Insiders Power February 2015

7/21/2019 Insiders Power February 2015

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An InterAnalyst Publication


2/15

Copyright 2015 InterAnalyst, LLC 2

The signs of the times are everywhereall you have to do is open up your eyes and look at them.

When a pregnant woman first goes into labor, the birth pangs are usually fairly moderate and are not

that close together. But as the time for delivery approaches, they become much more frequent and

much more intense. Economically, what we are experiencing right now are birth pangs of the coming

Great Depression. As we get closer to the crisis that is looming on the horizon, they will become even

more powerful. This week, we learned that the Baltic Dry Index has fallen to the lowest level that we

have seen in 29 years.

Durable Goods

Quietly behind the scenes - and not at all reflective of a collapsing global economy (becausethat would break the narrative of over-supply and pent-up demand) - The Baltic Dry

Index plunged over 5% today to 632... That is the lowest absolute level for the

global shipping rates indicator since August 1986.
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The Baltic Dry Index also crashed during the financial collapse of 2008, but right now it is already lower

than it was at any point during the last financial crisis. In addition, Dr. Copper and other industrial

commodities continue to plunge. This almost always happens before entering an economic downturn.

Meanwhile, because of the crashing oil prices orders for durable goods are declining. This is also a

traditional indicator that a recession is approaching.

Oil Prices

We are really starting to see the price of oil weigh very heavily on the economy and on the stock

market. On Tuesday, the Dow was down 291 points, and the primary reason for the decline was

disappointing corporate sales numbers. For example, heavy equipment manufacturer Caterpillar is

blaming the dramatic decline in the price of oil for much lower than anticipated sales during the

fourth quarter of 2014. Even though Caterpillar is not an energy company, the price of oil is critical to

their success. And the same could be said about thousands of other companies. That is why I have

repeatedly stated that anyone who believes that collapsing oil prices are good for the U.S. economy iscrazy. The key to how much damage this oil collapse is going to do to our economy is not how low

prices ultimately go. Rather, the key is how longthey stay at these low levels. If the price of oil went

back to $80 a barrel next week, the damage would be fairly minimal. But if the price of oil stays at this

current level for the remainder of 2015, the damage will be absolutely catastrophic. Just think of the

price of oil like a hot iron. If you touch it for just a fraction of a second, it wont do too much

damage. But if you press it against your skin for an hour, you will be severely damaged for the rest of

your life at the very least.

So the damage that we are witnessing right now is just the very beginning unless the price of oil goes

back up substantially.

When the price of oil first started crashing, most analysts focused on the impact that it would have on

energy companies. And without a doubt, quite a few of them are likely to be wiped out if things dont

change soon.

But of even greater importance is the ripple effects that the price of oil will have throughout our entire

economy. The oil price crash is not that many months old at this point, and yet big companies are

already blaming it for causing significant problems. The following is how Caterpillar explained their

disappointing sales numberson Tuesday

The recent dramatic decline in the price of oilis the most significant reason for the year-

over-year decline in our sales and revenues outlook.Current oil prices are a significant

headwind for Energy & Transportation and negative for our construction business in

the oil producing regions of the world. In addition, with lower prices for copper, coal and

iron ore, weve reduced our expectations for sales of mining equipment. Weve also

lowered our expectations for construction equipment sales in China. While our market

position in China has improved, 2015 expectations for the construction industry in China

are lower
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We also learned on Tuesday that orders for durable goods were extremely disappointing. Many analysts

believe that this is another area where the oil price crashis having an impact

Orders for business equipment unexpectedly fell in December for a fourth month, signaling a global

growth slowdown is weighing on American companies. Bookings for non-military capital goods excluding

aircraft dropped 0.6 percent for a second month, data from the Commerce Department showed.

Demand for all durable goods items meant to last at least three years declined 3.4 percent, the worst

performance since August.

Lets keep an eye on the durable goods numbers in coming months. Usually, when the economy is

heading into a recession durable goods numbers start declining.

Meanwhile, a bunch of other big companies reported disappointing sales numbers on Tuesday as

well. The following summary comes fromthe Crux

Microsoft lost 9.9 percent as software-license sales to businesses were below forecasts.

Caterpillar plunged 7.3 percent after forecasting 2015 results that trailed estimates asplunging oil prices signal lower demand from energy companies. DuPont Co. dropped 2.8

percent as a stronger dollar cuts into the chemical makers profit. Procter & Gamble Co. and

United Technologies Corp. declined at least 2 percent after saying the surging greenback

will lower full-year earnings.

What the economy could really use right now is a huge rebound in the price of oil.

Unfortunately, that is not likely to happen any time soon.

In fact, a top executive for Goldman Sachs recentlytold CNBCthat he believes that the price of oil could

ultimately go as low as 30 dollars a barrel.

And hedge fund managers are backing up their belief that oil is heading even lowerwith big money

Hedge funds boosted bearish wagers on oil to a four-year high as US supplies grew the most since

2001.

Money managers increased short positions in West Texas Intermediate crude to the

highest level since September 2010in the week ended January 20, US Commodity Futures

Trading Commission data show. Net-long positions slipped for the first time in three weeks.

US crude supplies rose by 10.1 million barrels to 397.9 million in the week ended January 16 and the

country will pump the most oil since 1972 this year, the Energy Information Administration says. Saudi

Arabias King Salman, the new ruler of the worlds biggest oil exporter, said he will maintain the

production policy of his predecessor despite a 58 percent drop in prices since June.

Sadly, the truth is that anyone that thought that the stock market would go up forever and that the U.S.

economy would be able to avoid a major downturn indefinitely was just being delusional.

Our economy goes through cycles, and every financial bubble eventually bursts.
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For example, did you know that the S&P 500 has neverhad seven up years in a row? The following

comes from aCNBC articlethat was posted on Tuesday

Doubleline Capital founder Jeff Gundlach, more known for his bond prowess than as an equity market

expert, pointed out that the S&P 500 has never had seven consecutive up years:

"You have never seen seven up years in a row, and you would be breaking that record if you

went up this year. I don't think I'd make a forecast of a year based solely on that, but it's

something to bear in mind because if you go up six years in a row you're probably at fairly

rich valuations. You get a lot of people more bullish than they should be.

Of course, records are made to be broken, and each year is supposed to stand on its own.

If the price of oil stays this low for the rest of 2015, there is no way that we are going to avoid a

recession.

If the price of oil stays this low for the rest of 2015, there is no way that we are going to avoid a stock

market crash.

Adding Up The Warning Signs

The warning signs are therewe just have to be open to what they are telling us.

And of course there are so many more parallels between past economic downturns and what is

happening right now.

For example, volatility has returned to the markets in a big way. On Tuesday the Dow was down about

300 points, on Wednesday it was down another couple hundred points, and then on Thursday it was up

a couple hundred points.

This is precisely how markets behave just before they crash. When markets are calm, they tend to go

up. When markets get really choppy and start behaving erratically, that tells us that a big move down is

usually coming.

At the same time, almost every major global currency is imploding. For much more on this, see the

amazing charts inthis article.

In particular, I am greatly concerned aboutthe collapse of the euro. The Swiss would not

have decoupled their currency from the euro if it was healthy. And political events in Greece are

certainly not going to help things either. Economic conditions across Europe just continue to get worse,

and the future of the eurozone itself is very much in doubt at this point. And if the eurozone does break

up, a European economic depression is almost virtually assuredat least in the short term.

There is only one other time in all of history when the price of oil collapsed by more than 60 dollars, and

that was just prior to the horrific financial crisis of 2008.

Since the last financial crisis, the oil industry has been a huge source for job growth in this country. The

following is an excerpt from a recentCNN article
http://www.cnbc.com/id/102372804http://www.cnbc.com/id/102372804http://www.cnbc.com/id/102372804http://thecrux.com/must-read-our-worst-fears-are-coming-true/http://thecrux.com/must-read-our-worst-fears-are-coming-true/http://thecrux.com/must-read-our-worst-fears-are-coming-true/http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/beginning-end-eurohttp://money.cnn.com/2015/01/28/investing/stock-market-bears-crisis-warning/index.html?iid=Leadhttp://money.cnn.com/2015/01/28/investing/stock-market-bears-crisis-warning/index.html?iid=Leadhttp://money.cnn.com/2015/01/28/investing/stock-market-bears-crisis-warning/index.html?iid=Leadhttp://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/beginning-end-eurohttp://thecrux.com/must-read-our-worst-fears-are-coming-true/http://www.cnbc.com/id/102372804http://www.interanalyst.us/


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The oil sector has added over a half million jobs many of them high paying since the recession

ended in June 2009. Thats 13% of all US job growth over that period.

Now energy companies and related sectors are laying off thousands. Expect that trend to

continue, bears say.

But losing good jobs is just the tip of the iceberg of this oil crisis.

At this point, the price of oil has already dropped to a catastrophically low level. The longer it stays at

this level, the more damage that it is going to do. If the price of oil stays at this level for all of 2015, we

are going to have a complete and total financial nightmareon our hands

For the first time in 18 years, oil exporters are pulling liquidity out of world markets

rather than putting money in. The world is now fast approaching a world reserve currency

shift. If we see 8 to 12 months at these oil prices; U.S. shale industry will be wiped out. The

effect on junk bonds will cascade to the rest of the stock market and U.S. economy.

and this time there will be nothing left to catch the falling knife before it hits theAmerican economy right in the heart. Not the FED nor the U.S. government can stop whats

coming. Liquidity will freeze up, our credit will be downgraded, the stock market will start

to collapse, and then we can expect the FED to come in and hyper-inflate the dollar. This

will cause the world to finish abandoning the world reserve currency in the last rungs of

trade. This will be the end of the petrodollar.

Something that we have not discussed so far this year is the looming crisis in emerging market debt.

As economic problems spread around the world, a number of emerging markets are in danger of

having their debt downgraded. And many investment funds have rules that prohibit them from holding

any debt that is not investment grade. Therefore, we could potentially see some of these giant funds

dumping massive amounts of emerging market debt if downgrades happen.

This is a really big deal. Asa Business Insider articlerecently detailed, we could be talking about

hundreds of billions of dollars

Russia this week became the first of the major economies to lose its investment grade

status from Standard & Poors, falling out off the top ratings category for credits deemed to

have a low risk of default for the first time in a decade.

If Moodys and Fitch follow, conservative investors barred from owning junk securities must

sell their holdings. JPMorgan estimates this means they may ditch $6 billion in Russian

government rouble and dollar debt.Russia may have company. Almost $260 billion worth of sovereign and corporate bonds

nearly a tenth of outstanding emerging market (EM) debt is in danger of being relegated

to junk, according to David Spegel, head of emerging debt at BNP Paribas, who calls such

credits falling angels.

And no article of this nature would be complete without mentioning derivatives.
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I could not possibly overemphasize the danger thatthe 700 trillion dollar derivatives bubbleposes to the

global financial system.

As we enter the coming Great Depression, derivatives are going to play a starring role. Wall Street has

been pumped full of funny money by global central banks, and our financial markets have been

transformed into the greatest casino in the history of the world. When this house of cards comes

crashing down, and it will, it is going to be a financial disaster unlike anything that the planet has ever

seen.

And yes, global central banks are very much responsible for setting the stage for what we are about to

experience.

I really like the way thatDavid Stockmanput it the other day

The global financial system is literally booby-trapped with accidents waiting to happen

owing to six consecutive years of massive money printing by nearly every central bank in

the world.Over that span, the collective balance sheet of the major central banks has soared by nearly

$11 trillion, meaning that honest price discovery has been virtually destroyed. This massive

bid forexisting financial assets based on credit confected from thin air drove long-term

bond yields to rock bottom levels not seen in 600 years since the Black Plague; and pinned

money market costs at zero-for 73 months running.

What is the consequence of this drastic financial repression along the entire yield curve?

The answer is bond prices which keep rising regardless of credit risk, inflation or taxes;

and rampant carry trade speculation that cant get out of its own way because central

banks have made the financial gamblers cost of goodsthe funding cost of their

trades-essentially zero.

Of course I am not the only one warning that a new Great Depression is coming. For instance, just

consider whatBritish hedge fund manager Crispin Odeyis saying

British hedge fund manager Crispin Odey thinks weve entered an economic downturn that

is likely to be remembered in a hundred years, and central banks wont be able to stop

it.

In his Odey Asset Management investor letter dated Dec. 31, Odey writes that the shorting

opportunity looks as great as it was in 07/09.

My point is that we used all our monetary firepower to avoid the first downturn in 2007-09, he writes, so we are really at a dangerous point to try to counter the effects of a

slowing China, falling commodities and EM incomes, and the ultimate First World Effects.

This is the heart of the message. If economic activity far from picks up, but falters, then

there will be a painful round of debt default.

Even though most average citizens are completely oblivious to what is happening, many among the elite

are heeding the warning signs and are feverishly getting prepared. As Robert Johnson told a stunned
https://www.scribd.com/doc/230627044/InsidersPower-June-2014https://www.scribd.com/doc/230627044/InsidersPower-June-2014https://www.scribd.com/doc/230627044/InsidersPower-June-2014https://www.scribd.com/doc/251403975/Insiders-Power-January-2015https://www.scribd.com/doc/251403975/Insiders-Power-January-2015https://www.scribd.com/doc/251403975/Insiders-Power-January-2015https://www.scribd.com/doc/251403975/Insiders-Power-January-2015http://davidstockmanscontracorner.com/todays-dip-is-a-warning-get-out-of-the-casino/http://davidstockmanscontracorner.com/todays-dip-is-a-warning-get-out-of-the-casino/http://davidstockmanscontracorner.com/todays-dip-is-a-warning-get-out-of-the-casino/http://www.businessinsider.com/crispin-odey-says-equities-will-get-devastated-2015-1http://www.businessinsider.com/crispin-odey-says-equities-will-get-devastated-2015-1http://www.businessinsider.com/crispin-odey-says-equities-will-get-devastated-2015-1http://www.businessinsider.com/crispin-odey-says-equities-will-get-devastated-2015-1http://davidstockmanscontracorner.com/todays-dip-is-a-warning-get-out-of-the-casino/https://www.scribd.com/doc/251403975/Insiders-Power-January-2015https://www.scribd.com/doc/251403975/Insiders-Power-January-2015https://www.scribd.com/doc/230627044/InsidersPower-June-2014http://www.interanalyst.us/


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audience at the World Economic Forum the other day, they are buying airstrips and farms in places like

New Zealand. They can see the horrifying storm forming on the horizon and they are preparing to get

out while the getting is good.

It can be very frustrating to write about economics, because things in the financial world can take an

extended period of time to play out. Sadly, most people these days have extremely short attention

spans. We live in a world of iPhones, iPads, YouTube videos, Facebook updates and 48 hour news

cycles. People no longer are accustomed to thinking in long-term time frames, and if something does

not happen right away we tend to get bored with it.

But the economic world is not like a game of Angry Birds. Rather, it is very much like a game of chess.

And unfortunately for us, checkmate is right around the corner. And when it does . . . the cycle of war

expands.

Israel and Hezbollah are at war. On top of everything else that is going on in the world, now we have a

new war in the Middle East, and nobody is quite certain what is going to happen next. Israel has been

preparing for this moment for more than 8 years. So has Hezbollah. According to some reports,

Hezbollah has amassed an arsenal of50,000 rocketssince the end of the Hezbollah-Israel war in 2006. If

all-out warfare does erupt, we could potentially see tens of thousands of missiles rain down into an area

not too much larger thanthe state of New Jersey. And of course the Israeli military is also much more

sophisticated and much more powerful than it was back in 2006. If cooler heads do not prevail, we

could be on the verge of witnessing a very bloody war. But right now nobody seems to be in the moodto back down. Hezbollah is absolutely fuming over an airstrike earlier this month that killed six fighters

and a prominent Iranian general. And Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says that Israel is

prepared to act powerfully on all frontsin response to a Hezbollah ambush that killed two Israeli

soldiers and wounded seven. Just such an incident is what sparked the war between the two sides back

in 2006. But this time, a conflict between Israel and Hezbollah could spark a full-blown regional war.

Earlier this month, Israel launched a surprise assault against a group of Hezbollah fighters that Israel

believed was planning to conduct terror attacks inside their borders.

But in addition to killing six Hezbollah fighters, a very important Iranian general was also

killed. Needless to say, Iranis furiousIran has told the United States that Israelshould expect consequencesfor an attack on

the Syrian-controlled Golan Heights that killed an Iranian general, a senior official said on

Tuesday.
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Revolutionary Guards General Mohammad Ali Allahdadi died alongside six fighters from

Lebanons Hezbollah group in the January 18 attack on forces supporting President Bashar

al-Assad in Syrias civil war.

And we didnt have to wait too long for a response. An IDF convoy was hit by anti-tank missiles near the

Lebanon border. Two Israeli soldiers were killed and seven were wounded. The following is howthe

Jerusalem Postdescribed the attack.

The terrorists launched five or six anti-tank missiles from a distance of at least four

kilometers from their targets, striking the vehicles as they drove two kilometers from the

international border.

In the heavy Hezbollah ambush, a military D-Max vehicle containing a company

commander and his driver from the Givati Brigade was the first vehicle hit.

This prompted all of those inside an IDF jeep behind it to quickly evacuate their vehicle

before it, too, was hit and destroyed with missiles.

Just over an hour after that attack, mortar rounds struck an Israeli military position on Mt. Hermon.

In response to those strikes, the Israeli militaryhit backat Hezbollah positions on the other side of the

Lebanese border

Israel struck back with combined aerial and ground strikes on Hezbollah operational

positions along the border, the military said.

At least 50 artillery shells were fired at the villages of Majidiyeh, Abbasiyeh and Kfar

Chouba, according to Lebanese officials.

But Israel is probably not done.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is promising a disproportionate response to the Hezbollah

attacks, and he says that Hezbollah should consider what Israelrecently did to Hamasbefore taking any

more aggressive action

To all those trying to challenge us on the northern border, I suggest looking at what

happened here, not far from the city of Sderot, in the Gaza strip. Hamas absorbed the

hardest blow since it was founded last summer, and the IDF is ready to act with force on

any front.

If things continue to escalate, we might not just be talking about another Hezbollah-Israel war.

In the south, tensions between Israel and Hamas remain near all-time highs. In the event of a full-blownwar, Hamas probably could be easily convinced to join the fray. And if Hamas jumps in, the rest of the

Palestinians might not be far behind.

In addition, ISIS now has territorynear the border with Israel
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10/15


Because of the strategic importance of the terrain, Iran and Hezbollah have been building

infrastructure there for some time. But their interest in the Golan skyrocketed in

December.

The reason: ISIS gained a foothold therewhen theYarmouk Martyrs Brigade of the Free

Syrian Army defected from the de facto alliancewith the U.S.-Arab coalition against

Assad, and declared its allegiance to ISIS. The Yarmouk Martyrs Brigade had been one of

the most active rebel factions holding territory directly adjacent to the area of

separation between Syria and Israel administered (in theory) by the UN. In

particular, it has held the southern line of confrontation with Syrian regime forces, in the

transit corridor leading to the Quneitra border crossing.

Needless to say, ISIS would be extremely interested in any conflict with Israel.

And of course there are all of the other surrounding Islamic nations that are not too fond of Israel either.

The truth is that the Middle East is a perpetual tinderbox. One spark could set the entire region on fire.

Meanwhile, Barack Obama continues to do all that he can to undermine Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin

Netanyahu.

The animosity between the two is well known, and now an Obama army of political operatives has

been sent to Israel to help defeat Netanyahu in the upcoming elections.

The leader of this Obama army is Jeremy Bird, who was the national field director for Barack

Obamas 2012 presidential campaign. But he has plenty of company. Just check out the following list

that was compiled by WND:

Besides Bird, the 270 Strategies team includes the following former Obama staffers:

Mitch Steward, a 270 Strategies founding partner who helped the Obama campaign build whatthe U.K. Guardian called a historic ground operation that will provide the model for political

campaigns in America and around the world for years to come.

Mark Beatty, a founding partner who served as deputy battleground states director for the

Obama campaign. He had primary responsibility for Obamas election plans for the battleground

states.

Marlon Marshall, a founding partner at 270 Strategies who joins the team after holding several

key positions in national Democratic politics, most recently as deputy national field director for

the 2012 Obama campaign.

Betsy Hoover, a founding partner who served as director of digital organizing on the Obama

campaign.

Meg Ansara, who served as national regional director for Obama for America where she was

responsible for overseeing the 2012 programs in the Midwest and southern states.

Bridget Halligan, who served as the engagement program manager on the digital team of the

2012 Obama campaign.

Kate Catherall, who served as Florida deputy field director for Obamas re-election campaign.
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Alex Lofton, who most recently served as the GOTV director of Cleveland, Ohio, for the 2012

Obama campaign.

Martha Patzer, the firms vice president who served as deputy email director at Obama for

America.

Jesse Boateng, who served as the Florida voter registration director for Obamas re-election

campaign.

Ashley Bryant, who served most recently as the Ohio digital director for the 2012 Obama

campaign.

Max Clermont, who formerly served as a regional field director in Florida for Obamas re-

election campaign.

Max Wood, who served as a deputy data director in Florida for the 2012 Obama campaign.

As the first month of 2015 ends, our world is becoming increasingly unstable.

In addition to the oil crash, the collapse of the euro, looming stock market troubles, civil war in Ukraine,

tensions with Russia, an economic slowdown in China and imploding economies all over South America,

now we have more war in the Middle East.

And if lots of missiles start flying back and forth between Israel and Hezbollah, it could potentially spark

the bloodiest war in that region that any of us have ever seen.

All this, combined, is also the single most important reason you will want to stay extremely close to your

Wealth Preserver subscription and the InsidersPower newsletter.

Stay tuned in, very tuned in.

Article Inclusion & Sources

WND, ALGEMEINER, THE JEWISH PRESS, IRIS, THE ECONOMIC COLLAPSE BLOG, ALTERNET, BBC, ISREALI NATIONAL NEWS,

BUISINESS INSIDER, SHTFPLAN, DAVIDSTOCKMAN, INTERANALYST.
http://www.interanalyst.us/


12/15


In 1986, Livio S. Nespoli wrote is first Investment Book called Invest with

History. In it, he revealed how an investor could use historical precedent

along with social mood and demographic trends to accurately predict the

direction of the markets, sometimes decades in advance.

Since then, Livio had delivered countless seminars to thousands of

professional and amateur investors teaching them how to accurately

identify booms and busts well ahead of the mainstream. He gained

international national attention for his warning investors of the 2000 peak

and 2008 stock market collapse months before they happened. But this was not the first time he was on the

money with his big picture forecast.

For example, in February of 2000 Livio accurately forecast the stock market collapse and the multi-decade

economic collapse that would begin. In other words, his proprietary indicators, which are now available to all

investors, accurately predicted the major economic and stock market events that could have made you

substantially richer over the past 18 years.

How does he do it? Well, while most economists focus on short-term trends, policy changes, elections, things

that are volatile, unstable and can change from day-to-day. Livio has always focused on long-term trends and

cycles, not the day trader mentality. Demographics. Business cycles. Socionomic patterns. Things that have

demonstrated themselves over hundreds and even thousands of years to be consistent, predictable and

measurable.

In addition, through over80 years of researchhe has found that most of the largest financiers have known of

these proven and predictable Socionomic patterns. He has provided devastatingly accurate market entry and

exit points by helping you follow those historically proven cycles.

He studies the past to forecast the future, an approach that enables subscribers to position themselves with

an incredible degree of accuracy. Then he makes minor tweaks and adjustments in response to intermediate

term events that occur along the way.

And thats what he brings to you on his InterAnalyst subscriptions so youll know whats coming next, where

the immediate opportunities are, and where to park your money for the longer term.

As an InterAnalyst subscriber, you will know, for example, when its time to start profiting from the rise of

specific economies and exactly what investments will hand you the fastest profits.

Youll learn when commodities will likely reach their peak in their cycle and how to ride the gains. Youll also

learn when theyll turn down and what investments to make to profit from any moves down.

And youll learn when the property market will turn up again. Youll learn when, money markets and bonds

would be a better investment than equity allocations and when not. Youll be ahead of the markets on every

boom and bust and access the tools you can use to prepare yourself to profusion.
http://player.vimeo.com/external/86470627.hd.mp4?s=8b9afc5d0867200093f57f94803ca09dhttp://player.vimeo.com/external/86470627.hd.mp4?s=8b9afc5d0867200093f57f94803ca09dhttp://player.vimeo.com/external/86470627.hd.mp4?s=8b9afc5d0867200093f57f94803ca09dhttp://player.vimeo.com/external/86470627.hd.mp4?s=8b9afc5d0867200093f57f94803ca09dhttp://www.interanalyst.us/


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Our Point Of View

A body of research in positive psychology suggests that optimism has a number of benefits: social,

psychological and physical (Schneider, Gruman, & Coutts, 2011). Optimism has been correlated with

improved mental and physical health, better work and educational outcomes, and richer social

relationships.

While optimism appears to be a healthy orientation, things are not quite so simple. Some researchers

identify two classes of optimism: realistic and unrealistic (Weinstein, 1980). Unrealistic optimists are at

risk for self-deception, especially in domains such as risk assessment (Collingwood, n.d.). Realistic

optimists, on the other hand, more successfully incorporate data about situations and events, balancing

the best of optimistic and pessimistic perspectives. The realistic optimist point of view could be summed

up by the adage: "hope for the best, prepare for the worst".

To make matters more complex, the idea of optimism and pessimism as dispositional attributes is giving

way to a more nuanced view of these constructs (Paul, 2011). Neither perspective is inherently "good"

or "bad", both can be adopted as needed, both may be considered highly functional depending on the

situational context.
http://www.interanalyst.us/


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In some situations, "defensive pessimism" can be a powerful motivator to make better choices. For

example, being pessimistic about the economy may be a motivator to avoid debt and manage your

money more effectively.

Personally, I've always considered myself something of a realist.

On a scale of half-empty to half-full, most of the time I think "oh, there's a glass with some water in it,

let's measure it".

In some contexts, I'm more optimistic (e.g., if I'm working on this newsletter and I have a sufficient

degree of control over it, I'm usually reasonably optimistic that it will succeed), in other contexts, I'm

less optimistic (e.g., if I'm out fishing on a Sunday morning, and the tides are all wrong and I'm out of

bait, I'm reasonably pessimistic about bringing home dinner).

InsidersPower

I believe socionomics, social mood, and capital flows drive economies in cycles globally. Because of theWorld Wide Web there is no time in history that allows for easier data gathering and tracking because

all countries are now highly correlated.

This InsidersPower Newsletter is a compilation of current economic articles written, not by us, but by

global authors within the last 90 days. They represent the current global social mood and creates a

global Point of View that has, by the way, been extremely accurate from ancient Greece and Rome to

our own current society.

It represents current economic reality on a global scale whether its positive or negative. Ultimately,

through the Current Investment Guideline foundat the bottom of theWealth Preserver

InsidersPower page.It delivers the opportunity of an optimistic, positive and profitable outcome for you.

Based on the criteria already outlined, I believe InsidersPower to be an extremely REALISTIC newsletter

that carries both OPTIMISTIC and PESSIMISTIC content that delivers an OPPORTUNISTIC outcome.

Ultimately, I just hope you enjoy its content and profit handsomely.

InsidersPower has received both positive and negative comments by readers and we appreciate both so

please opine anytime to [email protected].

By the way . . . which point of viewdominates your personality? Now ask your friend or spouse to see

if they agree!
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NEWSLETTER DISCLOSURE

This financial newsletter is a description of how financial markets behave and how we read current market

conditions. There may from time to time include commentary describing different investment theories

that may increase market accuracy. The purpose of our market-oriented publication is to outline the

progress of markets to educate interested parties in the successful application of the information within

the financial letter. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such

application information. At no time will this financial letter make specific recommendations for any

specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice

is intended.

InterAnalyst does not scribe all articles; rather, we sift through thousands of current economic and

financial articles written by hundreds of contributors from around the globe. Like InterAnalyst, our

contributors do not care which direction the markets are going. Our contributors offer articles that help

us discern which way the markets may trend in the future.

InterAnalyst is solely responsible for the design, some articles, the current investment guideline herein,

the Wealth Preserver and Wealth Maximizer signals on the InterAnalyst.us website.

This financial newsletter is neither a solicitation nor an offer to buy or sell security of any kind. No

representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to the

illustrations herein. Indeed, events can materialize rapidly and thus past performance of buy and hold,

trading system, or any other methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results particularly when

you understand we are going through an economic evolution process and that includes the rise and fall

of various governments globally on an economic basis and the fact that economies continually cycle.

Past results of any individual or trading strategy published are not indicative of future returns.

Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance

record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed,the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as

lack of liquidity. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or

losses similar to those shown.

The indicators, strategies, columns, articles and discussions (collectively, the information) are provided

for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a

solicitation for money to manage since money management is not conducted. Therefore, by no means is

this publication to be construed as a solicitation of any order to buy or sell any security. Accordingly, you

should not rely solely on the information in making any investment. Use the information only as a starting

point for doing additional independent research in order to allow you to form your own opinion regarding

investments. Dont trade with money you cant afford to lose and never trade anything blindly.

Always consult with your licensed financial advisor before making and investment decision. Its your

money and your responsibility.
http://www.interanalyst.us/contributors.htmlhttp://www.interanalyst.us/contributors.htmlhttp://www.interanalyst.us/contributors.html

Documents

Insiders Power February 2015