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Chapter 2
PopulationKey Issue 2
Key Issue 2Where has the World’s Population Increased?
Population increases QUICKLY in places where…. More people are born than die
Population increases SLOWLY in places where…. Number of births exceed number of
deaths by small margin Population decreases in places where…
deaths outnumber births
Natural Increase Geographers use 3 measures to
examine population change
CBR: total number of live births in a year for every 1000 alive in society
CDR: total number of deaths in a year for every 1000 alive in society
Natural Increase NIR: Percentage by which population
grows in a year. Convert CBR & CDR into percentages
CBR of 20 = 2%, CDR of 5 is 0.5% Subract CDR from CBR 2% - 0.5% = ______%
1.5% NIR
Natural Increase 2000-2010: World NIR was 1.2 Current population is over 7billion What will the population be in 2 years?
Natural Increase
Small percentage makes HUGE difference
2006 population: 6.6 billion x 1.2 NIR = 80 million people
(about 1/4 of US pop)
NIR affects doubling time = amount of time it takes to double a population
At current NIR rate of 1.2, global population will reach 24 billion by 2100
Natural Increase Almost 100% of increased population is
in LDCs: Africa, Asia, Latin America, Mid East
Exceeds 2% in most LDCs 0% growth in Europe (negative #)
Natural Population is declining (does NOT include migration)
NIR in LDCs
Natural Increase Most of world’s additional people live in
countries that CANNOT support them
Fertility Highest CBRs are in sub-Saharan Africa
(40), lowest in Europe (10) TFR: total fertility rate measures
average number of children a woman will have in her childbearing age (15-49) Predicts future behavior
TFR in Sub-Saharan Africa = 6+ TFR in Europe = >2
Total Fertility Rate
Mortality In addition to CDR, IMR and life
expectancy are used to measure mortality
IMR: annual number of deaths of infants under 1yrs old, compared to live births
Highest IMR in sub-Saharan Africa, lowest in W.Europe
Infant Mortality Rate IMR exceeds 100 in Africa
10% of babies die before 1st bday Reflects a country’s health-care system
Low IMRs have well-trained Drs, modern hospitals, medicine
Why does US have higher IMR than Canada & Europe???? Minorities & poverty often cannot afford
good healthcare
Life Expectancy Measures average number of years a
newborn infant can expect to live More favorable in wealthy countries (W
Europe), lower in poor countries (Africa) Western Europe = 70s Sub-Saharan Africa = 40s
MDCs vs LDCs Natural Increase Rate Crude Birth Rate Total Fertility Infant Mortality Life Expectancy
ALL follow similar trends!!!!MDCs vs LDS
Crude Death Rate Does not follow familiar pattern Which has higher CDR?
US or Mexico? Denmark or Mongolia?
Populations are at different states in the Demographic Transition (Key Issue 3)
Key Issue 2 Summary Virtually all the world’s natural increase is
concentrated in the relatively poor countries of Africa, Asia and Latin America. In contrast, most European and North American countries now have low population growth rates and some are experiencing population declines. The difference in natural increase between MDCs and LDCs is attributable to differences in CBRs rather than in CDRs
What is crude birth rate? Total number of live births in a year for
every 1,000 people
With a partner… Analyze each map in Key Issue 2 Each of you comes up with a question
comparing the data. Ask each other your questions to be
answered
What is crude death rate? Total number of deaths in a year for
every 1,000 people alive in the society
What is NIR? The percentage by which a population
grows in a year (subtract CDR from CBR)
What is the NIR today? 1.2 for the first decade of the 21st
century
When did global NIR peak? 1963 with a peak of 2.2%
About how many people are being added to the world’s population each year?
About 80 million people
Define doubling time Number of years needed to double a
population (assuming a constant rate of natural
increase)
In what world regions is most growth occurring? Clustered in LDCs Africa, Asia, Latin America & the Middle
East NIR exceeds 2% Negative NIR in Europe
Define total fertility rate The average number of children a
woman will have throughout her childbearing years (roughly ages 15 to 49)
Define infant mortality rate The annual number of deaths of infants
under 1 year of age compared with total live births
Define life expectancy Measures the average number of years
a newborn infant can expect to live at current mortality levels