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    BP Confidential For Internal Use Only

    Feedstocks of the Future:The Case for Syngas

    Dr. Theo H Fleisch and Dr. Ron A Sills

    BP America

    Presented at: Innovation Day 2005Philadelphia, September 7, 2005 Theo Fleisch & Ron Sills 2005

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    Outline

    Context: World Supplies of Natural Gas

    Gas Refinery for Fuels and Chemicals based on Syngas

    Large-Scale Methanol Production Economics

    Methanol-to-Olefins: an Example of a Key Emerging Technology

    BPs University Programs

    Key Messages

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    World primary energy consumption

    BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2005

    Oil (37%)

    Gas (24%)

    Coal (27%)

    NuclearHydroelectricity

    205 millionBOE per dayin 2004

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    Natural gas production by area

    North America

    Europe & Eurasia **

    Rest of World *

    Asia Pacific

    * Primarily Middle East, Africa and S. America

    ** Europe and Former Soviet Union

    BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2005

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    World gas resources are plentiful

    Gas Reserves (2004) = 6,300 TCF (180 TCM)

    Equivalent to almost 70 years supply

    Additional gas from Yet to Find Gas and Unconventional Gas areestimated to be many times todays gas reserves

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    Remote gas: an inexpensive feedstock

    Location $/million BTU $/BOE*

    Remote 0.5 3

    1.0 6

    1.5 9

    U.S.** 6.1 35

    * Barrel of oil equivalent = 5.8 million BTU

    ** average gas price at Henry Hub in 2004;average oil price about $40/bbl.

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    Todays gas to chemicals production

    Natural Gas

    CO and H2Syngas

    HYDROGEN METHANOL

    Fuel Additives

    Formal-dehyde

    Aceticacid

    AmmoniaRefinery Products

    DME

    World consumption of naturalgas is 260 bcfd.

    Natural Gas ConsumptionAmmonia production -12 bcfdHydrogen for Refinery Products 6 bcfd

    Natural Gas ConsumptionMethanol production 3 bcfd

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    Gas refinery for fuels and chemicals

    Natural Gas

    HYDROGENSynthetic Crude METHANOL

    CleanDiesel Jet

    Fuel

    NaphthaLubricants

    Fuel AdditivesOlefins

    Formal-dehyde

    Aceticacid

    AmmoniaRefinery Products

    DME

    CO and H2Syngas

    Natural Gas ConsumptionGTL-FT production 0.7 bcfd by2006, and Increasing to 4 bcfd by 2012

    GTL-FT

    n-paraffinsOther chemicals

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    Natural Gas

    HYDROGENSynthetic Crude METHANOL

    CleanDiesel Jet

    Fuel

    NaphthaLubricants

    Fuel AdditivesFuel

    GasolineAromatics

    Olefins

    Formal-dehyde

    Aceticacid

    AmmoniaRefinery Products

    FuelDME

    n-paraffinsOther chemicals

    Gas refinery for fuels and chemicals

    CO and H2Syngas

    Large-scaleMethanol/DMEProduction

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    Natural Gas

    HYDROGENSynthetic Crude METHANOL

    CleanDiesel Jet

    Fuel

    NaphthaLubricants

    Fuel AdditivesFuel

    GasolineAromatics

    Olefins

    Formal-dehyde

    Aceticacid

    AmmoniaRefinery Products

    FuelDME

    Alternative feedstocks for syngas production

    Coal Biomass

    CO and H2Syngas

    Feedstock diversification

    Coal-based plants inChina R&D, pilots in

    biomass gasification.

    n-paraffinsOther chemicals

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    Methanol plant costs are decreasing

    Titan and Atlas Methanol Plants

    Trinidad, Early 2004

    BP and Methanex announced that theindustry pacesetter 5,000 TPD Atlas plantstarted-up on June 2, 2004.

    Atlas

    Titan

    Trends in methanol capex

    0

    200

    400

    600

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12Projects over last 15 years

    M$/Mtpa

    Titan: 0.9MMtpa (2500tpd)

    Atlas: 1.8MMtpa (5000tpd)

    The Atlas and Titan Methanol Plants in Trinidad produceabout 8% of todays methanol

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    Lets go back a few years

    Transition: Chemical to Fuel/Chemical Methanol

    8

    Methanol Cost, $/ton50 100 150

    4

    2

    0

    $/MMB

    TU

    Future?

    Today

    Conventional Fuelsat $20/bbl crude

    Illustrative Economics based on $20/bbl oil

    Atlas

    Past

    6

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    Methanol to Olefins (MTO) Technology

    Technology Developers MTO

    UOP/Norsk Hydro ExxonMobil

    MTP (methanol to propylene)

    Lurgi/Statoil

    UOP/Norsk Hydro Technology

    Reaction

    Fluidized bed reactor First plant planned for Nigeria

    CH3OH

    SAPO-34 Catalyst425-500 CExothermic

    99,5% conversion

    C2H4C3H6

    75-80%carbonyield

    Reaction by-products:

    Butenes, C5+,C1-C4 paraffins,

    Water, oxygenates, coke, H2,

    COx

    Eurochem/Nigeria Gas to Polymers7,500 tpd methanol, MTO

    Lurgi MTP announced in Iran

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    Drivers for the gas refinery

    Ample Gas Resources:Technology Developments

    Other

    Higher Oil Prices

    Low-cost

    Suitable location Learning and on-goingdevelopments

    Economies of scale

    Reduce technology risk

    Improve economics

    Gas monetization

    Large fuels market

    Environmental benefits

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    University programmes: MC2 and CEFTF

    BP is working with Berkeley, Caltech and Chinese Academy of Sciences in China(Dalian and Tsinghua). Over 60 researchers and faculty focus on creatingbreakthrough technologies.

    Clean Energy: Facing the FutureMethane Conversion Cooperative

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    Key Messages

    Gas will remain the dominant feedstock for syngas generation due to amplesupply, low price, moderate capital cost for steam reforming and other

    syngas generation technologies. The Gas Refinery for Fuels and Chemicals of the future will be based on

    syngas conversion via GTL-FT and large-scale methanol/DME production.

    Methanol-to-Olefins (MTO) is a key emerging technology.

    Key university programs are important sources, for BP, of innovativetechnologies for the Gas Refinery.

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    Back-up

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    Topic Questions

    What is the optimum common process steps to commercialize innovativetechnology, particularly to reduce the risks associated with new technology.

    Generally syngas-derived fuels/chemicals have a lower carbon efficiencythan oil-derived chemicals. How can this adverse affect on global warmingbe mitigated.

    As more and more scientists and engineers are educated in China and India,

    how can companies and universities in developed countries best collaborateto expedite the development of new technologies.

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    Conclusion

    Syngas becomes an increasingly important feedstock

    Portfolio of technologies

    Continuous improvements in efficiency and cost

    Many efforts in gasification and syngas clean-up

    Methanol/DME become low cost, versatile fuels and feedstocks

    Large fuel markets lower cost

    Olefins, aromatics, paraffins

    GTL-FT products

    Co based: diesel, naphtha, linear alkylbenzene, waxes, base oils

    Fe based: diesel, ethylene/propylene, alpha-olefins, alcohols, acetone

    Integration into Gas refinery

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    The Gas Economy

    Natural Gas:

    Step-child in 20th century

    Dominant fuel of the 21

    st

    century Abundant supplies but ~40% stranded

    Resource Push

    Need novel gas transportation options (beyond pipelines/LNG)

    Need new markets for gas

    Market Pull

    Need for clean, improved liquid fuels

    Need for low cost chemical feedstocks and improved processes

    Need for Gas To Products, GTP

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    Crude oil prices since 1861

    BP Statistical Review of World Ener 2005

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    Large Methanol/MTO/DME plants (built, proposed)

    Iran Methanol 1- 55,000 TPD

    Trinidad (2) 5,000 TPDAtlas

    Methanol Holdings

    Oman Methanol - 5,000 TPDQatar Methanol - 6,750 TPD

    Nigeria/Eurochem MTO7,500 TPD

    PetroWorld/Starchem>12,000 TPD

    Qatar/PetroWorld>12,000 TPD

    Iran/Lurgi MTP2500TPD

    Proposed Supply for New Methanol/DME Markets:

    23 MMTPA methanol (70% of current capacity)

    (Equivalent to 200,000 bpd GTL-FT)

    Methanol

    Methanol for Power/Olefins

    Memo: Not including

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    Qatar: The birth of the GTL business

    SasolOryx

    35kb/d; 2006 start-up

    NigeriaSasolChevron

    35kb/d

    ShellPearl

    140kb/d (Nov. 2003)

    SasolChevron

    100kb/d (March, 2004)

    ExxonMobilAGC 21

    160kb/d (July, 2004)

    Colombia Condor

    BP

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    T d th i f d t k f li ht l fi i

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    Today, the primary feedstock for light olefins isnaphtha

    Source: Hydro Presentation by Henning Reier Nilsen at EFI Conference in Norway, May 2005

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    BP Annual

    Report 2004

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    Synthesis gas is the fuel of the future

    Synthesis gas is a mixture of carbon monoxide (CO) and hydrogen (H2).

    Synthesis gas can be manufactured from natural gas and coal using

    conventional technology, and from biomass using emerging technologies.

    World supplies of natural gas and coal can support increased future demand.World supplies of oil are mature and not as ample.

    The location of world supplies of natural gas is remote from markets.

    Future synthesis gas refineries that convert remote natural gas and coal tolarge-volume conventional fuels will provide an economical supply of synthesisgas as a petrochemical feedstock.

    Conventional and emerging technologies can convert synthesis gas to broad

    range of petrochemical feedstocks.

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    Good stuff

    World consumption of natural gas is 260 bcfd (2004). LNG trade is 17 bcfd (2004). 49bcfd traded across country borders by pipeline.

    Ammonia is largest user of hydrogen.

    Hydrogen demand (2004) from natural gas for chemicals manufacture (mostly

    ammonia) is about 32 billion scfd for ammonia (12 bcfd natural gas) and 5 bcfd formethanol (2.7 bcfd natural gas)

    Current worldwide on-purpose hydrogen production for refineries is about 15 billion scfd(5.5 bcfd natural gas), growing at 5% per year. 79% from steam methane reforming,17% from steam naphtha reforming. 4% from gasification.

    Natural gas will remain the dominant feedstock for syngas generation due to amplesupply, low price, moderate capital cost for steam reforming and other syngasgeneration technologies.

    Todays chemical uses of syngas include ammonia, methanol and oxo chemicals(addition of syngas to olefins to form ketones and aldehydes.

    Gas reserves are equivalent to oil reserves. (1.11 vs 1.15 trillion boe)

    Gas production rose in every region except North America, where US output continuedto decline. In Europe, growth in the Netherlands, Russia and Norway more than offsetthe ongoing decline of UK output.

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    Key Message

    TheThe feedstock of the future is syngas (carbonmonoxide and hydrogen) derived fromgeographically-remote natural gas resources.