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Macroeconomic Theory
(some basics)
Table of contents
1 Macroeonomic schools and methodological views 2
2 Some analytical tools 6
2.1 Optimization in continuous time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6
2.2 Discrete time optimization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
2.3 Log-linear approximation of a system of non-linear equations . . . . . 10
3 Examples of postulated models 11
3.1 IS-LM-AD-AS and expectations: from the Keynesian to the neoclassi-
cal approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
3.2 Economic growth: the Solow-Swan model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
4 Models with micro foundations 18
4.1 The Kydland-Prescott model of real business cycles . . . . . . . . . . 18
4.1.1 Basic RBC model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
4.1.2 Construction and analysis of the RBC models . . . . . . . . . 19
4.2 The Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans model of economic growth . . . . . . . 22
4.2.1 Households . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
1
4.2.2 Firms and the market structure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
4.2.3 Optimization results and the general equilibrium . . . . . . . . 24
1 Macroeonomic schools and methodological views
Basic literature:
1. Arnold L.G. (2002) Business Cylce Theory. OUP. (Ch.1)
2. Wickens, M. (2012) Macroeconomic Theory: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach.
PUP. (Ch.1)
3. Phelps E.S. (1998) Seven Schools of Macroeconomic Thought. OUP.
4. Lucas R.E. (1976). Econometric policy evaluation: A critique. In K. Brunner
and A.H. Meltzer, eds., The Phillips curve and labour markets. Amsterdam:
North Holland.
5. Mankiw, N.G. (2006) The macroeconomist as scientist and engineer,
Journal of Economic Perspectives 20(4), 29-46.
Main approaches
• Keynesian economics
• Monetarism
• Supply side proponents
• New Classical economics
• Real business cycles theory
• New Keynesian economics
2
Concepts and tasks
Group and discuss the role of:
• the Great Depression
• fiscal and monetary interventions
• general macroeconomic equilibrium (of flows, markets, subjects)
• existence and uniqueness of equilibrium
• aggregation problem
• uncertainty
• availability of data
• oil price shocks and stagflation
• precision of forecasts
• Lucas critique
• formation of expectations (naive, adaptive, model consistent, forward-looking)
• Ricardian equivalence
• time inconsistency of decision makers
• flexibility of wages and prices
• market structure
• nominal and real rigidities
• the Great Contraction
3
Exercise. Characterize the methodological views of different schools in terms of:
• general equilibrium
• representative agents
• objective functions and optimizing behaviour
• budget, technical/production, and market (flows) constraints
• postulation/derivation of structural relationships
• "deep parameters"
• linearization of equations
• market perfection
• rigidity of prices
• expectations
• efficiency of government interventions
• efficiency of demand-side and supply-side policies
• efficiency of fiscal and monetary policies
• welfare analysis and benevolent social planner
An example of postulated relations with equilibrium of markets. In the Keynesian
type IS-LM model, the IS equation characterizes the relationship between the pro-
duction level/income Y and real interest rate r with exogenously given public ex-
penditure G, which satisfies the equilibrium condition in the goods market (Y =
�− �r+ �G, �, �, � > 0). The LM equation defines the relationship between Y and
the interest rates (Y = − + �r + �MP, , �, � > 0), which gives equilibrium in the
4
money market given exogenous supply of money M and fixed price level P . Then the
’general equilibrium’ consistent with equilbria in both the goods and money markets
is obtained as a solution of the system consisting of these two equations for Y and
r given the exogenous levels of G (fiscal policy), M (monetary policy), and P (price
level).
Exercise. Find the ’general equilibrium’ solution for Y and r as functions of ex-
ogenous variables in the example provided above. Does it always exist? If public
expenditure increased twice, what effect it would have on income and (real) inter-
est rates? Nominal interest rates? Why? If a central bank would strive to keep
the interest rates at the same level as before the fiscal intervention, what monetary
change were required? After both interventions, does the income level stay at the
pre-interventional level? Why?
A framework for optimization-based models.
• market subjects (housholds/consumers, firms/producers, public sector, foreign
sector, etc.);
• objective functions of subjects (utility function(s) of consumers, profit func-
tion(s) of producers, government function of political dividends, Taylor’s func-
tion of central bank, etc.);
• technological an bugetary constraints (production technology, inter-temporal
budget constraint(s), etc.);
• market structure (perfect competition, monopolistic competition, etc.);
• (general) equilibrium analysis;
• analysis of dynamics.
5
2 Some analytical tools
Basic literature:
1. Barrow R.J. ir Sala-i-Martin X. (2004) Economic Growth. The MIT Press,
Cambridge (2nd edition). Appendix A.3.
2. Wickens, M. (2012) Macroeconomic Theory: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach.
PUP. (Ch.16.2,17)
3. Heer B. ir A. Maussner (2005) Dynamic General Equilibrium Modelling: Computational
Methods and Applications. Springer, Belrin. Chapter 2.
4. Ferguson B.S. ir G.C. Lim (2003). Dynamic Economic Models in Discrete Time.
Routledge, London. Chapters 5-6.
2.1 Optimization in continuous time
A typical task A decision maker can control values of control variables (c(t)) and
aims at maximizing the objective function under certain dynamic constraints of state
variables (k(t)):
max{c(t)}U(0) =
∫ T
0
v[k(t), c(t), t]dt,
s.t.:
a)dk(t)
dt= g[k(t), c(t), t],
b) k(0) > 0,
c) k(T )e−r(T )T ≥ 0.
Here U(0) is an objective function—e.g. utility function of consumers—at an initial
period (0), r(t) =∫ t
0r(�)d� , and T - the last period which also could be T =∞.
6
2.1 Optimization in continuous time
The solution of such a task is found leaning on the Hamiltonian
H[k(t), c(t), t, �(t)] = v[k(t), c(t), t] + �(t)g[k(t), c(t), t],
where �(t) denotes a dynamic Lagrange multiplier. The optimal path of c(t) which
maximizes the above-defined constraint is obtained by solving the system of differen-
tial equations:∂ℋ∂k(t)
= −�(t),
∂ℋ∂c(t)
= 0,
with the cut-off condition �(T )k(T ) = 0, provided T is finite, and limt→∞ℋ(⋅, t) = 0
in the infinite case. Here for any variable z, z(t) ≡ dz(t)dt
. In most of the cases, it can
be simplified to limt→∞�(t)k(t) = 0.
Example. Let us find a solution of the continuous time version of consumer
maximization problem where they strive to maximize the utility function: U(0) =∫∞0e−�tlog(c(t))dt with a capital accumulation constraint dk(t)
dt= k(t)�− c(t)− �k(t),
k(0) = 1, limt→∞k(t)e−r(t)t ≥ 0.
The Hamiltonian of such a task is
H[k(t), c(t), t, �(t)] = e−�tlog(c(t)) + �(t)(k(t)� − c(t)− �k(t)),
and first order derivatives:
∂H∂k(t)
= ��(t)k(t)�−1 − ��(t) = −d�(t)d(t)
⇒ d�(t)d(t)
= �k(t)�−1 − �,∂H∂c(t)
= e−�t
c(t)− �(t)0 ⇒ d�(t)/dt
mu(t)= −�− dc(t)/d(t)
c(t).
Hence, it is easy to derive the optimal path for consumption:
dc(t)
d(t)= �k�−1 − � − �.
7
2.2 Discrete time optimization
2.2 Discrete time optimization
Suppose that the representative houshold aims at maximizing the utility of (infinite)
life
Ulife = Et
∞∑t=t
��−tU(C� , 1− L� ) (2.1)
given the capital accumulation constraint1
Kt+1 = (1− �)Kt + AtF (Kt, Lt)− Ct, (2.2)
by choosing the optimal amounts of consumption {C� , � = t, . . . ,∞} and labour
{L� , � = t, . . . ,∞}. Let U� := U(C� , L� ), ∂U�∂C�
> 0, ∂U�∂L�
< 0, which is discounted
to the present value by �. � denotes the norm of depreciation of capital, while
AtF (Kt, Lt) = Yt is a production function satisfying the standard homogeneity, Inada,
etc. conditions. For notational simplicity let Ft := F (Kt, Lt)).
There are several ways to solve the problem, but let us consider the one which is
based on the value function approach. Let the value function be defined as a function
maximizing the utility for a given level of a state variable Kt in terms of control
variables {C� , L�}∞�=t:
V (Kt) ≡ max{C� ,L�}Et
∞∑t=t
��−tU(C� , L� ) = max{Ct,Lt}U(Ct, Lt) + Et�V (Kt+1)
(2.3)
s.t.
Kt+1 = (1− �)Kt + AtF (Kt, Lt)− Ct.
Such a formulation in terms of the so called Bellman equation re-structures the infinite1Actually, this constraint is a result of three equations: 1) physical capital accumulation constraint
Kt+1 = (1− �)Kt+ It, 2) technical production constraint Yt = AtF (Kt, Lt), and 3) product/incomedistribution constraint in a closed economy (without public sector) Yt = Ct + It.
8
2.2 Discrete time optimization
horizon problem into the current period optimization and the functional equation in
terms of the value function.
The necessary conditions of maximization of the value function in terms of Ct and
Lt are:∂V (Kt)
∂Ct= 0 ⇒ ∂Ut
∂Ct= �EtV
′(Kt+1), (2.4)
∂V (Kt)
∂Lt= 0 ⇒ ∂Ut
∂(1− Lt)= �At
∂Ft∂Lt
EtV′(Kt+1). (2.5)
If the functional form of V (⋅) was known, these two equations augmented with the
capital accumulation constraint would be sufficient to solve the solution of the three
unknowns (C, K ir L) that satisfy the optimality condition. However, the form of
V (⋅) is not known in the general case. It is possible to guess its form and check
whether the Bellman equation holds i.e. equality is satisfied. However, this problem
can be overcome in a different way.
Let us first differentiate the value function definition:
V ′(Kt) = �EtV′(Kt+1)
(1− � + At
∂Ft∂Kt
). (2.6)
Using it, and from (2.4) solving for the expected value differential:
(2.4)+(2.6): ∂Ut∂Ct
= V ′(Kt)(
1−�+At∂Ft∂Kt
)−1
⇒ EtV′(Kt+1) = Et
∂Ut∂Ct
(1−�+At
∂Ft∂Kt
).
(2.7)
considering EtV (Kt+1) as an unknown variable and using equations (2.3)-(2.7), it is
simple to get three equations already without the unknown value function expression:
(2.4)+(2.5): ∂Ut∂(1− Lt)
=∂Ut∂Ct
At∂Ft∂Lt
, (2.8)
(2.4)+(2.7): ∂Ut∂Ct
= Et∂Ut+1
∂Ct+1
(1− � + At+1
∂Ft+1
∂Kt+1
), (2.9)
9
2.3 Log-linear approximation of a system of non-linear equations
apribojimas iš (2.3): Kt+1 = (1− �)Kt + AtF (Kt, Lt)− Ct. (2.10)
Hence, we have a system of three equations in three endogenous variables (Ct, Lt, Kt).
In the general case, this is a non-linear system (with rational expectations).
2.3 Log-linear approximation of a system of non-linear equa-
tions
The analysis of a non-linear system of equations is, in the general case, quite cum-
bersome and difficult to analyse analytically. Hence, instead of defining the global
properties of the system, it is usual to look at its local properties by using a kind of
approximation around the point of interest, for instance, some points of equilibrium.
For any variable Xt, xt := ln(Xt/X), where Xt denotes the actual, and X the
steady-state value. Then, using the first-order Taylor approximation of any func-
tion f f(Xt) ≃ f(X) + f ′(Xt)∣Xt=X(Xt − X), it is easy to derive these (first-order)
approximation rules:
1. �Xt + �Zt ≈ �X(1 + xt) + �Z(1 + zt)
2. XtZ�t ≈ XZ�(1 + xt + �zt)
3. f(Xt) ≈ f(X)(1 + �xt), � = f ′(Xt)f(Xt)
Xt
∣∣∣Xt=X
.
Exercise. Derive these (approximate) rules from the first-order Taylor expansion
considering the higher-order terms as ’insignificant’. Provide any case where such
an approximation-based analysis would clearly fail (e.g. think of several points of
equilibrium).
Exercise. Find the log-linear approximations to these equations:
a) �It + �Ct = �Yt,
10
b) Yt = At
(Kt
Lt
)�,
c)Ct+1
Ct= �Et(1− � + At+1�
Yt+1
Kt+1
),
3 Examples of postulated models
3.1 IS-LM-AD-AS and expectations: from the Keynesian to
the neoclassical approach
Basic literature:
1. Arnold L.G. (2002) Business Cylce Theory. OUP. (Ch.2-4)
2. Wickens, M. (2012) Macroeconomic Theory: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach.
PUP. (Ch.13)
3. Muth J.F. (1961) Rational expectations and the theory of price movements,
Econometrica, 29.
4. Hoover, K.D. (1992) The Rational Expectations Revolution: An Assessment,
The Cato Journal 12(1), 81-106.
5. Romer, D. (2000) Keynesian Macroeconomics without the LM Curve,
Journal of Economic Perspectives 14(2), 149-169.
• Aggregate price level
• Production and short-term aggregate supply functions
• Models of aggregate expenditure
• Money demand and supply
11
3.1 IS-LM-AD-AS and expectations: from the Keynesian to the neoclassicalapproach
• IS: goods market
• LM: money market
• Labour demand and supply
• Wage setting environment
• Expected inflation, nominal and real interest rates
• Price expectations
• Lucas’ production function
A stylized (log-linearized) IS-LM-AD-AS model:
IS: yt = �− �rt + �gt,
LM: mt − pt = + �yt − �it,
Fisher: it = rt + �et , �et = pet − pt−1,
AS: yt − y∗ = (pt − wt),
W: wt = pet ,
Expectations: pet = Et−1pt;
where:
yt ir y∗ - actual level and exogenously given potential production levels, respectively,
rt - ir it - real and nominal interest rates, correspondingly,
gt - public expenditure (exogenous),
mt - money supply (exogenous),
pt, pet , and �et - actual and expected price levels, and the expected inflation, corre-
spondingly
wt - wages.
In such a model, a change only of expectations can lead from the Keynesian to the
New Classical type of economy behaviour.
12
3.1 IS-LM-AD-AS and expectations: from the Keynesian to the neoclassicalapproach
• Naive expectations (Keynesian): pet+1 = pt;
• Adaptive expectations (Monetarist): pet+1 = pt + �t
or more generally pet+1 =∑k
i=0 �ipt−i,∑k
i=0 �i = 1, k ∈ N.
• Rational (New Classical): pet+1 = Etpt+1, where teh expectations Et are based
on some information set available in period t.
If the information set is not defined in the rational expectations, one understands
that all available information belongs to the conditioning set. In practice, this is
hard to implement. To operationalize the information set, Muth(1961) proposed the
model-consistent expectations. It should be pointed out that Etpt+1 can be simply
considered as an additional variable in the system.
Example Taking the expectations of the above defined system of equations pro-
duces:
IS: y∗ = �− �Et−1rt + �gt,
LM: mt − Et−1pt = + �y∗ − �Et−1it,
Fisher: Et−1it = Et−1rt + Et−1pt − pt−1,
AS: Et−1yt = y∗
W: Et−1wt = Et−1pt.
Then, from the IS, LM, and Fisher equations of this system of (expected) variables,
the (rational and model consistent) expected price is obtained as a function of exoge-
nous variables, historical (known) values and model parameters:
Et−1pt =mt − 1− �
− � + �
1− �y∗ +
�
1− �[� + �gt − pt−1]. (3.1)
Exercize. Given this solution of the expected price, find the solution of all endoge-
nous variables as functions of exogenous, historical values, and parameters i.e. find
the reduced form of the model. Show that the AS and (3.1) equations in the reduced
13
3.2 Economic growth: the Solow-Swan model
form model imply that the expected change of public expenditure and/or money will
affect only prices, but not the level of production.
Exercize. What effects would be observed on the real and nominal interst rates a)
an increase in public expenditure, b) a decrease in money supply?
Open economy formulations of the IS-LM models
• Foreign trade, foreign exchange, relative prices and the nominal interst rates.
• The purchasing power and interest rates parities.
• The Mundell-Fleming model with fixed and flexible exchange rates.
• The Dornbush ’overshooting’ model.
3.2 Economic growth: the Solow-Swan model
Basic literature:
1. Romer D. (2001) Advanced Macroeconomics. McGraw-Hill, Boston (2-as leidi-
mas). 1 skyrius.
2. Wickens, M. (2012) Macroeconomic Theory: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach.
PUP. (Ch.3.3)
3. Barrow, R.J., and Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004) Economic Growth. The MIT Press,
(2nd ed.). (Ch.1)
Let us denote the production function by F : ℝ2+ → ℝ+, K stand for the stock
of capital, AL for the efficient level of labour; A to represent the labour augmenting
technological development, and L to denote the labour force. F is also assumed to
satisfy:
14
3.2 Economic growth: the Solow-Swan model
• ∂F∂Z
> 0, ∂2F∂Z2 < 0 for any factor Z;
• �F (K,AL) = F (�K, �AL), ∀� > 0;
• the Inada conditions: limk→∞∂F∂Z
= 0, limk→0∂F∂Z
=∞.
The postulated equations of the model
- The production level (Y ) is determined by the technological constraint:
Y = F (K,AL). (3.2)
- The capital accumulation constraint is given by:
K = I − �K, kur K ≡ dK/dt, (3.3)
where investments I increase and the depretiation at the rate � decrease the stock of
capital.
- The closed economy equilibrium of flows:
Y = C + I. (3.4)
- The postulated behavioural equations:
a fixed proportion (0 < s < 1) of income goes to savings (S), whereas the rest is
spent for consumption (C):
S = �Y, (3.5)
C = (1− �)Y. (3.6)
In addition, it is assumed that the exogenous growth of labour (L) and technology
(A) is given by:
L = nL, (3.7)
15
3.2 Economic growth: the Solow-Swan model
A = gA. (3.8)
Consequently, the growth rate of the efficient unit of labourAL is given by ˙(AL)/(AL) =
L/L+ A/A = n+ g.
The reduced form of the model
From the structural mode, it is easy to get
K = sF (K,AL)− �K, (3.9)
or, introducing the efficient level of stock of capital by k ≡ KAL
,
k =K
AL= �f(k)− (n+ g + �)k, (3.10)
where f(k) ≡ F (k, 1).
Exercise. Use the structural model and the definition of k to derive the differential
equation (3.10).
Equilibrium
The dynamic equilibrium k = 0 holds for a k = k∗ such that
�f(k∗) = (n+ g + �)k∗. (3.11)
Exercise. From the Inada conditions for F derive that the following holds: limk→∞ f′(k) =
0 ir limk→0 f′(k) =∞.
Exercise. Explain, how the Inada conditions limk→∞ f′(k) = 0, limk→0 f
′(k) = ∞
and smoothness of the function ensures the existence of an equilibrium. For k > 0, is
the equilibrium unique? Why?
16
3.2 Economic growth: the Solow-Swan model
Exercise. Suppose that the production function is of the Cobb-Douglas form i.e.
F (K,AL) = K0.3(AL)0.7. Find k∗, when s = 0.1, � = 0.05, and n = g = 0.01. What
happens when the savings rate increases?
Exercise. From the general model show that Y /Y = n+ g in equilibrium. What
are the growth rates of K, Y/L, y, C? Which level of savings maximizes the con-
sumption per unit of labour?
Exercise. Define the effect of a change in � for the non-equilibrium rate of growth
of income.
Exercise. Let us now introduce two otherwise similar economies but with �1>�2.
Find k∗1, k∗2 and Y1/L, Y2/L in each of the closed economies. What happens when the
economies opens borders for flows of capital? Find the values of the same variables
for each country.
17
4 Models with micro foundations
4.1 The Kydland-Prescott model of real business cycles
Basic literature:
1. Wickens, M. (2012) Macroeconomic Theory: A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach.
PUP. (Ch.2,16)
2. Lutz G.A. (2002) Business Cycle Theory. OUP. (Ch.5)
4.1.1 Basic RBC model
- Representative firm
The representative firm maximizes in perfect competition real profits �(t) for each
period, given the exogenous prices of capital and labour—i.e. the required rate of
return r(t) and wages W (t)—and the production technology F which satisfies the
standard conditions.
max(K(t),L(t)) �(t), �(t)/P (t) = Y (t)− r(t)K(t)−W (t)L(t), (4.1)
with the technological constraint
Y (t) = F(K(t), A(t)L(t)
).
- Representative consumer
The representative consumer maximizes the utility which depends on the level of
consumption (positively) and the supplied work effort (negatively):
max{C(�),L(�)}∞�=t Et
∞∑�=t
��−tU(C� , 1− L� ) (4.2)
18
4.1 The Kydland-Prescott model of real business cycles
under the capital accumulation constraint
Kt+1 = (1− �)Kt + It
and the macroeconomic flows constraint
It = Yt − Ct.
- Technology
The technological process At = At ⋅ At. Here At is the long run growth process
given by At = A0e�, � > 0, and At is a stationary stochastic component defined by
At = �At−1e� with � being white noise. In the general case, any stationary process
can be considered.
4.1.2 Construction and analysis of the RBC models
• Model formulation with specific forms of functions F and U
• Setting up a (non-linear) system of equations defining the optimal choice from
the necessary conditions of (maximization of) objective functions and techno-
logical, budgetary and other flows constraints.
• Finding the (dynamic) equilibrium solution
• Calibration of parameters of the model
• An approximation (e.g. log-linear) of the nonlinear system of equations
• Findin the rational expectation solution
• Application of the model for simulations, etc.
19
4.1 The Kydland-Prescott model of real business cycles
An example of specific functional choices.
Technological constraint: Yt = AtK�t L
1−�t , 0 < � < 1.
Capital accumulation: Kt+1 = (1− �)Kt + It, 0 < � < 1.
Macroeconomic flows: Yt = Ct + It.
Utility of consumers: Et∑∞
�=t ��−t[log(C� ) + log(1− L� )].
Using these it is easy to reduce the model to:
Utility: Et∑∞
�=t ��−t[log(C� ) + log(1− L� )].
Capital accumulation: Kt+1 = (1− �)Kt + AtK�t L
1−�t − Ct, 0 < � < 1.
The non-linear system of equations defining the optimal choice.
Using the above-defined utility and production functions:∂Ut
∂(1−Lt) = 1−Lt ,
∂Ut∂Ct
= 1Ct
, ∂Ut+1
∂Ct+1= 1
Ct+1, ∂Ft∂Lt
= (1− �)At
(KtLt
)�ir ∂Ft
∂Kt= �At
(KtLt
)�−1
.
Using these in (2.8)-(2.10), the optimal choice is governed by:
(1− Lt)=
1
CtAt
(Kt
Lt
)�, (4.3)
1
Ct= Et
1
Ct+1
[1− � + At+1
(Kt+1
Lt+1
)�−1], (4.4)
Kt+1 = (1− �)Kt + AtK�t L
1−�t − Ct. (4.5)
The solution of dynamic equilibrium. In the (constant) dynamic equilibrium, ∀ t, At =
A, Ct = C, Kt = K, Lt = L. Hence:
(1− L)=
1
CA(KL
)�, (4.6)
1
C=
1
C
[1− � + A
(KL
)�−1], (4.7)
K = (1− �)K + AK�L1−� − C. (4.8)
20
4.1 The Kydland-Prescott model of real business cycles
It should be pointed out that the expectation operator here is absent, because the
equilibrium values are fixed.
Exercise. Find C, K, L.
Calibration of the model. The number of unknown parameters in the RBC models
is usually larger than the number of equations. Hence, it is usual to use some extra-
information to pin-down the values of some parameters, whereas the remaining ones
can be solved from the given equations. However, various more formal approaches
to model estimation are available using various moments of variables as well as the
Bayesian estimation of parameters.
Exercise. In the case of the model provided above, find the number of parame-
ters that would be needed to calibrate "freely" using some extraneous information.
Which parameter values are ’widely’ accepted and what parameters can be reasonably
estimated?
Log-linear approximation. Using the rules defined in section 2.2, we get the follow-
ing log-linear approximation of the non-linear system of equations defined above:
1
CA(KL
)�ct −
(1− L)
L
1− Llt =
1
CA(KL
)�(at + �(kt − lt)), (4.9)
1
C(1− ct) = Et
1
C(1− ct+1)
[1− � + A
(KL
)�−1
(1 + at + �(kt − lt))], (4.10)
K(1+kt+1) = (1−�)K(1+kt)+AK�L1−�(1+at+�kt+(1−�)lt)−C(1+ct). (4.11)
Exercise. Simplify this system by using the equilibrium conditions and dropping
the second order terms.
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4.2 The Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans model of economic growth
4.2 The Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans model of economic growth
The Ramsey model is a direct analogue of the Solow model, but having the micro
foundations of the main market participants.
Basic literature:
1. Romer D. (2001) Advanced Macroeconomics. McGraw-Hill, Boston (2nd ed.).
(Ch.2 part A).
2. Barrow R.J. ir Sala-i-Martin X. (2004) Economic Growth. MIT (2nd ed.).
(Ch.2).
4.2.1 Households
The number of identical households H is assumed to be constant. A household at a
moment t consists of H/L(t) individs, where the total number of inhabitants/workers
L(t) = ent is growing exogenously at a rate n.
The assets a(t) of a households are accumulating in accordance with the constraint:
a(0)
H+
∫ ∞t=0
e−R(t)W (t)
L(t)
L(t)
Hdt ≥
∫ ∞t=0
e−R(t)C(t)
L(t)
L(t)
Hdt, (4.12)
where R(t) =∫∞�=0
r(�)d� stands for the "average" interst rate.
Given such a constraint, households maximise:
UH({C(t), t ≥ 0}) =
∫ ∞t=0
e−�tU[C(t)
L(t)
]L(t)
Hdt, (4.13)
where � > 0 reveals the inter-temporal preference and U [∙] stands for the instanta-
neous utility function. Assume that it has the following form:
22
4.2 The Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans model of economic growth
U(z) =z1−�
1− �, � > 0. (4.14)
The L’Hopital rulle implies that under the � = 0, this utility is logarithmic.
Exercise. Derive this claim.
Then the optimal choice results from the solution of the constrained maximization
problem:
max{C(t),t≥0}LH = UH({C(t), t ≥ 0})+�HH
[a(0)+
∫ ∞t=0
e−R(t)(W (t)−C(t))dt]. (4.15)
Exercise. Find the necessary conditions and derive the Euler equation.
Exercise. Write the necessary conditions in terms of the ’efficient’ or normalized
units: a) z(t) ≡ Z(t)A(t)L(t)
for any for any Z(t); b) z(t) ≡ Z(t)L(t)
for any for any Z(t).
4.2.2 Firms and the market structure
Firms produces product Y (t) from the capital K(t) and labour inputs L(t) under the
exogenous technological progress A(t) = egt, g > 0. The production function
Y (t) = F(K(t), A(t)L(t)
), (4.16)
satisfies the standard conditions.
In each moment firms maximize profits
�(t) = P (t)Y (t)− r(t)K(t)− W (t)L(t), (4.17)
given exogenous product and factor prices P (t), r(t) and W (t) in perfect competition.
Then the optimal choice of firms is define by the necessary conditions of the con-
23
4.2 The Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans model of economic growth
strained maximization:
max(K(t),L(t))LF = �(t) + �F
[Y (t)− F
(K(t), A(t)L(t)
)]. (4.18)
Exercise. Find the necessary conditions of firm maximization problem. Re-write
them by changing the interest rate and wages into their real analogues: r(t) = r(t)P (t)
,
W (t) = W (t)P (t)
.
Exercise. Re-write the necessary conditions in terms of the efficient units.
4.2.3 Optimization results and the general equilibrium
Households
Differentiation of the Lagrangian of households yields
Be−[�−n−(1−�)g]tc(t)−�(1− �)− �He−R(t)a(0)L(0)e(n+g)t = 0,
where B is a function of constants (parameters). Taking a logarithm and time differ-
ential of it produces the optimal path for consumption growth:
c′
c=r(t)− �
�− g. (4.19)
Apart the parameters of the model, only r(t) is not known.
Firms
Differentiation of the objective function of firms with respect to labour and capital
yields the following necessary conditions:
F ′LA = w(t), wℎere w(t) =w(t)
p(t),
24
4.2 The Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans model of economic growth
ir
F ′K = r(t), wℎere r(t) =r(t)
p(t).
Leaning on the constant rate of return assumption, f(k) = F (k, 1), where k = KAL
.
Then the conditions provided above have the following analogues:
f(k)− f ′(k) =w(t)
A(t), (4.20)
and
f ′(k) = r(t), (4.21)
Making the assumption about the general equilibrium and using these conditions
together with the necessary conditions of households allows finding the solution of
unknown values of variables in terms of the exogenous processes and parameters of
the model.
Exercise. Derive the reduced form equations of the model for all the endogenous
variables.
25