Upload
angel-broking
View
215
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 1/11
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
Quarterly Data (Standalone) (` cr) 1QFY14 1QFY13 % chg (yoy) 4QFY13 % chg (qoq)
Revenue 6,458 8,439 (23.5) 19,204 (66.4)
EBITDA 389 1,202 (67.7) 4,651 (91.6)
EBITDA margin (%) 6.0 14.2 (823) 24.2 (1,820)
PAT 465 921 (49.5) 3,238 (85.6)
Source: Company, Angel Research
For 1QFY2014, BHEL reported a disappointing performance, with top-line and
bottom-line coming in below our estimates as well as street expectations. Top-line
declined sharply by 23.5% yoy to ` 6,458cr (vs our estimate of ` 8,186cr and street
estimate of ` 8,005cr). Power segment declined by 20.6% yoy to ` 5,379cr while
industry segment declined by 34.4% yoy to ` 1,293cr, due to slow moving orders.
Slow moving orders include Bajaj Hindustan, Surana Power, Abhijeet Power, Monet
Ispat and Kohinoor Power among others where delay in payments and project
clearances at customer ends has led to delay in booking revenues. Consequently, OPM
contracted by 823bp yoy to 6.0% and PAT declined by 49.5% yoy to ` 465cr (vs our
estimate of ` 804cr and street estimate of ` 790cr).
Declining order intake and backlog:
For 1QFY2014, order intake declined sharply by 73.7% yoy to ` 1,469cr. Further,
` 1,200cr worth of order from Iraq awarded in FY2011 got cancelled during the
quarter. Consequently, total order backlog declined by 18.3% yoy to ` 108,600cr
by the end of the quarter, thus implying an order book coverage of ~2.3x, which
has been continuously deteriorating over the last couple of years. The
Management has indicated order visibility of 15GW in FY2014. However,
considering the headwinds in the power sector, delays in finalization of orders and
execution cannot be ruled out.
Outlook and valuation: Given the strong competition (domestic as well as
international), declining order book, and a weak capex cycle, we expect BHEL’s
profit, margin and ROE to decline from the current levels. Hence, the cheaper
valuations of 7.4x FY2014E EPS and 8.7x FY2015E EPS are largely overshadowed by structural issues plaguing the company. We continue to remain Neutral on the stock.
Key financials (Consolidated)Y/E March (` cr) FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E FY2015E
Net sales 48,355 48,916 43,140 39,692
% chg 13.7 1.2 (11.8) (8.0)
Adj. net profit 7,087 6,689 4,939 4,188
% chg 17.1 (5.6) (26.2) (15.2)
EBITDA (%) 20.6 19.4 16.8 15.9
EPS (`) 29.0 27.3 20.2 17.1
P/E (x) 5.2 5.5 7.4 8.7
P/BV (x) 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.4
RoE (%) 49.5 37.6 23.1 17.2
RoCE (%) 29.2 23.6 16.1 13.2
EV/Sales (x) 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8
EV/EBITDA (x) 3.0 3.3 4.2 4.9
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: CMP as of August 2, 2013
NEUTRALCMP ` 149
Target Price -
Investment Period -
Stock Info
Sector
Net Debt ( ` cr) (5,227)
Bloomberg Code BHEL@IN
Shareholding Pattern (%)
Promoters 67.7
MF / Banks / Indian Fls 12.2
FII / NRIs / OCBs 15.2Indian Public / Others 4.8
Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr
Sensex (2.9) 11.0 6.0
BHEL (22.1) (32.2) (69.5)
Capital Goods
Market Cap ( ` cr) 36,567
Beta 1.2
52 Week High / Low 272/120
Avg. Daily Volume 484,909
Face Value ( ` ) 2
BSE Sensex 19,164
Nifty 5,678
Reuters Code BHEL.BO
Amit Patil
022-39357800 Ext: 6839
BHEL
Performance Highlights
1QFY2014 Result Update | Capital Goods
August 5, 2013
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 2/11
BHEL | 1QFY2014 Result Update
August 5, 2013 2
Exhibit 1: Quarterly performance (Standalone)
(` cr) 1QFY14 1QFY13 % chg (yoy) 4QFY13 % chg (qoq) FY2013 FY2012 % chg (yoy)
Net Sales 6,353 8,326 (23.7) 18,850 87.7 47,618 47,230 0.8
Other operating income 106 113 (6.4) 354 - 807 794 1.6Total income 6,458 8,439 (23.5) 19,204 87.9 48,425 48,024 0.8
Stock adjustments 152 (527) 967 116 (823)
Raw Material 3,482 5,385 (35.3) 9,662 72.9 27,240 28,240 (3.5)
(% of total income) 0.0 57.6 55.3 56.3 58.8
Employee Cost 1,475 1,395 5.7 1,439 0.1 5,753 5,466 5.3
(% of total income) 0.0 16.5 7.5 11.9 11.4
Other Expenses 961 984 (2.4) 2,485 76.0 5,927 5,244 13.0
(% of total income) 0.0 11.7 12.9 12.2 10.9
Total Expenditure 6,070 7,237 (16.1) 14,553 69.5 39,035 38,127 2.4
EBITDA 389 1,202 (67.7) 4,651 184.6 9,389 9,898 (5.1)
(EBITDA %) 6.0 14.2 24.2 19.4 20.6
Interest 28 6 402.9 41 (20.4) 125 51 144.5
Depreciation 231 228 1.1 289 31.4 953 801 19.1
Other Income 538 366 47.0 292 (12.0) 1,122 1,256 (10.7)
PBT 669 1,335 (49.9) 4,614 172.1 9,432 10,302 (8.4)
(% of total income) 10.4 15.8 24.0 19.5 21.5
Total Tax 203 414 (50.9) 1,377 167.9 2,818 3,262 (13.6)
(% of PBT) 30.4 31.0 29.8 5.8 6.8
PAT (Reported) 465 921 (49.5) 3,238 173.9 6,615 7,039 (6.0)
(% of total income) 7.2 10.9 16.9 13.7 14.7
EPS (`)* 1.9 3.8 (49.5) 13.2 173.9 27.0 28.8 (6.0)
Source: Company, Angel Research.* Note: Adjusted for stock split
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 3/11
BHEL | 1QFY2014 Result Update
August 5, 2013 3
Top-line below expectations
For 1QFY2014, BHEL reported a disappointing performance, with top-line and
bottom-line coming in below our estimates as well as street expectations. The
top-line declined sharply by 23.5% yoy to ` 6,458cr (vs our estimate of ` 8,186cr
and street estimate of ` 8,005cr). The power segment declined by 20.6% yoy to
` 5,379cr while industry segment declined by 34.4% yoy to ` 1,293cr, due to slow
moving orders. Slow moving orders include Bajaj Hindustan, Surana Power,
Abhijeet Power, Monet Ispat and Kohinoor Power among others where delay in
payments and project clearances at customer ends has led to delay in booking
revenues.
Exhibit 2: Top-line trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: Segment-wise performance
Y/E March (` cr) 1QFY14 1QFY13 % chg (yoy) 4QFY13 % chg (qoq) FY2013 FY2012 % chg (yoy)
Revenue
Power 5,379 6,772 (20.6) 15,539 (65.4) 39,577 37,863 4.5
Industry 1,293 1,972 (34.4) 4,341 (70.2) 10,604 11,659 (9.0)
Total Revenue 6,671 8,744 (23.7) 19,880 (66.4) 50,181 49,522 1.3
EBIT
Power 759 1,206 (37.1) 4,062 (81.3) 8,559 8,184 4.6
Industry 131 413 (68.3) 936 (86.0) 2,197 3,342 (34.3)
Total EBIT 890 1,620 (45.1) 4,998 (82.2) 10,756 11,526 (6.7)
Revenues mix (%)
Power 80.6 77.5 78.2 78.9 76.5
Industry 19.4 22.5 21.8 21.1 23.5
EBIT Margin (%)
Power 14.1 17.8 26.1 21.6 21.6
Industry 10.1 21.0 21.6 20.7 28.7
Total 13.3 18.5 25.1 21.4 23.3
Source: Company, Angel Research
7 , 2
7 1
1 0 , 5
4 6
1 0 , 7
4 3
1 9 , 5
8 9
8 4 3 9
1 0 5 6 2
1 0 2 2 0
1 9 2 0 4
6 4 5 8
10.2
24.219.1
7.5 16.1
0.2(4.9)
(2.0)
(23.5)
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
10
20
30
0
4,000
8,000
12,000
16,000
20,000
24,000
1 Q F Y 1 2
2 Q F Y 1 2
3 Q F Y 1 2
4 Q F Y 1 2
1 Q F Y 1 3
2 Q F Y 1 3
3 Q F Y 1 3
4 Q F Y 1 3
1 Q F Y 1 4
Sales (` cr, LHS) Growth (yoy %)
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 4/11
BHEL | 1QFY2014 Result Update
August 5, 2013 4
Exhibit 4: Power segment revenue and growth
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 5: Industry segment revenue and growth
Source: Company, Angel Research
Sharp contraction in margins
BHEL’s blended margins contracted by 823bp yoy to 6.0% impacted by sharp
decline in revenues. The Power segment’s margin contracted 371bp yoy to 14.1%
while the industry segment’s margins contracted by 1083bp yoy to 10.1%.
Consequently, Net profit declined by 49.5% yoy to ` 466cr.
With the headwinds in power sector, over-capacity in BTG space and intense
competition, we expect BHEL’s margin to decline sharply by 300-400bp over the
next two years.
Exhibit 6: Segment EBIT Margin
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 7: Blended EBITDA margins
Source: Company, Angel Research
5 , 7
8 0
7 , 7
9 7
8 , 7
1 1
1 5 , 5
7 4
6 , 7
7 2
8 , 9
5 8
8 , 3
0 8
1 5 , 5
3 9
5 , 3
7 9
7.610.5
58.3 2.8
17.2 14.9 (4.6)
(0.2)
(20.6)
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
3040
50
60
70
-
3,500
7,000
10,500
14,000
17,500
1 Q F Y 1 2
2 Q F Y 1 2
3 Q F Y 1 2
4 Q F Y 1 2
1 Q F Y 1 3
2 Q F Y 1 3
3 Q F Y 1 3
4 Q F Y 1 3
1 Q F Y 1 4
Power (` cr, LHS) Growth (yoy %)
1 , 6
5 3
2 , 9
6 0
2 , 3
6 7
4 , 6
7 9
1 , 9
7 2
2 , 0
5 5
2 , 2
3 7
4 , 3
4 1
1 , 2
9 3
19.1
78.2
(37.3)
26.1
19.3 (30.6)
(5.5)
(7.2)
(34.4)
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100
-
800
1,600
2,400
3,200
4,000
1 Q F Y 1 2
2 Q F Y 1 2
3 Q F Y 1 2
4 Q F Y 1 2
1 Q F Y 1 3
2 Q F Y 1 3
3 Q F Y 1 3
4 Q F Y 1 3
1 Q F Y 1 4
Industry (` cr, LHS) Growth (yoy %)
1 6 . 5
1 6 . 9
1 9 . 0
2 7 . 4
1 7 . 8
1 9 . 7
1 8 . 3
2 6 . 1
1 4 . 1
2 2 . 6
2 7 . 0
3 1 . 6
3 0 . 4
2 1 . 0
2 1 . 3
1 8 . 3
2 1 . 6
1 0 . 1
0
6
12
18
24
30
36
1 Q F Y 1 2
2 Q F Y 1 2
3 Q F Y 1 2
4 Q F Y 1 2
1 Q F Y 1 3
2 Q F Y 1 3
3 Q F Y 1 3
4 Q F Y 1 3
1 Q F Y 1 4
( % )
Power segment EBITM Industry segment EBITM
1,113
1,959 2,080
4,937
1202
18991634
4651
389
15.3
18.6 19.4
25.2
14.2
18.016.0
24.2
6.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
1 Q F Y 1 2
2 Q F Y 1 2
3 Q F Y 1 2
4 Q F Y 1 2
1 Q F Y 1 3
2 Q F Y 1 3
3 Q F Y 1 3
4 Q F Y 1 3
1 Q F Y 1 4
EBITDA (` cr, LHS) EBITDAM (%, RHS)
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 5/11
BHEL | 1QFY2014 Result Update
August 5, 2013 5
Order inflow declines sharply due to order cancellation
For 1QFY2014, order intake declined sharply by 73.7% yoy to ` 1,469cr. Further,
` 1,200cr worth of order from Iraq awarded in FY2011 got cancelled during the
quarter. Consequently, total order backlog declined by 18.3% yoy to ` 108,600crby the end of the quarter, thus implying an order book coverage of ~2.3x, which
has been continuously deteriorating over the last couple of years. The
Management has indicated order visibility of 15GW in FY2014. However,
considering the headwinds in the power sector, delays in finalization of orders and
execution cannot be ruled out.
Exhibit 8: Declining Order Book
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 9: Order book to sales (x)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 10: Orders Backlog
Order details Value (` Cr)
Power 89,417
Industrial Segment 10,883
Exports 8,392
Total order baklog* 108,600
Source: Company, Angel Research * Note: Total order backlog adjusted for Inter-segmental orders
Outlook
Deteriorating dynamics in the BTG space: The recent trend in biddings and project
wins indicates that BHEL’s leadership position is under threat, thus hinting at a loss
in its market share going ahead. Further, given the structural issues faced by thepower sector, times look tough for the BTG players.
Stock to remain under pressure: BHEL is trading at historically low valuations of
7.4x and 8.7x on FY2014E and FY2015E EPS estimates respectively, owing to 1)
weak order inflow; 2) weak investment capex due to a high interest rate regime,
which could take more time to gather momentum than earlier anticipated; and 3)
changing competitive dynamics in the BTG space with strong capacity additions.
We believe these concerns are far from over and hence, expect the stock to remain
under pressure.
Valuation: Given the strong competition (domestic as well as international),
declining order flows and a weak capex cycle, we expect BHEL’s profit margin andROE to decline from the current levels. Hence, the cheaper valuations of 7.4x and
8.7x on FY2014E and FY2015E EPS respectively, are largely overshadowed by
structural issues plaguing the company. We continue to remain Neutral on the stock.
1 5 9 , 6
3 9
1 6 1 , 0
4 6
1 4 6 , 5
4 1
1 3 5 , 0
0 0
1 3 2 , 9
0 0
1 2 2 , 3
0 0
1 1 3 , 7
0 0
1 1 5 , 1
6 0
1 0 8 6 0 0
7.94.8
(7.0)(17.8)
(16.7)
(24.1)(22.4)
(14.7)(18.3)
(30)
(25)
(20)
(15)
(10)
(5)
0
5
10
-
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
200,000
1 Q F Y 1 2
2 Q F Y 1 2
3 Q F Y 1 2
4 Q F Y 1 2
1 Q F Y 1 3
2 Q F Y 1 3
3 Q F Y 1 3
4 Q F Y 1 3
1 Q F Y 1 4
Order Backlog (` cr, LHS) Growth (yoy %, RHS)
4.3 4.2 4.13.9
3.73.6
3.1
2.82.7
2.52.3 2.4 2.3
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
5.0
1 Q F Y 1 1
2 Q F Y 1 1
3 Q F Y 1 1
4 Q F Y 1 1
1 Q F Y 1 2
2 Q F Y 1 2
3 Q F Y 1 2
4 Q F Y 1 2
1 Q F Y 1 3
2 Q F Y 1 3
3 Q F Y 1 3
4 Q F Y 1 3
1 Q F Y 1 4
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 6/11
BHEL | 1QFY2014 Result Update
August 5, 2013 6
Exhibit 11: One year forward PE Band Chart
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 12: Peer comparison
Company Reco. CMP Tgt. price Upside P/BV(x) P/E(x) FY2013-15E RoE (%)
(`) (`) (%) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E EPS CAGR FY14E FY15E
ABB* Reduce 483 461 (4.5) 3.8 3.7 41.9 28.5 61.6 9.3 13.1
BHEL Neutral 149 - - 1.6 1.4 7.4 8.7 (20.9) 23.1 17.2
BGR Energy Neutral 80 - - 0.4 0.4 3.7 3.3 3.6 22.3 20.3
Crompton Greaves Buy 83 117 41.3 1.4 1.2 12.5 9.3 - 11.4 14.0
Jyoti Structures Neutral 15 - - 0.2 0.2 3.4 2.4 17.7 5.5 7.4
KEC International Buy 27 40 48.1 0.6 0.5 4.5 3.2 83.5 20.2 23.0
Thermax Neutral 594 - - 3.3 2.9 20.7 18.1 10.7 17.2 17.3
Source: Company, Angel Research Note:* denotes December ending financials of a company
Company Background
BHEL is the largest manufacturer of power equipment (boiler and turbine
generators) in India. The company operates in two segments - power and industry.
Sets produced by BHEL account for ~66% of India's installed power capacity,
which generate ~70% of India's power. Notably, BHEL is the first domestic
company to foray into the supercritical technology.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
M a r - 0 7
J u l - 0 7
N o v - 0
7
M a r - 0 8
J u l - 0 8
N o v - 0
8
M a r - 0 9
J u l - 0 9
N o v - 0
9
M a r - 1 0
J u l - 1 0
N o v - 1
0
M a r - 1 1
J u l - 1 1
N o v - 1
1
M a r - 1 2
J u l - 1 2
N o v - 1
2
M a r - 1 3
J u l - 1 3
Share Price (`) 4x 8x 12x 16x
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 7/11
BHEL | 1QFY2014 Result Update
August 5, 2013 7
Profit & loss statement (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014E FY2015E
Total Income 33,653 42,538 48,355 48,916 43,140 39,692
% chg 24.6 26.4 13.7 1.2 (11.8) (8.0)Net Raw Materials 19,626 22,767 27,734 27,626 24,633 22,624
Other Mfg costs 1,612 5,744 5,121 5,983 5,651 5,200
Personnel 6,590 5,453 5,530 5,824 5,608 5,557
Other - - - - - -
Total Expenditure 27,828 33,963 38,385 39,433 35,893 33,381
EBITDA 5,825 8,575 9,971 9,483 7,248 6,311
% chg 39.8 47.2 16.3 (4.9) (23.6) (12.9)
(% of Net Sales) 17.3 20.2 20.6 19.4 16.8 15.9
Depn & Amort. 339 478 803 957 848 950
EBIT 5,486 8,097 9,167 8,525 6,400 5,361
% chg 41.2 47.6 13.2 (7.0) (24.9) (16.2)
(% of Net Sales) 16.3 19.0 19.0 17.4 14.8 13.5
Interest & other Charges 37 56 53 128 108 112
Other Income 1,165 1,027 1,272 1,129 1,025 955
(% of PBT) 17.6 11.3 12.3 11.8 14.0 15.4
Others 7.2 (1.8) (19.1) - - -
Recurring PBT 6,621 9,066 10,367 9,527 7,317 6,204
% chg 36.9 36.9 14.4 (8.1) (23.2) (15.2)
Extraord. Exp/(Inc.) - - - (4.1) - -
PBT (reported) 6,621 9,066 10,367 9,531 7,317 6,204
Tax 2,294 3,012 3,280 2,838 2,378 2,016
(% of PBT) 34.6 33.2 31.6 29.8 32.5 32.5
PAT (reported) 4,327 6,053 7,087 6,693 4,939 4,188
Add: earnings of associate - - - - - -
Less: Minority interest (MI) - - - - - -
Prior period items - - - - - -
PAT after MI (reported) 4,327 6,053 7,087 6,693 4,939 4,188
ADJ. PAT 4,327 6,053 7,087 6,689 4,939 4,188
% chg 38.9 39.9 17.1 (5.6) (26.2) (15.2)
(% of Net Sales) 12.9 14.2 14.7 13.7 11.4 10.6
Basic EPS (`) 17.7 24.7 29.0 27.3 20.2 17.1Fully Diluted EPS (̀ ) 17.7 24.7 29.0 27.3 20.2 17.1
% chg 38.9 39.9 17.1 (5.6) (26.2) (15.2)
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with previous year numbers
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 8/11
BHEL | 1QFY2014 Result Update
August 5, 2013 8
Balance Sheet (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E FY2015E
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Equity Share Capital 490 490 490 490 490 490Preference Capital - - - - - -
Reserves& Surplus 15,406 19,666 24,914 30,043 33,418 36,042
Shareholders Funds 15,896 20,155 25,403 30,532 33,907 36,531
Minority Interest - - 5 5 5 5
Total Loans 148 196 369 2,624 1,726 1,526
Deferred Tax Liability (1,529) (2,165) (1,549) (1,556) (1,556) (1,756)
Other long term liablities 9,171 7,567 5,811 5,111 2,561
Total Liabilities 14,516 27,357 31,794 37,416 39,194 38,868
APPLICATION OF FUNDS
Gross Block 6,858 8,344 10,017 11,201 12,675 14,084
Less: Acc. Depreciation 4,249 4,734 5,499 6,215 7,063 8,013
Net Block 2,609 3,610 4,519 4,986 5,612 6,071
Capital Work-in-Progress 1,552 1,757 1,763 1,949 1,876 1,867
Goodwill - - - - - -
Investments 6 11 6 6 6 6
Current Assets 43,002 44,677 50,048 52,441 49,740 49,218
Cash 9,856 9,707 6,734 7,845 8,209 6,996
Loans & Advances 2,662 3,504 3,105 3,054 2,847 2,620
Other 407 310 152 303 314 328
Current liabilities 32,656 30,095 34,086 32,780 28,854 29,108
Net Current Assets 10,346 14,581 15,961 19,660 20,886 20,110
Other non CA 2 7,398 9,545 10,814 10,814 10,814
Total Assets 14,516 27,357 31,794 37,416 39,194 38,868
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with previous year numbers
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 9/11
BHEL | 1QFY2014 Result Update
August 5, 2013 9
Cashflow (Consolidated)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E FY2015E
Profit before tax 6,621 9,066 10,367 9,527 7,317 6,204
Depreciation 339 547 806 957 848 950(Inc)/Dec in Working Capital (2,403) (4,385) (8,523) (5,860) (1,562) (3,186)
Less: Other income 833 647 837 1,129 1,025 955
Direct taxes paid 2,021 2,942 3,197 2,838 2,378 2,016
Others (241) 654 462.9 4 - -
Cash Flow from Operations 1,463 2,292 (921) 661 3,200 996
(Inc.)/Dec.in Fixed Assets (1,752) (1,691) (1,680) (1,370) (1,400) (1,400)
(Inc.)/Dec. in Investments - (5) 5 - - -
Other income 1,165 1,027 1,272 1,129 1,025 955
Cash Flow from Investing (587) (669) (402) (241) (375) (445)
Issue of Equity - - - - - -
Inc./(Dec.) in loans (18) 48 172 2,255 (897) (200)
Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 1,332 1,821 1,821 1,564 1,564 1,564
Others - - - - - -
Cash Flow from Financing (1,350) (1,773) (1,649) 691 (2,461) (1,764)
Inc./(Dec.) in Cash (474) (150) (2,972) 1,111 364 (1,212)
Opening Cash balances 10,330 9,856 9,707 6,734 7,845 8,209
Closing Cash balances 9,856 9,707 6,734 7,845 8,209 6,996
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with previous year numbers
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 10/11
BHEL | 1QFY2014 Result Update
August 5, 2013 10
Key Ratios
Y/E March FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E FY2015E
Valuation Ratio (x)
P/E (on FDEPS) 8.5 6.0 5.2 5.5 7.4 8.7P/CEPS 7.8 5.6 4.6 4.8 6.3 7.1
P/BV 2.3 2.9 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.4
Dividend yield (%) 3.1 4.3 4.3 3.7 3.7 3.7
EV/Sales 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8
EV/EBITDA 4.6 3.2 3.0 3.3 4.2 4.9
EV/Total Assets 1.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8
OB/Sales 4.2 3.8 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.4
Per Share Data (`)
EPS (Basic) 17.7 24.7 29.0 27.3 20.2 17.1
EPS (fully diluted) 17.7 24.7 29.0 27.3 20.2 17.1
Cash EPS 19.1 26.7 32.2 31.2 23.6 21.0
DPS 4.7 6.4 6.4 5.5 5.5 5.5
Book Value 64.9 52.1 64.8 80.6 94.3 105.1
DuPont Analysis
EBIT margin (%) 16.3 19.0 19.0 17.4 14.8 13.5
Tax retention ratio 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Asset turnover (x) 7.5 3.3 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.2
ROIC (Post-tax) (%) 80.3 41.6 27.0 20.7 13.6 10.9
Cost of Debt (Post Tax) (%) 15.2 21.8 12.8 6.0 3.4 4.7
Leverage (x) (0.6) (0.7) (0.4) (0.3) (0.3) (0.2)
Operating RoE (%) 40.5 26.9 21.3 16.8 10.7 9.6
Returns (%)
RoCE (Pre-tax) 37.7 35.5 29.2 23.6 16.1 13.2
Angel RoIC (Pre-tax) 176.3 71.4 42.8 31.6 21.4 17.2
RoE 30.0 42.3 49.5 37.6 23.1 17.2
Turnover ratios (x)
Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 5.4 5.5 5.2 4.6 3.6 3.0
Inventory / Sales (days) 93 87 91 102 102 102
Receivables (days) 200 176 219 255 250 255
Payables (days) 332 395 437 431 425 420
WC cycle (ex-cash) (days) (8) 23 53 79 104 119Solvency ratios (x)
Net debt to equity (0.6) (0.7) (0.4) (0.3) (0.3) (0.2)
Net debt to EBITDA (1.7) (1.1) (0.6) (0.6) (0.9) (0.9)
Int. coverage (EBIT / Int.) 149.5 143.6 172.6 66.8 59.2 47.8
Note: Some of the figures from FY2011 onwards are reclassified; hence not comparable with previous year numbers
7/27/2019 BHEL, 1Q FY 2014
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bhel-1q-fy-2014 11/11
BHEL | 1QFY2014 Result Update
August 5, 2013 11
Research Team Tel: 022 – 3935 7600 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.angelbroking.com
DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investmentdecision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document shouldmake such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of thecompanies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determinethe merits and risks of such an investment.
Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, makeinvestment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in thisdocument are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions andtrading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliablesources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as thisdocument is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannottestify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Pvt. Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may beregulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Angel Broking Pvt. Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment bankingor other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report orin the past.
Neither Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise fromor in connection with the use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to thelatest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited and its affiliates mayhave investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement BHEL
1. Analyst ownership of the stock No
2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No
3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No
4. Broking relationship with company covered No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.
Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)Reduce (-5% to -15%) Sell (< -15%)