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2015-12-14 – Stockholm Joint NordREG / Nordic TSO workshop on Flow-Based capacity calculation Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – [email protected] CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view 1

CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – [email protected] CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

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Page 1: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

2015-12-14 – Stockholm

Joint NordREG / Nordic TSO workshop on Flow-Based capacity calculation

Convener CWE FB Experts:

Christophe Mestdag – [email protected]

CWE Flow Based Market Coupling

TSO point of view

1

Page 2: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

2

Overview

o Context

o Creation of the CWE FB domain

o IT implementation

o Transparency and interaction with market players

oObservations / Future improvements / Q&A

Page 3: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

3

Overview

o Context

o Creation of the CWE FB domain

o IT implementation

o Transparency and interaction with market players

oObservations / Future improvements / Q&A

Page 4: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

4

CWE Market Coupling

06/06/2007: CWE Memorandum of Understanding (PLEF):

Increase SoS

Implement FB MC

Page 5: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

5

CWE FB MC - milestones

19/03/2012: « Internal Parallel Run »: daily process progressively done by TSO operators

21/02/2013: “External Parallel Run”: weekly publication of simulated market results

20/02/2014: “Daily External Parallel Run”: daily publication of simulated results

23/04/2015: Last approval decisions from CWE NRAs

20/05/2015 (trading day): successful launch of the CWE Flow-Based capacity calculation and allocation

Under the FB methodology both welfare and price convergence increase

Based on 2,5 years of // run, a yearly welfare increase of market welfare of more than 100 M€/year can be expected ≈ 300 k€ / day

Page 6: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

6

ATC and Flow Based approaches

Capacity by Border

Economical flow

Physical

flows

Margin by Electrical branch

TTC

LTnom

TRM

Available transfer capacity

Ʃ Fmax

N-1 + baseflow

Fref (including Ltnom and N-1)

FRM

Margin available to the market

Fmax

Page 8: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

8

Overview

o Context

o Creation of the CWE FB domain

o IT implementation

o Transparancy and interaction with market players

oObservations / Future improvements / Q&A

Page 9: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

9

Input for the model

Basecase

GSK

D2CF CWE

DACF entso-e

CB

Page 10: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

10

D2CF

How will the grid be ?

Production

Renewable energy

Grid Topology

Load

Page 11: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

11

Generation Shift Key

Need to translate an incremental cross-border exchange into incremental nodal injections

+100 MW -100 MW

~

~

~ ~

~

~

~

~

~

5 MW

30 MW

20 MW

10 MW

15 MW

20 MW

~

~

~

TSO C

TSO A TSO B

Based on common principles, each TSO

determines the key which maps an import /

export position to an generation pattern

Page 12: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

12

Impact of N-1

Country A

Country C

Country B

+100 MW

-100 MW

Monitored

lines

Outage

scenario

Margin left

(MW)

Influence of exchange

on lines (PTDF)

AB AC BC

Line 1 No

outage

Line 2 …

Line 3 …

150 10%

line 1

Outage1

120 Outage 1 20%

Page 13: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

13

Creation of the FB domain SoS safe

Monitored Lines Outage scenario Margin left (MW)

Influence of exchange on lines (PTDF)

AB AC BC

Line 1 No outage 150 1% 10% 3%

Outage 1 120 5% 20% 1%

Outage 2 100 6% 25% 1%

Line 2 No outage 150 -2% 0 5%

Outage 3 100 -12% 0 10%

Line 3 No outage

Outage 4

- 400

- 300

- 200

- 100

0

100

200

300

400

- 400 - 300 - 200 100 200 300 400 - 100 0

Security of supply domain

Constraints

Exchange(A>C)

Exchange(A>B)

Active Constraints

Page 14: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

14

Congestion Management Principles

• Security domain is obtained by taking into account all the relevant physical constraints of the grid

• Given the security domain, NTC/ATC constraints and the corresponding NTC/ATC domain are a choice made by the TSO

• The FB domain is the security domain

itself

• FB offers more trading opportunities with the same level of security of supply

• In FB capacity split is not a choice

of the TSO, but is market driven

(at the time of allocation)

Page 15: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

Daily process

15

Data Preparation: D2CF, CB + initial Remedial Actions, GSK,…

20:00 09:30 16:00

Qualification: mandatory checks: LTA, NTC,… + additional RA

FB domain calculation

20:30

Verification: local facultative checks: Voltage or Stability problems

Long Term Adjustement

Congestion Income Allocation: by Jao

Allocation in Euphemia (PCR) = “hybrid coupling” :

ATC and FB contraints together

12:00 13:00 04:00 08:00

Day -1 Day -2

Page 16: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

Qualification: focus on PST coordination

16

PST’s

in CWE Region

Page 17: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

Impact of PSTs

17

Pedagogical example: asymmetrical usage in CWE

Region

Page 18: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

Impact of PSTs

18

Pedagogical example: symmetrical usage in CWE

Region

Page 19: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

PST coordination proces

19

o Common determination of most likely market direction

o Gathering of constraints in the grid from TSO to RSCI

o Assessing most optimal setpoint of all CWE PSTs in multiple iterations

Page 20: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

20

Overview

o Context

o Creation of the CWE FB domain

o IT implementation

o Transparency and interaction with market players

oObservations / Future improvements / Q&A

Page 21: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

IT solutions – message flows

21

Page 22: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

IT solutions – software design

22

FBPCM

Page 23: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

23

Overview

o Context

o Creation of the CWE FB domain

o IT implementation

o Transparency and interaction with market players

oObservations / Future improvements / Q&A

Page 24: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

24

Transparancy and interaction with market players

Multiple channels have been set up:

o Q&A Forum

o Utility Tool (excel & web services)

o Anonymised information with fixed ID about critical branches (RAM + PTDF)

o Aggregated D2CF data

o Indicators of Flow Based domain

o Market data

o User groups CCG

Page 25: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

25

Overview

o Context

o Creation of the CWE FB domain

o IT implementation

o Transparency and interaction with market players

oObservations / Future improvements / Q&A

Page 26: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

Observations since go-live

As foreseen, the price convergence in CWE has significantly increased since the go-

live.

As foreseen, physical flows induced by market exchanges are better forecasted with

Flow-Based Market Coupling, which increases grid security.

But on the other hands, net positions are different that what was observed with ATC

MC:

NL imports more;

DE exports more;

FR can export more;

BE can import more.

With Flow-Based, physical flows are more variable/volatile and are regularly loading the

grid elements closer to their limits. (This may also limit the capacity available for ID

exchanges).

26

Page 27: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

Points for the future

Different elements remain for continuous improvements:

o Advanced Hybrid Coupling

o Collaboration CWE – CEE

o Further improvements on coordination

o Basecase improvements and GSK modelling

o Transparancy and interaction with market players

o …

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Page 28: CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view€¦ · Convener CWE FB Experts: Christophe Mestdag – christophe.mestdag@elia.be CWE Flow Based Market Coupling TSO point of view

Questions ?

Q&A 28