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Daily Operations BriefingSeptember 2, 2012As of 8:30 a.m. EDT
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Atlantic – Tropical Outlook
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Atlantic - Tropical Storm Kirk As of 5:00 a.m. EDT
• 710 miles southeast of Cape Race Newfoundland• 740 miles northwest of Azores• Moving northeast at 32 mph• Max sustained winds 50 mph with higher gusts• This general motion accompanied by an increase in
forward speed is forecast during the next day or so• Additional weakening is forecast • Kirk is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone later
today• Tropical storm-force winds extend 105 miles
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Atlantic – Tropical Storm LeslieAs of 5:00 a.m. EDT
• 295 miles east-northeast of Leeward Islands• Moving northwest at 15 mph• Maximum sustained winds 70 mph• General motion is forecast to continue today; gradual
turn to the north-northwest and north along with a decrease in forward speed
• Unfavorable upper-level winds & some fluctuations in strength possible next 48 hours
• Tropical storm-force winds extend outward 175 miles
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Atlantic – Area 1 (Invest 99L)As of 2:00 a.m. EDT
• Area showers and thunderstorms about 1,075 miles northwest of Cape Verde Islands
• Slow development of this disturbance possible next 48 hours
• Moving west-southwestward at 10-15 miles • LOW (20%) chance of becoming tropical cyclone
next 48 hours
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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtmlThis product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and 11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.
Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook
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Eastern Pacific – Tropical Depression Ileana As of 5:00 a.m. EDT
• 725 miles west of southern tip of Baja California Mexico• Moving west at 10 mph• Max sustained winds 35 mph• General motion is forecast to continue for the next day or two• A turn toward west-northwest forecast on Tuesday• Weakening is forecast• Ileana expected to become a Post-Tropical Remnant Low today
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Eastern Pacific – Area 1 (Invest 98E)As of 8:00 a.m. EDT
• The area of low pressure has become better defined• Located 250 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico• Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to
organize• Could become a tropical depression later today• Moving WNW at 15 mph• HIGH (90%) chance of becoming tropical cyclone
next 48 hours
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Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook
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State Response Florida: EOC activated at Level II (Partial Activation 7AM-7PM) IA and PA PDAs are currently underway
Alabama: SEOC at Level IV (Normal operations; 8AM-8PM)
Mississippi: EOC activated at Level I (24/7)▲ IA PDA Pilot Teams to begin operations on September 2
Region IV▲ RRCC activated to Level III for Post
Tropical Cyclone Isaac (8AM -5PM) and DNC (September 2: 9 AM to 9PM; September 3-6: 12 PM to 12 AM)
Region IV
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State ResponseArkansas AR EOC activated at Level IV (Normal Operations)
Louisiana LA EOC activated at Level I (Full Activation)▲ 35 PODs, managed and staffed by the Louisiana
National Guard▲ 3 DRCs open
Texas TX EOC activated to Level III (Increased
Readiness Conditions)
Region VRegion VI▲ RRCC activated at Level II (24/7) Disaster Housing Assessment Team
deployed to assist Housing Task Force with identifying temporary housing needs
Region VI
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FEMA Region VI Hurricane ISAAC Sustainment as of 9/02/12 0500 EDT
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FEMA Region IV & VI Hurricane ISAAC NGO Sustainment as of 9/02/12 0500 EDT
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Significant Activity: September 1- 2 Significant Events: Remnants of IsaacTropical Activity:• Atlantic: Tropical Storm Kirk; Tropical Storm Leslie; Area 1 (20%)• Eastern Pacific – Tropical Depression Ileana; Area 1 (90%) • Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Monday evening• Western Pacific – No significant activitySignificant Weather:• Heavy rainfall – parts of the Ohio Valley• Scattered showers and thunderstorms – East coast• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – Upper Mississippi Valley, Northern Plains & Tennessee Valley• Critical Fire Weather Areas: portions of MT and ND• Red Flag Warnings: MT, WY, ND, & SD• Space Weather: Minor; S1 Level occurred/moderate; S1/G2 level expectedEarthquake Activity: No significant activity Disaster Declaration Activity: • Amendment No. 3 & Amendment No. 4 to FEMA-4080-DR-LA• Amendment No. 2 to FEMA-4081-DR-MS
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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf
Daily: 0400 a.m. and 1600
National Weather Forecast
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http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php
Active Watches/Warnings
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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/qpf/tcqpf.php?sname=Isaac
Precipitation Forecast – 1-3 Day
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http://water.weather.gov/ahps/forecasts.php?current_color=flood¤t_type=all&fcst_type=fcst&conus_map=d_map
River Flood Outlook – 7 Day
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Convective Outlook Days 1-3
Day 1 Day 2
Day 3
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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1-8
Day 1 Day 2
Day 3-8
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Hazard Outlook: September 3 - 14
• Sept 3-4: Locally heavy rain for Central Appalachians, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast & southern New England
• Sept 3-5: Heavy rain across southeast Alaska and northern Alaskan Panhandle• Sept 3-5: High winds & waves for Aleutians, southwest Alaska & coastal
southern Alaska• Sept 3-5: River flooding continuing across Lower Mississippi Valley• Sept 3-4: River flooding possible for parts of Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana• Severe drought for parts of Southeast, Midwest, Middle Mississippi Valley, Great
Plains, Rio Grande Valley, Rockies, Southwest, Great Basin and Hawaii.
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http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/aviation/index.html http://spaceweather.com/
www.spaceweather.com
http://www.swpc.noaa.n/index.html
http://
Space Weather
NOAA Scales ActivityRange 1 (minor) to 5 (extreme)
Past 24 Hours Current Next 24 Hours
Space Weather: Minor None Moderate
• Geomagnetic Storms None None G2
• Solar Radiation Storms S1 S1 S1
• Radio Blackouts None None None
HF Communications Impact Sunspot Activity
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Significant Earthquake ActivityU.S. - Past 24 Hours
• No significant activity
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September 2, 2012:
• National Preparedness Level: 4
• Initial Attack Activity: Light (109)
• New Large Fires: 1
• Large Fires Contained: 7
• Uncontained Large Fires: 19
• Area Command Teams committed: 1
• NIMOs committed: 1
• Type 1 IMT(s) committed: 6
• Type 2 IMT(s) Committed: 12
• States Affected: MT, ID, WY, CA, CO, OR, NE, OK, & TX
National Fire Activity
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Western Wildfire SummaryFire Name(County) FMAG # Acres
burned%
ContainedEvacuations
(Type)Structures
ThreatenedStructures Destroyed
Fatalities / Injuries
Idaho (2)
Halstead Fire(Custer County, ID)
Not Requested
123,893 (+12,055)
7% Yes
(Voluntary)417 0 0 / 4
Trinity Ridge Fire (Elmore County, ID)
5006-FM-IDAugust 15
144,430(+5,464)
22% No
(Evacuations Lifted)1,041 12 0 / 5
Montana (1)
Nineteen Mile Fire (FINAL)(Jefferson County, MT)
5008-FM-MT August 29
4,141 (+1,141)
64% (+39)
No(Evacuations Lifted)
80 20 0 / 0
Nebraska (1)
Region 23 Fire Complex(Dawes County)
5009-FM-NEAugust 30
87,555 47% (+22)Yes
(Mandatory)450 3 0 / 0
South Dakota (1)
Welcome SD Fire(Shannon County)
August 31 11,500 0% Yes 175 0 0 / 0
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Disaster Requests & Declarations
Declaration Requests in Process Requests APPROVED(since last report)
Requests DENIED(since last report)
1 Date Requested 0 0
NE – DR Wildfires August 28, 2012
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DeclarationAmendment Number
EffectiveDate
Amendment Action
Amendment No. 3FEMA-4080-DR-LA
September 1, 2012Adds 4 parishes for IA (already
designated for emergency protective measures)
Amendment No. 4FEMA-4080-DR-LA
September 1, 2012Appoints Michael J Hall as the FCO
of record for this disaster
Amendment No. 2FEMA-4081-DR-MS
September 1, 2012
Adding 4 counties for IA (already designated for emergency protective
measures)
Disaster Amendments
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Open Field Offices as of September 2, 2012
Disaster Relief Fund(as of September 1, 2012)
Balance $1.418B
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Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments Number of Counties
Region State Event IA/PA Requested Ongoing Complete Start – End
IV FL Hurricane IsaacAugust 26, 2012 and continuing
IA 3 2 1 8/31 - TBD
PA 7 7 0 8/31 - TBD
IV MS Hurricane IsaacAugust 26, 2012 and continuing
IA 4 4 0 8/31 - TBD
PA TBD 0 0
VI LA Hurricane IsaacAugust 26, 2012 and continuing
IA 9 4 1 8/31 - TBD
PA 5 4 0 8/31 - TBD
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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status
Fully Mission Capable 53
Partially Mission Capable 0
Non-Mission Capable 4
Total Not Deployed 39
MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS
Location Units Assigned
Available FMC
DeployedCommitted
PMC NMC DR-State OPCON EnRoute
Unit Prep Open Request
Notes:
DC Atlanta 21 12 8 0 1 DR-4078-OK 1 0 0
DC Cumberland 10 10 0 0 DR-4080-LA 10 0 0 6
DC Ft Worth 15 2 10 0 3 MS-4081-ISB 3 0 0
DC Moffett 6 6 0 0 0 MS-4081-JFO 4 0 0
Holliston, MA 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
Denver, CO 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bothell, WA 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0
TOTAL 57 35 18 0 4 TOTAL 18 0 0 6 Included in above totals, units en route for turn-in.
Data as of: 09/02/12 @ 0400
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Active IA Disasters
Data as of: 09/02/12 @ 0700
AL4052-DR1971-DR
AZ AR
CA CO
FL
ID
IL1991-DR
IN
IA1998-DR
KS
LA
ME
MA4028-DR1994-DR
WI
MN
MO
MT
NE
NV
NM
NY
NC 4019-DR 1969-DR
ND
OH
OR
SC
SD
TN4060-DR1979-DR1974-DR
TX4029-DR
UT
VA
WA
WY
DE MD
KY4057-DR4008-DR1976-DR
OK 4078-DR 1989-DR 1970-DR
GA1973-DR
AR 4000-DR 1975-DR
MO4012-DR1980-DR
VT4022-DR4001-DR1995-DRND
1981-DR
MS
MT1996-DR
NE4013-DR
SD1984-DR
PR 4040-DR 4017-DR
NY4031-DR4020-DR
NH4026-DR
PA4030-DR4025-DR
VA4042-DR
NJ4021-DR
CT4023-DR
WV
MS 4081-DR
1983-DR1972-DR
IN4058-DR WV
4059-DR4061-DR
MI
FL4068-DR
# of DRs Legend
Open Registration Period (60 days from Declaration, unless extended)
IHP Active – IHP Assistance period remains open (18 Months from Declaration)
IHP Closing Within 60 Days
4
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7
LA 4080 - DR
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IA Registration Statistics
NPSC Call Data for September 1, 2012
Total NPSC Calls Answered (Helpline + Registration Intake) 8,440
Average time to answer call 15 seconds
Cumulative as of September 2, 2012 @ 0130
DR # - State RegistrationsApproved Applicants
Total HA Approved
Total ONA Approved
Total IHP Approved
4068 - FL 16,781 6,153 $61,925,288 $7,579,853 $69,505,141
4078 - OK 572 212 $8,240,062 $796,522 $9,036,584
4080 - LA 40,079 309 $1,147,926 $159,881 $1,307,808
4081 - MS 545 Due to the late declaration, MS IHP data is unavailable at this time
Totals 57,432 6,674 $71,313,276 $8,536,256 $79,849,532
24 hour change +37,105 +339 +$48,123,713 +$5,432,052 +$53,555,765
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IMAT StatusNational Teams
Team Status Team Status Team Status
BLUE(East)
LA WHITE(Central)
MS RED(West)
LA
Regional Teams
Team Status Team Status Team Status
Region I Region V OH Region IX-1
Region II Region VI-1 LA Region IX-2
Region III VA Region VI-2 OK Region X
Region IV-1 NC (DNC) Region VII
Region IV-2 FL Region VIII
= Assigned/Deployed= Out-of-Service
= Available/Mission Capable= Available/Partially Mission Capable
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Urban Search & RescueINCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
WEST CENTRAL EAST
Team Status Team Status Team Status
CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available
CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available
CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available
CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available
CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available
CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Non-operational PA-TF1 Conditionally Available
CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditionally Available VA-TF1 Available
CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Conditionally Available VA-TF2 Available
WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Cache Rehab OH-TF1 Available
UT-TF1 Available
= Assigned/Deployed= Out-of-Service
= Available/Mission Capable= Available/Partially Mission Capable
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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center
I Watch/Steady State Maynard MOC (24/7)
II Watch/Steady State 24/7
III Watch/Steady State 24/7
IV Level III (Partial Activation) 24/7
V Watch/Steady State 24/7
VI Level II (Partial Activation) Denton MOC (24/7)
VII Level III (Monitoring 24/7) 24/7
VIII Watch/Steady State Denver MOC (24/7)
IX Watch/Steady State 24/7
X Watch/Steady State Bothell MOC (24/7)
RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status
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National Team Status
Team/Status Current Location Remarks
National Watch Center Washington, DC Enhanced Watch (11am-11pm)
NRCC Washington, DC Level II (24/7)
HLT Miami, FL Activated
DEST Washington, DC Not Activated
Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable
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