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[ 1 ] Intangible Assets and Economic Growth. Contribution to a Regional Database Matilde Mas & Javier Quesada (Dirs.) E. Uriel, J. Fernández, C. Albert, E. Benages, L. Hernández, C. Mínguez, J.C. Robledo Award-winning project of the Cotec Foundation for Innovation’s 2016 PIA Program BBVA Foundation-Ivie International Workshops MEASURES TO ENHANCE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH. NEW DEVELOPMENTS Faculty of Economics University of Valencia October 30 th , 2017

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Page 1: Intangible Assets and Economic Growth. Contribution to a ...web2017.ivie.es/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Matilde... · Balearic Islands Canary Islands Cantabria Castile and Leon Castile-La

[ 1 ]

Intangible Assets and Economic Growth.

Contribution to a Regional Database

Matilde Mas & Javier Quesada (Dirs.) E. Uriel, J. Fernández,

C. Albert, E. Benages, L. Hernández, C. Mínguez, J.C. Robledo

Award-winning project of the Cotec Foundation for Innovation’s 2016 PIA Program

BBVA Foundation-Ivie International Workshops

MEASURES TO ENHANCE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH. NEW DEVELOPMENTS

Faculty of Economics

University of Valencia

October 30th, 2017

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[ 2 ]

In the 17 Spanish regions productivity growth was slower

during the expansion (2000-2005) than in the following

years.

Reasons: Foro de Economía y Empresa. November 8th,

12:30-14:00

Annual growth rate of productivity per hour worked. Spanish regions.

2000-2005, 2005-2010 and 2010-2015 (percentage)

Source: INE and own elaboration.

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

2000-2005 2005-2010 2010-2015

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[ 3 ]

Knowledge economy and intangibles

The New Information and Communication Technologies (ICT):

Have transformed the production process of many existing

economic sectors as they promote robotisation and automation.

Have led to the creation of new sectors and new ways of doing

things.

Are one of the reasons behind the phenomenon of globalization.

And the fragmentation of production processes in different phases

(global value chains).

These changes are generally known as Knowledge Economy.

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[ 4 ]

Knowledge economy and intangibles

The new ways to produce as a result of ICT ask for:

Changes (often drastic) in the organisational structure of firms.

Increase sophistication with the design of new products.

Create a brand image which sets it apart from simple commodities.

Win the loyalty of clients/customers.

Having skilled and on-the-job trained workers.

In other words, to invest in intangible assets.

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[ 5 ]

Classification of intangible assets

Note: The colour indicates the group it belongs to (grey = IAGDP; blue = IABGDP).

Source: Corrado, Hulten and Sichel (2005, 2009) and own collaboration.

“Any use of resources that reduces current

consumption in order to increase it in the

future qualifies as an investment”

Corrado, Hulten y Sichel (2005, 2009).

The largest change is that spending on

intangibles has the same status as the

purchase of new machinery, equipment,

or the construction of factories, now

considered investment goods instead

of intermediate consumption.

Distinction between IAGDP and

IABGDP.

The inclusion of intangibles in the

National Accounts would raise

Spain’s GDP level by 3,5%.

1. Computerised information (software and databases)

2. Innovative property

2a. R&D

2b. Mineral exploration and entertainment and artistic originals

2c. Design and other new products/systems

3. Economic competencies

3a. Advertising

3b. Market research

3c. Firm-specific resources (employer-provided training)

3d. Organizational structure

3d.i. Acquired organizational structure

3d.ii. Own organizational structure

Total intangible assets included in GDP = IAGDP (1+2a+2b)

Total intangible assets “beyond GDP”B = IABGDP (2c+3)

Total intangible assets = IA = IAGDP + IABGDP (1+2+3)

What are intangibles assets?

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[ 6 ]

Spain is a rather decentralized country, starting with the creation of the

Autonomous State with the 1978 Constitution. Thus, regional information is

fundamental for the design of economic policies.

Ivie has been providing information disaggregated by regions on tangible

capital (ICT and Non-ICT; human capital; social capital; and Inequality on a

regular basis.

This is the first study that offers information by regions on intangible capital in

an international context. Additionally, it includes a broad sectoral breakdown (27

sectors)

The database included in the study allows:

To position Spain and its region in relation to other EU countries and the

US.

To analize the differences/similarities in intangible endowments in Spain’s

autonomous communities as well as the convergence/divergence

among them.

To compare the impact of intangibles on national/regional productivity at

the same level as tangible capital, ICT and human capital already available.

The Intangibles Dataset

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[ 7 ]

Tangible and intangible investment overextended GDP:

TAGDP, IAGDP and IABGDP. Private sector. Mean 1995-

2010 (percentage)

Source: INTAN-Invest, BBVA Foundation-Ivie, Cotec Foundation-Ivie, INE, Telefonica

Foundation, and own elaboration.

Spain is at the same level

as other advanced countries

in tangible assets.

However, it lags behind,

along with Italy, in

intangible assets.

The problem is the quantity,

not its composition

IUS investment in

intangibles surpasses that

of tangibles, while UK

investment in intangibles

and tangibles is practically

the same.

15,9

5,0

14,5

4,3

14,2

3,7

18,4

1,9

14,0

3,2

14

,1

2,0

16,7

6,6

12,9

4,0

10,1

5,8

5,2

7,1

5,7

4,7

7,3

3,9

6,8

8,4

8,0

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

Fin

land

Fra

nce

Germ

any

Ita

ly

Ne

therl

and

s

Spain

Sw

ede

n

UK

US

IAGDP IABGDPTAGDP

Sp

ain

Spain in an international context

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[ 8 ]

Investment included in GDP and “beyond

GDP”: TAGDP, IAGDP and IABGDP, 1995-2014

(percentage)

Real investment: TAGDP, IAGDP and

IABGDP, 1995-2014

(1995 = 100)

The economic crisis has affected more severely investments in tangible

assets than in intangible.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

Intangible assets beyond GDP (IABGDP)

Intangible assets included in GDP (IAGDP)

Non-residential tangible assets (TAGDP)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

Non-residential tangible assets (TAGDP)

Intangible assets included in GDP (IAGDP)

Intangible assets beyond GDP (IABGDP)

The impact of the crisis

Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie, Cotec Foundation-Ivie, INE and own elaboration.

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[ 9 ]

Composition of investment in IAGDP by assets, 2010

(percentage)

The problem with IAGDP is

the quantity (less invested)

and not so much the

composition (the structure is

similar to that of other

countries).

34,3

51,8

27,8

46,8 56,3

49,1 45,7

59,6

34,2

61,2

41,5

65,0

45,5 36,6

42,0 52,0 30,5

44,8

4,5 6,7 7,2 7,7 7,1 9,0 2,4

9,9 21,0

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Fin

land

Fra

nce

Germ

any

Ita

ly

Ne

therl

and

s

Spain

Sw

ede

n

UK

US

Software R&D Rest of assets

Sp

ain

Source: INTAN-Invest, BBVA Foundation-Ivie and own elaboration.

Composition of intangible assets. IAGDP

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[ 10 ]

Composition of investment in IABGDP by assets, 2010

(percentage)

Source: INTAN-Invest, Cotec Foundation-Ivie, Telefónica Foundation and own elaboration.

However, regarding

IABGDP, the problem is

both with quantity and

composition.

Spain invests 50% in

advertising and design,

while the other countries

invest up to 50% only in

improving firms’

organizational structure.

22,3 23,3 20,8 24,6 15,7

25,9 27,3 16,8 12,1

16,7 8,8 13,1

11,4

8,3

24,2 10,2

8,9 20,1

3,4 5,7 4,3

12,2

10,6

5,8

3,3

4,7

3,9

15,4 20,2 25,7

18,9

18,6

17,4

15,3

19,0

21,6

42,3 42,0 36,0 32,9

46,8

26,7

43,9 50,6

42,3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Fin

land

Fra

nce

Germ

any

Ita

ly

Ne

therl

and

s

Spain

Sw

ede

n

UK

US

Design and new products Advertising Market research

Human capital Organisational structure

Sp

ain

Composition of intangible assets. IABGDP

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[ 11 ]

Investment in intangible assets (IA) over

extended GDP. Spain’s autonomous

communities. 2013 (Spain = 100)

β-Convergence among Spain’s autonomous

communities. IA

Madrid is in the lead, followed by Catalonia and Navarre. More intensive

investment in intangible assets in the periphery.

Tendency to convergence among regions (those with less intangible

endowments in 1995 have experienced higher growth rates).

Andalusia

Aragón

Asturias

Balearic Islands

Canary Islands

Cantabria

Castile and Leon

Castile-La Mancha

Catalonia

Valencian Comm.

Extremadura

Galicia

C. of Madrid

R. of Murcia

Navarre

Basque Country

Rioja

Ceuta and Melilla

y = -0,3082x + 2,8327 R² = 0,206

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

0 2 4 6 8

Vari

ati

on

rate

IA

/ e

xte

nd

ed

GD

P (

%)

IA / extended GDP 1995 (%)

Inequality and β-convergence. IA

Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie, Cotec Foundation-Ivie and INE.

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[ 12 ]

Investment in IABGDP overextended

GDP. Spain’s autonomous communities.

2014 (Spain = 100, percentage)

β-convergence among Spain’s autonomous

communities. IABGDP

Madrid is in a prominent position. Greater gap between the “two Spains”

(less intensive ring in the centre).

Not very clear tendency to converge.

Andalusia

Aragón

Asturias

Balearic Islands

Canary Islands

Cantabria Castile and Leon

Castile-La Mancha

Catalonia

Valencian Comm.

Extremadura

Galicia

C. of Madrid R. of Murcia

Navarre

Basque Country

Rioja

Ceuta and Melilla

y = -0,3298x + 1,2564 R² = 0,0901

-1,5

-1,0

-0,5

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Vari

ati

on

rate

IA

BG

DP

/ e

xte

nd

ed

GD

P (

%)

IABGDP / extended GDP 1995 (%)

Inequality and β-convergence. IAGDP

Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie, Cotec Foundation-Ivie and INE.

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[ 13 ]

Investment in IAGDP over extended GDP.

Spain’s autonomous communities. 2013

(Spain = 100, percentage)

β-Convergence among Spain’s autonomous

communities. IAGDP

Madrid stays in the lead. Fewer differences in IAGDP than in IABGDP.

The tendency to converge is more intense.

Andalusia

Aragón

Asturias

Balearic Islands

Canary Islands

Cantabria

Castile and Leon

Castile-La Mancha

Catalonia

Valencian Comm.

Extremadura

Galicia C. of Madrid

R. of Murcia

Navarre

Basque Country

Rioja

y = -1,3988x + 5,3416 R² = 0,3583

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

4,0

4,5

5,0

0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5

Vari

ati

on

rate

IA

GD

P /

exte

nd

ed

GD

P (

%)

IAGDP / extended GDP 1995 (%)

Inequality and β-convergence. IAGDP

Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie, Cotec Foundation-Ivie and INE.

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[ 14 ]

Andalusia

Aragón Asturias

Balearic Islands

Canary Islands

Cantabria

Castile and Leon

Castile-La Mancha

Catalonia

Valencian Comm.

Extremadura Galicia

C. of Madrid

R. of Murcia

Navarre Basque Country

Rioja

-3

-2

-1

0

1

2

3

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

IA /

exte

nd

ed

GD

P 1

995 (

%)

Variation rate IA (1995-2013) (%)

II. Losing momentum I. Reinforced leader

III. Diverging IV. Converging

Andalusia Aragón

P. de Asturias

Balearic Islands

Canary Islands

Cantabria

Castile and Leon

Castile-La Mancha

Catalonia

Valencian Comm.

Extremadura Galicia

C. of Madrid

R. of Murcia

Navarre

Basque Country

Rioja

-2,0

-1,5

-1,0

-0,5

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

-2 -1 0 1 2

IAB

GD

P /

exte

nd

ed

GD

P 1

995 (

%)

Variation rate IABGDP (1995-2013) (%)

II. Losing momentum I. Reinforced leader

III. Diverging IV. Converging

b) IABGDP

Investment /extended GDP deviation (1995) and variation rate (mean 1995-2013) in relation

to the national average. Spain’s autonomous communities (percentage)

Taxonomy by regions according to their investment activity

Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie, Cotec Foundation-Ivie and INE.

a) IA

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[ 15 ]

Andalusia Aragón

Asturias Balearic Islands

Canary Islands

Cantabria Castile and

Leon Castile-La Mancha

Catalonia

Valencian Comm.

Extremadura Galicia

C. of Madrid

R. of Murcia

Navarre

Basque Country

Rioja

Ceuta and Melilla

-2,0

-1,5

-1,0

-0,5

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

-2,0 -1,0 0,0 1,0 2,0

IAG

DP

/ e

xte

nd

ed

GD

P 1

995 (

%)

Variation rate IAGDP (1995-2013) (%)

II. Losing momentum I. Reinforced leader

III. Diverging IV. Converging

c) IAGDP d) TA

Andalusia

Aragón

Asturias

Balearic Islands

Canary Islands

Cantabria

Castile and Leon

Castile-La Mancha

Catalonia Valencian Comm.

Extremadura

Galicia

C. of Madrid

R. of Murcia

Navarre

Basque Country

Rioja

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

-2,0 -1,0 0,0 1,0 2,0

TA

/ e

xte

nd

ed

GD

P 1995 (

%)

Variation rate TA (1995-2013) (%)

II. Losing I. Reinforced leader

III. Diverging IV. Converging

Investment /extended GDP deviation (1995) and variation rate (mean 1995-2013) in relation

to the national average. Spain’s autonomous communities (percentage)

Taxonomy by regions according to their investment activity

Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie, Cotec Foundation-Ivie and INE.

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[ 16 ]

Classification of Spain’s autonomous communities according to their position in relation

to national average

Intangible assets:

Only Madrid displays leadership

Initial leadership by Catalonia and

Navarre stagnates

Converging autonomous communities:

Andalusia, Valencian Community,

Murcia and Ceuta & Melilla

Diverging autonomous communities:

Aragón, Asturias, Castile and Leon,

Extremadura, Basque Country and

La Rioja

Tangible assets:

More balanced distribution among

regions in the 4 categories

No clear leadership

IA IABGDP IAGDP TA

Andalusia converging converging converging diverging

Aragón diverging diverging diverging reinforced leader

Asturias diverging diverging diverging converging

Balearic Islands converging diverging converging reinforced leader

Canary Islands diverging diverging losing momentum losing momentum

Cantabria diverging losing momentum diverging losing momentum

Catalonia losing momentum losing momentum losing momentum losing momentum

Castile-La Mancha converging diverging converging converging

Castile and Leon diverging diverging diverging diverging

Valencian Community converging converging converging losing momentum

Extremadura diverging diverging diverging losing momentum

Galicia converging converging diverging losing momentum

Madrid reinforced leader reinforced leader reinforced leader converging

Murcia converging converging converging reinforced leader

Navarre losing momentum losing momentum losing momentum losing momentum

Basque Country diverging diverging diverging diverging

La Rioja diverging diverging diverging losing momentum

Ceuta and Melilla converging converging converging diverging

Taxonomy by regions according to their investment activity

Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie, Cotec Foundation-Ivie, INE and own elaboration.

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[ 17 ]

Growth accounting Spanish regions. 2000-2014 (percentage)

-2,0

-1,5

-1,0

-0,5

0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

Hours worked Labour composition Non-ICT capital ICT capital Intangible capital TFP VA

The majority of regions have a TFP(efficiency) problem.

Labor and non-ICT capital main source of VA growth (transpiration growth

model).

Basque Country, Navarre and Aragon have opted for an inspiration growth model

based on ICT, intangibles and TFP.

Madrid is the region with the largest contribution of intangible assets.

Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie, Cotec Foundation-Ivie, INE and own elaboration.

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[ 18 ]

Tangible and intangible investment by sectors: TAGDP, IAGDP

and IABGDP. Average 1995-2014 (percentage) Sectoral differences in

intangible assets:

Highly intensive sectors:

Financial and insurance

activities, Transport

equipment, Machinery

and equipment n. e. c.

and Electrical and optical

equipment.

Less intensive sectors:

Agriculture, forestry and

fisheries, Transportation

and Public administration

and defense.

Very different weights of

investment in each of the

5 IABGDP components by

sectors.

Source: BBVA Foundation-Ivie, Cotec Foundation-Ivie, INE and own elaboration.

Intangible assets by sectors

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[ 20 ]

A policy, either private or public, that aims to improve the efficiency of

the economic system as well as the welfare of its citizens needs

quantitative information to establish and follow up its goals.

The Cotec Foundation-Ivie database provides experts, institutions, the

government and firms with an immediate tool to diagnose and design

strategies to change, innovate and improve society’s living standards.

The wealth of information at regional and sectoral level that it contains is

internationally unique. This enables the detailed analysis of key issues

regarding growth strategies of regions and industries in Spain.

As said by the British Mathematician Lord Kelvin “what is not defined,

cannot be measured” and, along that line, according to P. Drucker “if you

can’t measure it, you can’t improve it”.

Certainly, the information provided will help narrow the gap that still

separates Spain from other developed countries regarding investment in

assets that play a crucial role in the long-term growth of economies.

Final comments

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[ 21 ]

Intangible Assets and Economic Growth.

Contribution to a Regional Database

Matilde Mas & Javier Quesada (Dirs.) E. Uriel, J. Fernández, E. Benages, L. Hernández, J.C. Robledo

Award-winning project of the Cotec Foundation for Innovation’s 2016 PIA Program

BBVA Foundation-Ivie International Workshops

MEASURES TO ENHANCE PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH. NEW DEVELOPMENTS

Faculty of Economics

University of Valencia

October 30th, 2017