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Johnson Controls1
Going Green – Opportunities and Challenges
Automotive News World Congress – 2008January 22, 2008
Mary Ann WrightChief Executive OfficerJohnson Controls - Saft Advanced Power Solutions LLC
Johnson Controls2
Johnson Controls has been in the Energy Efficiency Business for 122 Years
NorthAmerica
52%
Power Solutions
World’s largest manufacturer of lead-acid automotive batteries
• 97% Lead Recycling Rate
The leading independent supplier of fully integratedbattery systems for hybrid and electric vehicles
Sold 400,000 AGM lead-acid batteries for micro-hybrids in 2007
Building Efficiency
World’s largest provider of energy efficiency and comfort solutions involving heating, cooling, fire, security, and lighting
Automotive Experience
World’s largest provider of automotive interiors, including seats, door systems, cockpits, overhead systems, and electronics
Johnson Controls3
Transportation Sustainability – the Challenges are Well Known
Economic Disruption
Oil to reach $100/barrel by end of '08
Tuesday October 2, 2007 @ 4:29 pm ET
By Adam Schreck, AP Business WriterFROM: http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/071002/100_oil_outlook.html?.v=1
Energy Security
Environmental Risk
http://www.usip.org/fellows/reports/2004/images/iraq_oil_fire.jpg
http://www.anarkismo.net/attachments/apr2007/panic_peak_oil.jpg
http://www.maf.govt.nz/mafnet/rural-nz/sustainable-resource-use/climate/impact-on-industries/greenhouse.jpg
Resource Impact
Johnson Controls4
Globally, the Transportation Sector Accounts for 24% of all CO2 Emissions
A mid-size automobile driven 24,000 km per year will emit approximately 5 metric tons of CO2 annually
Some forecasts project that the current global population of 700 million automobiles could reach 1.2 billion by 2030
In absence of significant improvementsin powertrain efficiencies, annual CO2 emissions from the transportation sector could exceed 10 billion metric tons by 2030
The non-OECD countries will account for the majority of this increase, about 60%
Non-OECD Countries
Brazil China India Russia
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Year 2006 Year 2030
Bil
lio
ns
of
met
ric
ton
s C
O 2
Global Emissions from the Transportation Sector
Johnson Controls5
A Spectrum of Technologies can Reduce Oil Consumption and CO2 Emissions
Hybrid and electric technologies significantly improve overall vehicle efficiency
Energy Efficiency is the Lowest Total Cost Strategy for CO2 Abatement
XXXCost per mile
XInitial cost to manufacture
XXConvenience (range, refilling)
XXXModel choice/flexibility
XXXXPerformance (acceleration)
XXXFuel efficiency
XXXEmissions (GHG)
All Electricor Fuel Cell
Hybrid(gasoline)
Flex-Fuel(E85)
DieselFactor
XXXCost per mile
XInitial cost to manufacture
XXConvenience (range, refilling)
XXXModel choice/flexibility
XXXXPerformance (acceleration)
XXXFuel efficiency
XXXEmissions (GHG)
All Electricor Fuel Cell
Hybrid(gasoline)
Flex-Fuel(E85)
DieselFactor
Johnson Controls6
Types of Hybrid Electric Vehicle (HEVs)
Micro (a.k.a Stop/Start) Low voltage Shuts down engine at idle to save fuel
Example: BMW 1,3 mini series – JCI is the world leader in AGM micro hybrid batteries
Mild Low to medium voltage
Includes stop-start, regeneration brakingand acceleration assist
Example: GM Saturn VUE
Full hybrids High voltage
Includes all mild HEV features PLUS electric-only operating range and optionally,multiple axle electric drive
Example: Ford Escape
There are Multiple Types of Hybrids…
Johnson Controls7
There are Multiple Types of Hybrids…
Plug-In Hybrid (PHEV) High voltage
Includes all full hybrid features PLUSelectric-only operation for ~20 miles
Ability to recharge batterythrough 120V electrical outlet(in addition to regenerative braking)
Demonstration vehicles: GM Saturn VUE, Dodge Transit, Ford Escape
Electric Vehicle High voltage No internal combustion engine Recharge battery through 120V electrical
outlet No models in production
Fuel Cells High Voltage No internal combustion engine Full gas hybrid functionality Demonstration vehicles:
Daimler, Ford, Honda, Toyota
Johnson Controls8
MicroHybrid Vehicle Fleets
MildHybrid Vehicle Fleets
FullHybrid Vehicle Fleets
PHEV Vehicle Fleets
Battery Innovation “Fuels” the Drive To Sustainable Transportation Technology
Phased Technology Roll-out and Commercialization
Fu
el E
ffic
ien
cy
& C
O2 R
edu
ctio
n B
enef
it
Pure Electric Vehicle Fleets
5-8%
12-20%
25-40%
60%- 100%
100%
Commercially Available
Under Development
Available NOW
Johnson Controls9
Incremental Steps Can Have a Significant Impact
Mild hybridization of just 25 percent of the new vehicle fleet over the next 23 years would have the equivalent emissions impact of eliminating 6 percent of the current global automobile fleet
43 Million Automobiles Hybridization achieving a 20% MPG improvement in ¼ of the new vehicles
Reduced CO2
Emissions of 215 Million
Metric Tons
Johnson Controls10
Li-Ion Battery Technology Advantages for HEVs
Existing Nickel Metal Hydride Battery
• 1.8 kWh of Energy
• 83 liters volume
• 76 kg (without housing)
New Lithium Ion Battery
• 1.5 kWh of Energy
• 35 liters volume
• 33 kg (without housing)
FlexibleDurable
Smaller More PowerfulLighter
Safe
Nickel Metal Hydride is today’s battery technology
Li-Ion is the target of every OEM as the obvious next step battery solution
WHY? {30% Smaller 50% Lighter
30% SmallerMore Energy
More Powerful
Faster RechargeEnhanced Cycle Life
Li-Ion is the Next Battery Technology for Hybrid Vehicles
Johnson Controls11
Hybrid Batteries – A Very Complex System
Mechanical Subsystem Electrochemistry/Cell
Electronics Software
Electrical Subsystem Thermal Management Subsystem
Cell Manufacturing
JIT System Assembly
Johnson Controls12
Validation of system level performance: OEM requirements Regulatory requirements Life Abuse Tolerance
Identifying the “Value Proposition” Petroleum versus electricity costs Public policy incentives Involvement by all stakeholders Cost impact of regulatory requirements Battery secondary use potential Comprehensive understanding of V2B/V2G economics/challenges Regulatory motivation beyond California
Understanding energy security versus environmental impact Broad use of PHEVs will require rationalization of the utilities fuel base More coal will require CO2 sequestration
Innovation is the key, both technically and commercially
Critical Challenges to PHEV Commercialization
Johnson Controls13
PHEV - 80% DoD Test Results
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
110%
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
cycle number
Pe
ak
Po
we
r T
es
t
JCS Li-Ion VL41M
JCS NiMH 4NP40
Life Testing at Southern
California Edison: 78% DOD under
40°C Ambient
Temperature
Initial Test Results from PHEV Application are Encouraging
120K+ Miles Equivalent
Johnson Controls14
Cost Economies of scale Diverse/capable supply base and access to secure supplies of strategic materials Legislative and policy alignment with technology and market development needs
Technology Technology advancements for PHEVs with demonstrated safety Advanced manufacturing technologies
Infrastructure Recycling and Battery recharging infrastructure (plug-ins) Common engineering standards for HEV powertrains Transportation regulations for shipment of large battery systems
Technical skill sets - Renewed emphasis on technical education in the United States
Software engineering Electrochemistry/Materials science Electrical engineering Mechanical/Thermal engineering
Critical Challenges for the Transportation and Battery Industries
Johnson Controls15
Energy Bill - Key Transportation Provisions
CAFE increase to 35 mpg fleet average by 2020 vs. current 25 mpg
Promote development and manufacturing of advanced batteries
Expanded R&D
Technology and vehicle demonstration
• Federal fleet conservation program
• Encourage PHEV and electric drive vehicle fleet at state and local levels
Domestic manufacturing incentives
Secondary applications and recycling
Technical education
Johnson Controls16
Johnson Controls Global Footprint
Bordeaux, FranceLi-Ion Pilot Line & Research Lab
Milwaukee, US
Li-Ion Lab
Hannover, Germany
System Integration
Nersac, France NiMH & Li-Ion
Production Line
Pontoise, France
BMS NiMH & Li-Ion
Shanghai, PRCDevelopment
Facility
New Milwaukee Test Facility Opened October 2007
Johnson Controls17
The Future Without Hybrids?