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A.M. Best Company's Insurance Market Briefing Canada. Stephen Irwin, Vice President Richard McMillan, Managing Senior Financial Analyst September 8, 2010. Current Ratings. * Rating under review. Look Back-Review. What we said last year: Low interest rates Stock market volatility - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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A.M. Best Company's
Insurance Market BriefingCanada
Stephen Irwin, Vice PresidentRichard McMillan, Managing Senior Financial AnalystSeptember 8, 2010
Company Name AMB # FSR Rating ICR Rating
Assumption Mutual Life Insurance Company 8074 A- a-
Assurant Life of Canada 66882 A- a-
Aurigen Reinsurance Company 66889 A- g a-
Blue Cross Life Insurance Company of Canada 68557 A- a-
BMO Life Assurance Company 66835 A a
Canada Life Assurance Company 6183 A+ g aa
Canadian Premier Life Insurance Company 66801 A- a
Canassurance Hospital Service Association 66881 A- g a
Canassurance Insurance Company 66878 A- g a
Co-operators Life Insurance Company 6290 A a
Empire Life Insurance Company 6329 A a
First Canadian Insurance Corporation 66893 A- a-
Great-West Life Assurance Company 6493 A+ g aa
Independent Order of Foresters 60132 A a+
Industrial Alliance Insurance and Financial Services Inc. 6554 A g a+
Industrial Alliance Pacific Insurance and Financial Services Inc. 6838 A g a+
London Life Insurance Company 6667 A+ g aa
Manufacturers Life Insurance Company 6688 A+ g* aa*
Optimum Reassurance Inc. 66827 A- a-
Primerica Life Insurance Company of Canada 60156 A+ g aa-
RBC Life Insurance Company 66806 A a
RGA Life Reinsurance Company of Canada 66817 A+ g aa-
Sun Life Assurance Company of Canada 7101 A+ g Aa
Transamerica Life Canada 66805 B++ bbb+
Unity Life of Canada 66847 A- a-
Wawanesa Life Insurance Company 60079 A a
Western Life Assurance Company 66802 B++ bbb+
Current Ratings
* Rating under review
Look Back-Review
What we said last year: Low interest rates Stock market volatility Global recovery in question-
unemployment still high Canadian currency improving,
depending on the day
Source: Trading Economics
Stock Market Volatility
TSX Composite
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
Jan-
08
Mar
-08
May
-08
Jul-0
8
Sep-
08
Nov-0
8
Jan-
09
Mar
-09
May
-09
Jul-0
9
Sep-
09
Nov-0
9
Jan-
10
Mar
-10
May
-10
Jul-1
0
Source: Yahoo Finance/ GSPTSE
Source: Trading Economics
Currency Risk
U.S. vs. Canadian
0.9
0.95
1
1.05
1.1
1.15
1.2
1.25
1.3
1.35
1.4
Breaks in chart represent Bank Holidays
Comparison is 1 U.S. dollar to the Canadian dollar
What has transpired?
Capital has rebounded Capital markets receptive Debt & other capital raising Lower investment losses
Net income-better in 2009 Focus on expense control continues Deployment of liquidity yields better returns Surrender activity still within assumptions Product de-risking
Outlook Revised to Stable
Outlook is stable, but remains cautious
Rating outlook reflects likelihood of negative rating actions easing
Does not preclude negative rating actions
Areas of Concern
Economic weakness returns/Global recovery
Interest rate/equity markets Product risk Regulatory/accounting risk International operations
Market Perspective
Still the Big Three 2010 sales up for the most part Expect capital targets to be higher
IFRS
It’s almost here! January 1, 2011opening balance sheet
Phase I-more limited impact Phase II-more to come
New valuation methodology Reaction and options
Regulatory Capital
OSFI continue to refine capital model Living benefit guarantees Guideline A-4
Product Viewpoint Individual products
Capital requirements Group products
Competition remains aggressive Wealth Management and Retirement
products De-risking
Life Reinsurance
Three major players But, looking for counterparty
diversification Individual life re demand robust