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Evidence

Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

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Page 1: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

Evidence

Page 2: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

370

365360355350

345

340335330

325

320315310

1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

370

365360355350

345

340335330

325

320315310

1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, HawaiiCarbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii

Page 3: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

Global surface temperatureGlobal surface temperatureGlobal surface temperatureGlobal surface temperature

2000

14.5

14.4

14.3

14.2

14.1

14.0

13.9

13.8

13.7

13.6

13.5

13.4

58.0

57.8

57.6

57.4

57.2

57.0

56.8

56.6

56.4

56.2

1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000

14.5

14.4

14.3

14.2

14.1

14.0

13.9

13.8

13.7

13.6

13.5

13.4

58.0

57.8

57.6

57.4

57.2

57.0

56.8

56.6

56.4

56.2

1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980

Page 4: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

370

360

350

340

330

320

310

300

290

20001860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980

Carbon Dioxide ConcentrationsCarbon Dioxide Concentrations

Ice Core Data Mauna Loa(Hawaii)

Par

ts p

er m

illi

on

Page 5: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

20001860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980

14.4

14.3

14.2

14.1

14.0

13.9

13.8

13.7

13.6

13.5

57.92

57.74

57.56

57.38

57.20

57.02

56.84

56.66

56.48

56.30

C F

Global Average TemperatureGlobal Average TemperatureGlobal Average TemperatureGlobal Average Temperature

Page 6: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

150 100 50 0

2

0

-2

-4

-6

300

250

200

-4

-6

Thousands of years ago

Tem

per

atu

re c

han

ge

( °c

)

Car

bo

n d

ioxi

de

(pp

mv)

Temperature Change ( °c)

CO2 Concentration(Antarctic Ice Core)

CurrentLevel

Level1800AD

Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration and Temperature change

• Clear correlation Clear correlation between atmospheric between atmospheric CO2 and temperature CO2 and temperature over last 160,000 yearsover last 160,000 years

• Current level of CO2 is Current level of CO2 is outsideoutside bounds of bounds of natural variabilitynatural variability

• RateRate of change of CO2 of change of CO2 is also unprecedentedis also unprecedented

• Clear correlation Clear correlation between atmospheric between atmospheric CO2 and temperature CO2 and temperature over last 160,000 yearsover last 160,000 years

• Current level of CO2 is Current level of CO2 is outsideoutside bounds of bounds of natural variabilitynatural variability

• RateRate of change of CO2 of change of CO2 is also unprecedentedis also unprecedented

Page 7: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

1 50 1 00 5 0 0

2

0

-2

-4

-6

300

250

200

400

500

600

700

750

Thousands of years ago

Tem

per

atu

re c

han

ge

( °c

)

Car

bo

n d

ioxi

de

(pp

mv)

Temperature Change through timeCompares to the present temperature

CurrentLevel

Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentration and Temperature change

CurrentLevel

2100

CO2 Concentration in theatmosphere (Antarctic Ice Core)

If nothing is done to slowgreenhouse gas emissions...

• CO2 concentrations will likely be more than 700 ppm by 2100

• Global average temperatures projected to increase between 2.5 – 10.4°F

If nothing is done to slowgreenhouse gas emissions...

• CO2 concentrations will likely be more than 700 ppm by 2100

• Global average temperatures projected to increase between 2.5 – 10.4°F

Page 8: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

Impacts of Global Warming

Page 9: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

Sea-Level RiseSea-Level Rise

Page 10: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

Global warmingGlobal warming(temperature increase)(temperature increase)

Effects of global warming on water cycleEffects of global warming on water cycle

Speeds up globalSpeeds up globalwater cyclewater cycle

More extreme weather eventsMore extreme weather events• DroughtsDroughts• StormsStorms• FloodsFloods

Page 11: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

HealthWeather-related mortalityInfectious diseasesAir-quality respiratory illnesses

AgricultureCrop yieldsIrrigation demands

Water ResourcesChanges in water supplyWater qualityIncreased competition for water

Coastal AreasErosion of beachesInundation of coastal landsCosts to protect coastal communities

ForestsChange in forest compositionShift geographic range of forestsForest health and productivity

Species and Natural AreasShift in ecological zonesLoss of habitat and species

Potential Climate Change ImpactsPotential Climate Change ImpactsPotential Climate Change ImpactsPotential Climate Change Impacts

Sea Level Rise

Temperature

Precipitation

Page 12: Evidence. Carbon Dioxide at Mauna Loa, Hawaii Global surface temperature

What can we do?