Foresight Cards

Order the pack of cards or download more free workshops using the Foresight Cards on:www.foresightcards.com

- Determine trends and scenario drivers -

Future of “our values”

5 minute discussion with your group

- How does this theme develop itself into the future?

Foresight cards Trendwatching?

Future of “our values”

5 minute discussion with your projectgroup

- How does this theme develop itself into the future?

Future of “our values”

In your discussion about the future…

- Which elements are important, when you are talking with eachother about the future?

Again, 5 minute discussion

Foresight cards Trendwatching?

Future events…

- Perspective of Time- Perspective of Relevance- Perspective of Reliability of information- Perspective of Uncertainty

Predetermined <-> Controversy- Perspective of Change

Trend / Gradual- / Abrupt discontinuity Increased usaged of digital devices

Oil spill

Foresight cards Talking about the future

Foresight cards Perspective of change

Time, Relevance, Uncertainty, Reliability of information and CHANGE:

Foresight cards Perspective of change

Macro – contextual levelThe contextual level consists of ‘global forces’, think about: economical developments, demographics, politics, technological developments and social developments. Foresight Cards – STEEP edition focusses on external forces that address the contextual level.

Meso – transactional levelThe transactional level consists of ‘market forces’, think about: suppliers, supply and demand, distribution, competitors and strategic alliances.

Micro – organizational levelThe organizational level involves forces that address the internal environment of the firm. Think about: vision, mission, strategy, resources, processes, products and services.

PEST, DESTEP, PESTLE, STEEPLE, LESTEP…Foresight cards Our (STEEP) environment

Foresight cards Foresight Cards

Foresight cards The Impact diagram

Foresight cards Determine trends & drivers

Purpose: Determine trends, innovation oppertunities and scenario drivers.Components: Post-its, impact diagram and the card ‘patterns of change’.

Method• Create an impact diagram with sections: “Confirmation”, “Innovation” and “Scenarios”

on a large brown paper.• Make teams of two or three people.• Shuffle the cards and divide them among the teams.

You might like to make a pre-selection if you’re short on time.

Foresight cards Determine trends & drivers

Purpose: Determine trends, innovation oppertunities and scenario drivers.Components: Post-its, impact diagram and the card ‘patterns of change’.

Method• Each team positions the cards given in the framework. During positioning they

discuss with each other why the card is positioned there.

• When placing a card, teams will add a post-it that addresses the pattern of change that applies to the card.

• When all cards are positioned look (as a team) at possibilities to cluster some forces. You might like to add a large post-it which describes a more abstract force that represents different forces.

• After you have optimized the forces in the impact diagram discuss what you’re becoming aware of, for e.g. ‘What are trends of the current market?’, ‘Which forces determine innovation opportunities?’ and ‘Which forces hold key-uncertainties that could create different future scenarios?’.

• Want to make a final check? In the section “Confirmation” you will mostly find current trends, in the section “Innovation” you’ll find trends and gradual discontinuities, in the section “Scenarios” you’ll find discontinuities only.

“Reflection” - What did you/we learn?

Foresight cards Perspective of change

Foresight cards Foresight Cards information

This analysis tool helps to assess the external macro environment!

The Foresight Cards contains 125 macro forces classified into the STEEP categories (social, technological, economical, environmental and political). Other known acronyms derived from STEEP are: PEST, PESTLE, STEP, STEPJE, STEEPLED, DESTEP and LEPEST. The STEEP acronym is well known and used all over the world as a basis for external analysis.

For example the STEEP cards can be used by individuals and groups to have workshops to:• create awareness about past, current and future changes;• stress test a business model;• create a SWOT analysis;• energize;• tell a story;• discuss certain (strategic) topics;• think about systems and how external developments connect to each other;• determine key-uncertainties to create future scenarios (scenario planning);• etc. etc. etc.

Check the www.foresightcards.com website for more information, to download other workshops and how to order the pack of cards.