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Yesterday & this morning
1. Climate change regimea) New financing instruments
2. Scientific knowledge base for actiona) Meteorological knowledgeb) Agricultural and agronomic knowledgec) Modelling methodsd) Vulnerability assessment / mapping
3. Thematic applicationsa) Drylandsb) Floodplains, coastal zonesc) Energy of the sund) Small island statese) Drought prone areas
Mainstreaming climate change into development operations
Asia and Pacific Division’s endeavours -an illustration for the discussion
1. Contextual considerations
2. Ongoing efforts
3. Expanding opportunities
Contextual considerations
PI mindset: mainstreaming PI has no explicit climate change programme
Build capacity into existing processes Every event has climate change agenda item
Need to know more … but action is urgent Link of climate change and growth
China and India growth at centre of attention Growth has reduced poverty
Poverty to be reduced by another 50% after 2015 Nature of remaining poverty
Growth is crucial for poverty reduction (7-8%) Agriculture and agricultural growth are crucial (3-4%)
Safety net - 1997 financial crisis Productivity growth is stagnating Yield gaps substantial
Clean growth … clean agricultural growth ? resource conserving / regenerating growth Energy: conservation, diversification, generation (biofuels)
Farmers are most adaptable part of system and respond to incentives
a) Public services slow to adjust
b) Private sector focussed on ST profitability
Risk and vulnerability increasinga) Diversity of risks
b) Intensity, frequency … impact increasing
c) Farmers manage multiple actual risks Climate change constitutes LT background
d) Farmers respond Price transmission …
Reduced supply elasticity sustainability of food production system
Vietnam: risk averseness
Large region, with wide diversity Agro-ecological zones Different risk profiles … also timeframe
Outlook for rural economic livelihoods Scope for increased productivity, modernisation,
increased competitiveness, commercialisation Smaller sector … rural diversification, emigration
Agriculture: cause…victim… solution New agriculture
resource awareness Eastern Indonesia New crops (old crops): wheat, maize, roots and tubers
Resource protection … (re)productive use Viability outlook improved
Risk: food/rice self-sufficiency
Ongoing effortssee Newsletter February 2008
Analytical work Manilla event on risk and vulnerabilty
Planned : Climate scoping of the portfolio With GM and GECC
Capacity building dimension (local partners) Adjust where necessary: Bangladesh
RB-COSOP Vietnam with the GM
Adaptation strategies, mitigation strategies Philippines – fragile coastal ecosystems
Grants programme: new issues, new players RUPES Mountain environments Unfavourable rice environments
Investment programme design: mainstreaming climate change
Team member competencies Design differently: BBB
Flexibility Targeting: poverty-environment nexus
poor people, fragile areas Technology choices: cropping systems, LEISA Infrastructure design standards Risk management strategy Economic analysis
Safeguards: environmental assessments
Cooperation: internal and external GM
CACILM Central Asia subregional presence
GEF – PI/GECC supervision China Sri Lanka ASEAN Mongolia
WB Kyrgyzstan – Carbon Sequestration
Expanding opportunities
1. Linking to NAPAsa) NAPAs linked to other national strategiesb) Ministries of agriculture mobilisedc) Access to LDCF or SCCF
2. Vulnerability mapping:a) WFP and FAOb) WMO, University of Florence
3. Risk transfer mechanismsa) IMI - China
4. Traininga) ECb) WMOc) UNITAR
5. REGIONAL EVENTS
Thank you for your attention
Please send comments to:
Thomas ElhautDirector, Asia and Pacific
IFAD
t.elhaut@ifad.org
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