to 2000 In Selected Minnesota Household Characteristics

11%

9%

23%

6%

4%

19%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Families

Families with Children

Female HouseholderWith Children

65+ Living Alone

Renters

Homeowners

In The 2000 Census for Minnesota

• Percent minority increased from 6.3 percent in 1990 to 11.8 percent, compared with 30.9 percent for the nation

• 1.7 percent of the population selected more than one race

• 92 percent of people selecting only the “Other”race are Hispanic or Latino

Growth 1990 to 2000 In Selected

Minnesota Race and Ethnic Groups

6%

81%

8%

87%

166%

7%

112%

57%

113%

0%20%40%60%80%

100%120%140%160%180%200%

White, NH Black, NH Indian, NH Asian, NH Hispanic

Per

cent

Cha

nge

90-0

0

Single Race Single or Mult Race

2000 Census, NH abbreviation for Not Hispanic

3%

3%

24%

36%

17%

74%

29%

1%

1%

9%

30%

10%

62%

24%

Two+ races

White

Black/Afr. Amer.

Amer. Indian

Asian

Hawaiian/Pac. Is.

Some Other Race

% listing race who also listed another race

18+Under 18

2000 Census, PL94-171 dataTwo + races shows percent of population identifying with two or more races.

Multiracial identification in Minnesotais more common among children than adults

Percent

1.2 to 4.9 5.0 to 9.9 10.0 to 37.3

Minority Residents as % of Total 2000 Population(All except White Alone Not Hispanic)

Minnesota’s Asian Population Saw Rapid Growth In Most Groups

7,220

8,283

17,764

12,262

6,247

9,543

14,661

19,963

18,622

45,443

15,255

11,516

20,570

50,103

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000

Asian Indian

Chinese

Hmong

Korean

Laotian

Vietnamese

Other Asian

2000

1990

Minnesota’s Latino Population Saw Large Gains In All Origins, Especially Mexican

32,954

3,373 1,765 3,1908,382

95,613

6,616 6,180 7,239

27,734

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Mexican PuertoRican

CentralAmerican

SouthAmerican

All Other

1990

2000

Minnesota’s Foreign Born Population

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Data for 2000 is C2SS high and low

5.8% of total population in 2000, up from 2.6% in 90 but was 28.9% in 1900

Minnesota’s Foreign Born Population By Year of Entry To The US

57%

16%

63%

24%19%20%

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

1990-2000 1980-1989 Before 1980

Perc

en

t o

f F

ore

ign

Bo

rn Low Estimate

High Estimate

C2SS sample

Minnesota’s Foreign born Population By Region of Birth

4%

45%

3%

31%

9%

6%

11%

39%

19%

16%

10%

5%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Africa

Asia

Mexico

Europe

Canada

Elsewhere

Percent of Foreign Born

2000

1990

C2SS sample

Non-English Speaking Students: While Minneapolis and St. Paul have the largest numbers, some smaller

districts also have substantial proportions

24.8%

37.9%

5.4%

5.1%

27.7%

20.6%

16.8%

17.3%

16.1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Minneapolis

St. Paul

Other large district

State

Worthington

Madelia

Sleepy Eye

Pelican Rapids

Willmar

Mn Dept of Children Families & Learning

Many Languages Are Now Spoken In Minnesota Schools

• Students spoke 69 non-English languages at home statewide in 2000-2001.

• 50 different languages in Minneapolis

• 48 in both St. Paul and Anoka

• 17 in Willmar

• 14 in Worthington

Percent Distribution of Non-English Speakers 18-64 By Language

40%

24%27%

9%

37%

29%

24%

10%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Spanish Indo-European Asian or PacificIslander

Other Languages

Low Estimate

High Estimate

C2SS data

8% to 11% of Minnesota’s 18-64 speak a language other than English

Of Non English Speakers, Percent Who Speak English Not Well Or At All

23%

5%

17%

11%

43%

7%

32%

19%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%

Spanish Indo-European

Asian orPacific

Islander

OtherLanguage

Low Estimate

High Estimate

C2SS data

Some Sources of Demographic Information

• State Demographer http://www.mnplan.state.mn.us/demography/

• Helpline 651-296-2557

• Metro Council http://www.metrocouncil.org/

• Census Bureau http://www.census.gov/

• Hennepin County http://www.co.hennepin.mn.us/opd/opd.htm