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Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVP Integrated Supply Chain - PT. Pertamina (Persero)

Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

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Page 1: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

Indonesia LPG

Challenges and Opportunities

Daniel S. Purba

SVP Integrated Supply Chain - PT. Pertamina (Persero)

Page 2: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

CONTENT

2

Introduction

• Indonesia at a Glance

• Pertamina Business Overview

• Downstream Business Practice

LPG Supply & Distribution

• Annual LPG Demand

• LPG Supply Figure & Sources

• Indonesia LPG Supply & Distribution

Future Challenges

• Indonesia LPG Supply-Demand Outlook

• Long Term Corporate Plan

Page 3: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

INDONESIA AT A GLANCE

Area 1.904.569 km2

Population ±255 million

Population Growth Rate 1.2%

Islands 17,508

Inhabited Islands ±4,000

Capital Jakarta

Provinces 34

Per capita Income USD 3,511

Economy Growth Rate

(2015)

4-5%

Page 4: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

INDONESIA POPULATION DISTRIBUTION

57.5%

21.3% 5.8%

7.3%1.1%

1.5%

Population in Java and Sumatra dominate with 78.8% from Total Population

5.5%

Page 5: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

Pertamina’s Business Process

• PT Pertamina EP• PT Pertamina Hulu Energi• PT Pertamina Geothermal Energy• PT Pertamina EP Cepu• PT Pertamina Drilling Services Indonesia

• PT Pertamina Internasional Eksplorasi & Produksi• PT Pertamina East Natuna• PT Pertamina EP Cepu ADK• Pertamina EP Libya Ltd.• ConocoPhilips Algeria Ltd.• PT Elnusa Tbk.

• PT Pertamina Gas• PT Arun NGL *)• PT Badak NGL *)• PT Nusantara Regas (JV)

• PT Pertamina Trans Kontinental• PT Pertamina Retail• PT Pertamina Lubricants• PT Pertamina Patra Niaga

*) Pertamina’s share in PT Arun NGL & PT Badak NGL were 55% respectively.

But since Pertamina is not the controlling shareholder of both companies, then they cannot be

Classified as Pertamina’s subsidiary

Upstream New & Renewable Energy Downstream

Non Core

• PT Patra Jasa• PT Pertamina Dana Ventura• PT Pertamina Training & Consulting

• PT Pertamina Bina Medika• PT Pelita Air Service• PT Tugu Pratama Indonesia

Page 6: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

Key Company Highlights 2015

2015 Key Financial(USD Billion)

� Revenue : 43.73

� Net Income : 1.39� EBITDA : 5.26

Employees (Group) � 27,429 personsAffiliation� Subsidiaries : 23 units� JV & Associates : 13 units

Discoveries of Oil and Condensate Reserves (MMBO)

Crude Oil Production (MMBO)

Discoveries of Natural Gas Reserves (BSCFG)

Natural Gas Production (BSCF)

Steam Production Equivalent to Electricity (GWh)

94.2

101.6

876.8

694.3

3.056,8

Overview Upstream Midstream Downstream

Gas Sales(BBTU)46,445.0

Crude Oil, Gas and Intermediate Processing (Million Barrel)

305.96

Fuel Production Volume (Million Barrel)(Va;uable Products)

231.03

Fuel Sales (Million KL)(10 Main Fuel Products)

61.68

Sales of Non Fuel Products (Million KL)(Gas, Lubricants, Petrochemical, and other Non-Fuel)

13.98

Refining

� 6 refineries(Total capacity : 1,031 mbs/d)

Marketing

� 8 Marketing Operation Region� 557 LPG Filling Station� 62 Aviation Fuel Depo� 21 LPG Terminal� 109 Fuel Terminal� 5155 Fuel Stration� 25 Fuel Gas Station� 192 Tanker Vessels

Gas Pipeline (KM)1,624

Gas Pipeline Capacity (MMSCFD)

7,920

� Upstream subsidiaries:

• PT Pertamina EP

• PT Pertamina Hulu Energi

• PT Geothermal Energy

• PT Pertamina EP Cepu

• PT Pertamina Drilling Service Indonesia

• PT Pertamina International EP

• PT Pertamina East Natuna

• PT Pertamina EP Cepu ADK

• Pertamina EP Libya

• ConocoPhillips Algeria Ltd

• PT Elnusa Tbk

123

Recognized as one of the Fortune Global 500 companies,

ranked at 123 in 2014

Fortune Global 500

Source: Annual Report 2014

Page 7: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

Pertamina Refinery Units

7

Capacity : 170 MBCD

Capacity :118 MBCD

Capacity :348 MBCD

Capacity : 260 MBCD

Capacity :125 MBCD

Capacity : 10 MBCD

New Tuban Refinery Project with capacity + 100 MBCD

Page 8: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

DOWNSTREAM BUSINESS PRACTICE

8

5,155 units

1,624 km

557 units

192 units

109 units

62 units

21 units

3 unitsLube oil blending plant

Gas pipelines

Retail fuel station

LPG terminal & depot

Fuel terminals

LPG filling plant

Tankers

Aviation fuel depot

Pertamina’s Downstream Distribution Network

Marketing Highlight:• Dominates the downstream infrastructure and

distribution network, comprised of pipelines, fuelstations, terminals, depots, and vessels

• Comprehensive coverage through 8 marketing andtrading units, each covering one or more provinces

• Pertamina is the sole distributor of LPG in Indonesia

Public Services Obligation (PSO) Mandate from Government:• One of Pertamina’s key roles is to distribute subsidized

fuel and LPG in Indonesia under the PSO mandate• Pertamina still maintains over 99% market share in

supplying and distributing subsidized fuel and 100%market share in subsidized LPG

• Key advantage of already having a fully-integrated andextensive distribution infrastructure network

Page 9: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

LPG ANNUAL CONSUMPTION

9

2013 2014 2015

5.3 Million MT6.0 Million MT

6.4 Million MT

2012

5.1 Million MT4.2 Million MT

2011

Average of annual Increasing Rate 11%

Estimate of demand in 2016 7.4 Million MT

Page 10: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

LPG SUPPLY FIGURES

10

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016(est)

2017(est)

2018(est)

2019(est)

Import 2.06 2.71 3.30 3.58 4.17 4.73 5.83 6.63 7.24Domestic 2.20 2.39 2.42 2.49 2.32 2.72 2.39 2.19 2.06

-

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00

in M

illio

n M

TIndonesia Supply Figures

Page 11: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

DEMAND LPG 2015

Total LPG Consumptions for 2015 reached 6,4 million MTon.

(Industrial Consumption, LPG 6 Kg, LPG 12 Kg, LPG 50 Kg, Vi-Gas)

(LPG 3 Kg)

DEMAND LPG2015

13% LPG NON PSO(PUBLIC SERVICE OBLIGATION)

87% LPG PSO(PUBLIC SERVICE OBLIGATION)

Page 12: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

Indonesia LPG Supply Sources in 2015

LPG Import Sources in 2015

Middle East (92.7%)

Africa (4.3%)

Southeast & East Asia (1%)

Australia (2.1%)

Page 13: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

LPG SUPPLY & DISTRIBUTION

KUPANG

SABANGKRUENG RAYA

LHOK SEUMAWE

LAB. DELI

SIAK

MEULABOH

SIBOLGA

G. SITOLI

BENGKULU

JAMBI

PANJANG

P. NATUNA

P. BATAM

SEMARANG

SURABAYA

CAMPLONG

MENENG

AMPENANBIMA

BADUN

G REO

END

EWAINGAPU

MAUMERE

L. TUKA

KALABAHI

ATAPUPU

DILI

SAUMLAKI

DOBO

TUAL

FAK - FAK NABIRE

MERAUKE

JAYAPURA

BIAK

SERUI

MANOKWARI

BULA

MASOHINAMLEA

PONTIANAK

SINTANG

SAMPITCILIK RIWUT

PKL.BUN P. PISANG

BANJARMASIN

BALIKPAPAN

SAMARINDA

TARAKAN

TOLI - TOLI

MOUTONG

DONGGALA

PARIGI

POSO

GORONTALO

KOLONDALEPALOPO

KOTA

BARU

PARE - PARE

P. SAMBU

BONTANG

PLUMPANG

LUWUK

KENDARI

KOLEKA

RAHA

BAU -BAU

UJ.

PANDANG

SUBUNG

BANGGAI

Import

ImportBelanak

Jabung

Teluk

SemangkaKalbut

Bontang

Production Sharing Contractors (PSC)

Pertamina Refineries

Tj. Uban

Sorong

Gresik

Dumai

Plaju

Balongan

Cilacap

Domestic Private Refineries

Balikpapan

Main Terminal:• Tj. Uban (Inland Terminal)

capacity 38,000 MT C3 & 50,800 MT C4• Teluk Semangka (STS)

3 VLGC as floating storage• Kalbut (STS)

3 VLGC as floating storage

Supply Scheme to Main Terminal

Pertamina Own Fleet

Pertamina Gas 1( 84000 m3 )

Pertamina Gas 2( 84000 m3 )

Page 14: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

LPG SUPPLY & DISTRIBUTION

KUPANG

SABANGKRUENG RAYA

LHOK SEUMAWE

LAB. DELI

SIAK

MEULABOH

SIBOLGA

G. SITOLI

BENGKULU

JAMBI

PANJANG

P. NATUNA

P. BATAM

SEMARANG

SURABAYA

CAMPLONG

MENENG

AMPENANBIMA

BADUN

G REO

END

EWAINGAPU

MAUMERE

L. TUKA

KALABAHI

ATAPUPU

DILI

SAUMLAKI

DOBO

TUAL

FAK - FAK NABIRE

MERAUKE

JAYAPURA

BIAK

SERUI

MANOKWARI

BULA

MASOHINAMLEA

PONTIANAK

SINTANG

SAMPITCILIK RIWUT

PKL.BUN P. PISANG

BANJARMASIN

BALIKPAPAN

SAMARINDA

TARAKAN

TOLI - TOLI

MOUTONG

DONGGALA

PARIGI

POSO

GORONTALO

KOLONDALEPALOPO

KOTA

BARU

PARE - PARE

P. SAMBU

BONTANG

PLUMPANG

LUWUK

KENDARI

KOLEKA

RAHA

BAU -BAU

UJ.

PANDANG

SUBUNG

BANGGAI

Teluk

Semangka

Kalbut

Tj. Uban

Pkl. Susu

PSC

Pertamina Refinery

Private Refinery

Depot LPG

Distribution Scheme from Main Terminal

Page 15: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

SUPPLY POINT LPG IMPORT 2015

Page 16: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

Future Challenges and Opportunities

- 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00

10.00

2017 2018 2019

in M

illio

n M

T

LPG Supply - Demand Outlook

Demand

Domestic Supply

1. Decreasing of LPG in Domestic Supply shall be balanced from import.

2. LPG demand growth is expected ± 5-7% until 2019

2. Inland receiving terminal and storage facilities need to be built to replace

existing floating facilities

3. Government regulation on LPG specification is slightly different from LPG

guaranteed specification from producers

Page 17: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina

LONG TERM CORPORATE PLAN

17

1. Upgrade Terminal Tg Sekong Storage Capacity 2. Build LPG Terminal Storage in East Java & West Java

3. Utilize LPG Storage Tanks in Terminal Bontang and Arun

Page 18: Indonesia LPGpertamina.jp/wp-content/uploads/20160303_Pertamina_Indonesia_LPG...Indonesia LPG Challenges and Opportunities Daniel S. Purba SVPIntegrated Supply Chain -PT. Pertamina