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Is Chemical
Recycling a
Solution?
Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
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Nexant provides global knowledge and regional expertise
Nexant E&CA has over 120 knowledgeable and responsive consultants that focus on
energy and chemicals, providing global coverage and regional expertise
Our people
Our consultants blend strategic,
commercial, operational and
technical expertise with deep
energy and chemicals sector
knowledge
Proven track record
Have been advising clients in the
energy and chemicals industry
for 50+ years
Highly experienced in investment
development and execution:
• Strategic Planning
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• Commercial Analysis
• Technology Assessment
• Independent Expert
San Francisco
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Nexant advises clients across the Global Energy and Chemicals value
chain
3
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The Circular Economy
Plastics Recycling Overview
Impact of recycling and legislation on
virgin polymer demand
Mechanical Recycling
Chemical Recycling
PET Recycling
PS Recycling
Mixed Feed Stream Recycling
Conclusion
Nexant’s Special Report
Agenda
4 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
44 S Broadway
White Plains NY 10601
T: +914 609 0320
Energy & Chemicals Advisory
Priyanka Khemka
Consultant
The Circular Economy
Consumer and Legislation Driven Dynamics
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The idea of a Circular Economy was developed with the
aim of reducing plastic waste and encouraging reuse and recycling
6 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
1. Anaerobic digestion
2. The role of, and boundary conditions for energy recovery in the New Plastics
Economy need to be further investigated
Recycling
Use Design &
Production
Reuse
Virgin
Feedstock
Other
Material
Streams
AD / Composting
Leakage
Energy Recovery
Future Circular Economy
1. Closed-loop recycling: Recycling of plastics into the same
or similar-quality applications
2. Cascaded recycling: Recycling of plastics into other,
lower-value application
Waste
Generation
98%
Virgin
Feedstock
40%
Landfilled
32%
Leakage
14% Collected
for Recycling
4%
Losses
8%
Secondary
Recycling
2% Closed
Loop
Recycling
WTWE
14%
Incineration
The ideal circular economy will greatly reduce the amount of virgin feedstocks we use Source: Adapted from the Ellen MacArthur Foundation: The New Plastics Economy, Rethinking the Future of Plastics, 2016
Current Status of Circular Economy
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Innovation is required across the entire plastic value chain,
including manufacturers, consumers and governments
7 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
Resources Operations Customer
Operations Consumer
Use End of Use
Redesign Innovation
Mono-material format
packaging
Reduce uncommon
plastics that escape
collection
Bio-chemicals
Recycle System Innovation
Landfill restrictions
Labeling/marker regulation
Collection infrastructure
Recycling infrastructure
Recycling of plastics to
fuels and chemicals
Reuse Innovation
More durable and
repairable
Transparency of
composition
Ease of disassembly
Collaboration across the plastic value chain is essential, including the petrochemical industry
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Governments around the world are taking varied legislative
approaches in order to manage plastic waste
8 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
No national laws in the U.S.
State and local governments set out their
own recycling policies
Some states/cities have implemented
policies tackling the use of and recycling
requirements for
Plastic bags
Styrofoam containers
Plastic bottles
Canada moves to ban single use plastics by
2021
Specifics to be defined
Similar legislation to EU
European Commission’s Plastics Strategy:
By 2030, all plastics packaging sold in EU market to be
reusable or recycled in a cost-effective manner
By 2030, over 50% plastics waste generated in Europe
to be recycled
Ban selected single-use products for which alternatives
exist on the market
Extended Producer Responsibility schemes to cover
the cost to clean-up litter
China Waste Import Bans:
2018: China introduced
“National Sword Policy”,
ban all plastic waste
imports
Thailand announced
implementation similar
plan by 2021, Vietnam
in 2025
India Waste Ban:
2019: Voluntary ban on the
use of single use plastics
6 items included in the ban :
plastic bags, cups, plates,
small bottles, straws and
certain types of sachets
Several states in India have
already banned plastic carry
bags. But enforcement has
been lax.
States educating consumers
about collecting plastics
India imposed ban on import
of plastic scrap in 2019
Bans on Plastic Bags:
Plastic bags banned in 22 African
countries
7 further countries have either
levies or bans only in major cities
Waste Collection Infrastructure:
Small scale recycling
Governments efforts on improving
waste collection infrastructure
Egypt’s national waste
management programme
Algeria launched PROGDEM
Kenya: integrated solid waste
management plan
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Corporations are also setting their own targets, while consumers are
expected to adapt their behaviour to facilitate further change
9 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
Companies setting own waste management
targets irrespective of local legislature
Consumers showing more efforts in
recycling and adopting new materials
Recycling rates increased globally
Higher consumer awareness of
importance of recycling
Recycling infrastructure develops
making recycling more accessible
Increasing use of reusable items
(e.g., beverage cups reducing
demand for plastic bottles and non-
recyclable cups)
Several instances where move
towards sustainability met with
consumer disapproval, (e.g., paper
straws dissolving in beverage)
Coca Cola launched reusable
drinks bottles, and by 2030 it
set out to collect and recycle a
bottle/can for every one sold
McDonalds aims for 100% of
packaging to originate from
renewable, recycled or
sustainable sources by 2025
Pret a Manger and Costa
seeking to reduce waste
associated with coffee cups
Plastics Recycling Overview
Impact of Recycling and Legislation on Virgin Polymer Demand
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0
50
100
150
200
PS PET PVC PP PET
Dem
and
, Th
ou
san
d M
etri
c To
ns
2019 2025 2030
PS will be the most impacted by various
legislations and corporate initiatives
Polystyrene is difficult to recycle
Ban on single-use products in EU targets many
PS-based products
Slow demand growth 1.9% per annum
Robust growth for PET and PVC but strong
recyclates penetration anticipated
PET recycling technology well developed
Bottle collection targets to facilitate production of
recycled PET (r-PET)
Robust PVC growth ( ~3.4%) driven by long term
application in construction sector
PE and PP to grow at rates exceeding 3.9%
PE and PP very versatile and relatively easy to
recycle
Plastic bags ban impact on LDPE demand
mitigated by demand for reusable HDPE plastic
bags
Global demand for key polymers will continue to grow,
but rates will be impacted by polymer recyclability to some extent
11 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
Global Polymer Demand, Nexant forecasts
Insert India slides
- Current recycling
rates, the issues and
challenges with it
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Developments in waste plastic collection
and recycling technologies will allow for
greater recyclate penetration
rPE market to grow at 8-9% p.a. supported
by legislation and strong waste collection
and sorting infrastructure
rPET has high penetration in W. Europe
(~30%). Recycling rates expected to grow
with increased bottle collection rates
Developments in recycling technology to
improve recyclability of common plastic
items
Further legislation and corporate efforts will
help reduce use of non-recyclable plastics
Current lack of legislation at federal level is
hindering recyclate penetration in the U.S.
Low virgin resin prices due to current
oversupply following shale gas
Demand for virgin polymers is expected to continue to grow, but the
penetration of recyclates will impact growth rates
12 Elite Petrochem Conference 20 June 2019
Demand for virgin polymers is expected to continue to grow, but recyclates
will make up a growing proportion of total polymer demand
Notes: Demand figures do not include the impact of legislations passed this year, e.g. EU’s ban on single-use plastics. Polymers included in analysis: PET, LDPE, LLDPE, HDPE, PP and PVC
8% 10% 11% 15% 20%
25%
0
25
50
2019 2025 2030 2019 2025 2030
United States Western Europe
Dem
and
(Mt)
Recyclates Virgin Polymer
Forecast Recyclate Penetration Nexant forecasts
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Recycling options depend on the quality of the source material,
and the products decrease in value with declining quality of feeds
13 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
Primary
Recycling
Secondary
Recycling
Tertiary
Recycling
Quaternary
Recycling
Post-industrial and post-consumer waste streams are processed into
products with similar or decreased properties compared to the original
application, as they are subject to higher contamination
To recover the energy content of post-industrial and post-consumer waste by
incineration (WTE) or gasification, often considered resource recovery rather
than part of recycling technologies
Production of fuels, basic chemicals, and/or monomers by thermal or
chemical conversion of post-industrial and post-consumer plastic waste.
Pyrolysis and chemolysis are examples
Industrial and manufacturing scrap (pre-consumer) is re-melted and reused
(maintaining high quality). This remolding of fairly uncontaminated in-house
scrap has been intrinsic to plastics conversion for some time
Primary
Recycling
Secondary
Recycling
Tertiary
Recycling
Quaternary
Recycling
Feedstock/Waste
Stream Flexibility
& Quality
Size of
Processing
Plants
Cost of
Processing
Waste
Environmental
Issues
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PET, PP and HDPE are commonly recycled plastics, while PVC, LDPE
and PS recycling is more challenging and occurs on a smaller scale
14 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
Common Applications Ease of Recycling Recycle Products
PET Plastic bottles, food packaging Easy Fibres, bottles
HDPE Milk cartons, shampoo bottles, plastic
bins, cleaning products Easy
Cartons, bins, pallets,
garden furniture, pipes
PVC Pipe fittings, window fittings, car parts,
food trays, food packaging Moderate/Difficult Pipes, packaging
LDPE Shopping bags, foils Moderate Shopping bags, bin liners,
plastic furniture
PP Tupperware, bottle caps, toys, bumpers,
luggage, carpet fibres and filaments Easy Clothing fibres, car parts
PS Takeaway boxes, plastic cutlery,
protective packaging, toys, insulation Difficult Packaging
Other Crisp packets, salad bags, baby bottles,
CDs Very difficult N/A
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Not the first choice for the production of recyclate used in products that come
in direct contact with food (the properties of the recyclate must be close to
those of the virgin material)
After limited lifecycles, some plastics cannot be recycled further. They end up
in the landfills eventually
Mixed plastic waste streams are difficult to separate or there are no
economic uses for the individual components. Sorting equipment is
expensive
Hard to get rid of contamination such as food material, for e.g. in the clam
shells.
Some of the challenges with mechanical recycling
15 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
Chemical Recycling
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Chemical recycling involves the production
of fuels, basic chemicals, and/or monomers
from plastic waste.
These are higher value items than
generating plastic flakes for fabrication
through mechanical recycling
It provides a means to extract value from so-
called difficult to recycle plastics such PS
Chemical recycling has been viewed as a
way to increase the content of recycled
material in food-contact packaging.
Chemical recycling is applicable to
condensation and addition polymers, as well
as mixed streams
The best process will depend on the
characteristics of the waste stream and the
target product(s)
Global Polymer Consumption by Type
The alternative, chemical recycling, handles plastics that are
considered hard to recycle
17 Elite Petrochem Conference
Based on global polymer consumption, PET,
polyethylene, and polypropylene account for
almost 80% and have been the targets of recent
chemical recycling activity
PET 30%
PET 26%
PP 21%
PVC 14%
PS/EPS 5%
Other 4%
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A challenge with mechanical recycling is that additives to bottle resin, such
as colorants, barrier materials such as nylon, and other chemicals are not
removed.
PET Chemical Recycling produces monomers such as bis HET, PTA, and DMT
depending on the recycling process. These can be converted back into PET
PET can be chemically recycled into monomers
18 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
Recycling
Process Product
Qualitative Plant
Cost
Economically Competitive
Scale
Methanolysis DMT High Large plants
Glycolysis Bis HET Medium - low Small plants/batch reactor
Hydrolysis PTA and MEG Highest Large plants
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PS disposal in landfills is problematic: bulky and friable nature, compacting
is, shredding releases trapped blowing agents into the atmosphere
Mechanical recycling of EPS is difficult – hard to reprocess due to low
density, can be contaminated with food, and the release of carcinogens to the
environment.
PS depolymerizes easily into styrene monomers through pyrolysis easily
About 60 – 65% of Styrene can be recovered in thermal cracking process
Polystyrene can be depolymerized into styrene monomers
19 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
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Mixed plastics (mainly PE, & PP; PS, PVC, others) are the targets of plastics to fuel
and feedstock (PTF) pyrolysis technologies.
New technologies focus has shifted from the production of diesel to naphtha, recently.
Pyrolysis facilities are more versatile in the variety of feedstocks they can use
compared to depolymerization plants
Typical conversion rates for PTF are: PS 80-85%, PP 50-60%, PVC 30%, PET 30%,
HDPE (data n/a)
Mixed plastics streams can be chemically recycled
20 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
Plastic Feedstock Type and Pyrolysis Product Type (Source: American Chemistry Council)
Plastics to Fuel Conversion Rates (Source: American Chemistry Council)
Plastic Resin Conversion Rate, Plastics to Fuels Plants
PET 30% (not preferred feedstock)
PVC 30% (not preferred feedstock)
PS 80 to 85%
PP 50 to 60%
HDPE Data not available, but preferred feedstock
Plastic Feedstock
Type Pyrolysis Product Type Comments
PE, PP, PS, PMMA Liquid hydrocarbons Most commonly used feedstock in PTF
plants
ABS Liquid hydrocarbons Not preferred as feedstock as nitrogen-
containing fuel produced
PET Solid products Formation of benzoic acid and terephthalic
acid
PU, Phenol Resin Carbonaceous products Not preferred as feedstock
PVC Hydrogen chloride and carbonaceous
products
Not preferred as feedstock
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Development Stage # Technology Holders/Producers
Typical Capital
Investment & Plant
Size
PET Recycling Mostly Demo Scale About 50
28,000 tpy
$32 M (2019)
PS Recycling Mostly Pilot. Still
developing
About 10
15,000 tpy
$16 M (2019)
Plastics to
Fuel
Mostly Demo/
Commercial Scale
About 20
21,000 tpy
$51M (2019)
There are many companies in the chemical recycling industry
21 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
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Currently not economically competitive with conventional processes due to
small plant sizes
Reliable and sufficient supply – in developed countries, this relates to
increasing collection rates, while in developing countries, it relates to
developing infrastructure and developing collection systems
Regulatory and permitting rules hurdles have to be crossed
Project development/timeline is long-term, requiring secure feedstock,
permits, financing, and off-take agreements
Many of the major players, especially for mixed plastics to fuels and feedstocks,
have made little announced progress over the past two years and for even longer
periods
There are challenges associated with chemical recycling too
22 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
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No sophisticated method exists for waste collection or segregation.
Waste segregation ( of PET bottles, LDPE films etc.) is carried out by rag pickers at
the open dumps/landfills/oceans
No system of segregation at the source level (household, commercial) exists in
India.
Community bin collection is variously practiced in India by civic bodies. But these
bins are neither properly designed as per requirements and quantity nor are they
placed at proper places
India’s major challenge is collection and segregation of waste
23 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
Chemical Recycling of mixed waste streams is a potential solution to the lack of
sophisticated segregation infrastructure. PET bottles are heavily collected and
recycled already. Chemical recycling of PET bottles is another option to produce
higher valued items.
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If the identified issues with
chemical recycling are addressed,
then chemical recycling has the
potential to have a significant
impact on the end-of-life plastics
stream.
Chemical recycling will
complement conventional
mechanical recycling and there
will always be a need for both.
Overall, chemical recycling is part
of the solution (although not the
only one) to reducing plastics
waste and can help solve the
circular economy dilemma
Conclusion
24 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
Nexant’s Special Report Sorting Through Plastic Waste – Is Chemical Recycling a Solution ?
(published October 2019)
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This report provides a screening of selected chemical recycling
technologies that target the largest/most difficult waste streams
The report includes:
- An overview of conventional technologies for the production of key virgin polymers
- Recycling technologies for each key polymer is compared (e.g. benefits and drawbacks of
mechanical versus chemical recycling)
- Developed economics of chemical recycling technologies. Analyzed the delivered cost
competitiveness for exporting recycled PET and PS to China
- Examined the MSW stream and provided economics for the incineration of waste with energy
recovery
- A high level profile of selected recycling technology developers is provided, including
process description, key features, and development status
- Screening of the corresponding technologies is developed using parameters (on a best
efforts basis) such as CO2 emissions, capital investment, operating costs, type of feed, plant
size, commercial status, product range/quality, etc.
26 Elite Petrochem Conference
Company A B C D
CO2 Emissions Score 1/5 2/5 3/5 4/5
Development Status Score 2/5 3/5 5/5 1/5
Capital Investment Score 5/5 2/5 4/5 1/5
Additional Criteria Score 2/5 5/5 3/5 2/5
Final Score 10/20 12/20 15/20 8/20
Questions?
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Thank you!
28 Elite Petrochem Conference November 15, 2019
44 S Broadway
White Plains NY 10601
T: +914 609 0320
Energy & Chemicals Advisory
Priyanka Khemka
Consultant
Nexant, Inc.
San Francisco
New York
Houston
Washington
London
Bahrain
Bangkok
Shanghai
Kuala Lumpur
www.nexant.com
1 King’s Arms Yard,
London, EC2R 7AF
Telephone: +44 20 7950 1600
Facsimile: +44 20 7950 1550
www.nexant.com
“This presentation was prepared by Nexant Limited (“Nexant”). Except where specifically stated otherwise
in the presentation, the information contained herein was prepared on the basis of information that is
publicly available and has not been independently verified or otherwise examined to determine its
accuracy, completeness or financial feasibility. Neither NEXANT, nor any person acting on behalf of
NEXANT assumes any liabilities with respect to the use of or for damages resulting from the use of any
information contained in this presentation. NEXANT does not represent or warrant that any assumed
conditions will come to pass.
This presentation is integral and must be read in its entirety.
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except for internal use. The presentation should not be reproduced, distributed or used without first
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This notice must accompany every copy of this presentation.”