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Decommissioning
in the North Sea: A Challenging Opportunity
Bart Cornelissen & Michael Hompes
March 2016
Discussion
Document
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Executive Summary
The North Sea will provide an $18 billion decommissioning opportunity towards
2025, however major capability, resource and innovation gaps exist today...
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea1
Decommissio-
ning in the
North Sea is
an $18 billion
opportunity
• The North Sea has ~1350 installations in operation (2015)
• The asset base in the North Sea is ageing with a weighted average age of +20 years
• Persistent weakness in oil price accelerates decommissioning activity, as oil fields fail to
generate sufficient revenue to cover operating costs
• The accelerated decommissioning activity provides an $18 billion North Sea opportunity
between 2015-2025
• Despite the fact that the decommissioning market poses tough challenges, it also provides
opportunities to be captured by industry players alike
Suppliers lack
experience,
innovation
capabilities
and resources
• Overlooking all decommissioning activities; major supply chain bottlenecks in
Infrastructure and Equipment can be identified
• Driling Rigs, Removal Vessels and Ports, Harbours and Yards are critical supply chain
elements likely to impact on the delivery of cost effective decommissioning
• The capability gap of suppliers is high; on average only 25% of suppliers have
decommissioning experience
• 88% of forecast spend is captured in Well Abandonment, Suspension Live and Removal while
suppliers have relatively high deviation from desired capability
• A major wave of decommissioning could result in severe constraints in infrastructure and
delays in delivery capability and drive up costs
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Executive Summary
...collaboration and bundling of activities could provide up to 30% in synergies,
but only with a distinct strategy to optimize each stage in decommissioning
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea2
Collaboration
between
operators and
suppliers is
essential for
success and
capturing
synergies
• A number of areas in the decommissioning supply chain overlap in scope; by collaborating -
between operators and suppliers - synergies can be captured
• Combined abandonment could improve project economics by ~25-30%
• Supplier collaboration is also one of the most important strategies CPOs focus on
• Despite the fact that in O&G we have a long tradition of collaboration, we have a low
perception of success or even struggle to do this successfully altogether
• To turn this around, we might want to learn from other industries and focus on building
trust relationships, mutual benefits and being proactive
Decommissio-
ning is
strategic;
value should
be maximized
at every stage
of late-life
assets
• In order for decommissioning to develop, a distinct approach from E&P should be realized
recognizing the differences in drivers
• Late-life production operations, preparation for CoP and decommissioning are all parts of the
same path and one should maximize value at every stage
• With a segmented portfolio, operators can make deliberate choices based on clear
decision criteria, on which assets to keep, divest or to decommission
• To further develop and optimize the decommissioning sector, requires intensified
collaboration of all stakeholders involved across the lifecycle
• Decommissioning is inherently strategic in nature as choices have to be made at every
stage by both E&P operators impacting its Oil Field Services suppliers
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Topics for discussion
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea3
Context 4
Challenges 11
Opportunities 18
Going Forward 26
Appendix 32
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Context
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea4
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
The North Sea has ~1350 installations in operation (2015) of which the majority
in Norway and in the UK with larger and heavier installations due to deep water
Context
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea5
Note: 1. Installations in UK and Norway are larger and heavier due to deeper waters
Source: OPSAR data (2015) - OSPAR is the mechanism by which 15 Governments & the EU cooperate to protect the marine environment of the North-East Atlantic
Operational installations in the North Sea (2015) Sum of Weight (M tonnes) in the North Sea (2015)
87%
Denmark
636%
90%
11%
Norway
651
16%
73%
151
42%
UK
489
Netherlands
52%
Fixed steel
Others
Subsea steel
Floating steel
Others
Gravity-based concrete
77%
23%
United
Kingdom1
5.4
45%
55%
Norway1
5.7
0.8
56%
0.3
Denmark Netherlands
46%54%
0.4
Topside
Sub-structure
5% 11% 36% 48%
# % Percentage of total
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
The asset base in the North Sea is ageing with a weighted average age of +20
years; The Netherlands has the oldest installations exceeding 24 years
Context
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea6
Source: OPSAR data (2015)
Average Age of Operational installations in the North Sea (2015)
17.515.916.814.5
18.121.224.122.8
20.6
28.0
21.0
37.4
27.7
16.0
25.2
17.0
17.0
23.6
16.2
20.3
19.0Floating steel
Fixed Steel
Denmark
Gravity-based concrete
Norway
Total Weighted Average
United KingdomNetherlands
Subsea steel
Floating concrete
Others
N=4
N=1
N=1
N=57
N=16
N=3
N=132
N=341
N=8
N=273
N=359
N=10
N=10
N=79
N=29 N=18
N=2
N=63 N=151 N=651 N=479
Country Weighted Av. AgeWeighted Av. Age
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Subsea and Fixed Steel form ~94% of North Sea installations; Subsea Steel is
relatively younger than the more evenly spread age of Fixed Steel
Context
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea7
Source: OPSAR data (2015)
Distribution of Age of Operational installations (count) in the North Sea (2015)
13
1616
25
114
221
149
124
57
1
443841
6877
43
2 312
3
26
273
825311 2 5325
26 to 3021 to 25
68
11 to 15 16 to 20 31 to 35
80
36 to 40
Age categories
46 to 50 unknown41 to 456 to 100 to 5
32
53
Floating Steel
Others
Subsea steel
Floating concrete
Fixed steel
Gravity-based concrete
Older operational installations
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
50010050 350200 5500 450150 300 400250
20%
80%
100%
60%
40%
0%
600
Persistent weakness in oil price accelerates decommissioning activity, as oil
fields fail to generate sufficient revenue to cover operating costs
Context
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea8
Duration of Oil Price Declines Since 1986 (WTI, Peak to Trough – % of Peak Price)
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; MonitorDeloitte analysis
# Days
March '86
December '88
December '08
March '98
January '07
February '16
(ongoing)
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Context
The accelerated decommissioning activity provides an $18 billion North Sea
opportunity between 2015-2025; with increasing spend towards 2025 (+300%)
Expected North Sea decommissioning spend per facility type ($ b)
1.0
1.3
2016
1.0
20182017
1.3
0.7
2015
+302%
2.1
2021 2025
1.2
2020
2.9
2023
3.2
2024
2.4
2022
1.1
2019
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea9
Source: Rystad, Decom North Sea, Monitor Deloitte analysis
Fixed and floater
Extended reach
Subsea tie back
FPSO
Semi
Steel platform
Concrete GB
Factors that influence final
decision to decommission
• Expected reserves
• Production profile
• Hydrocarbon price and quality
• Operational expenditure
• Decommissioning costs
• Development plan
• Legislation
• Unexpected/accidental
damage
• Tear and wear of production
infrastructure
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Despite that the decommissioning market poses tough challenges to overcome,
it also provides opportunities to be captured by industry players alike
Context
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea10
Challenges Opportunities
• Great uncertainty about timing and costs
• Many suppliers are struggling to address the
market
• Strong capabilities are in short supply in
decommissioning
• Severe constraints in infrastructure and (global)
delivery capability
• The industry has not developed a standardized
procedure for abandonment
• High pace of decommissioning activity
• Industry players can de-risk decommissioning by
collaboration and strengthen their financial position
• Innovate successfully with alternative uses of
offshore infrastructure
• Decommissioning expertise can be exported
• Socio-economic opportunity for the sector
Source: MonitorDeloitte analysis, McKinsey, BCG, ARUP and a collaborative study from Scottish Enterprise, Decom North Sea and Accenture
Dir
ec
tL
on
g-t
erm
Challenges and opportunities for decommissioning in the North Sea
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Challenges
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea11
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
The decommissioning market poses tough challenges to overcome...
Challenges
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea12
Challenges Opportunities
• Great uncertainty about timing and costs
• Many suppliers are struggling to address the
market
• Strong capabilities are in short supply in
decommissioning
• Severe constraints in infrastructure and (global)
delivery capability
• The industry has not developed a standardized
procedure for abandonment
• High pace of decommissioning activity
• Industry players can de-risk decommissioning by
collaboration and strengthen their financial position
• Innovate successfully with alternative uses of
offshore infrastructure
• Decommissioning expertise can be exported
• Socio-economic opportunity for the sector
Source: MonitorDeloitte analysis, McKinsey, BCG, ARUP and a collaborative study from Scottish Enterprise, Decom North Sea and Accenture
Dir
ec
tL
on
g-t
erm
Challenges and opportunities for decommissioning in the North Sea
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Challenges
Overlooking all decommissioning activities; major supply chain bottlenecks in
Infrastructure and Equipment can be identified
Boskalis Offshore Energy - Decommissioning Insights13
Decommissioning activities
Project mgmt. Well Abandonment Running, making
safe, and
preparation
Topside and
substructure
removal
Subsea and site
remediation
Topsides and Substructure
Re-use & Recycling
Skills
• Proj. mgmt. team
• Corporate and
commercial support
• Decom PMO
• Engin. appraisal
• Environ. assessm.
• Compl./ Certification
• Stakeholder mgmt.
• Navigation interface
• Finance and legal
• Engineering (P&A)
• Well & P&A mgmt.
• Operations support
• Rig upgrade capab.
• Waste mgmt.
• Rig & rigless design
• Waste disposal
• Well Insp. & Interv.
Specialist Services
• (Detailed) engin.
• Offshore oper.
• HV & LV engin.
• Platform services
• Integrity mgmt.
• Health and safety
• Waste mgmt.
• Disposal routes
• Sampling services
• Detailed Engineering
• Naval Architecture
• Offshore Operations
• Transportation
• Vessel Crew
• ROV Pilot & Support
• Offshore Operations
• Geotechnical engineering
• Waste Material Characterization
• Onshore Dismantling
• Onshore environm.
• Waste Management
• Hazardous material mgmt. and
disposal
Infra-
structure
and
equipment
• Vessels: Survey
Geotechnical data,
Geophysical data,
environmental
• Navigational Aids
• Vessels: Intervention
and transport
• Waste treatment and
storage
• Rigs and Rigless
Solutions
• Decom materials
• Cement, Resins,
Silicone Rubber
• Vessels: Standby,
Support (AHTS, DSV,
Tugs), Survey
• Cutting technologies
• Subsea discon. and
removal tools
• Logistics base: marine,
aviation, onshore
• Vessels: Removal,
AHTS, CSV, SSBV’s,
survey and rock
dumping / backfill
• Transportation barges
• Vessels: ROV, support,
DSV, Stone placement,
AHTS
• Suction dredging
• Onshore Cranage
• Cutting Equipment
• Handling Equipment
• Onshore Space
• Quayside Strength
• DW Access Channel
• Dry Dock
• Metal Recycling
Supply
chain
• Engin. consultants
• Proj. mgmt. consult.
• Integrity prof. serv.
• Envir. consultant
• Legal and accountant.
• Survey contractors
• Tier 1 contractors
• Nav. consultants
• Drilling contractors
• Vessel operators
• Specialist Consult. and
contractors
• Rig/Rigless Contractors
• Engin. consultants
• Vessel Operators
• Specialist contractors
• Survey Contractors
• Tier 1 Contractors
• Engin. consultants
• Heavy-Lift Vessel
contractors
• Support Vessel
contractors
• Specialist consultants
• Engin. consultants
• Vessel contractors
• Survey contractors
• Envir. consultants
• Specialist Contractors
• Engin. consultants
• Onshore yard oper.
• Ports & harbor oper.
• Civil contractors
• Demolition contr.
• Waste & recycle contr.
Source: ARUP
Potential Bottlenecks
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Challenges
Driling Rigs, Removal Vessels and Ports, Harbours and Yards are critical supply
chain elements likely to impact on the delivery of cost effective decommissioning
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea14
ActivityWell Abandonment Topside & Substructure
Removal
Topside & Substructure Reuse
& Recycling
Bottleneck Drilling Rigs or Rigless Alternatives Removal Vessels Ports, Harbours and Yards
Rationale
• Rigs or Rigless Alternatives
are fundamental aspects of
well abandonment not
replicable
• Significant pressures from
E&P activities
• Competition for resources due
to global deployment
• The market is volatile and the
spot prices vulnerable due to
market demand
• Removal Vessels are a critical
part of the decommissioning
process
• Vessels with lift capacities of
up to 500 tonnes and higher
are also utilised for E&P and
offshore wind markets
• Capital costs of new vessels
require a substantial
commitment to invest
• Development lead time is long
(+5-10 years)
• Impact on removal costs
through increasing vessel
costs
• Capital cost of upgrading
major infrastructure can be
substantial
• Timelines can be extremely
protracted (up to 10 years)
Contractors are reluctant to make commitments without certainty
in terms of timing of the North Sea decommissioning market
Potential Supply chain bottlenecks
Source: ARUP
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
The capability gap of suppliers is high; on average only 25% of suppliers have
tangible decommissioning experience
Challenges
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea15
Suppliers with Capability vs. Supliers with Experience per phase
31%
41%
28%32%33%
45%
37%
47%48%
6%
32%31%
16%
23%
47%
22%19%
28%
Continuing
Liability
DisposalSuspension
Live
Preparation
for CoP
RemovalSuspension
Cold
Cleaning &
Decom
missioning
Well
Abandonment
Disconnection
% Suppliers
with Stated
Decommissioning
Experience
% Suppliers
with Stated
Decommissioning
Capability
Source: A collaborative study from Scottish Enterprise, Decom North Sea and Accenture
-20%
# % Decommissioning Experience - Capability
-28% -15% +2% -10% -16% +3% -9% -25%
Av.
25%
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
00.5
11.5
22.5
33.5
4
Preperation ofCoP
Suspension Live
WellAbandonment
Cleaning &Decommissioning
DisconnectionSuspension Cold
Removal
Disposal
ContinuingLiability
Industry Desired Capability Av. Supplier Capability
Challenges
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea16
0%
1%
20%
0% 7%
5%
43%
23%
1%
% Forecast Spend
Source: A collaborative study from Scottish Enterprise, Decom North Sea and Accenture
88% of forecast spend is captured in Well Abandonment, Suspension Live and
Removal while suppliers have relatively high deviation from desired capability
Av. Supplier Capability, Desired Capabilty with % Forecast Spend
• Taking spend to be an indicator of
demand; Well Abandonment
(44%), Suspension Live (24%) and
Removal (20%) have high
Forecast Spend
• Deviation between Av. Supplier
Capability and Industry Desired
Capability is large for Well
Abandonment and Removal
considering their expected
Forecast Spend size (although all
deviations are relatively similar)
Observations
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
A major wave of decommissioning could result in severe constraints in
infrastructure and delays in delivery capability and drive up costs
Challenges
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea17
Forecast of decommissioning capacity constraints, Northern North Sea (October 2014)
3
2
4
6
2
12
8
4
3
4
Weight (Te)
1600-
4000
>16000<1600 4000-
8000
8000-
16000
Source: KPMG
Topsides and substructures
to be Decommissioned
Available Vessels
-2 +3 - -6 -9
# Installations to be decommissioned – Available Vessels
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Opportunities
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea18
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
...but decommissioning also provides opportunities to be captured by industry
players alike
Opportunities
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea19
Challenges Opportunities
• Great uncertainty about timing and costs
• Many suppliers are struggling to address the
market
• Strong capabilities are in short supply in
decommissioning
• Severe constraints in infrastructure and (global)
delivery capability
• The industry has not developed a standardized
procedure for abandonment
• High pace of decommissioning activity
• Industry players can de-risk decommissioning by
collaboration and strengthen their financial position
• Innovate successfully with alternative uses of
offshore infrastructure
• Decommissioning expertise can be exported
• Socio-economic opportunity for the sector
Source: MonitorDeloitte analysis, McKinsey, BCG, ARUP and a collaborative study from Scottish Enterprise, Decom North Sea and Accenture
Dir
ec
tL
on
g-t
erm
Challenges and opportunities for decommissioning in the North Sea
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
A number of areas in the decommissioning supply chain overlap in scope; by
collaborating - between operators and suppliers - synergies can be captured
Opportunities
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea20
Decomm-
issioned
Project Management, Logistics, MRO/Integrity, Overheads, HSE Management, Business/Safety Case Management,
Stakeholder Management, Inventory & Waste Management, Risk Management & Contingency Planning
Late Life
Operations
Preparation for
Decommissioning
DisposalWell Abandonment
DisposalCleaning &
Decommissioning
Disconnection
Removal
Disposal Disposal
Continuing Liability
Stage One Stage Two Stage
Three
Stage Four
Gate 1 Gate 2 Gate 3
Modifications &
UpgradesCoP
Hydrocarbon Free Materials Onshore
Milestone
MRO Decision
Making Changes
Modifications &
Upgrades
Source: A collaborative study from Scottish Enterprise, Decom North Sea and Accenture
Recommended Decommissioning Supply Chain Phase Map
Lifecycle activities
Phase
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Opportunities
Combined abandonment could improve project economics by ~25-30%
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea21
12
5459
12
76
PMB
5
DC Tot.
19
Mob/
De-mob
195
Tot.
19
A
19
Final costLear-
ning
43
Mob / Demob
Decommissioning
Proj. mgmt.
Learning
~ 25-30%
reduction
Source: McKinsey
Economics of decommissioning from combined abandonment of projects ($ m)
Repetition helps operators and contractors in recognizing risks of decommissioning, where the cost of an
overrun can easily be >80% of the planned budget compared to ~40% for development projects
Proj.
1 time mob/demob
instead of 4 times
Project management
and engineering -40%
-10% decommissioning
costs
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Opportunities
Supplier collaboration is also one of the most important strategies CPOs focus
on to deliver value
22
Note: The survey combines the opinions of 324 procurement leaders from 33 countries across several industries
Source: The Deloitte Global CPO Survey
CPO Focus (% of Survey Respondents)
14
17
21
25
29
30
31
32
39
43
Restructuring existing relationships
Reducing transaction costs
Increasing level of supplier collaboration
Increasing competition
Reducing total life cycle/ownership costs
Reducing demand
Restructuring the supply base
Specification improvement
Outsourcing of non-core procurement
Consolidating spend
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Opportunities
Despite the fact that in O&G we have a long tradition of collaboration, we have a
low perception of success or even struggle to do this successfully altogether
23
Source: Deloitte Survey of UKCS operators and oilfield services companies (August 2015)
Successful collaboration efforts by company (2015)
Oil Field Services
66%
Operators
90%
Collaboration is an integral part of business (%)
Less than 25%
28%
17%
22%
Operators
Unsure
50-74%
100%
25-49%
75% or more
22%
Oil Field Services
11%
100%
32%
30%
14%
5%
19%
Success rate
% o
f re
sp
on
de
nts
% o
f re
sp
on
de
nts
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Opportunities
To turn this around, we might want to learn from other industries...
24
Note: The survey combines the opinions of 324 procurement leaders from 33 countries across several industries
Source: The Deloitte Global CPO Survey (2015), Deloitte Survey of UKCS operators and oilfield services companies (February 2016)
10
21
31
35
36
46
59
77
Techn. media &
communications
Consumer business
Business & profess. services
Manufacturing
Government & public sector
Financial services
Healthcare & life sciences
Energy & resources
% of CPOs driving innovation with suppliers
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Opportunities
...and focus on building trust relationships, mutual benefits and being proactive
25
Note: The survey combines the opinions of 324 procurement leaders from 33 countries across several industries
Source: The Deloitte Global CPO Survey (2015), Deloitte Survey of UKCS operators and oilfield services companies (February 2016)
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea
29%Trusted relationships
with the other party
24%
Significant resources invested
1%
Importance of collaboration
communicated 9%
4%
Business strategy
encourages collaboration9%
Actively sought out
opportunities to collaborate 20%
Mutual benefit for you
and the other party
Other
Individual performance measures
linked to rewards 3%
Be
ha
vio
ur
Pro
ce
ss
es
Reasons for successful collaboration (% of responses)
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Going Forward
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea26
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
In order for decommissioning to develop, a distinct approach from E&P should
be realized recognizing the differences in drivers
Going Forward
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea27
Exploration & Production Decommissioning
Economics • Driven by first oil• Driven by reducing overall costs, with drivers bias towards
defer spend
Projects• Projects may not proceed if they do not achieve
investment hurdles• Project legally obligated to proceed
Scale • Future market scale uncertain • Future market scale relatively uncertain
Market• Very mature market which has been evolved since
first activity in the 1960s
• Immature market with a small number of projects and
operators having delivered a decommissioning project to
date
Scope• Scope of project can be vary based on technical and
commercial drivers
• Scope of project is largely fixed and includes removal of
all infrastructure
Safety &
Asset
integrity
• Safety and asset integrity driven, to ensure operation
and production is sustained uninterrupted
• Safety driven. Asset integrity only relevant to maintain
critical functions necessary for the removal process and
limit environmental impact
Profitability• Perceived by the supply chain as having higher
margins and offering more challenges
• Perceived by the market as lower margins and less
interesting
Drivers Exploration & Production vs. Decommissioning
Source: ARUP
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Going Forward
Late-life production operations, preparation for CoP and decommissioning are all
parts of the same path and one should maximize value at every stage
28
Develop a clear
late-life operator
strategy
Maximise
operations value
from productive
asset wind-down
Apply best-
practice capital
project
approaches to
decommissioning
Develop a
supportive
regulatory
environment for
the North Sea
• Plan ahead
• Identify late-life assets
• Commit to the chosen operating strategy
• Reduce headcount at late-life assets
• Manage demand and use new procurement techniques to help
radically reduce external spend
• Concept optimization
• Contracting strategy and contractor management
• Risk management
• Apply lean principles
• Pooling resource
1
2
3
4
Source: McKinsey
Four drivers achieving decommissioning excellence
Drivers
Regulatory bodies have a crucial role to play:
1. Requirements operators need to meet
2. Exploring roles governments can themselves play
Achieving
decommissioning
excellence in the
North Sea
ActionsObjective
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
With a segmented portfolio, operators can make deliberate choices based on
clear decision criteria, on which assets to keep, divest or to decommission
1. Traditional Sale
• Sell late-life assets to third parties
• Transferring the decommissioning liability as part of the deal
• Option is proving difficult: potential buyers are becoming choosier and
field economics have worsened
2. Liquidity Maximising Sale
• Selling late-life assets while maintaining decommissioning liability
• Number of potential buyers will be far higher (than in a traditional sale)
• Selling price should be far higher, allowing sellers an immediate cash
injection that they can roll into other value-creating investments
• Decommissioning liabilities will remain on company balance sheets
3a. Operated decommissioning
• Run assets until the end of their lives
• Then execute decommissioning using internal capabilities and
traditional contracts with suppliers and service companies
3b. Outsource
• Under-explored and -utilized approach/option; the outsourcing of ultra-
late-life operations and decommissioning execution to service firms
Going Forward
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea29
3a. Operate
3b. Outsource
1. Traditional
Sale
2. Liquidity
Maximising
Sale
Ow
ners
hip
Sell
Transfer Liability
Own
Maintain
The Strategic Options for Decommissioning
Source: KPMG
Late-life operator strategy1
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
To further develop and optimize the sector, requires
collaboration of stakeholders across the lifecycle
Going Forward
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea30
Source: A collaborative study from Scottish Enterprise, Decom North Sea and Accenture
Recommendations across the lifecycle
Integrate planning Practice collaboration
& bundling
Plan & execute earlier Develop talent &
resourcing
Leverage supply
strengths
• Optimise integrated
planning within
operators and across
the operator-supplier
interface
• Better planning will reap
benefits and facilitate
other benefits
• Launch further
initiatives to encourage
collaboration & bundling
of supply activities
• Articulate and
emphasise its benefits
to key industry
stakeholders
• Earlier activity will:
−Reduce the potential for
complexity and integrity
issues
−Improve the operational
performance of the
decommissioning projects
−Bring forward supplier
decommissioning demand
and revenues
−Reducing financial, time,
operational and HSE risks
for operators
−Allowing suppliers to
develop their capabilities
• Develop talent
• Ensure proper levels of
resourcing to ensure
supply can meet
forecast demand by:
−Improving visibility of
resource demand
−Launching training
initiatives to transfer
existing skills
−Engaging more with
universities
−Creating more
decommissioning specific
work positions
• Encourage the
utilisation of strong
suppliers in other areas
of supply weakness
• Leveraging supply
strengths will increase
the overall capability,
capacity and revenue of
the supply chain, lessen
the likelihood of supply
chain bottlenecks and
encourage collaboration
and skills transfer from
one phase to another
Productive asset wind-down2
Apply capital project approaches3
Develop a regulatory environment4
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Going Forward
Decommissioning is inherently strategic in nature as choices have to be made at
every stage by both E&P operators impacting its Oil Field Services suppliers
31
Key recommendations
Exploration & Production
(Operators)
Impact on Oil Field Services
(Suppliers)
Decommissioning
Strategy
• Plan ahead and develop a clear late-life operator
strategy
• Be brutally realistic on the long-term performance
potential of the asset and the company’s
willingness and ability to invest
• Suppliers can help analyse the value and risk trade-
offs of different decommissioning concepts and test
their resilience to potential risks or uncertainties
Operating Models
• Late-life assets need to achieve a drastic reduction
in costs to remain profitable
• Maximise operations value from productive asset
wind-down
• Apply lean principles; to improve frontline
productivity and speed of execution
• Effective decommissioning requires smooth
handover; suppliers can facilitate this removing
interface risks
Capabilities &
Expertise
• Apply best-practice capital project approaches to
decommissioning
• Build dedicated internal capabilities
• Implement an integrated end-to-end risk approach
to bring robustness to projects and avoid additional
costs for both parties
• Engineer pragmatic risk-based standards and
design an optimized plan for fulfilling HES
requirements
Collaboration
• Determine the role of regulatory bodies to support
the collaboration and develop a supportive
regulatory environment for the North Sea
• Ensure adequate on-site supervision of
contractors
• Pooling resources and (cross-)projects can improve
project economics by scale, maximize learning
(cross-projects) and minimize cost and errors
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Appendix
32 20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Through collaboration between operators and oil-field-services, abandonment
costs can be reduced by up to 40 percent
Appendix
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea33
Model of abandonment cost reduction
Source: BCG
Categories Potential cost
reduction
Actions Examples of actions
Program
design and
management
Planning and
execution
Contracting
5%
15%
20%
• Establish abandonment standards and HES requirements that
are fit for purpose
• Build dedicated internal capabilities
• Ensure adequate on-site supervision of contractors
• Perform site diagnostics ahead of project execution
• Employ long-term planning
• Attach greatest priority to routine wells with lower abandonment
costs
• Standardize procedures and communication tools
• Integrate decommissioning, rejuvenation, and workover
activities
• Share tools and equipment between maintenance and
decommissioning campaigns
• Request contractor liability for downtime
• Negotiate performance-based agreements
• Pursue long-term agreements
• Retain best-performing crews
Engineer pragmatic risk-
based standards
Design an optimized plan for
fulfilling HES requirements
Optimize planning through
site diagnosis
Build a queue of work
Standardize execution
Capture execution synergies
Optimize contract terms
Carefully select contractors
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Appendix
In each phase of the decommissioning supply chain recommendations can be
made to address the challenges and harness the opportunities
34
Recommendations across the decommissioning supply chain
Cleaning &
DecommissioningWell abandonmentSuspension LivePreparation for CoP
• Encourage ‘late life’ mindset
• Define late life process
• Encourage a more diverse
supply base
• Develop standardized
decommissioning project
planning template
• Integrate with other phases • Plan and execute earlier
• Integrate plans
• Broadcast the challenge
• Talent and resource focus
• Integrate with other phases
• Analyse cost/benefit of
earlier cleaning
• Analyse cost/benefit of
onshore cleaning
• Integrate with other phases
Disconnection
• Integrate with other
phases
• Learn from other
regions
• Test place in the
market
Suspension
Cold
• Packaged offering
research
• Integrate with other
phases
Removal
• Develop innovative
approach
• Create disposal
linkages
Disposal
• Bring disposal
contractors into the
decommissioning
process earlier
• Optimise yard demand
• Research and
leverage learnings and
synergies from
salvage and nuclear
Continuing
Liability
• Develop service
offering
• Bundle with other
phases
Source: A collaborative study from Scottish Enterprise, Decom North Sea and Accenture
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Appendix
Addition of lifecycle activities spanning the full duration of decommissioning;
many activities are common to multiple or all phases in the lifecycle
35
Lifecycle activities
Activity Description
Project management• Includes planning, time and cost forecast, contracting/subcontracting, budget management, business
case management, contingency planning
Logistics • Includes offshore and onshore mobilization, support vessels
MRO/Integrity• Includes maintaining structural integrity to HSE defined standards and to suit decommissioning strategy.
Will differ from operational MRO due to different commercial considerations
Overheads • Includes staffing, utilities/power, accommodation
HSE Management • Includes upgrades, provisions, equipment, studies and safety case to meet HSE defined standards
Stakeholder
management
• Includes engaging with internal, partner, community and regulatory stakeholders to inform, manage
expectations and prevent reputational damage
Inventory
management
• Includes directing and tracking movement of material/equipment inventory from operational asset to
disposal/reuse/recycling
Waste management• Includes directing and tracking movement of waste/HAZMAT inventory from operational asset to
disposal/reuse/recycling, including characterization and environmental accounting
Source: A collaborative study from Scottish Enterprise, Decom North Sea and Accenture
© 2016 Deloitte The Netherlands
Source articles
• BCG Perspectives (December 2015): Asset abandonment in upstream oil – A growing threat to the sector
• KPMG (March 2015): Decommissioning Strategy – A new imperative for E&P firms
• McKinsey & Company (February 2015): From late-life operations to decommissioning – maximising value at
every stage
• ARUP (September 2014): Decommissioning in the North Sea – Review of decommissioning capacity
• A collaborative study from Scottish Enterprise, Decom North Sea and Accenture (May 2013): Decommissioning
in the UKCS – Mapping the supply chain, identifying SWOTs and making recommendations to optimise a key
industry growth area
Appendix
20160329 Decommissioning in the North Sea36
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